The Ultimate Fighter 27 Finale | July 6, 2018

[Kermit]

Isreal maybe the real deal..

He is. He's slick as Hell on the ground too.

[Richard Clock]

Should be an easy 50-45.

49-46 is pretty asinine. Felt like the last few rounds could have been 10-8s

[Thrilla]

Israel with the next level striking. Looked like black Saenchai out there.

The hype is real. Was favorite in all three UFC fights though.

[Kermit]

49-46 is pretty asinine. Felt like the last few rounds could have been 10-8s

Yeah, he landed some big shots, but Taveres took them well. That huge knee that Israel landed in the 3rd round would have finished most fighters in that weight class.

[JIBBBY]

He is. He's slick as Hell on the ground too.

Yup I won't fade him in the future.. I'll remember that..

[Thrilla]

Who are the ones with the best take downs in Israel's division and who are the best wrestlers?

[turbozed]

Watched Adesanya/Tavares tape today and think Adesanya is the right side now that the lines are closer to even. Can't be too big on Israel though because this is a 5 rounder and I'm not sure how Israel is going to look in rounds 4 and 5 if it gets there.

Although Vettori is not as skilled of a fighter as Tavares all around, I think he might have been a worse style matchup for Israel since Vettori brings more pressure and is a bit tougher. He also has second level attack after his first combo (either going for a takedown or throwing another combo) whereas Tavares pretty much has one salvo in every exchange. Tavares is bit more accurate and has a faster trigger. Unless Tavares has a great pressure offensive wrestling game that he's been keeping in his pocket all these years, I don't think he can bring the same type of pressure and pace that Vettori brought.

Israel did look like he had at least another round in him in the Vettori fight but maybe would have given ground a bit due to Vettori's pace and maybe might have let himself get taken down. I don't think Israel by decision is out of the question as the lines suggest, but agree that a stoppage is more likely for Israel. Some of those clean shots that Vettori took looked like trouble if landing on Tavares' chin. Tavares also dashes into his strikes, which is going to be necessary to overcome the reach disadvantage, but is going to be very dangerous against an accurate counter-striker like Israel. I can see Tavares overextending himself with an overhand right and eating a flush knee, for example.

Even with a decent sense of the matchup, I'm having a hard time thinking of ways to play this besides the ML. I'll wait until the o/u and round props come out, but would like your opinions.

Very rarely do things play out the way I call them. Glad this one did!

[Thrilla]

Does this mean Vettori is better than Tavares?

[Kermit]

Yup I won't fade him in the future.. I'll remember that..

He was one of the more confident bets that I've made in quite some time. I didn't have a ton on him, but I felt very good about laying a bet on him and felt like it was a lock.

[firekillex]

Israel Adesayna vs Derek Brunson next ... book it

[firekillex]

Who are the ones with the best take downs in Israel's division and who are the best wrestlers?

weidman, Jacare, Romero
not a ton of wrestlers at the top of 85 who will be around much longer... Israel only 28

[Kermit]

Does this mean Vettori is better than Tavares?

Hard to say. Tavares went 5 rounds with Israel and Vettori only went 3.

[Kermit]

Israel Adesayna vs Derek Brunson next ... book it

Sounds about right.

[Thor4140]

If u are a terrible judge this could be two two. Round 1 close round 4 a takedown

One guy had it 49-46 lol

[turbozed]

Does this mean Vettori is better than Tavares?

Tavares is just a better style matchup for Israel. But Tavares is all around better than Vettori IMO. If the two fought, Tavares would beat Vettori in striking exchanges and Vettori would fail on all his attempts to grapple.

[Thor4140]

He was one of the more confident bets that I've made in quite some time. I didn't have a ton on him, but I felt very good about laying a bet on him and felt like it was a lock.

I felt the same way. I did get worried when the line swung to Tavares like the books knew of an injury or some shit

[Thor4140]

Israel Adesayna vs Derek Brunson next ... book it

I think he does about the same type of beating on Brunson as he did on Tavares. Might even knock him out. He is starting to look like that other 185er who dominated for years. I’m sure Dana loves his cocky shit too loll.

[Hugo de Naranja]

muchos gracias Hugo Di nero

-3.5 De La Rosa

Fuckk yeah bro

[Hugo de Naranja]

Israel Adesayna vs Derek Brunson next ... book it

Brunson just got injured. Pulled out of a scheduled fight with ACJ

[Hugo de Naranja]

Very rarely do things play out the way I call them. Glad this one did!

Nailed it. #MaxBetSeason

[JIBBBY]

I think he does about the same type of beating on Brunson as he did on Tavares. Might even knock him out. He is starting to look like that other 185er who dominated for years. I’m sure Dana loves his cocky shit too loll.

Probably would knock out Brunson.. Tavares took some shots that most other fighters could not take...

[firekillex]

Israel saying hell be watching the fight tomorrow night with Hall vs New Vitor and wants the winner of that.. guess he wants to get his feet wet a bit more before getting near the top 5

[Teem]

Yeah that was awesome watching Adesanya put on a clinic. I enjoyed the De La Rosa/Ostovich fight (and not just because of the titties). I also enjoyed Violent Bob Ross. Did you guys see those marks all over his body? What was that?

[Hugo de Naranja]

The Ultimate Fighter 27 Finale: Adesanya vs. Tavares Picks:
Gerald Meerschaert Round 1 [Technical] Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
Steven Peterson Round 2 TKO (Punches)
Tyler Diamond Round 3 TKO (Punches)
Allan Zuniga Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Luis Pena Round 1 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Montana De La Rosa Round 3 Submission (Armbar)
Julian Marquez Round 2 TKO (Punches)
Barb Honchak Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
Martin Bravo Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Brad Katona Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)
Joe Giannetti Round 1 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Israel Adesanya Round 2 TKO (Punches)

[turbozed]

Nailed it. #MaxBetSeason

I don't go back on my bets very often and got a good price on Tavares. But after we talked I thought about it more and just couldn't see Tavares fighting any different than he usually fights which as we saw equals a terrible style matchup. So thanks for that bro.

Israel might be the best muay thai to mma stylist I've seen and I'm a huge fan. From the feints, defense, and footwork, he's got the slickness of a Jocky Gym guy.

Israel is black Saenchai

[Hugo de Naranja]

The Ultimate Fighter 27 Finale: Adesanya vs. Tavares

Fight Pass Prelims:

Fight #1: Piechota vs. Meerschaert
Meerschaert (+270) +2.7u
Meerschaert ITD (+380) +3.8u

Hedge:
Piechota Submission (+605) -.5u

Result: Gerald Meerschaert Round 2 Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Fight: +6u
Card: +6u

Fight #2: Peterson vs. Bessette
Peterson ITD (+300) -1u
Peterson KO/TKO (+560) -.5u

Result: Steven Peterson Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
Fight: -1.5u
Card: +4.5u

Fox Sports 1 Prelims:

Fight #3: Diamond (DEBUT) vs. Mitchell (DEBUT)
Diamond ITD (+305) -1u

Added:
Diamond (+120) -2.5u

Result: Bryce Mitchell Majority Decision (29-28 x2, 28-28)
Fight: -3.5u
Card: +1u

Fight #4: Zuniga (DEBUT) vs. Gunther (DEBUT)
Zuniga (+135) -1.5u

Result: John Gunther Majority Decision (29-28 x2, 28-28)
Fight: -1.5u
Card: -0.5u

Fight #5: Pena (DEBUT) vs. Smullen (DEBUT)
Pena Submission (+270) +4.725u

Result: Luis Pena Round 1 Submission (Mounted Guillotine Choke)
Fight: +4.725u
Card: +4.225u

Fight #6: De La Rosa vs. Ostovich
De La Rosa+Ostovich Won’t Go Distance (+145) +1.45u
De La Rosa -3.5 (+145) +1.45u
De La Rosa Submission (+370) +1.35u

Result: Montana De La Rosa Round 3 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Fight: +4.25u
Card: +8.475u

Main Card:

Fight #7: Marquez vs. Di Chirico
Marquez Submission (+605) -.5u

Result: Alessio Di Chirico Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
Fight: -0.5u
Card: +7.975u

Fight #8: Modafferi vs. Honchak
No Bet

Result: Roxanne Modafferi Round 2 TKO (Elbows)

Fight #9: Bravo vs. Caceres
Bravo (+105) -2u

Result: Alex Caceres Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
Fight: -2u
Card: +5.975u

Fight #10: Katona (DEBUT) vs. Cucciniello (DEBUT)
No Bet

Result: Brad Katona Unanimous Decision (30-26 x3)

Fight #11: Giannetti (DEBUT) vs. Trizano (DEBUT)
No Bet

Result: Mike Trizano Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)

Fight #12: Adesanya vs. Tavares
Adesanya (-124) +4u

Result: Israel Adesanya Unanimous Decision (50-45 x2, 49-46)
Fight: +4u
Card: +9.975u

Straight Parlays:
Katona+Cucciniello O2.5/Giannetti/Adesanya (+421) -.5u
Marquez/Honchak/Bravo (+523) -.5u
Meerschaert/Peterson/Zuniga (+1400) -.5u

Results: See Above
Fights: -1.5u
Card: +8.475u

Prop Parlays:
Diamond/Pena ITD/De La Rosa+Ostovich WGD (+476) -.5u

Results: See Above
Fights: -.5u
Results: +7.975u

Full Card Props:
None

FOTN: Caceres+Bravo
POTN: Adesanya, Pena
Fastest Submission: Pena R1 (3:32)
Fastest KO: Modafferi R2 (3:32)
Decisions: 8
Results: See Above
Fights: +0u
Final Card Total = +7.975u

[Hugo de Naranja]

I don't go back on my bets very often and got a good price on Tavares. But after we talked I thought about it more and just couldn't see Tavares fighting any different than he usually fights which as we saw equals a terrible style matchup. So thanks for that bro.

Israel might be the best muay thai to mma stylist I've seen and I'm a huge fan. From the feints, defense, and footwork, he's got the slickness of a Jocky Gym guy.

Israel is black Saenchai

Definitely like the Saenchai comp.

[Sanity Check]

Did you guys see those marks all over his body? What was that?

hot cup therapy(whatever they call it)

https://www.webmd.com/balance/guide/cupping-therapy

[Shagdogy]

hot cup therapy(whatever they call it)

https://www.webmd.com/balance/guide/cupping-therapy

Nah. Not on Pena. There was definitely some kind of skin issue going on.

[PAULYPOKER]

There is one thing I know for sure........


If CORMIER beats MIOCIC, the Ultimate Fighter series is shady at best.........

Anyone watch that owners vs owners UF season?
That was BS to the max.............

Did you all see Cormier turn full WWE 0n Lesnar after fight?"?

That was clearly rehearsed........

[PAULYPOKER]

Originally Posted by PAULYPOKER
There is one thing I know for sure........


If CORMIER beats MIOCIC, the Ultimate Fighter series is shady at best.........

Anyone watch that owners vs owners UF season?
That was BS to the max.............

Did you all see Cormier turn full WWE 0n Lesnar after fight?"?

That was clearly rehearsed........


#93



#240

[Shagdogy]

Pena + Piechota parlay -119, 3u to win 2.52u
Pena + Katona parlay -122, 2u to win 1.64u
Trizano +150, 1u to win 1.5u
Marquez -140, 1u to win .71u
Tavares -105 (bad line I know), 1.05u to win 1u

Good luck everyone!

Card Total: 2-3, -1.91u

YTD: 88-76, +19.76u

Event Total: 11-9