ytd: 23W-13L +$493.49
looking over the plays for weds i can say i'm excited to watch but had trouble finding some plays. right now will go with the following 2 and give u a few others i'm leaning on.
n.lentz -140 $35
lentz' 3rd fight in the ufc is against veteran TUF alum rob emerson. emerson to me is improving and has a lot of heart but lacks the killer instinct and fight planning. i know he destroyed manny gam but his overall record of i believe 9-8 shows he has fought alot of decisions. he has also fought some tough competition and hangs in only being submitted 1 time years and years ago. so he has ring savvy. however lentz has a relentless forward motion that i think emerson just gives his back to. lentz has over 20 fights and good wrestling base and mounts easily. he has had great success hanging in with bjj artists and more importantly wrestlers. at this stage emerson's striking slowly getting polished to be more effective for ring control and takedowns for his wrestling game. i don't think he is an overall threat for power and i believe lentz can really close the distance at will and gain mounts at will.
2-fighter parlay: $20 to win $12.17
okami and quarry/rivera doesn't go distance
-okami has the grappling and takedown advantage. his striking is better and allows him to set the pace so i see him controlling where he wants this fight to go. on the gound okami is seasoned enough not to fall into a submission. he should take this UD home.
-heavy bombers rivera nad quarry clash in what we all hope is a slugfest. still reeling over how the hell creduer and quarry went the distance sluggling like that and i cannot see this one going that way. i like rivera's speed in this one and think thats the key to ignite a KO bomb from one of them. if quarry lands he will mount and hold rivera easily for GnP. if rivera connections i just think its over for quarry. i know he has a great chin but rivera's punching isn't creduer's. if jorge gets a chance to land willingly like tim did quarry drops.
leans
rivera:
i have placed a wager on this but my retract. i think he has a 50-50 chance of winning and at +220 odds is worth it. on the ground he can hold his own if he is there without being rocked but ultimately i have a feeling quarry tries to take this down over and over again, that scares me a bit he can consistently get it, but i think if he cannot he will start to drag a little and become open to striking. like rivera's speed both foot and hands. quarry is so damn slow i just have to think it catches up to him wed.
miranda:
two young up and comers square off in a fight i'm calling out as fight of the night or KO of the night. harris is rough and tough and overwhemling at times but has holes. miranda has good strikes and deadly kicks. i think miranda if he gets over the debut jitters and keeps his distance utlizing his reach he will land a big head kick on harris. or harris bulls through puts him down and controls to a win. there's dog value here. and i might add this fight opened +220 and now +130.
looking over the plays for weds i can say i'm excited to watch but had trouble finding some plays. right now will go with the following 2 and give u a few others i'm leaning on.
n.lentz -140 $35
lentz' 3rd fight in the ufc is against veteran TUF alum rob emerson. emerson to me is improving and has a lot of heart but lacks the killer instinct and fight planning. i know he destroyed manny gam but his overall record of i believe 9-8 shows he has fought alot of decisions. he has also fought some tough competition and hangs in only being submitted 1 time years and years ago. so he has ring savvy. however lentz has a relentless forward motion that i think emerson just gives his back to. lentz has over 20 fights and good wrestling base and mounts easily. he has had great success hanging in with bjj artists and more importantly wrestlers. at this stage emerson's striking slowly getting polished to be more effective for ring control and takedowns for his wrestling game. i don't think he is an overall threat for power and i believe lentz can really close the distance at will and gain mounts at will.
2-fighter parlay: $20 to win $12.17
okami and quarry/rivera doesn't go distance
-okami has the grappling and takedown advantage. his striking is better and allows him to set the pace so i see him controlling where he wants this fight to go. on the gound okami is seasoned enough not to fall into a submission. he should take this UD home.
-heavy bombers rivera nad quarry clash in what we all hope is a slugfest. still reeling over how the hell creduer and quarry went the distance sluggling like that and i cannot see this one going that way. i like rivera's speed in this one and think thats the key to ignite a KO bomb from one of them. if quarry lands he will mount and hold rivera easily for GnP. if rivera connections i just think its over for quarry. i know he has a great chin but rivera's punching isn't creduer's. if jorge gets a chance to land willingly like tim did quarry drops.
leans
rivera:
i have placed a wager on this but my retract. i think he has a 50-50 chance of winning and at +220 odds is worth it. on the ground he can hold his own if he is there without being rocked but ultimately i have a feeling quarry tries to take this down over and over again, that scares me a bit he can consistently get it, but i think if he cannot he will start to drag a little and become open to striking. like rivera's speed both foot and hands. quarry is so damn slow i just have to think it catches up to him wed.
miranda:
two young up and comers square off in a fight i'm calling out as fight of the night or KO of the night. harris is rough and tough and overwhemling at times but has holes. miranda has good strikes and deadly kicks. i think miranda if he gets over the debut jitters and keeps his distance utlizing his reach he will land a big head kick on harris. or harris bulls through puts him down and controls to a win. there's dog value here. and i might add this fight opened +220 and now +130.
