Thoughts about this possible parlay for the UFC card tonight?

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  • NickBaragona
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 01-29-09
    • 555

    #1
    Thoughts about this possible parlay for the UFC card tonight?
    • 3/21/2010 10:30 PM UFC Fighting 1102 Jon Jones* -240 vs Brandon Vera
    • 3/21/2010 10:00 PM UFC Fighting 1202 Junior dos Santos* -280 vs Gabriel Gonzaga
    • 3/21/2010 9:30 PM UFC Fighting 1301 Cheick Kongo* -400 vs Paul Buentello
    • 3/21/2010 6:00 PM UFC Fighting 1506 Clay Guida* -420 vs Shannon Gugerty
    Risking $390.00 To Win $770.44

    Its the last I have in my 5Dimes account. If I lose, I will most likely either quick betting, or at least for the time being. What are the chances of this hitting?
  • TheIceman
    SBR High Roller
    • 01-22-07
    • 179

    #2
    Both Junior dos Santos and Jon Jones could lose , I think those fights will end 1-1 with one favorite losing and one winning .
    Comment
    • NickBaragona
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 01-29-09
      • 555

      #3
      Yeah, I haven't pulled the trigger yet, still deciding what to do. I was originally going to do a 3 team parlay with Jones, JDS, and Guida. I don't know much about Guida's opponent though?
      Comment
      • JuicedUp
        SBR MVP
        • 01-20-10
        • 3396

        #4
        go for it bro. Anything could happen but I like your chances and the 2-1 payout.
        Comment
        • Vrakas
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 02-27-10
          • 627

          #5
          dont do it.go in with separate bets and bet on the two underdogs gonzaga and vera because they will most likely win thoughs fights.guida and kongo are the safest bets.
          Comment
          • NickBaragona
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 01-29-09
            • 555

            #6
            • 3/21/2010 9:30 PM UFC Fighting 1301 Cheick Kongo* -400 vs Paul Buentello
            • 3/21/2010 6:00 PM UFC Fighting 1506 Clay Guida* -420 vs Shannon Gugerty
            Risking $390.00 To Win $213.57

            I kinda like this one, seems very safe as well
            Comment
            • terpkeg
              SBR MVP
              • 10-26-09
              • 2364

              #7
              Originally posted by NickBaragona
              • 3/21/2010 9:30 PM UFC Fighting 1301 Cheick Kongo* -400 vs Paul Buentello
              • 3/21/2010 6:00 PM UFC Fighting 1506 Clay Guida* -420 vs Shannon Gugerty
              Risking $390.00 To Win $213.57

              I kinda like this one, seems very safe as well
              Obviously would always encourage money management and just sticking to a % system of your bankroll, but if that is not an option, this is much safer play. Gurgety is tough, but Guida should out wrestler him and Guida can take a punch so that limits the variance. I think Kongo completely out classes Buentello. Buentello was gassed out against Struve, and I dont think the Colorado air is going to help him any.
              Comment
              • Vaughany
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 03-07-10
                • 45563

                #8
                Could defo win but should never do parlays of more then 2 fights (3 at a push like tonight ive got Pierce and Kongo thn Miller at 111 but thats cos its 99% gonna happen!) as thers bound to be an upset.
                Comment
                • brooks85
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-05-09
                  • 44709

                  #9
                  390 is a lot to work with, i wouldnt risk it all yet.

                  I would add this parlay tho maeda/noons/kikuno/bibiano/schafer/pierce/guida/insert 1 more and risk about 20 or 30
                  Comment
                  • NickBaragona
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 01-29-09
                    • 555

                    #10
                    You have the be shitting me. The Clay Guida line has already been taken down...wtf!
                    Comment
                    • JuicedUp
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-20-10
                      • 3396

                      #11
                      congrats brother!
                      Comment
                      • 36mafia
                        Restricted User
                        • 11-08-09
                        • 2389

                        #12
                        congrats. mma is one of the few sports where the majority of the chalk hold up
                        Comment
                        • NickBaragona
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 01-29-09
                          • 555

                          #13
                          I didnt get that original bet in, because the Guida line was taken down before I placed my bet. So I ended up risking $250 to win $230 with Jones, Dos Santos, and Kongo. Still a win, but $770 would have been nice
                          Comment
                          • jin2daj
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 11-01-09
                            • 816

                            #14
                            Originally posted by NickBaragona
                            I didnt get that original bet in, because the Guida line was taken down before I placed my bet. So I ended up risking $250 to win $230 with Jones, Dos Santos, and Kongo. Still a win, but $770 would have been nice

                            still not too bad, good day for most betters tonight. i ended picking the same 3 winners as you did for a nice profit as well. unfortunately betonline didnt offer any undercard lines and so i wasnt able to get in on pierce or guida either.
                            Comment
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