Bets for UFC 109 "Senior Discount" (3-1 +1.91 units)

[SamsonSharp]

Heres my thread from 108 (3-1 +1.91 units)

http://forum.sbrforum.com/boxing-mma-ufc-betting/308141-good-bets-ufc-108-a.html

Lines are from matchbook

1) Nate Marquardt -390 vs. Chael Sonnen +350
IMO this fight will not be close. Marquardt is just a much better fighter than Sonnen. This fight also means more to Nate because if he wins he is next in line for a title shot. Should be an easy fight for Nate.

2) Paulo Thiago +195 vs. Mike Swick -200
Its Paulo vs AKA first Kos, then Fitch, now Swick. But Swick just happens to be the worst of the 3. Paulo is right now 1-1 against AKA. Losing a decision to Fitch and KO Koscheck (some say was lucky/bad stoppage). I see this fight playing out like Koscheck vs Thiago, stand up battle and Thiago eventually KOing Swick.

3) Damien Maia -294 vs. Dan Miller +290
Miller is a respectable fight lets be honest though this fight is a terrible match up for him. If it goes to the ground he will get submitted. This should be an easy win.

Upset Alert
4) Mark Coleman +330 vs Randy Couture -335
This fight is a tough fight to call. If Coleman can take Couture down and GnP he shold win the decision, but Couture's striking is light years ahead of Coleman's so he could easily defend the TDs and win the stand up battle. I think Coleman will be able to take Couture down 2/3 rounds to win the decision. Could go either way, but with these odds its worth a small wager.

1) 3 units to win 0.77
2) 2 units to win 3.90
3) 3 units to win 1.02
4) 1 unit to win 3.30


If your book gives you the option I would also parlay with Maia and Marquardt

[SamsonSharp]

Heres my thread from 108 (3-1 +1.91 units)

http://forum.sbrforum.com/boxing-mma-ufc-betting/308141-good-bets-ufc-108-a.html

Lines are from matchbook

1) Nate Marquardt -390 vs. Chael Sonnen +350
IMO this fight will not be close. Marquardt is just a much better fighter than Sonnen. This fight also means more to Nate because if he wins he is next in line for a title shot. Should be an easy fight for Nate.

2) Paulo Thiago +195 vs. Mike Swick -200
Its Paulo vs AKA first Kos, then Fitch, now Swick. But Swick just happens to be the worst of the 3. Paulo is right now 1-1 against AKA. Losing a decision to Fitch and KO Koscheck (some say was lucky/bad stoppage). I see this fight playing out like Koscheck vs Thiago, stand up battle and Thiago eventually KOing Swick.

3) Damien Maia -294 vs. Dan Miller +290
Miller is a respectable fight lets be honest though this fight is a terrible match up for him. If it goes to the ground he will get submitted. This should be an easy win.

Upset Alert
4) Mark Coleman +330 vs Randy Couture -335
This fight is a tough fight to call. If Coleman can take Couture down and GnP he shold win the decision, but Couture's striking is light years ahead of Coleman's so he could easily defend the TDs and win the stand up battle. I think Coleman will be able to take Couture down 2/3 rounds to win the decision. Could go either way, but with these odds its worth a small wager.

1) 3 units to win 0.77 L
2) 2 units to win 3.90 W
3) 3 units to win 1.02 W
4) 1 unit to win 3.30 W


If your book gives you the option I would also parlay with Maia and Marquardt

Not a good night. Sorry if you followed... Nate and Mark looked like trash

109: 2-2 +.92

Overall 5-3 +2.83 units

[knownone]

I went with mark on a 1/2 unit play, He should have been better his boxing looked flat out awful and he didn't even try for a take down... It is what it is though, Best of luck in the future.