UFC Fight Night - 2 dogs and 2 favs

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  • Bread
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-16-08
    • 23726

    #1
    UFC Fight Night - 2 dogs and 2 favs
    Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.


    Wednesday’s Ultimate Fight Night on Spike TV kicks off a big week for the UFC. Immediately following the free event will be the premier of the much talked about 10th season of The Ultimate Fighter, featuring the highly entertaining Rashad Evans and Quinton “Rampage” Jackson as opposing coaches. You also may have heard of one of the contestants as well – Kimbo Slice. Many will tune in to see how that diabolical experiment goes. Then on Saturday, UFC 103 will be available on pay per view. But first up will be UFN tonight at 8 PM ET. Oh, did I mention that it’s FREE??


    Nate Diaz -255
    Melvin Guillard +215

    If you’ve ever read any of my MMA articles, you know that I am not a fan of the Diaz brothers. The attitude that they carry and disrespect that they show their opponents has lead me despise the brothers dim. As a result, I bet against Nate Diaz (10-4-0) all throughout his early career. It cost me dearly, as the lanky fighter came through with one creative submission after another. Finally at the beginning of this year, I said “No more!”

    I made a decision to put aside my disdain for Diaz for the betterment of my wallet. My nod of respect was met with the same arrogance that the Diaz boys show an opponent when he offers to touch gloves before a fight. I’d been waiting to see Nate Diaz lose for years, and finally Clay Guida and Joe Stevenson were able to take him out. I wasn’t able to fully enjoy the experience, as I lost a bit of cabbage backing my nemesis. I won’t be making that mistake again.

    Melvin Guillard shares a short, stocky frame with Guida and Stevenson. Both of those men were able to overpower Diaz enough to earn decision victories. Both Diaz and Guillard seem to be excited that Melvin has more of a reputation to stand and bang. I think this will work out great for Guillard, as long as when he does knock Diaz down, he does not make the same mistake that many others have.


    Melvin Guillard





    As tempting as it is to jump on a guy when he falls to his back, Diaz is not the one to mess with. Once his arms and legs begin swinging all around is when he is at his best. His Jiu Jitsu training makes him a submission specialist, and he can make much larger foes tap at any given moment.

    Can Diaz really lose a third in a row? I believe that he can. It seems like his mystique has left him. Guillard has KO’d or submitted many opponents himself, and if he fights smart, he should be able to knock around Diaz as well. If Guillard comes out sporting his ‘Demolition Man’ bleach blonde mop, then I know he will be summoning the powers of Wesley Snipes within him, and all will be well.

    Gray Maynard -330
    Roger Huerta +270

    One of the original Pink Hamsters, Gray Maynard (8-0-0, 1 NC) returns to try to keep his undefeated record alive. A strong wrestling game means that “The Bully” Maynard could explode into a glorious menagerie of magenta just minutes into the fight. While I may be the only person to find this entertaining, what we can all agree on is some easy cash for this fight.


    I missed you buddy





    While Maynard has been on quite a roll, Huerta (22-2-1, 1 NC) is returning to the Octagon for the first time in over a year. Despite his impressive record, after just his second loss to Kenny Florian, Huerta jetted for Hollywood. He landed a role in a movie based on a fighting video game called ‘Tekken.’ As amazing as I’m sure that film will be, it’s good to have Huerta back where he belongs – for now.

    The problem is that this isn’t quite the welcoming party that he is hoping for upon his return. Huerta has always been an exciting fighter, but I’m looking for Maynard to take him to the ground early and control the fight with ease. A prop bet to take a gander at here is for the fight to last 3 rounds (-320). Maynard has won four consecutive unanimous decisions, and a fifth here would not be a surprise. Hopefully he doesn’t mess up Huerta’s good looks too much. He might need them for a starring role in ‘Frogger: The Movie.’

    Nate Quarry -250
    Tim Credeur +210

    Nate Quarry (17-3-0) seems like a nice enough fighter. His record speaks for itself and he certainly possesses the power to end many bouts early. But this isn’t as much about him as it is his opponent. I’m not even a fan of Quarry’s since in his last fight he brutalized the ultimate Pink Hamster so badly that the UFC gave him his walking papers. I miss you Jason MacDonald, you glorious glowing Canadian!

    No, this is purely Operation Fade Tim Credeur (13-4-0). I know he is riding a three fight win streak, but not really coming against anyone significant. He goes by the name “Crazy.” Well let me tell you just how crazy he is! Everyone watch out for this guy!

    On his UFC page under strengths, there is nothing listed. Just blank. What does that tell you? But once you get into his bio, Crazy just couldn’t shut up. It has to be the longest page of responses ever given to these questions. Funny, he doesn’t look Puerto Rican.

    Amongst his heroes, Credeur lists Marcus Garvey, Martin Luther King, Winston Churchill, Theodore Roosevelt, Che Guevara and Nelson Mandela. Well that’s a pretty normal looking list. Then he continues in the same breath to add Yves Edwards and Rich Clementi. Huh? How do you add two mediocre MMA fighters to that list? What a clown.

    Finally, there is the little-known fact that Tim Credeur likes to write to my wife on MySpace. I don’t know if it still goes on or not, but she showed me some of his messages some time ago, and Tim Credeur was actually hitting on her! The last fighter to pull this very same stunt was Jens Pulver, and he went on to lose 5 of his next 6. It sure is going to be fun to watch Quarry dole out some punishment on this home wrecker.

    Steve Cantwell -300
    Brian Stann +250

    This is the grudge match of the night as each own a victory over the other. Stann (6-2-0) won by KO in March 07. Cantwell (7-2-0) got some payback with a TKO in August 08.

    Cantwell is coming off of a loss at the hands of Luiz Cane, but he is best known for his previous fight, when he dislocated Razak Al-Hassan’s elbow and jumped around the Octagon like a moron making arm breaking motions. What’s the matter with these kids today? This occurred on UFC’s Fight for the Troops event. Now, Cantwell will get to fight the actual troops.

    Brian Stann is a real life war hero. His nickname is “All American” for God’s sake. As a Marine, he has seen plenty of action in Iraq. Given this information, it would probably be interesting to see him fight Al-Hassan sometime. But for now, I’ll take a nice dog payout against Cantwell.

    Stann has dropped two straight to Cantwell and Krzysztof Soszynski. Before this slide, he had knocked out six straight guys in the first round. That’s rather impressive. I’ll take a +250 stab that he can rediscover this form.


    So two big favorites and two big dogs for me. Be sure to stick around for TUF 10 after the fights. My pick is former NFL player Marcus Jones. I’m sure that half of the show’s budget went towards oxygen tanks for Kimbo. Also, don’t forget to register in SBR’s Free UFC 103 Capping Contest here.


    Can Kimbo do it?


  • The HOFF
    SBR MVP
    • 07-02-08
    • 4847

    #2



    Comment
    • The HOFF
      SBR MVP
      • 07-02-08
      • 4847

      #3
      Bread look at Jay Silva. Another dog with great value at +225. He has the potential to destroy Dollaway.
      Comment
      • Mikail
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 07-19-09
        • 21689

        #4
        Does Nate Diaz still got it?
        Comment
        • Eccocide
          SBR MVP
          • 01-12-09
          • 2126

          #5
          That Tim Credeur bit had me rolling over here.....I'm usually too tired to laugh this early in the morn' but that was pure gold . Let's do this tonight!!
          Comment
          • Bread
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 03-16-08
            • 23726

            #6
            Time Credeur is a dick!!

            I'll take a peek at Silva, Hoff. Lovin some midweek MMA action tonight!
            Comment
            • JMUplayer
              SBR MVP
              • 08-27-09
              • 2765

              #7
              Guillard doesn't have the body type of stevenson/guida.
              That said i have disdain for the diaz brothers too and i hope Melvin doesn't go to the ground at all.
              Comment
              • Bread
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 03-16-08
                • 23726

                #8
                Guillard definitely has more of a solid physique than a Josh Neer or an Alvin Robinson. More similar to Stevenson and Guida IMO.

                Go Guillard. Please.
                Comment
                • Willie Bee
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 02-14-06
                  • 15726

                  #9
                  Look at the Hoff, breaking out the Kimbo avatar.
                  Comment
                  • The HOFF
                    SBR MVP
                    • 07-02-08
                    • 4847

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Willie Bee
                    Look at the Hoff, breaking out the Kimbo avatar.
                    Nothing cooler than someone who looks like the Brawny Paper Towel guy from the hood.
                    Comment
                    • spurginobili
                      SBR MVP
                      • 05-09-09
                      • 3065

                      #11
                      Bread can you explain why Nate Diaz is on every Ultimate Fight Night. I don't think I've ever seen him fight on pay-per-view. It's as if it's in his contract to only fight on Spike. Doesn't seem like a good fit considering his penchant for expletives and sign language.
                      Comment
                      • Immortality
                        Restricted User
                        • 12-20-07
                        • 4599

                        #12
                        Here are my plays:

                        Huerta +280
                        Quarry -250


                        I think Stann has no chance to win but for some reason I still can't lay -300 on Cantwell so I am passing.


                        I hate Nate Diaz as well but I think he will submit Guillard. But because I will be rooting against him I also passed on this fight as well.

                        Nice write-up Bread. Good luck with your plays
                        Comment
                        • Bread
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 03-16-08
                          • 23726

                          #13
                          Spur he certainly is on them a lot, isn't he? Perhaps SpikeTV is trying to get a tax write-off from the Hilarious Lisp Association of America?

                          So far -

                          Guillard 5 units
                          Maynard 2.5 units
                          Condit 2.5
                          Quarry 5 units
                          Comment
                          • chrisharvard01
                            Restricted User
                            • 10-24-08
                            • 2943

                            #14
                            thanks bread
                            Comment
                            • illmatick
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 01-05-09
                              • 5456

                              #15
                              looks like you're balls deep on Guilard, baby diaz always finds a way to fuk me whether I bet on him or against him, good luck bread, gods speed
                              Comment
                              • Bread
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 03-16-08
                                • 23726

                                #16
                                Baby Diaz always gets me too. History would say that everyone should be on him since I'm against him tonight.
                                Comment
                                • Glitch
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 07-08-09
                                  • 11795

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Mikail
                                  Does Nate Diaz still got it?
                                  nate diaz still packs a real serious punch and hes just gettin tougher as time goes by.....i wish mayweather would box him. or any prestigious boxer....his camps been tryin to hook that up.....no luck tho.
                                  Comment
                                  • Bread
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 03-16-08
                                    • 23726

                                    #18
                                    Do you mean Nick Diaz?
                                    Comment
                                    • Bread
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 03-16-08
                                      • 23726

                                      #19
                                      Added

                                      Stann +252 2.5 units
                                      Jensen -177 2.5 units.
                                      Comment
                                      • illmatick
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 01-05-09
                                        • 5456

                                        #20
                                        Jensen is a big play for me bread, losing my ****ing mind right now, pinnacle and 5dimes just dropped the line to -150 30 min before the fight, ONE TIME!!!!
                                        Comment
                                        • illmatick
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 01-05-09
                                          • 5456

                                          #21
                                          nover just had a seizure, fight is off.
                                          Comment
                                          • Robyn
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 02-05-08
                                            • 9681

                                            #22
                                            Comment
                                            • Reload
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 03-23-08
                                              • 12249

                                              #23
                                              Thanks, Bread! Good luck!
                                              Comment
                                              • firedawg
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 10-08-08
                                                • 39219

                                                #24
                                                unloaded on melvin and nate........... goodluck all
                                                Comment
                                                • StraitShooter
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 07-22-09
                                                  • 10464

                                                  #25
                                                  Outstanding thread.

                                                  This cat wins Melvin Guillard

                                                  and I`ll give you my paycheck @ midnight (7 beans)..

                                                  Dont got none now or I`d grease you for the write up...

                                                  Got mine risked in action @ the Stallion`s book joint south of the border
                                                  Comment
                                                  • StraitShooter
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 07-22-09
                                                    • 10464

                                                    #26
                                                    heres a great link for the 10 fights..( I bet all 11..dont see one on this page, Nover-Stoudt..course 4-5 fights already fought I think

                                                    Find the latest UFC event schedule, watch information, fight cards, start times, and broadcast details.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • chaseman
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-06-09
                                                      • 1195

                                                      #27
                                                      Hahaha

                                                      Loving the Quarry pick.. and the reasoning. Fantastic
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Robyn
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 02-05-08
                                                        • 9681

                                                        #28
                                                        Quarry looks rusty.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Bread
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 03-16-08
                                                          • 23726

                                                          #29
                                                          Welp 3-1 with a nice dog pay on Stann for the write-up. Also hit on Jensen.

                                                          Melvin lost that fight for being an idiot. What garbage. Godammit I am so sick of Nate Diaz.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • StraitShooter
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 07-22-09
                                                            • 10464

                                                            #30
                                                            Bad UFC night for me

                                                            Nights theme:

                                                            Had big dogs...almost won in first round..then of course..lose

                                                            only 2 dogs of 11 match card barked
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Bread
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 03-16-08
                                                              • 23726

                                                              #31
                                                              Shoulda been 3 dogs, SS. Melvin is a retard. Toadally had that fight, and decides to act a fool. I'm still angry about that one.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Jimmy0607
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 04-09-09
                                                                • 7785

                                                                #32
                                                                Stupid Melvin man fukkkkkk, I hate that Diaz punk
                                                                Comment
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