Brooks's Campaign

[terpkeg]

[quote=Vaughany;3484233]Bader was dominating and could of took Jardine down when ever he wanted. quote]

Dont know about this. Bader got the takedown in the first. Couldnt get it in the second and I dont think he was gonna get it in th third.

His cardio looked good though. I thought he may gas out going for the takedowns and not have the ko in him in the third.

[Kaladarus]

I dont think Bader was going 100% in the start. Think he was trying to not gas later on.

[brooks85]

GSP/nelson/BJ/Silva 2157 to win 2000

[brooks85]

almeida -155 to win 750

[cky312]

Anyone care to explain why no one has money on Brown? I mean he's no slouch.

[brooks85]

brown definitely is no slouch. He is very durable and always game. But too me, he is just a brawler. It has won him fights against low level comp but almeida is on the next level. Browns wins over guys who could get kicked out of the UFC tomorrow and no one would notice(wilks,thomas,sell and arroyo) just dont stack up to the kind of experience almeida brings to the table.

I would be shocked if almeida lost this fight, unless the same 3 blind refs show up from the almeida/cote fight

[Vaughany]

No point betting on the Brown Almeida fight...cud go either way. Just stick to Kongo and Pierce at fightnight...maybe Guida and Schaub aswell thn Miller and Pellegrino at 111

[brooks85]

^ yea this is the guy you want to listen to

schaub haha

stick around bud, you can learn a lot

[brooks85]

Brilz -115 to win 500
roberts +220 risk 200

[Eccocide]

I'll ask you the same thing I asked Illmatik. What do you like about Briz in this fight? I havent seen much of him but seems like a top-control wrestler which would play into Schafer's strength of jiu-jitsu. Haven't made a play but was debating. GL!

[brooks85]

nothing really and I just came here to post my buyback, I do like schafer in this fight

I thought the line would move a lot more, I figured it was going to go in brilz direction but I was hoping he would cross into -200 so i could get a nice middle.

I had plenty of chances to grab schafer at +135, it doesnt look like it is going any higher now and dipped down to +130 this morning.

Im not going to wait anymore, just going to take the +130, because after the weighins, schafer's apparent size advantage will surely convince more backers.

Schafer +130 risk 700

[Eccocide]

He's +135 at pinny still. Prolly gunna make a play soon. Just wanted to make sure I wasn't missing something on Brilz as I havent been able to find much about him.

[Vaughany]

^ yea this is the guy you want to listen to

schaub haha

stick around bud, you can learn a lot

ha we'll see

[brooks85]

imo, he just a bottom of the barrel wrestler who has overwhelmed unprepared fighters. What I mean is, a lot of the fighters he fights, once he puts them on there back, they have no way to win.

I was going for the middle, or i prolly would not have bet on this fight. I would definitely say it is a coinflip, brilz could come in and take a boring 3round decision but hopefully schafer catches him.

[brooks85]

schaub prolly will win, just no way im putting my money on that guy at that number. Just not worth it too me for a TUF guy.

[Vaughany]

I agree tht Schaub should be more like -150 to -200 but even with the ridiculas odds I can't see him losing.

[brooks85]

well if schaub comes out and goes right for the td, id say he wins for sure based on what I saw struve do too gormley.

[brooks85]

and this probably sounds ridiculous to some people and thats fine, to each his own

but from the numbers ive gathered and a trend i noticed, betting on fighters that are in the -200s is dangerous.

[ThisGuy]

Staying away from the -200 range is far from ridiculous (there good enough to be favored but not at a -275 or so which is pretty much the min for elites). But Gormley is just a gift wrapped W for Shaub. There's a reason he's the opponent

[illmatick]

hey brooks, how has BetUs been treating you, thinking of joining for their mma parlay options

[brooks85]

betus is good, they definitely do some shady stuff tho, like cancel withdrawals and give no reason why but the payout eventually comes. The first payouts literally come within a week, takes more like a month now.

Id say its worth depositing a small %

[terpkeg]

hey brooks, how has BetUs been treating you, thinking of joining for their mma parlay options

I made a play at Betus Ricky Story +360 over John Hathaway. This was after 5dimes opened Story at +400, so it was not a line error. I hammered the line, after several days went buy, I scalped on Hathaway -140 at a different book.
About two days before the fight, BetUS cancelled my wager and said the line was a mistake. They had gradually lowered the line from +360 over several days. I was stuck with about a 10u play on Hathaway and just ate a loss.

They are scum imo.

[brooks85]

yea that sounds like them, i use the JM system so they always change lines on me for NBA and MLB


I definitely wouldn't suggest anyone start at betus but if you got a couple extra hundred, and already established at other books, its worth expanding too me

[terpkeg]

yea that sounds like them, i use the JM system so they always change lines on me for NBA and MLB


I definitely wouldn't suggest anyone start at betus but if you got a couple extra hundred, and already established at other books, its worth expanding too me

What is "JM"? Not sure if I am familiar.

[illmatick]

thanks, probably start out real small with them

[brooks85]

john morrison martingale system for NBA,MLB and NHL

basically chasing, very risky but very profitable. It is a 3 game chase, If bet A loses, you Bet B, if B loses, you Bet C, if C loses, you lose. But C rarely loses and i do mean rarely

However, so many people joined up, last I have heard, you can't do the NBA system anymore because no where lets you buy 3 points, and that is necessary.

But, you can still follow the system and make "smart" plays in NBA. For example, when a bet C comes up for this system and you buy 3 points, in this scenario, the team you bet on has covered the spread over 90% since mid 90s and that is no joke. (been awhile since i did the research but i did it by hand and posted it somewhere in the nba forum)

So knowing that, you could look at the matchup between two nba teams, and even though you arent buying two points in this scenario, your odds are still much better than a coinflip.

But, MLB system works great and its almost season time only drawback is, you gotta have the balls to bet on -300 or plus lines

[brooks85]

if you want to know what the system is let me know, I just didnt want to type out a bunch of stuff if no one needs it.

Also search JM or john morrison in the nba section, should be real detailed threads on it buried somewhere.

[terpkeg]

if you want to know what the system is let me know, I just didnt want to type out a bunch of stuff if no one needs it.

Also search JM or john morrison in the nba section, should be real detailed threads on it buried somewhere.

will do, thanks.

[brooks85]

taking the 600 and letting ride on dream13 noons\kikuno to win 650

[36mafia]

taking the 600 and letting ride on dream13 noons\kikuno to win 650

with you on that one

[brooks85]

just got back to the crib, ya i like their matchups. Im salty i didnt get any of the schaub action, im surprised they didnt televise it. I had no faith in him but sounds like it was over with the first punch.



fernandes +120 risking 500

[brooks85]

damn set my alarm for 3am but woke up at 6. Completely missed the show but all went well.

Hindsight is a bitch, i had the same feeling about the dream13 parlay as I did the opening round to the K1 event, should have put more on it. Dida didnt even fight back and kik got a easy KO.

[Vaughany]

Schaub won easily as i said...should of followed me brah...5 out 5 thanx to Jones, Guida, Schaub, Pierce and Kongo. Jus need Miller to whoop Bocek!

[brooks85]

follow you? No thanks, ill stick to what works. YOU should have followed the dream13 parlay.

[Vaughany]

haha ur right I should of!