not sure where the line is going to go, a lot of rua backers but I assume jones will get hit first.
I've taken it as well, difficult to judge with this one but I dont think Jones will get any better than -150
Comment
brooks85
SBR Aristocracy
01-05-09
44709
#877
jones -170 now
ya i would hate to be a oddsmaker for this fight, i had no clue last night and i dont know where it will land now. Jones has all the hype but I have to think there will be a ton of rua backers also.
Comment
Eccocide
SBR MVP
01-12-09
2126
#878
the books are smart. Put this line out right after Jones has a huge win and watch all the money poor in on Jones as a fav.
Comment
brooks85
SBR Aristocracy
01-05-09
44709
#879
exactly but the rua backers will be bring it back down big time. The line movement will look a lot like jones/bader i bet.
Comment
Eccocide
SBR MVP
01-12-09
2126
#880
Yup, I'm just waiting for the line to peak before I make my play.
Comment
Vaughany
SBR Aristocracy
03-07-10
45563
#881
I'd like to play Shogun but I just cant help but remember how lacklustre he looked after coming off injuries against Griffin and Coleman. I do think he can TKO/KO Bones tho so will be hedging with Shogun KO of the Night at least!
Comment
brooks85
SBR Aristocracy
01-05-09
44709
#882
I honestly dont think rua is going to be affected by the layoff this time with his injuries complicating him also. He could have some ring rust but the quality of treatment and the personal things he had going on during his recovery against griffin are non-existent this time around.
I also remember reading how dana said he was going to make sure Rua had better doctors perform this surgery and cover his rehab, basically meaning it would be done in america.
Comment
urge2kill
SBR MVP
10-27-09
1722
#883
10 month layoff isn't really all that long. I like Shogun at current odds +155. And his surgery was done in LA.
Comment
brooks85
SBR Aristocracy
01-05-09
44709
#884
I think rua will be in top shape for sure, rehab is everything and he wasn't able to commit to it prior to fighting griffin and it clearly showed.
adding
phan -130 risking 250
Comment
sideloaded
SBR Hall of Famer
08-21-10
7561
#885
Good job brooks your making me a lot of money.
Comment
brooks85
SBR Aristocracy
01-05-09
44709
#886
hell ya good to hear. All the plays were solid last night except ellenberger. He definitely earned the decision in round 2 and 3 but round 1 was dangerous. I dont know what judge scored 30-27 rocha yet, dam crackhead.
o it was Adalaide Byrd, i dont think he has ****** up in awhile.
Comment
brooks85
SBR Aristocracy
01-05-09
44709
#887
just a side note for future bets. Im going to start keeping track of my mma props record. I used to bet them a little when I first started betting but was not having the desired success. I was +money but well below 50% on the picks so I took a break from posting any. However, since the merger I have been honing my skills on props and focusing on props with more reliable outcomes like decisions/ko's instead of FOTN type props etc..
Its paying off and im hitting on a much better %. I usually only have 1 prop or 2 a card but they have been hitting. Recently I was on a 7 prop win streak until I lost lawler/souza over 2.5 rounds by 30 seconds. I had 2 other prop plays last night, mendes by dec and forrest by dec, aside from silva by ko so im confident to start posting them and hitting them at a high %.
MMA Props 1-0
Comment
brooks85
SBR Aristocracy
01-05-09
44709
#888
great weekend, squeelers lose and I win. Hit 2 jackpot parlays at the sbr book, just waiting for the payout
Comment
brooks85
SBR Aristocracy
01-05-09
44709
#889
adding
fedor by ko +143 risking 100
kharitonov by ko +206 risking 100
Comment
Vaughany
SBR Aristocracy
03-07-10
45563
#890
Originally posted by brooks85
jones -170 now
ya i would hate to be a oddsmaker for this fight, i had no clue last night and i dont know where it will land now. Jones has all the hype but I have to think there will be a ton of rua backers also.
Double post...see below!
Comment
Vaughany
SBR Aristocracy
03-07-10
45563
#891
Originally posted by brooks85
jones -170 now
ya i would hate to be a oddsmaker for this fight, i had no clue last night and i dont know where it will land now. Jones has all the hype but I have to think there will be a ton of rua backers also.
Any intentions of arbing out of this...perhaps if Shogun reaches +200? Granted, it would be a low risk free profit margin but I kinda wanna just sit back and enjoy this fight without any risk, plus I hate betting against Shogun! But then on the flipside Im thinkin that we got Bones at a good odds in comparison to what he is at now so value-wise it makes sense to ride it out!
Comment
Vaughany
SBR Aristocracy
03-07-10
45563
#892
Also, do you reckon they'll be some openers for future events this evening/tonight? I noticed Sportbet have Wineland/Faber and Miller/Shalorus listed without odds.
Comment
brooks85
SBR Aristocracy
01-05-09
44709
#893
about the miller/shalrous wineland/faber odds, it is tuesday haha but it is not a CRIS book. I had not noticed sportbet hanging the matchups out there but im definitely going to keep my eyes open today for the lines. Sportbet is also 5d so Ill be checking frequently, im really interested in miller/shalorus.
As far as rua goes, I would defintely recommend buying back. The only reason I decided I am not going to is because I only have $160 on jones right now so Id rather just let it ride, then later ill buy back on a rua prop because Ill be betting more on jones.
Comment
brooks85
SBR Aristocracy
01-05-09
44709
#894
hey im at sportbet, where do you see those matchups at?
Comment
Vaughany
SBR Aristocracy
03-07-10
45563
#895
Originally posted by brooks85
hey im at sportbet, where do you see those matchups at?
Just under Diego Sanchez/Kampmann line, just realised that u can only see them if ur not logged in though.
Also just noticed that they've got GSP/SIlva listed but no odds, but if u look on Bestfightodds.com it say that 5dimes and Sportbet have released the odds?
Comment
brooks85
SBR Aristocracy
01-05-09
44709
#896
ok ya i see it now, good looking out. Going to follow sportbet more and see if there is any kind of relation to them putting the matchup out and then lines coming out hours later.
Comment
Vaughany
SBR Aristocracy
03-07-10
45563
#897
Originally posted by brooks85
ok ya i see it now, good looking out. Going to follow sportbet more and see if there is any kind of relation to them putting the matchup out and then lines coming out hours later.
Yeah first time I noticed them do it was last week when they had Omigawa/Mendes props listed but with no odds. Was listed for a few days before they actually added the odds so might be same with these. But then Sportbet/5dimes also wer first to release the Marquadt/Sexy line as well so maybe they will release them tonight.
Comment
JohnGalt2341
SBR Hall of Famer
12-31-09
9138
#898
The best MMA fighter alive is Fred Simmons!
Comment
brooks85
SBR Aristocracy
01-05-09
44709
#899
adding
fedor/kampmann +108 risking 250
Comment
brooks85
SBR Aristocracy
01-05-09
44709
#900
-144 for the night
Comment
brooks85
SBR Aristocracy
01-05-09
44709
#901
adding
sotiro inside the distance -125 to win 100
mma props 2-1
k st pulled the upset tonight so i have a live parlay going into 127, counting on bj gassing ha
2/14/11 8:43pm$5.00$1099.55
Pending4 Team Parlay
Pending2/14/11 9:00pm College Basketball 716 Kansas State +240* vs Kansas
Pending2/26/11 12:00pm Props Fighting 1009 Fitch wins inside distance +600* vs Not Fitch inside distance
Pending2/26/11 12:00pm Props Fighting 1111 Bisping wins by 3 round decision +104* vs Not Bisping by 3 round decision
Pending2/26/11 12:00pm Props Fighting 1223 G.Sotiropoulos wins in round 2 +355* vs Any other result
Comment
brooks85
SBR Aristocracy
01-05-09
44709
#902
adding
gunderson/kampmann +116 risking 250
Comment
brooks85
SBR Aristocracy
01-05-09
44709
#903
definitely underestimated robinsons tdd
-250 for the night
Comment
xelance
SBR MVP
11-25-10
1750
#904
his tdd was amazing...gunderson had no chance with that defense..oh well, you will get em next time bud!
Comment
brooks85
SBR Aristocracy
01-05-09
44709
#905
adding
Stann +110 risking 250
Nelson +100 risking 250
Comment
xelance
SBR MVP
11-25-10
1750
#906
stann, nelson?? Where did you find these lines
Comment
xelance
SBR MVP
11-25-10
1750
#907
ahh just saw...good ol bookmaker. they already changed Stann -110 and nelson -115...I really wanted Stann +110 damnit
Comment
Vaughany
SBR Aristocracy
03-07-10
45563
#908
Originally posted by brooks85
adding
Stann +110 risking 250
Nelson +100 risking 250
Comment
Jordan23
SBR MVP
04-26-10
1227
#909
Originally posted by brooks85
adding Stann +110 risking 250 Nelson +100 risking 250
Man I love these picks!
Comment
brooks85
SBR Aristocracy
01-05-09
44709
#910
Good deal gentlemen, I wish I could have put more on them but I don't have enough funds in my DSI account yet to be waiting on 500 until late May.