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Locksmith a no show with starting this even thread. Best I can do above look up the odds yourself..
Could be an Asian Fade event. Capping now..
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Prelim write ups -
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125 lbs.: Seung Guk Choi (6-1) vs. Hyun Sung Park (7-0)
More than two years after he’d last entered the cage, Choi grinded his way past Rama Supandhi in the Road to UFC semis. Then came Qiulun, whom Choi again leaned on his grappling to defeat. The Chan Sung Jung acolyte stands an inch shorter than Park and gives up two inches of reach.
“Peace of Mind” cruised into the Road to UFC semis thanks to a first-round beatdown of Jeremia Siregar. This set up a semifinal clash with Muay Thai veteran Topnoi Kiwram, who dropped Park early but succumbed to a comeback submission midway through the first. Park’s six pro finishes are split evenly between knockouts and submissions.
Unless Choi’s shaky performances in the tournament were due to issues with southpaws, the prognosis looks grim. He’s at a distinct disadvantage in the standup thanks to Park’s well-timed counters and I’m not convinced his wrestling can bail him out this time, as “Peace Of Mind” has shown off some solid ground skills of his own.
Choi needs to have made a huge technical turnaround to win this, and given he’s still at this level after nearly five years as a pro, I’m not hopeful. Park outclasses him, potentially finishing with either a heavy counter or rear naked choke.
Prediction: Park via second round technical knockout
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125 lbs.: Ji Yeon Kim (9-6-2) vs. Mandy Bohm (7-2)
“Fire Fist” put a UFC debut loss to Lucie Pudilova behind her to win three of her next four, including a TKO finish of Nadia Kassem. She’s since lost four straight, though her decision defeat to Priscila Cachoeira came with no shortage of controversy. She’ll enjoy an inch of reach over Bohm.
Bohm spent the first portion of her career on the German circuit, after which she beat Jade Masson-Wong for the TKO Flyweight title and won her sole Bellator appearance against Griet Eeckhout. Those would be her last victories to date, as she’s dropped consecutive decisions to Ariane Lipski and Victoria Leonardo in the Octagon. She’s knocked out and submitted two pro foes apiece.
I didn’t expect Bohm to set the world on fire, but man, she’s been underwhelming in the Octagon. She looks almost lethargic in there, rarely showing off the solid kicks or dangerous clinch work that brought her victory in other organizations, and she still declines drastically as fights progress despite pushing such a low pace.
If nothing else, Kim is extremely busy in the cage. Even if Bohm does manage to play keep-away early on, Kim will be the one doing damage, especially as the rounds go by and Bohm’s gas tank gives out. Kim finally gets back on track by outworking Bohm to a wide decision.
Prediction: Kim via unanimous decision
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185 lbs.: Jun Yong Park (15-5) vs. Denis Tiuliulin (11-6)
Park’s UFC run got off to a shaky start thanks to Anthony Hernandez, who ended their competitive clash with an anaconda choke late in the second. “The Iron Turtle” has since won five of six, most recently choking out Joseph Holmes in October 2022. He gives up three inches of height and four inches of reach to Tiuliulin.
Tiuliulin welcomed Contender Series standout Aliaskhab Khizriev to the Octagon in his UFC debut, which saw him fall to “The Black Wolf’s” rear naked choke in the second round. He had quite a bit more success against Jamie Pickett, battering “The Night Wolf” into submission in September 2022. All but one of his pro wins have come by knockout.
Dispatching Pickett, one of the most underwhelming members of the UFC Middleweight roster, isn’t enough to change my opinion of Tiuliulin. His decent power is offset by a lack of technique and speed, plus a poor ground game that Park’s high-volume takedown offense will take full advantage of.
Park’s cardio and durability are both stout enough to prevent Tiuliulin from snowballing late, though it’s hard to see him lasting long enough for that to matter. Park overwhelms him on the mat for a mid-round finish.
Prediction: Park via second round submission
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125 lbs.: Tatsuro Taira (12-0) vs. Jesus Aguilar (8-1)
Taira capped off his lengthy stint in Shooto by choking out Ryuya Fukuda for the promotion’s Flyweight title in July 2021. After another quick submission of Alfredo Muaiad, he made his way to the Octagon, where he’s claimed dominant victories over Carlos Candelario and C.J. Vergara. He’s the taller man by three inches and boasts an eight-inch reach advantage.
Undefeated since his pro debut, Aguilar put together a strong run to earn a spot on the Contender Series, claiming the UWC Flyweight belt along the way. Once at the APEX, he survived a rough start to outlast Erisson Ferreira and put him away with his signature guillotine choke. That technique accounts for five of his six submission victories.
With all due respect to Aguilar, he’s boned. This goes beyond tough matchmaking into downright spiteful. Taira is the superior technician in every facet of the game; too skilled and rangy for Aguilar to beat on the feet, too adept a wrestler for Aguilar to grind out, and too good a submission artist to succumb to Aguilar’s chokes.
The only feasible scenario in which Aguilar wins is if Taira dives headfirst into Aguilar’s guillotine, and though Taira can make things difficult on himself at times, he’s not foolish enough to fall victim to that. He dominates everywhere before ultimately finding Aguilar’s neck.
Prediction: Taira via second round submission
155 lbs.: Jeka Saragih vs. Anshul Jubli
Jeka Saragih (13-2) scored one of Road to UFC’s best quarterfinal finishes, smashing Pawan Maan Singh with a spinning back fist. “Death Kick” entered his semifinal clash with Won Bin Ki as a sizable underdog, but flipped the script with a vicious one-punch finish.
The victory marked his eighth by knockout and 12th inside the distance.
After racking up five wins under Matrix Fight Night banner, Anshul Jubli (6-1) got a pass to Road to UFC’s semifinals when Sho Patrick Usami botched his weight cut. There, he edged out Kyung Pyo Kim by split decision to secure his spot in the big show.
He stands four inches taller than Saragih at 6’0.”
Unpolished aggression versus patient technique is always a fun clash of styles, but I think aggression’s got this one in the bag. Jubli just isn’t a particularly dynamic boxer, lacking the speed and power to make his meat-and-potatoes offense shine. He’s also vulnerable to kicks, which Saragih offers in spades, and tends to linger in the pocket, where Saragih’s cruder but heavier hands can find the mark.
Jubli benefitted from Kim’s lack of aggression in the semifinals, which allowed him to cruise to an early lead and survive when his gas tank started to give out. He’ll have no such luxury against Saragih, who’ll be looking to tear his head off from the opening bell. Once Saragih’s low kicks start finding their mark and Jubli becomes a stationary target, it’s a matter of time before Saragih blows him away.
Prediction: Saragih via second round technical knockout
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145 lbs.: Jeong Yeong Lee vs. Yi Zha
Nine months after defeating Mu Gyeom Choi for the Road FC Featherweight belt, Jeong Yeong Lee (9-1) needed just 10 seconds to defend it against undefeated challenger Hae Jin Park. He’s been similarly efficient in Road to UFC, stopping his two opponents in a combined 1:18 minutes.
He’ll enjoy three inches of height and reach on Yi Zha (21-3).
Yi made quick work of Keisuke Sasu in his first Road to UFC bout, putting him away with a rear naked choke less than halfway into the first round. His subsequent clash with Koyomi Matsushima proved a tougher out, but he nonetheless claimed a split decision for his 10th win in his last 11 fights.
His professional finishes are split 10/6 between submissions/knockouts.
I honestly wouldn’t be terribly surprised to see another quick finish here. Though Yi could hypothetically grind out Lee, he’s the sort of linear pressure fighter that Lee’s counter right is built to destroy. Doggedness is an admirable trait, but it can’t make up for being an easy target against a puncher of this caliber.
Yi’s best chance lies in grinding out Lee, and it’s certainly not out of the question. The slick armbar Lee hit on Xie Bin doesn’t necessarily mean his ground game can hold up against a determined grinder. That said, it’s a lot more likely that Lee blasts him with a straight down the pipe for an early knockout.
Prediction: Lee via first round knockout
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135 lbs.: Rinya Nakamura vs. Toshiomi Kazama
Rinya Nakamura (6-0) followed his highly successful amateur wrestling career by making his mixed martial arts (MMA) debut in 2021 and racking up four quick wins on the Japanese circuit. The momentum continued in Road to UFC, where he submitted Gugun Gusman and knocked out Shohei Nose in under six minutes combined.
He’s knocked out four professional foes and submitted one other.
Toshiomi Kazama’s (10-2) nine-fight win streak came to an end at the hands of Shoji Saito, who put him away with a vicious flying knee in April 2022. Little more than one month later, he defeated Maimaitituoheti Keremuaili in the Road to UFC quarterfinals, then got a walkover in the semifinal round when Min Woo Kim missed weight.
Six of his eight finishes have come in the first round.
It bums me out that these two have to fight in their debuts. Kazama is a super-fun grappler who I’m eager to see more of, but he’s up against a human bulldozer with a ridiculous wrestling pedigree. While he’s good enough off of his back to potentially flip the script if Nakamura elects to initiate the grappling, there’s not a lot he can do to stop Nakamura from just marching through him on the feet with sheer power and aggression.
I’m hopeful that we do see some ground exchanges just to see how Nakamura’s freestyle and Kazama’s more traditional Brazilian jiu-jitsu clash, odds are we’re in for a brief, but entertaining, slugfest. In short, Nakamura knocks his block off in the first few minutes.
Prediction: Nakamura via first round technical knockoutComment -
Thanks for posting this jibby.Comment -
JIBBBY..we are down to 5 posters now that jjgold left. You got to multi-task and start the UFC threads now!Comment -
Great writeupsהמוסד
המוסד למודיעין ולתפקידים מיוחדים
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Many Asian fighters in this event. I don't see many of these fights going the distance. That's all I got.
Good luck everyone!
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Why are these fights starting so late? I'm loving the Bellator on CBS right now. There's also rumours of a Lewis injury; hence the huge line movement. I have no way of verifying that though.Comment -
Man, Taira is fukking awesome.Comment -
Fedor up next. Last fight for the goat. Love to take Ryan here but don't trust the fluke punch Rampage coward out with.Comment -
This fat load lewis, that if you hit him in to the body he will quit, i actually think he has a decent shot here at these odds because this guy isnt the greatest of punchers. He may walk thru him like he did Chris Daukas or he will simply quit like he does most of the time. Refs stop his matches than he complains when he is really relieved he doesn't have to absorb any more blows. If he quits again they should start calling him Bob Sapp. he says he is focus now than comes in looking the exact same at 265. worth the odds tho. Maybe the undisciplined fuk is focused.Comment -
Beastie Lewis is gonna get smoked in this fight. Put on his back and pounded or sub'd out.
Lewis is old now, punchers chance but I highly doubt he's gonna land anything before being grounded and pounded out..
He's Bellator material now. Lucky to still be getting UFC big pay days.Comment -
Lewis undefeated in the APEX. Smaller cage. Spivac probably wins but f uck laying -300 on him.Comment -
Asians can't wrestle worth a crap. They always get over powered and overwhelmed at the UFC level..Comment -
Kamala needs to retire nowComment -
Lewis tapped out before he could get knocked out. Too bad I bet Spivac by TKO/KO because I thought once he got it to the ground he would win with ground and pound but Lewis quit before that happened.
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You got to be careful with the prop bets on main events. The books know where the money is so they tell the fighters to finish fights a certain way.Comment -
Black Beast got rag dolled, that was embarrassing the way he got thrown around the cage. Even got dumped on his head one time. Time for Bellator I think for old Beasty.
Spivac ITD was easy money!
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It wasn't embarrassing. Lewis came to box and Spivac came to wrestle. Lewis doesn't know how to wrestle.Comment -
That's embarrassing that he doesn't know how to wrestle yet at this point in his UFC career. How long has Lewis been training MMA and at the UFC level?
You don't even have to know how to be a complete wrestler if you are a striker but just pound take down defense in training everyday with top notch wrestlers. Learn how to get back up also after being taken down on your back. That should be your number one goal and priority in training if you are one trick striking pony.
We saw many of the Asian striking fighters get exposed also by wrestling grinders in this event.Comment -
That fat load scab needs to retire. He is the number one reason guys like Jones and Francis were getting shit offers. that fat fuk would jump in for peanuts every time Jones or Francis were involved in negotiations. "ill do that fight for way less" Piece of crap. He is about as good as Bob Sapp now. I hope he is finally gone. Still can't believe Francis didn't blow right thru him. I remember making a fortune on Mark Hunt when he fought Hunt. He tried to quit three times in that fight than finally quitComment
