UFC 103 plays

Bread · 08-31-09, 01:24 PM

Swick is on a nice little tear.

The HOFF · 08-31-09, 02:25 PM

Originally posted by Bread

Swick is on a nice little tear.

That will be one of my bigger plays for the card.

brooks85 · 08-31-09, 06:56 PM

Swick is going to have a 5inch reach advantage over kampmann in a fight that should stay standing.

ip0nnp · 09-01-09, 08:47 PM

Swick looks too easy.....

illmatick · 09-01-09, 10:43 PM

been watching some film for the undercard fights in the next event and I think I found a gem in Ryan Jenson at -170. Expect the line to rise quite a bit. If you look at the guys record before entering the ufc his only loss was to Brock larson, The ufc never even gave the guy a chance, his first two fights were against Thales Leites and Damina Maia, probably the two best jiu-jitsu fighters in the UfC. For what its worth he was winning the Leites fight before getting caught in an armbar. His most recent fight against Wilson Gouveia is really what convinced me to play him, caught Gouveie multiple times with a deceptive over-hand right and just missed a few times with some powerfull head-kicks, I was very suprised with how much power he was able generate with his strikes, not only was he out striking him but his takedowns couldn't be stuffed, ground and pound was very impressive, passed Gouveie's guard with ease and didnt have any problems landing his punches. His opp Steve Steinbeiss is nothing special, watched a few of his bodog fights and he seems descent at best, trains out of arizona combat so you know to add an extra 10 cents to the line anytime someone is fighting out of their camp not named Ryan Bader. This is the earliest I locked up my plays for an event, What the hell am I going to do for the next 2 weeks until the fight, dolloway +210 Buckholz +200 and my big play is on Jenson at -170

illmatick · 09-04-09, 01:27 PM

I dont believe this shit, Jenson just dropped down to -160 at 5 dimes, no way did I think the line would drop below -170 anytime before the fight, I honestly dont get it, guess I need to watch some more tape on Steve Steinbeiss

illmatick · 09-12-09, 10:01 AM

updated card, both my plays on dolloway and swick have been called off

UFN plays
Justin Buchholz +200 x2
Cantwell -250x3
Ryan Jenson -170 x8

UFC 102 plays

Dos santos -130 x2
Efrain -160 x1.5
Drew Mcfedries -120 x1

hedge parlay

Stephens -250
Steinbeiss +140
cole miller +135

1.5 units to win 10.21

illmatick · 09-16-09, 05:30 PM

that will teach these bastards to move a line against me!!!!

Bread · 09-17-09, 06:43 AM

Was Jensen your only winner last night?

illmatick · 09-17-09, 03:01 PM

yes bread, it was my largest mma play of the year, line dropped to -150 before the fight, even though I only had the play listed for 8 units once it hit -150 i added close to another 6

nice call on Stann!!, Cantell was from a parlay I had in the last event with Nate marquart, turned out to be a nice event for me despite losing with my dog, I see you did pretty well yourself, good job and again excellent call on Stan, I was blinded by the hype around Cantwell, I put too much stock into his performace against Luis Cane

Bread · 09-17-09, 05:15 PM

Let's get em on Saturday my friend. I'm watching from home so will have the old in-fight thread going to bitch as we go.

illmatick · 09-18-09, 04:55 PM

I have bought out of my dos santos play and added a few more

Efrain -160 and -145 x2
Drew Mcfedries -120 x1
Rick story -125 x1.5
Hermes Franca +285x1
Nik Lent +260 x1.5

Eccocide · 09-18-09, 05:08 PM

Just curious why u did that Ill? I have Mirko but he came in light at the weigh-in when he said he was going to bulk up and Dos Santos looked huge. Not that weigh-ins mean a whole lot.

GL tomorrow!

illmatick · 09-18-09, 07:33 PM

Usually like to have 5 plays or less, dos santos didn't make the cut, had no choice but to buy back a little on miller, now have less than a unit on Efrain

illmatick · 09-19-09, 07:27 PM

Originally posted by illmatick

I have bought out of my dos santos play and added a few more

Efrain -160 and -145 x2
Drew Mcfedries -120 x1
Rick story -125 x1.5
Hermes Franca +285x1
Nik Lent +260 x1.5

already hit my top 2 plays, Nik lentz at +260 and story at -125

, rest of my plays are popcorn bets

illmatick · 09-20-09, 01:16 AM

probably my largest profit from back to back events, up over $4600

, also 2-0 today in boxing, hit my big play on the over 11.5 rounds in the mayweather fight

Eccocide · 09-20-09, 11:40 AM

Nice Night Ill. I had a lean on Lentz but fights on short notices scare me!

Bread · 09-20-09, 12:25 PM

Damn. So you're getting the next ppv and we can all come over, right?