UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till (September 04, 2021)

[THE_LOCKSMITH]

ESPN+ 4:00 pm ET
Derek Brunson vs. Darren Till
Tom Aspinall vs. Sergei Spivac
Alex Morono vs. David Zawada
Modestas Bukauskas vs. Khalil Rountree
Paddy Pimblett vs. Luigi Vendramini

ESPN+ 1:30 pm ET
Molly McCann vs. Ji Yeon Kim
Jack Shore vs. Liudvik Sholinian
Charles Jourdain vs. Julian Erosa
Marc-Andre Barriault vs. Dalcha Lungiambula
Jonathan Martinez vs. Marcelo Rojo

[JIBBBY]

Leaning Till by KO. I could see Brunson getting impatient and rushing in eventually with his chin up and getting dropped. Till has movement.

[PaperTrail07]

Till is so slow and predictable, not sure why people are so high on his skillset........Ill continue to fade

Leaning Till by KO. I could see Brunson getting impatient and rushing in eventually with his chin up and getting dropped. Till has movement.

[JIBBBY]

^ Till isn't all that but Brunson is not very technical himself. I see Till getting the better of it on their feet. If Brunson can put Till on his back he has a chance.

[magpie878]

Till is so slow and predictable, not sure why people are so high on his skillset........Ill continue to fade

I'm 2/2 on Brunson and trying for 3/3. He can definitely win this one.

[JIBBBY]

^^Brunson won 4 fights in a row now and improving as it seems. He could win I'm not hating. Still picking Till but it's close. I'm not blind to this.

https://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Derek-Brunson-68494

[hankcream]

Early play:

Fade Canada parlay Lungiambula & Urosa +458

[JIBBBY]

Prelim write ups mmamania -







150 lbs.: Julian Erosa vs. Charles Jourdain

One year after washing out of UFC a second time, Julian Erosa (25-10) rewarded the promotion’s faith in him by stopping Grant Dawson and Nate Landwehr. “Juicy J” couldn’t quite make it three straight against Seung Woo Choi, who knocked out Erosa out 97 seconds into round one.
He replaces Lerone Murphy, who ran into **** issues, on short notice.
Canada’s Charles Jourdain (11-3-1) wasn’t always successful, but he entertained like few others during his 1-2-1 Octagon start. Things got a bit better for him recently, however, as “Air” successfully warred his way past Marcelo Rojo in a March slugfest.
All of his professional wins have come inside the distance, eight of them by knockout.
If Erosa’s first five professional knockout losses didn’t convince him to tone things down and actually utilize his freakish dimensions, I doubt the sixth one will do it. “Juicy J” is what he is, an insanely aggressive slugger who will always eschew safe paths to victory in favor of simply marching forward and throwing heat until he or his opponent falls over.
Bless him for that, of course, but that’s not going to cut it here. Jourdain has a serious edge in punching power and an even bigger one in durability, meaning Erosa’s preferred style of fight favors Jourdain in a huge way. The one thing Erosa has going for him here is his wrestling, which will pay decreasing dividends thanks to Jourdain’s quality gas tank and scrambling ability. While Jourdain does tend to start slow, I like him to turn Erosa’s lights out around the halfway point.
Prediction: Jourdain via second-round knockout
Related
Up Next! Brunson Battles Till In Las Vegas!

185 lbs.: Dalcha Lungiambula vs. Marc-Andre Barriault

Dalcha Lungiambula (11-2) earned his moniker by claiming EFC titles at both Light Heavyweight and Heavyweight, ultimately earning a spot in the Octagon after beating Andrew Van Zyl for the latter. “Champion Dalcha” has since gone 2-1, a loss to top prospect Magomed Ankalaev sandwiched between wins over Dequan Townsend and Markus Perez.
Though the shorter man by five inches, he’ll enjoy a three-inch reach advantage.
Canada’s Marc-Andre Barriault (12-4) finally entered UFC’s win column in his fourth attempt by knocking out Oskar Piechota, only for a failed drug test to wipe his victory from the slate. There was no such asterisk in his next fight, however, as “Power Bar” battered Abu Azaitar into submission at UFC 260.
He has ended nine fights inside the distance, all by knockout.
While Lungiambula is definitely more credentialed and dangerous than Azaitar, this match up is eerily reminiscent of Barriault’s most recent fight, pitting Lungiambula’s raw power and grappling against Barriault’s relentlessness.
I lean toward Barriault. Lungiambula really hasn’t impressed me in the Octagon, especially with regard to his striking. Barriault’s too durable to go down from one of Lungiambula’s sporadic flurries and lands well over twice as many significant strikes per minute, meaning the standup is his for the taking. Plus, he’s gotten increasingly adept at getting back to his feet when taken down, limiting Lungiambula’s chances of grinding out an agonizingly unpleasant decision from top control.
In the end, Barriault sprawl-and-brawl snowballs his way to a late finish.
Prediction: Barriault via third-round technical knockout
Related
Video: Darren Till’s Best And Funniest Moments

135 lbs.: Jonathan Martinez vs. Marcelo Rojo

Jonathan Martinez (13-4) rebounded from a UFC debut loss to Andre Soukhamthath with wins in four of his next five, the sole loss a controversial one against Andre Ewell. “Dragon” looked poised to make it five of six against Davey Grant, but succumbed to the Brit’s power midway through the second round.
His nine professional stoppages include seven knockouts.
After putting together an 8-2 run on the Latin American circuit, Marcelo Rojo (16-8) got the call to face lethal Brazilian Raoni Barcelos in his Octagon debut. When Barcelos pulled out with COVID-19, Rojo instead stepped up in weight to fight Charles Jourdain, ultimately falling short in a phenomenal back-and-forth war.
He steps in for Nathaniel Wood on short notice.
Rojo was previously slated to fight Kevin Croom at UFC Vegas 35, and I’m certain that “Pitbull” would have absolutely mauled “Crash.” This won’t go nearly as well for him, as Martinez boasts superior overall striking technique and one-shot power. So long as the Grant knockout didn’t put an unfixable dent in Martinez’s chin and/or confidence, he’s a fair bit too sharp for Rojo, who took some serious damage of his own last time out.
The only way Martinez loses this is if he gives ground and lets Rojo tee off on his lead leg. Considering that Martinez has stayed on the front foot against aggressive bruisers like Thomas Almeida, though, that seems unlikely. In short, “Dragon” pieces him up for a mid-round stoppage.
Prediction: Martinez via second-round technical knockout



125 lbs.: Molly McCann vs. Ji Yeon Kim

Molly McMcann (10-4) put a UFC debut loss behind her with a three-fight win streak, among them a decent-sized upset of Brazilian knockout artist Ariane Lipski. “Meatball” now finds herself in the midst of an 0-2 skid, having dropped decisions to fast-rising prospects Taila Santos and Lara Procopio.
She’s scored four knockouts as a professional.
Korea’s Ji Yeon Kim (9-3-2) battled her way to a 3-2 Octagon start with two decision victories and a brutal beatdown of Nadia Kassem. Then came Alexa Grasso, who out-boxed “Firefist” en route to a decision win of her own.
She’ll have three inches of height and a massive 10 inches of reach on McCann.
Odds-wise, this is the closest fight on the entire card, and it definitely looks like a split decision in the making. McCann has the better footwork and more varied arsenal, while Kim boasts a considerable edge in size and firepower.
In short, all signs point to a tit-for-tat striking battle that will come down to the wire.
I’ve got McCann by a hair. Kim’s got the leakier striking defense of the two, and while McCann’s apparent wrestling improvement turned out to be a case of limited opposition, Kim’s inconsistent takedown defense looks like a tempting target. “Firefist” will touch up McCann, but key takedowns should barely nudge McCann over the finish line.
Prediction: McMann via split decision
Related
UFC Vegas 36 Poster For ‘Brunson Vs Till’

135 lbs.: Jack Shore vs. Liudvik Sholinian

Jack Shore (14-0) — the former Cage Warriors Bantamweight champion — kept his momentum going with two dominant submission wins in the Octagon. Then came “Contender Series” veteran Hunter Azure, who fell short against the Welshman this past April, but managed to break his five-fight finishing streak in the process.
“Tank” has submitted eight professional foes and knocked out another four.
Liudvik Sholinian (9-2-1) — representing Team Ortega on The Ultimate Fighter (TUF) 29 — authored one of the show’s bigger upsets by beating first-overall-pick Mitch Raposo in the quarterfinals. The Cinderella story wasn’t to last, as Ricky Turcios managed to out-last the Ukrainian in a terrific battle.
He steps in for Zvaid Lazishvili, who himself replaced Said Nurmagomedov, on less than two weeks’ notice.
I wish nothing but the best for Sholinian. He showed inspiring grit in beating Raposo and it absolutely broke my heart to see him break down in tears after his loss to Turcios. I hope stepping up like this earns him enough brownie points to stay on the roster after this defeat.
I don’t at all mean to imply that Sholinian is a bad fighter, just that Shore is an elite prospect who’s ready for the likes of Nurmagomedov. At the risk of being reductive, Shore’s better everywhere. He’s the better boxer by a huge margin, the better wrestler, and the better submission artist. As we saw against Azure, determination, pressure and takedowns aren’t enough to beat the Welshman. In the end, he steadily out-classes Sholinian before wrapping up his neck in the final stretch.
Prediction: Shore via third-round submission

[JIBBBY]

https://www.mmamania.com/2021/9/1/22650960/ufc-vegas-36-odds-latest-online-betting-lines-brunson-till-gambling-guide-sportsbook-espn-mma

[Sanity Check]

LeMartin picks

Aspinall ITD -175
Till -175

[209 Life]

Anybody taking a stab on Alex Morono -130 ? How good is David Zawada?

[Thrilla]

[JIBBBY]

Anybody taking a stab on Alex Morono -130 ? How good is David Zawada?

I'm liking Alex Morono. Zawada just 1-3 in the UFC. Has KO power but nothing special.

https://www.sherdog.com/fighter/David-Zawada-72910

[hankcream]

Early start to make the Brits happy, Fouk it making my play early:
1 unit Rojo ++130
3 units Dalcha Champion +135
1 unit Meatball Molly -115
2 units Paddy the Baddy ITD +145
3.5 units Aspinal ITD -140
2 units Till ITD +125
3 .15 units Penn St -5.5

GL all you Foukking Wankers

[209 Life]

Only play for me

Till vs Brunson Over 3 1/2 rounds +105

[dawg58kahn]

Early start to make the Brits happy, Fouk it making my play early:
1 unit Rojo ++130
3 units Dalcha Champion +135
1 unit Meatball Molly -115
2 units Paddy the Baddy ITD +145
3.5 units Aspinal ITD -140
2 units Till ITD +125
3 .15 units Penn St -5.5

GL all you Foukking Wankers

best bet?

[dawg58kahn]

I'm liking Alex Morono. Zawada just 1-3 in the UFC. Has KO power but nothing special.

https://www.sherdog.com/fighter/David-Zawada-72910

fading moreno then

[Hugo de Naranja]

Ah shoot, forgot this one was an early start so didn't get my picks posted in time. GL all!

[mackave]

McCann crazy wooooow

[frankieunits2685]

Paddy!

[Kermit]

Paddy was like

[Kermit]

Man. Fukked his leg up bad.

[hankcream]

1 unit Zawada +125

[unitedlad]

Aspinal might be the real deal. Easy work

[Kermit]

Aspinal might be the real deal. Easy work

Yeah. He's pretty impressive.

[JerseyRobby]

The fight ended at 2:30 is the .5 round over under a push?

[PaperTrail07]

Boooom lol

[JIBBBY]

Well it appears Till forgot to get up in that fight. He got beat like a drum on the ground. Eye was shut. He had his moments late standing before he got taken down on last time and mounted and then finished.

He's the only Brit that didn't represent on the card. England still cleaned up on this card. Bisping smiling all night long now.

[hankcream]

Izzy is going to dominate the middleweight division as long as he wants

[illmatick]

look at your goofy ass forgetting I run this entire sport with my adrenal occultist dominance, stupid catholic hoes don't even understand why Christ was leaking blood from his adrenal glands

[magpie878]

3/3 on dog Brunson.. wish I went bigger!

[Thrilla]

[JIBBBY]

Brunson was very close to getting knocked out at the end of the fight there. Brunson still is not very good standing and lacks cardio IMO.