UFC on ESPN 15: Munhoz vs. Edgar (August 22, 2020)

**Hugo de Naranja** · 08-22-20, 05:53 PM

Originally posted by frankieunits2685

Wow!!!!!! I wonder what jones was live

I saw Jones (+900)/Valiev (-1200) on the LB after R1. Comeback of the Year contender.

**JIBBBY** · 08-22-20, 05:53 PM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

Taking every dog ITD on this card outside my normal bets.. Let's see how this works out tonight? New theory of mine.. Value is there just need 3 or 4 to hit..

Good luck fellas!! I'm around for this event..

Well that's a start for my ITD dog theory.. Just need a few more of these to hit.....

$100.00

$525.00

Win

8/22/2020 6:00:01 PM MMA Props Fighting 1905 Jones wins inside distance +525* vs Not Jones inside distance

**spurginobili** · 08-22-20, 05:53 PM

Damn, big dog

**Kermit** · 08-22-20, 05:54 PM

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

I saw Jones (+900)/Valiev (-1200) on the LB after R1. Comeback of the Year contender.

He popped up at betrivers at +750 and when I bet on him, it went to +950.

**frankieunits2685** · 08-22-20, 05:54 PM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

Well that's a start for my ITD dog theory.. Just need a few more of these to hit.....

$100.00

$525.00

Win

8/22/2020 6:00:01 PM MMA Props Fighting 1905 Jones wins inside distance +525* vs Not Jones inside distance

Nice

**Kermit** · 08-22-20, 05:54 PM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

Well that's a start for my ITD dog theory.. Just need a few more of these to hit.....

$100.00

$525.00

Win

8/22/2020 6:00:01 PM MMA Props Fighting 1905 Jones wins inside distance +525* vs Not Jones inside distance

Nice.

**DiggityDaggityDo** · 08-22-20, 05:55 PM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

Well that's a start for my ITD dog theory.. Just need a few more of these to hit.....

$100.00

$525.00

Win

8/22/2020 6:00:01 PM MMA Props Fighting 1905 Jones wins inside distance +525* vs Not Jones inside distance

Nice cash, Jibs!

**Hugo de Naranja** · 08-22-20, 05:56 PM

Notes: My Agapova+Dobson Over 1.5 bet was (+130) not (+135) as listed in my post.
Semelsberger net price is (+209) not (+208).

**PaperTrail07** · 08-22-20, 06:12 PM

activity all Sem here.....he want a highlight, just dont get caught....

**PaperTrail07** · 08-22-20, 06:13 PM

Amazing Ware comparison by the way LOL....better at not losing than winning.....

Clear 10-9 SemmyBurgy

**Hugo de Naranja** · 08-22-20, 06:16 PM

Duplicate Post

**Hugo de Naranja** · 08-22-20, 06:17 PM

Live Hedge:
Minus (+296) 1.75u after R1

Hedging to freeroll. A bit concerned that Semelsberger could slow.

**spurginobili** · 08-22-20, 06:21 PM

Close to a sub Hugo

**Hugo de Naranja** · 08-22-20, 06:21 PM

Live Hedge:
Minus (+700) 0.5u after R2

Have so much Semelsberger upside equity that I want to guarantee a big win here.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 08-22-20, 06:21 PM

Originally posted by spurginobili

Close to a sub Hugo

Yeah he had a shot for sure.

**PaperTrail07** · 08-22-20, 06:22 PM

dont blame you a bit looking good.....

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

Live Hedge:
Minus (+700) 0.5u after R2

Have so much Semelsberger upside equity that I want to guarantee a big win here.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 08-22-20, 06:24 PM

@Papes Would be so salty if there was a Jones/Valiev style comeback that cost me big equity.

**PaperTrail07** · 08-22-20, 06:26 PM

**unitedlad** · 08-22-20, 06:27 PM

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

Live Hedge:
Minus (+3xx) 1.75u after R1

Hedging to freeroll.

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

Live Hedge:
Minus (+296) 1.75u after R1

Hedging to freeroll. A bit concerned that Semelsberger could slow.

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

Live Hedge:
Minus (+700) 0.5u after R2

Have so much Semelsberger upside equity that I want to guarantee a big win here.

Did you sacrifice 4u of your winnings there? Or is that to win 1.75u?

**JIBBBY** · 08-22-20, 06:27 PM

Minus should lose this on the cards.. White boy was hitting harder and won the early rounds..

**Hugo de Naranja** · 08-22-20, 06:28 PM

Boooooooommmmmmmmmmmmm

**Merlin21** · 08-22-20, 06:28 PM

Great call Hugo.... Thank you sir

**Hugo de Naranja** · 08-22-20, 06:29 PM

Originally posted by unitedlad

Did you sacrifice 4u of your winnings there? Or is that to win 1.75u?

2.25u. Wanted to put out the 1.75u hedge before I calculated odds. Then did a separate post for transparency sake. Won big on that fight.

**unitedlad** · 08-22-20, 06:29 PM

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

Boooooooommmmmmmmmmmmm

Great penetrating pick. That one wasn't even a sweat.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 08-22-20, 06:29 PM

Thanks man! Should have never been (+255).

**Hugo de Naranja** · 08-22-20, 06:31 PM

@unitedlad. Corrected above. Was 1.75u after R1 and 0.5u after R2 for 2.25u total of hedges. Totally worth it to reduce that R3 sweat. Massive win either way.

**boss_of_um** · 08-22-20, 06:34 PM

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

Yeah he got bet down a ton from the opening price.

There is line movement and then there is going from +200 to a favorite. Sure wish I had known this play before the Semelsberger was already bet down to a favorite. Hope others got the value that you got.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 08-22-20, 06:34 PM

Netted just under 8u on that Semelsberger win.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 08-22-20, 06:35 PM

Originally posted by boss_of_um

There is line movement and then there is going from +200 to a favorite. Sure wish I had known this play before the Semelsberger was already bet down to a favorite. Hope others got the value that you got.

(+255) even

**HurlSweatPants** · 08-22-20, 06:37 PM

How do you score that fight 29-28 ��

**bill10** · 08-22-20, 06:37 PM

What’s another winner tonight ? Thanks

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

(+255) even

**spurginobili** · 08-22-20, 06:37 PM

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

Netted just under 8u on that Semelsberger win.

**Kermit** · 08-22-20, 06:37 PM

The Beverly Hills Ninja huh?

**Kermit** · 08-22-20, 06:38 PM

Originally posted by HurlSweatPants

How do you score that fight 29-28 ��

Good question.

**HurlSweatPants** · 08-22-20, 06:38 PM

Bill- scroll up for christs sake