UFC on ESPN 7: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik (December 07, 2019)

**THE_LOCKSMITH** · 12-02-19, 08:42 PM

**Thrilla** · 12-02-19, 10:45 PM

Why the fuk does this card not take place in the Netherlands? 3 Dutch fighters in promo vid.

**Thrilla** · 12-02-19, 11:45 PM

Event Background

UFC on ESPN: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik (also known as UFC on ESPN 7) is an upcoming mixed martial arts event produced by the Ultimate Fighting Championship that is planned to take place on December 7, 2019 at Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C., United States.^[1]^[2]^[3]^[4]

The event will be the second that the promotion has contested in the American capital, following UFC Live: Cruz vs. Johnson in October 2011.^[4]

A heavyweight bout between the 2010 K-1 World Grand Prix Champion and former Strikeforce Heavyweight Champion Alistair Overeem and Walt Harris was expected to serve as the event headliner.^[5]^[6] However, Harris pulled out on November 1, 2019 due to the ongoing search for his missing step-daughter, whose body was found a month after her disappearance.^[7] He was replaced by Jairzinho Rozenstruik.^[8]

A women's strawweight between Cláudia Gadelha and Cynthia Calvillo was scheduled for the event. However, on October 22, 2019 it was announced that Gadelha was forced to withdraw from the bout due to a broken finger and a torn ligament.^[9] She was replaced by Marina Rodriguez.^[10]

A women's strawweight bout between Cortney Casey and Virna Jandiroba was scheduled for the event.^[11] However, Casey pulled out on October 31, 2019 due to undisclosed reasons. She was replaced by former Invicta FC Strawweight Champion Livia Renata Souza.^[12] In turn, Souza pulled out of the fight a few weeks later and was replaced by promotional newcomer Mallory Martin.^[13]

A middleweight bout between Alonzo Menifield and Trevor Smith was scheduled for the event. However, on November 10, 2019 it was reported that Menifield pulled out of the event for an undisclosed reason and was replaced by Makhmud Muradov.^[14]

Mickey Gall was expected to face former WEC and UFC Welterweight Champion Carlos Condit at the event.^[15] However, Condit pulled out on November 13, 2019 due to a detached retina,^[16] and the bout was subsequently cancelled.^[17]

A featherweight bout between Chris Fishgold and Billy Quarantillo was scheduled for the event; however, on November 27, 2019 Fishgold withdrew from the bout for undisclosed reason,^[18] and he was replaced by Jacob Kilburn.^{[19]

UFC on ESPN: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik - Wikipedia

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UFC_on_ESPN:_Overeem_vs._Rozenstruik}

**PaperTrail07** · 12-02-19, 11:48 PM

Smith +342

**Sanity Check** · 12-03-19, 10:26 AM

Decent appetizer to the december 14th card which will be HOT FIRE.

**Demonata** · 12-04-19, 04:25 PM

Hmmm. I think reem loses

**JIBBBY** · 12-05-19, 11:26 AM

Prelim write ups -

115 lbs.: Mallory Martin vs. Virna Jandiroba

Mallory Martin (6-2) came back from a 1-2 professional start, including a loss to Maycee Barber, to win three straight en route to “Contender Series.” Though her decision over Micol di Segni didn’t get her a contract, she soon made it five straight with a dominant decision over Cynthia Arceo.
She replaces Livinha Souza, who herself replaced Cortney Casey, on less than two weeks’ notice.
Virna Jandiroba (14-1) claimed Invicta gold last year with a split decision over standout Mizuki Inoue, then followed that up by submitting once-beaten Janaisa Morandin in her first defense. She replaced the aforementioned Souza against Carla Esparza on late notice last April, dropping a decision to “The Cookie Monster” in Sunrise, Florida.
“Carcara” is two inches shorter than Martin, but has an identical reach.
Don’t expect fireworks from this one. Both women do their best work from top control and, while Martin packs a decent punch, it’s not enough to keep this form turning into a slog. The only hope for entertainment comes from Jandiroba’s submission game, which is responsible for 11 of her 14 victories.
In what looks to be a fairly straightforward clash of wrestlers, I favor the Brazilian. What deficiencies she has on the feet aren’t enough to overcome the fact that she’s the superior technical grappler and has far more experience against top-notch opposition. She either grinds Martin into the dirt or finds her neck around the midway point.
Prediction: Jandiroba via second-round submission
Related
UFC D.C. Free Fight Video! Overeem Crane Kicks ‘Pitbull’ Into Oblivion

Condit Injured, Bounced From Gall Fight In D.C.

205 lbs.: Makhmud Muradov vs. Trevor Smith

Makhmud Muradov (23-6) brought an 11-fight win streak and Floyd Mayweather’s promotional muscle into his Octagon debut, which saw him step up on short notice to face Alessio Di Chirico in Copenhagen. The pair wound up putting on an excellent scrap, which ended with Muradov surviving a late surge to claim a decision win.
He replaces Alonzo Menifield on one month’s notice.
Trevor Smith (15-9) had the best run of his inconsistent Strikeforce/UFC career from 2015-2017, winning three of four. He’s yet to recapture that success, dropping consecutive decisions to Elias Theodorou and Zak Cummings.
He’ll have a one-inch height advantage over “Mach.”
Smith’s greatest weaknesses are his limited striking and general slowness; he can make up for them at times with raw tenacity, but it’s not terribly difficult to steer clear of his grip. Muradov, who’s among the most mobile of the UFC Middleweights, should have little trouble on that front. His footwork and kickboxing outstrip Smith’s to the point of lapping him and he’s got more than enough wrestling chops to stay out of harm’s way should “Hot Sauce” find his way past those kicks and ties up.
The one real concern is Muradov’s gas tank — he slowed down late against Di Chirico and Smith can be exhausting to deal with when his chin holds up. Even with that caveat, though, I just can’t see Smith closing the distance consistently enough to make his game work. Muradov chews him up at range for a wide decision win.
Prediction: Muradov via unanimous decision

170 lbs.: Thiago Alves vs. Tim Means

The former scourge of the Welterweight division, Thiago Alves (23-14), now finds himself just 2-5 in his last seven fights, only one of those two wins coming without controversy. His current 1-3 skid includes a bogus decision victory over Max Griffin and, most recently, a loss to Argentine brawler Laureano Staropoli in Rio de Janeiro.
He’ll give up five inches of height and reach to “The Dirty Bird.”
Tim Means (28-11-1) has had his own string of recent rough luck, including a narrow decision loss to Belal Muhammad and a robbery decision loss to Sergio Moraes soon after. He got back on track with a 78-second demolition of Ricky Rainey and looked dominant against Niko Price his next time out, but ran headlong into a right hand for a stunning knockout defeat.
Nineteen of his professional wins have come by form of knockout.
There was a time when Alves could have run roughshod over Means. In fact, after “The Pitbull’s” second loss to Jon Fitch, he developed a remarkably effective wrestling attack to compensate for the decline of his destructive striking. Unfortunately, we haven’t seen him really commit or succeed with his takedowns in a while, and without them, he’s at the mercy of a taller, rangier and more polished striker.
There is the question mark of how Means deals with the first true knockout loss of his career, of course. Alves is still game enough to eke out a decision if “The Dirty Bird” comes out gun shy. While that’s a legitimate possibility, odds are Means picks apart Alves behind his jab for a comfortable win.
Prediction: Means via unanimous decision
Related
Struve Doesn’t Give A F—k About Your Opinion

145 lbs.: Billy Quarantillo vs. Jacob Kilburn

Billy Quarantillo (12-2) knocked out Brandon Ricetti in the opening round of The Ultimate Fighter (TUF) 22 to earn a spot on Team Uriah Faber, but ran into eventual finalist Saul Rogers in the Round of 16. A 5-1 run brought him to “Contender Series,” where he knocked out the favored Kamuela Kirk to earn a contract in July.
He sports two-inch advantages in both height and reach.
Jacob Kilburn (8-2) came up short in his 2018 “Contender Series” bid, tapping to grappling specialist Bobby Moffett early in the second round. After almost one year on the sidelines, he picked up a pair of quick knockouts under the Island Fight banner to extend his run to 5-1.
He replaces Chris Fishgold on less than two weeks’ notice for his second fight in less than two months.
Quarantillo was in for a whoopin’ against Fishgold, who would have had a field day with the former’s shoddy takedown defense. In Kilburn, he gets a far more willing striker with the same mix of wild aggression, fancy kicks and porous defense that are Quarantillo’s calling cards. This is a sleeper pick for “Fight of the Night” and figures to be an insane brawl while it lasts.
The key difference between the two is their respective motors. Kilburn lost a chunk of his dynamism after 1.5 rounds of mayhem with Elvin Brito, while Quarantillo seemingly gets stronger as the minutes go by. Unless Kilburn catches Quarantillo with that spinning back fist he’s fond of, Quarantillo beats his fading foe into submission sometime in the third.
Prediction: Quarantillo via third-round submission
Related
UFC D.C. Free Fight Video! Overeem Crane Kicks ‘Pitbull’ Into Oblivion

145 lbs.: Bryce Mitchell vs. Matt Sayles

Bryce Mitchell (11-0) — Daniel Cormier’s second pick on TUF 27 — battled his way to the Featherweight semifinals before tapping to eventual winner Brad Katona. He has since emerged as one of the show’s most successful alumni, defeating No. 1 pick Tyler Diamond at the Finale and “Contender Series” vet Bobby Moffett soon after.
He’ll have three inches of height and two inches of reach on “Robo.”
Matt Sayles (8-2) put a controversial loss to George Hickman behind him with a destructive performance on “Contender Series,” nabbing himself a contract at the expense of undefeated Yazan Hajeh. Though his debut against Sheymon Moraes didn’t go as planned, he got in the UFC win column last May by choking out Kyle Nelson.
He has scored six (technical) knockouts as a professional, five of them in the first round.
Sayles is a quality prospect with huge power, but the Nelson fight revealed some lingering wrestling issues that could become very problematic very quickly. Mitchell is big, relentless and durable enough to take Sayles’ best punch and drag him into an uncomfortable grappling battle.
If Sayles has the prospect chops I thought he did, he might have enough oomph in his right hand to break even a tank like Mitchell. Considering the way he was essentially saved by Nelson fading down the stretch, though, that’s not a possibility to have faith in. Mitchell walks through some serious fire to wrangle Sayles to the mat and take over from there.
Prediction: Mitchell via unanimous decision
Related
Condit Injured, Bounced From Gall Fight In D.C.

155 lbs.: Matt Wiman vs. Joe Solecki

It’s been 13 years since Matt Wiman’s (16-8) infamous Octagon debut against Spencer Fisher, but the “Handsome” one is still trucking at the age of 36. In more recent news, a 2014 decision loss to Isaac Valle-Flagg gave way to a 4.5-year layoff, which ended in June when Luis Pena pounded him out.
Though the taller of the two, he’ll give up 3.5 inches of reach.
A strong run in promotions like Cage Fury and Ring of Honor led to Joe Solecki (8-2) joining the latest season of “Contender Series” in July. Solecki, who’d gotten his first decision victory one fight prior, got back to his finishing ways with a first-round submission of James Wallace.
He has submitted six professional opponents and knocked out one other.
The Matt Wiman of the early ‘10s probably had the goods to maul Solecki. Between his wrestling and submission defense, “Handsome” probably would have torn him up from top position like he did Cole Miller. The current Matt Wiman, however, got comprehensively demolished in the wrestling by Pena, who is a far lesser takedown artist than Solecki. Nothing from that most recent effort suggests he can keep Solecki from taking him down, moving to the back, and hunting rear-naked chokes with impunity.
The one thing Wiman has going for him is that Solecki isn’t much of a ground-and-pounder, so he won’t take anywhere near the beating he did against “Violent Bob Ross.” His airtight jiu-jitsu won’t be enough to save him from long stretches of control, though. Solecki plays backpack for 15 dominant minutes.
Prediction: Solecki via unanimous decision

Current UFC “Prelims” Prediction Record for 2019: 168-94-1

**UncleChael** · 12-05-19, 02:39 PM

"The Mexican Rocky makes me believe in movies!"

**turbozed** · 12-05-19, 05:27 PM

Got bets on Overeem, Rodriguez, and Yana (+160). Gonna be a sweat as there's a definite PTV for Rozen (KO), Calvillo (SUB), and Ladd (Getting on top and screaming like a banshee to force a TKO). But I like the odds I got.

**Thrilla** · 12-06-19, 09:31 AM

Can Alistair Overeem avoid Jairzinho Rozenstruik's power?

Chael Sonnen talks Alistair Overeem vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik on this episode of Beyond the Fight.

**Sanity Check** · 12-06-19, 10:39 AM

Cynthia Calvillo misses weight by 4.5 lbs in her 1st attempt.

**PaperTrail07** · 12-06-19, 10:46 AM

WHIFF lol...she will be over

Originally posted by Sanity Check

Cynthia Calvillo misses weight by 4.5 lbs in her 1st attempt.

**PaperTrail07** · 12-06-19, 12:34 PM

Means
Sayles
Parlay

Reem
Stamann
Simon

Smith +$...

Lets FOCUS

**PaperTrail07** · 12-06-19, 12:49 PM

Turbo--Fading Calvillo seems like easy $--am I off here?

Originally posted by turbozed

Got bets on Overeem, Rodriguez, and Yana (+160). Gonna be a sweat as there's a definite PTV for Rozen (KO), Calvillo (SUB), and Ladd (Getting on top and screaming like a banshee to force a TKO). But I like the odds I got.

**JIBBBY** · 12-06-19, 07:30 PM

1015 Rozenstruik wins in round 1

+300

Overeem may try to be more cautious in this fight but he's not a back peddler and running boxer by nature usually..

Probably worth a shot like Chael is suggesting in the Thrilla post above.. Black dude has alot early finishes. BIG power..

https://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Jairzinho-Rozenstruik-102803

**turbozed** · 12-07-19, 12:54 AM

Originally posted by PaperTrail07

Turbo--Fading Calvillo seems like easy $--am I off here?

I have a Cynthia SUB hedge at +450 but otherwise think there's good enough value in Rodriguez ML. I got around -120 though. -140 I'd probably think harder about.

**Demonata** · 12-07-19, 10:37 AM

I hope everyone does well on there bets today! Let's make some money for Christmas!

**JAKEPEAVY21** · 12-07-19, 10:49 AM

Originally posted by Demonata

I hope everyone does well on there bets today! Let's make some money for Christmas!

Thank you demon, who do you like today?

**Demonata** · 12-07-19, 10:59 AM

Originally posted by JAKEPEAVY21

Thank you demon, who do you like today?

Tough card but liking Rozenstruik( younger and power, overeem has slowed down a lot imo) and yadong so far. Also kinda like Marina Rodriguez after the tough weight cut by calvillo but women's fights so hard to predict. Who you liking?

**JAKEPEAVY21** · 12-07-19, 11:30 AM

Originally posted by Demonata

Tough card but liking Rozenstruik( younger and power, overeem has slowed down a lot imo) and yadong so far. Also kinda like Marina Rodriguez after the tough weight cut by calvillo but women's fights so hard to predict. Who you liking?

Was thinking same thing to be honest. Not feeling super confident about the main event though but not sure Overeem's chin will hold up.

**PaperTrail07** · 12-07-19, 11:54 AM

Overeem is SLIGHTLY smarter than people think lol...feel he will take the first round to find the distance....will be toughest fight of Roz career and he has nothing reem has not seem before......but like you said peavy-a jab COULD also take reem down these days as well.....still think reem is the lean....bodyshot to end it or some shit...

**Unwritten Law** · 12-07-19, 12:28 PM

Don't think Reem will be able to sustain the big power in this one.

**Demonata** · 12-07-19, 12:29 PM

Originally posted by PaperTrail07

Overeem is SLIGHTLY smarter than people think lol...feel he will take the first round to find the distance....will be toughest fight of Roz career and he has nothing reem has not seem before......but like you said peavy-a jab COULD also take reem down these days as well.....still think reem is the lean....bodyshot to end it or some shit...

I have not trusted overeem ever since he somehow beat werdum. I had werdum winning that fight easily and reem won split decision. I think reem going to get knocked out!

**Hugo de Naranja** · 12-07-19, 03:41 PM

Originally posted by PaperTrail07

WHIFF lol...she will be over

Should move up to Flyweight. This isn't a new issue for her.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 12-07-19, 03:42 PM

Picking Rozenstruik to end this one early. Reem is more skilled though so if Rozenstruik doesn't catch him he could get dominated.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 12-07-19, 03:44 PM

As a side note, I was watching an NBA game where some idiot commentator who knows nothing about MMA did a promo about this fight.

After he read the script, he ad libbed some laughable line about how "Rozenstruik is an incredible on the mat. If he gets his opponent to the mat, it's a wrap."

**JAKEPEAVY21** · 12-07-19, 04:40 PM

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

As a side note, I was watching an NBA game where some idiot commentator who knows nothing about MMA did a promo about this fight.

After he read the script, he ad libbed some laughable line about how "Rozenstruik is an incredible on the mat. If he gets his opponent to the mat, it's a wrap."

**Hugo de Naranja** · 12-07-19, 04:51 PM

UFC on ESPN 7: Rozenstruik vs. Overeem Picks:
Makhmud Muradov Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Virna Jandiroba Round 1 Submission (Armbar)
Joe Solecki Round 1 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Matt Sayles Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Billy Quarantillo Round 2 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Tim Means Round 2 TKO (Punches)
Ricky Simon Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Song Yadong Round 1 KO (Punch)
Aspen Ladd Round 2 TKO (Elbows and Punches)
Ben Rothwell Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Marina Rodriguez Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
Jairzinho Rozenstruik Round 1 KO (Punch)

**Hugo de Naranja** · 12-07-19, 04:54 PM

UFC on ESPN 7: Rozenstruik vs. Overeem

ESPN+ Early Prelims:

Fight #1: Muradov vs. T. Smith
No Bet

Fight #2: Jandiroba vs. M. Martin
Jandiroba -3.5 (+105) 0.6u
Jandiroba ITD (+275) 0.4u

Fight #3: Solecki (DEBUT) vs. Wiman
No Bet

ESPN Prelims:

Fight #4: Sayles vs. Mitchell
Sayles ITD (+325) 0.5u

Fight #5: Quarantillo (DEBUT) vs. Kilburn (DEBUT)
No Bet

Fight #6: Means vs. T. Alves
Means Round 2 (+600) 0.4u
Means Round 3 (+1050) 0.1u

Main Card:

Fight #7: Simon vs. Font
Simon Decision (+210) 0.5u

Fight #8: Yadong vs. Stamann
No Bet

Fight #9: Ladd vs. Kunitskaya
No Bet

Fight #10: Rothwell vs. Struve
No Bet

Fight #11: M. Rodriguez vs. Calvillo
No Bet

Fight #12: Rozenstruik vs. Overeem
Rozenstruik Round 1 (+325) 0.4u

Straight Parlays:
None

Prop Parlays:
None

Full Card Props:
None

Multi-Event Parlays:
None

**turbozed** · 12-07-19, 05:14 PM

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

As a side note, I was watching an NBA game where some idiot commentator who knows nothing about MMA did a promo about this fight.

After he read the script, he ad libbed some laughable line about how "Rozenstruik is an incredible on the mat. If he gets his opponent to the mat, it's a wrap."

To be fair "Jairzinho" sounds Brazilian. And therefore he should be an expert in Brazilian Pajama Karate

**Hugo de Naranja** · 12-07-19, 05:23 PM

Originally posted by turbozed

To be fair "Jairzinho" sounds Brazilian. And therefore he should be an expert in Brazilian Pajama Karate

But why make an ass out of yourself by assuming something like that. He's obviously never seen him fight.

**209 Life** · 12-07-19, 05:56 PM

Bryce Mitchell -EV
Rob Font -140

**spurginobili** · 12-07-19, 06:07 PM

Took Muradov by Dec

**spurginobili** · 12-07-19, 06:28 PM

Originally posted by spurginobili

Took Muradov by Dec

Jesus...