UFC on ESPN 3: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos (June 29, 2019)

[Hugo de Naranja]

Looking to Live Bet JDS if it hits R2

[Unwritten Law]

Joe let's go!!! Thank you!!

[Unwritten Law]

No live betting option for me at BM, so I gotta play this before the bell rings for action. Was back and forth and fight could go either way. I will probably play Francis though.

[THE_LOCKSMITH]

So most guys on JDS here?

[Hugo de Naranja]

So most guys on JDS here?

I think Ngannou finishes JDS early but if he doesn't I think JDS will take over and get a comeback win

[jacharron17]

Got JDS at +220. Hopefully he survives the N'Gannou storm.

[nyrider88]

here comes the drake curse

[unlearn]

Holy shit

[JIBBBY]

JDS you bitch!!! ... Turned his back game over..

[jacharron17]

I got destroyed lol.

[unlearn]

Easy peasy Francis backers

[THE_LOCKSMITH]

weak

[JIBBBY]

I lost this event with that too.. Uggggh.. Next....

[Hugo de Naranja]

Easy peasy Francis backers

Been saying it for awhile. Ngannou is the New Rumble. That First Round Storm is fierce!!

[Hugo de Naranja]

500 Hotels on Junior Dos Santos.

-500 Hotels

[unlearn]

Perfect analogy when they compared him to Tyson. Guy has scary fukkin power hope he gets a title shot

[unlearn]

Wasnt even a clean punch that is how much power he has

[Thrilla]

Retard JDS overcommits on an overhand when you expect him to keep distance and counter in the early going. He deserved to lose for being this stupid.

[magpie878]

So most guys on JDS here?

No! Was a good night. Don't normally bother with screenshots, but this was a good one.

[JIBBBY]

-500 Hotels

Alot of hotels ..

We all get it together next event!!! Live to play another day.... Gotta come back and ROCK THOSE BELLS!!!

[Demonata]

OMG i hit a miracle to save me!!!

PARLAY (9 TEAMS)
Risk: 10.30 - Win: 627.61WIN
MU - T Fritz vrs S Querrey: Set Handicap [957403] T Fritz -1½+334 (T Fritz vrs S Querrey)WIN
Score: T Fritz(2) - S Querrey(0)
Game start 06/29/2019 07:05 AM
MLB - London Stadium [965] New York Yankees -148( ACTION )WIN
Score: New York Yankees(17) - Boston Red Sox(13)
Game start 06/29/2019 10:20 AM
MLB - [976] Houston Astros -320( ACTION )WIN
Score: Seattle Mariners(5) - Houston Astros(6)
Game start 06/29/2019 05:25 PM
MU - [24038] Dalcha Lungiambula -362 (Dequan Townsend vrs Dalcha Lungiambula)WIN
Score: Dequan Townsend(0) - Dalcha Lungiambula(3)
Game start 06/29/2019 04:11 PM
MU - [24034] Jared Gordon -327 (Dan Moret vrs Jared Gordon)WIN
Score: Dan Moret(0) - Jared Gordon(3)
Game start 06/29/2019 04:41 PM
MU - [24026] Eryk Anders -350 (Vinicius Moreira vrs Eryk Anders)WIN
Score: Vinicius Moreira(0) - Eryk Anders(1)
Game start 06/29/2019 05:10 PM
MU - [24014] Drew Dober -360 (Marco Polo Reyes vrs Drew Dober)WIN
Score: Marco Polo Reyes(0) - Drew Dober(1)
Game start 06/29/2019 06:38 PM
MU - [24006] Joseph Benavidez -155 (Jussier Formiga vrs Joseph Benavidez)WIN
Score: Jussier Formiga(0) - Joseph Benavidez(2)
Game start 06/29/2019 08:04 PM
MU - [24002] Francis Ngannou -227 (Junior Dos Santos vrs Francis Ngannou)WIN
Score: Junior Dos Santos(0) - Francis Ngannou(1)
Game start 06/29/2019 08:30 PM
Balance: 637.91

[Hugo de Naranja]

@Dem Nice job!

[Hugo de Naranja]

Made just over 7u on this card with 4.45u in Multi-Event Parlays carrying over to next week's event.

[Sanity Check]

OMG i hit a miracle to save me!!!

PARLAY (9 TEAMS)
Risk: 10.30 - Win: 627.61WIN
MU - T Fritz vrs S Querrey: Set Handicap [957403] T Fritz -1½+334 (T Fritz vrs S Querrey)WIN
Score: T Fritz(2) - S Querrey(0)
Game start 06/29/2019 07:05 AM
MLB - London Stadium [965] New York Yankees -148( ACTION )WIN
Score: New York Yankees(17) - Boston Red Sox(13)
Game start 06/29/2019 10:20 AM
MLB - [976] Houston Astros -320( ACTION )WIN
Score: Seattle Mariners(5) - Houston Astros(6)
Game start 06/29/2019 05:25 PM
MU - [24038] Dalcha Lungiambula -362 (Dequan Townsend vrs Dalcha Lungiambula)WIN
Score: Dequan Townsend(0) - Dalcha Lungiambula(3)
Game start 06/29/2019 04:11 PM
MU - [24034] Jared Gordon -327 (Dan Moret vrs Jared Gordon)WIN
Score: Dan Moret(0) - Jared Gordon(3)
Game start 06/29/2019 04:41 PM
MU - [24026] Eryk Anders -350 (Vinicius Moreira vrs Eryk Anders)WIN
Score: Vinicius Moreira(0) - Eryk Anders(1)
Game start 06/29/2019 05:10 PM
MU - [24014] Drew Dober -360 (Marco Polo Reyes vrs Drew Dober)WIN
Score: Marco Polo Reyes(0) - Drew Dober(1)
Game start 06/29/2019 06:38 PM
MU - [24006] Joseph Benavidez -155 (Jussier Formiga vrs Joseph Benavidez)WIN
Score: Jussier Formiga(0) - Joseph Benavidez(2)
Game start 06/29/2019 08:04 PM
MU - [24002] Francis Ngannou -227 (Junior Dos Santos vrs Francis Ngannou)WIN
Score: Junior Dos Santos(0) - Francis Ngannou(1)
Game start 06/29/2019 08:30 PM
Balance: 637.91

Nice! What were the odds on that?

[Shagdogy]

Solid 6.5u win. Hit +170 and +245 along with biggest bet on Joe B. Good stuff.

[Shagdogy]

No one here talking Pichel/Roberts? Okay...

Pichel will almost surely control the center since Roberts obliges with backing himself up to the cage anyway. If Pichel avoids the guillotine in the clinch he has the skills to put Roberts on his back some. I could see him grinding a decision this way.

Meanwhile Roberts has a clear advantage at space with his length and speed. Problem is he doesn't seem to prioritize it all costs. He puts his own back on the cage and he invites tie ups so he can work his subs. He also shoots his own singles and doubles, which I could see Pichel fighting out of well being the physically stronger fighter in there. Even if Roberts gets Pichel down, Pichel earned 3 getups in round 1 vs. Gillespie which is no easy task. I trust he can get up a few times from Roberts as well.

I think this is a pretty close fight. It wouldn't be as close if I thought that Roberts would stay at range and make it all about his length and speed, but when you look back at his fights you see that he always finds himself in tie ups and grappling exchanges. I see a relatively close decision. At over 2-1 the odds aren't bad for a shot at Pichel IMO.

Did I talk anyone into this +245 winner? I feel like I nailed it pretty dead on. Thought it would be a split decision watching it, but not mad Pichel got the UD. Didn’t look like Roberts thought he won either.

[Sanity Check]

I hit a small +1000 parlay with Vinc, Benavidez and main under 1.5.

Mostly skipped this card. Too many weird things going on in life to feel comfortable betting. From a borderline weird guy like me, you might wonder how weird that is. All I'm going to say is pretty fukking weird.

Too bad for american top team went 1-3. Albini, Martin, Ribas and Formiga were their 4 for the night. I have a feeling they could have dropped late money on Formiga too.


edit Am I accurate in thinking Joseph Benavidez split from training with TJ Dillashaw and Duane "Bang" Ludwig after TJ said he didn't care if Benavidez' 125 lb division was cut from the UFC? Everyone on twitter is saying Benavidez looked "great" but I'm thinking his standup and stance switching doesn't look as clean or polished as it did a few fights back. Watevaz. Maybe its for the better with how Benavidez is starting to commit more to strikes and drop ppl.


edit x2 Francis Ngannou has the scary calm and quiet confidence of a guy who is doing what he was born to do in life. I would guess if someone tried to measure his athleticism in terms of strength, accuracy, speed and cardio they would find he's not just big, he's a freak athlete. Kind of like an african Brock Lesnar. I loves it.

[bjpenn85]

Did I talk anyone into this +245 winner? I feel like I nailed it pretty dead on. Thought it would be a split decision watching it, but not mad Pichel got the UD. Didn’t look like Roberts thought he won either.

after reading this piece i quickly understand that you were right, but i didnt have the time to cap it, but i felt strongly for just tailing you but i didnt.

Went out drinking, hit wikipedia results and got pissed off.

Why couldnt you write this shit monday or tuesday? haha

Well done either way!!!!

[Demonata]

Nice! What were the odds on that?

I only had $10.30 in my acvount left lol. I don't remember the odds it's weird that bookmaker doesn't show them. I'm so happy though. Would have been broke. Thanks man.

[Shagdogy]

after reading this piece i quickly understand that you were right, but i didnt have the time to cap it, but i felt strongly for just tailing you but i didnt.

Went out drinking, hit wikipedia results and got pissed off.

Why couldnt you write this shit monday or tuesday? haha

Well done either way!!!!

Sorry bro! I know what it’s like man, life gets in the way of this stuff. I’ve been super busy lately and only getting to cap 3-4 fights per card, let alone post my thoughts here. I just got lucky this time that I found good spots on everything I capped and was able to make a solid profit. I didn’t post my picks here but they were:
Benavidez ML (-120)
Ribas/Whit u2.5 (+170)
Dalcha/Dequan o1.5 (-114)
Pichel ML (+245)
Maia sub (+150)

That Maia sub bet wasn’t bad I just didn’t know that Martin would throw the round away immediately if he was ever taken down. He lost the fight anyway but if he worked urgent getups instead of just glueing his back to the cage he prob woulda got subbed.

Hopefully the few fights I get to cap on the next one have some value. It’s frustrating when I only get to a few fights and they all end up honest passes. I know there’s value left out there but been too busy to find it all.

[Sanity Check]

I only had $10.30 in my acvount left lol. I don't remember the odds it's weird that bookmaker doesn't show them. I'm so happy though. Would have been broke. Thanks man.

That's the best way to do it.

Start with a small bankroll of $10 to $20.

Try to turn that into $100 to $200 for a 10 x ROI gain without taking on too much risk in the process.

My record for awhile was 16 x ROI.

[Thrilla]

[turbozed]

Did I talk anyone into this +245 winner? I feel like I nailed it pretty dead on. Thought it would be a split decision watching it, but not mad Pichel got the UD. Didn’t look like Roberts thought he won either.

I also had half a unit on Pichel at +260. Might have gone bigger if I popped into this thread earlier and saw your post!

[Baraldsson]

Perfect analogy when they compared him to Tyson. Guy has scary fukkin power hope he gets a title shot

Agreed. Hard to imagine anyone on the roster surviving if Ngannou lands a clean shot on them.

[bjpenn85]

Sorry bro! I know what it’s like man, life gets in the way of this stuff. I’ve been super busy lately and only getting to cap 3-4 fights per card, let alone post my thoughts here. I just got lucky this time that I found good spots on everything I capped and was able to make a solid profit. I didn’t post my picks here but they were:
Benavidez ML (-120)
Ribas/Whit u2.5 (+170)
Dalcha/Dequan o1.5 (-114)
Pichel ML (+245)
Maia sub (+150)

That Maia sub bet wasn’t bad I just didn’t know that Martin would throw the round away immediately if he was ever taken down. He lost the fight anyway but if he worked urgent getups instead of just glueing his back to the cage he prob woulda got subbed.

Hopefully the few fights I get to cap on the next one have some value. It’s frustrating when I only get to a few fights and they all end up honest passes. I know there’s value left out there but been too busy to find it all.

Very good, i had a good night as well.

5 units Ngannou
4 units Eryk Anders
3 units Demian Maia

This week im big on this Yadong Song guy.

And i have parlays with Ismail and chiesa.