UFC on ESPN+ 9: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy (May 04, 2019)

[PaperTrail07]

Brunson wins most of the time with his speed......in a flash KO....if he out decisions the point master I will be VERY surprised.....this is the first guy with a speed advantage though---will be interesting.....he was +150.....people would bite

True but why not play r1 or itd at least? I think Brunson finishes but if not he definitely hurts him and wins on the cards unless he gets screwed.

[eligibletackle]

am very interested in fading sanchez

[bjpenn85]

am very interested in fading sanchez

andre is better everywhere + debuting fighter theory (the always loses) + even though mars isnt really that good, andre has cardio issues, except in one fight, it therefor hard to lay that bet imo. Can you get the same odds, whitout those issues in aother matchups, yes you can

[JAKEPEAVY21]

Cerrone looked all but washed up a few fights ago...Al is just hitting his stride and Cerrone on tail end of career, Cerrone also looked ghastly with the weight cut and Al looked stronger than usual...give me Raging Al here

[boss_of_um]

Here we go...first event that I'll be betting on in a very long time. I'm just going to spit my thoughts out.

Iaquinta vs Cerrone is a 5 rounder and Raging al will bring the pressure for all 5 rounds. He's an effective counter puncher, tough, gritty and he just beat a Bangkok ready Kevin Lee. They also have a shared opponent in Masvidal who TKO'd cowboy and dropped a decision to Al. That said, Cowboy has looked fantastic in his last two fights, but I don't think he'll have a chance to win outside of the first two rounds.

1 U on Raging Al.


Brad Katona is worth a shot here at +135. He's 13-0 including exhibitions and amateur, and the guys he fought aren't complete slackers (one of his TUF opponents is now 11-0 pro and 2-0 in the UFC). He has decent jiu jitsu off his back and Merab is going to take him down and not do a lot of damage. If you wanna see a bizarre ending, check out simon vs Merab.

1 U on Katona

Good luck to ya!

[Sanity Check]

Imagine Elias Theodorou and Alan Jouban as a tag team in pro wrestling.

That would be hilarious.

Luke Rockhold could join them.

Demi Lovato could be their manager.

[Unwritten Law]

Weight cut may play a factor here at 155, but I'll ride with Cowboy here. He's 36 but he's also just stopped his last two opponents Hernandez 26, and Perry 27 his past 2 fights....I don't necessarily think that's called slowing down. With a win and a impressive finish over Al, could warrant a title shot consideration for the winner of the Khabib/Poirier fight in September....or maybe it will pair him up against Gaethje. Maybe Al wins and none of this happens.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Hoping that Brunson knocks Elias' bitchh head clean off

[wlulaxer]

You posting any predictions for this one Hugo? Just wondering, always look forward to seeing your thoughts. Thanks

Hoping that Brunson knocks Elias' bitchh head clean off

[Hugo de Naranja]

You posting any predictions for this one Hugo? Just wondering, always look forward to seeing your thoughts. Thanks

Yup finishing up now. Have almost no bets for this card but will post what I've got.

[wlulaxer]

Sweet, always enjoy seeing them. Thanks again

Yup finishing up now. Have almost no bets for this card but will post what I've got.

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC on ESPN+ 9: Cerrone vs. Iaquinta Picks:
Mitch Gagnon Round 1 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Arjan Bhullar Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Matt Sayles Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Nordine Taleb Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Vince Morales Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
Macy Chiasson Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Andrew Sanchez Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)
Walt Harris Round 2 KO (Punches)
Merab Dvalishvili Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Shane Burgos Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Derek Brunson Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Donald Cerrone Round 2 TKO (Punches)

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC on ESPN+ 9: Cerrone vs. Iaquinta

ESPN+ Prelims:

Fight #1: Gagnon vs. C. Smith (DEBUT)
No Bet

Fight #2: Bhullar vs. Adams
Bhullar (-110) 1.65u to win 1.5u

Fight #3: Sayles vs. K. Nelson
Parlays

Fight #4: Taleb vs. Prepolec (DEBUT)
No Bet

Fight #5: V. Morales vs. Zahabi
No Bet

Fight #6: Chiasson vs. Moras
No Bet

Main Card:

Fight #7: A. Sanchez vs. Barriault (DEBUT)
No Bet

Fight #8: Harris vs. Spivak (DEBUT)
No Bet

Fight #9: Dvalishvili vs. Katona
No Bet

Fight #10: Burgos vs. Swanson
Burgos ITD (+216) 1u

Fight #11: Brunson vs. Theodorou
No Bet

Fight #12: Cerrone vs. Iaquinta
No Bet

Straight Parlays:
Sayles/Burgos (+129) 1.6u

Prop Parlays:
None

Full Card Props:
None

[Shagdogy]

Harris -150, 4u
Bhullar +115, 1.7u
Katona +138, 1u

Burgos/Brunson +242, 1u
Sanchez/Sayles +132, 1.2u

And then a bunch of plus money prop stabs to win 1u each:

Iaquinta KO/TKO +215
Elias/Brunson u2.5 +185
Zahabi/Morales FDGTD +175
Taleb/Prepolec u2.5 +190
Burgos/Swanson u2.5 +105

[Hugo de Naranja]

Harris -150, 4u
Bhullar +115, 1.7u
Katona +138, 1u

Burgos/Brunson +242, 1u
Sanchez/Sayles +132, 1.2u

And then a bunch of plus money prop stabs to win 1u each:

Iaquinta KO/TKO +215
Elias/Brunson u2.5 +185
Zahabi/Morales FDGTD +175
Taleb/Prepolec u2.5 +190
Burgos/Swanson u2.5 +105

Best of luck Shagster!

[Sanity Check]

Heavyweight is a shallow division.

[boss_of_um]

Not sure about 30-27 for Bhullar but glad for the win!

[Hugo de Naranja]

Added:
Sayles (-190) 1.9u to win 1u
Sayles ITD (+170) .5u

[KingHawkins]

I hit a pretty big one with Bhullar there, feeling pretty fortunate I could see the argument the other way

[THE_LOCKSMITH]

anything close here in the 3rd round, the decision will go to the Canadian.

[boss_of_um]

Added:
Sayles (-190) 1.9u to win 1u
Sayles ITD (+170) .5u

Boom! Light the dynamite!

[boss_of_um]

$50.75	$78.62	Open	3 Team Parlay
				Pending	5/4/19 9:30pm UFC Fighting 1202 Shane Burgos -152* vs Cub Swanson
				Pending	5/4/19 6:00pm UFC Fighting 1902 Matt Sayles -186* vs Kyle Nelson

$27.00	$182.88	Pending	3 Team Parlay
				Win	5/4/19 5:00pm UFC Fighting 2101 Cole Smith +108* vs Mitch Gagnon
	5/4/19 5:51pm			Win	5/4/19 5:30pm UFC Fighting 2002 Arjan Bhullar +118* vs Juan Adams
	5/4/19 6:20pm			Pending	5/4/19 6:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1942 Sayles points handicap -3½ -140* vs Nelson points handicap

$35.00	$59.50	Open	3 Team Parlay
				Pending	5/4/19 6:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1909 Sayles wins inside distance +170* vs Not Sayles inside distance

[Hugo de Naranja]

Boom! Light the dynamite!

Massive sweat but got in done. Glad I took Sayles ITD instead of KO/TKO

[Hugo de Naranja]

@Boss Nice hits!

[boss_of_um]

@Boss Nice hits!

Thanks! Cheers to you as well!

[Hugo de Naranja]

Added:
Taleb+Prepolec Under 2.5 (+185) .5u

[Sanity Check]

Prepolec noticed Nordine Taleb slowed down in round 2 of his last fight and is attacking the body hoping Taleb will slow down, here.

[Demonata]

I wish you would post your bets beforehand boss so i could copy them lol.

[boss_of_um]

I wish you would post your bets beforehand boss so i could copy them lol.

No. No you don't lol. Believe you me.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Second exact pick of the night with Taleb UD (30-27 x3).

[Hugo de Naranja]

Added:
Harris (-165) 1.65u to win 1u
Brunson Round 1 (+475) .5u

[boss_of_um]

$35.00	$145.41	Open	3 Team Parlay
				Win	5/4/19 6:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1909 Sayles wins inside distance +170* vs Not Sayles inside distance
	5/4/19 6:44pm			Pending	5/4/19 6:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1807 Taleb wins by 3 round decision -110* vs Not Taleb by 3 round decision

I'm just tailing Hugo. Whether he posts it as a bet or a prediction...

[Hugo de Naranja]

Added:
Sanchez (-160) 0.8u to win 0.5u

[Sanity Check]

Some of the favorites should be underdogs.

Initial lean is towards Aiemann Zahabi and Merab Dvashvili being flipped odds.

Don't quote me. I haven't begun capping this event, yet.

I'll take that as 1 for 2.

Vince Morales should have been the betting favorite for this fight with Aiemann Zahabi the dog.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Wanted to bet Chiasson Decision (+315) but didn't pull the trigger quick enough. We'll see if I regret that.