UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith (March 02, 2019)

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  • Sanity Check
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-30-13
    • 10962

    #141
    Hamaru Usman, Anthony Smith and Ben Askren may not have UFC belts.

    But they do have the mentality and mindset of champions.

    Gotta love it.
    Comment
    • Shagdogy
      SBR MVP
      • 06-16-10
      • 3564

      #142
      Originally posted by turbozed
      I'm on board with all four of those ML bets. Let's get it Shagy!
      Love it.
      Comment
      • Shagdogy
        SBR MVP
        • 06-16-10
        • 3564

        #143
        Originally posted by turbozed
        I'm on board with all four of those ML bets. Let's get it Shagy!
        My parlays are:
        Chiasson/Zabit/Askren
        Byrd/Askren
        Cirkunov/Askren

        Hoping to be in a position win a solid few units on Askren so I can hit a very easy free money hedge with Lawler KO/TKO at almost 4-1. Can’t picture Lawler winning any other way. But even at +220 a conservative hedge on his ML isn’t bad.
        Comment
        • JAKEPEAVY21
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 03-11-11
          • 29268

          #144
          looking forward to this card
          Comment
          • HurlSweatPants
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 07-28-15
            • 951

            #145
            BOL to everyone making plays today, lets win some money.

            Hopefully Askren pulls through, seems like everyone is on Dad Bod in some form.
            Comment
            • HurlSweatPants
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 07-28-15
              • 951

              #146
              Originally posted by Shagdogy
              My parlays are:
              Chiasson/Zabit/Askren
              Byrd/Askren
              Cirkunov/Askren

              Hoping to be in a position win a solid few units on Askren so I can hit a very easy free money hedge with Lawler KO/TKO at almost 4-1. Can’t picture Lawler winning any other way. But even at +220 a conservative hedge on his ML isn’t bad.
              Doing the same, I took the Lawler by KO prop at +385 to hedge, as opposed to Lawler ITD at +370. No way I would take him straight, I said this earlier, but if Lawler wins a decision I would be extremely surprised, and even more surprised if he pulls of a sub, which makes the ITD prop a little silly.
              Comment
              • Teem
                SBR Sharp
                • 04-11-17
                • 343

                #147
                Do you guys think it's likely Byrd/Edmen and Zabit/Stephens both start round 2? Just looking for a couple safe props to throw in with a couple ML's.
                Comment
                • JC2008
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-27-08
                  • 2258

                  #148
                  Originally posted by Teem
                  Do you guys think it's likely Byrd/Edmen and Zabit/Stephens both start round 2? Just looking for a couple safe props to throw in with a couple ML's.
                  I definitely like Stephens to start round 2 but that's just an opinion.
                  Comment
                  • Stringer Bell
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 10-14-09
                    • 791

                    #149
                    In Jones/Smith fight, Round 3 doesn't start and Jones TKO/KO are both -145, which do you guys think is the better play?
                    Comment
                    • Teem
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 04-11-17
                      • 343

                      #150
                      Yeah I like that one better than Byrd/Edmen... I'm trying to pull the trigger on Stamann by decision but idk anything about Perez other than he has a solid gas tank and he's been edging decisions in his recent fights. Maybe a couple from poor judging. I believe Stamann is coming in on short notice here. Which I normally like to fade. But I know people that are still big on him winning this fight.
                      Comment
                      • Teem
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 04-11-17
                        • 343

                        #151
                        Smith is a tough sob. But I think Jones will be patient and put him away at some point by TKO/KO. That's the safer play imo... Nice name and profile pic btw. Currently going through The Wire again. Amazing show and I don't know too many people that have ever watched it. Just started Season 3.
                        Comment
                        • JC2008
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-27-08
                          • 2258

                          #152
                          Originally posted by Stringer Bell
                          In Jones/Smith fight, Round 3 doesn't start and Jones TKO/KO are both -145, which do you guys think is the better play?
                          I think the fight not starting round 3 is better than Jones TKO/KO/DQ as I don't see this fight lasting long, and I see a very real chance Jones subs him. I like the sub prop at +175 if anything.
                          Comment
                          • Hugo de Naranja
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 04-14-16
                            • 14140

                            #153
                            Originally posted by Stringer Bell
                            In Jones/Smith fight, Round 3 doesn't start and Jones TKO/KO are both -145, which do you guys think is the better play?
                            Won't Start Round 3
                            Comment
                            • Hugo de Naranja
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 04-14-16
                              • 14140

                              #154
                              Originally posted by Teem
                              Do you guys think it's likely Byrd/Edmen and Zabit/Stephens both start round 2? Just looking for a couple safe props to throw in with a couple ML's.
                              Like the Zabit one. Don't like the Byrd one at all.
                              Comment
                              • Hugo de Naranja
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 04-14-16
                                • 14140

                                #155
                                UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith Picks:
                                Polyana Viana Round 1 Submission (Armbar)
                                Macy Chiasson Round 1 TKO (Punches)
                                Charles Byrd Round 1 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
                                Diego Sanchez Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
                                Cody Stamann Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
                                Misha Cirkunov Round 1 Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
                                Zabit Magomedsharipov Round 2 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
                                Cody Garbrandt Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)
                                Weili Zhang Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
                                Ben Askren Unanimous Decision (30-24 x3)
                                Kamaru Usman Unanimous Decision (49-46 x2, 48-47)
                                Jon Jones Round 1 TKO (Elbows and Punches)
                                Comment
                                • Hugo de Naranja
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 04-14-16
                                  • 14140

                                  #156
                                  Originally posted by turbozed
                                  I'm on board with all four of those ML bets. Let's get it Shagy!
                                  Sounds like we've got a consensus. I'm on all four moneylines as well.
                                  Comment
                                  • Hugo de Naranja
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 04-14-16
                                    • 14140

                                    #157
                                    UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith

                                    Fight Pass Prelims:

                                    Fight #1: Viana vs. Cifers
                                    Viana ITD (-103) 1.03u to win 1u
                                    Viana KO/TKO (+775) .5u

                                    Fight #2: Chiasson vs. Mazany
                                    Chiasson+Mazany Won’t Go Distance (-105) 1.05u to win 1u
                                    Chiasson Round 1 (+170) .5u
                                    Chiasson KO/TKO (+325) 1u

                                    Fight #3: Byrd vs. Shahbazyan
                                    Byrd (+150) 2u
                                    Byrd Submission (+410) .5u

                                    Hedge:
                                    Shahbazyan Round 1 (+350) .75u

                                    Fox Sports 1 Prelims:

                                    Fight #4: Sanchez vs. Gall
                                    Sanchez (+285) 3.6u
                                    Sanchez Round 3 (+2930) .25u

                                    Hedge:
                                    Gall KO/TKO (+280) .5u

                                    Fight #5: Stamann vs. Perez
                                    Stamann Decision (-110) 1.1u to win 1u

                                    Fight #6: Cirkunov vs. Walker
                                    Cirkunov+Walker Won’t Start Round 2 (-108) 1.62u to win 1.5u
                                    Cirkunov (+120) 2u
                                    Cirkunov ITD (+177) 1u
                                    Cirkunov+Walker Under 60 Seconds (+900) .5u

                                    Hedge:
                                    Walker Round 1 (+165) 1u

                                    Fight #7: Magomedsharipov vs. Stephens
                                    Magomedsharipov Submission (+320) 1u
                                    Magomedsharipov Round 2 (+650) .5u
                                    Magomedsharipov Round 3 (+1125) .25u

                                    Hedge:
                                    Stephens Round 3 (+1475) .25u

                                    Main Card:

                                    Fight #8: Garbrandt vs. Munhoz
                                    Garbrandt Decision (+321) .5u

                                    Hedge:
                                    Munhoz Submission (+475) .5u

                                    Fight #9: Zhang vs. Torres
                                    Zhang (-150) 1.5u to win 1u
                                    Zhang ITD (+365) .5u

                                    Fight #10: Askren vs. Lawler
                                    Askren -3.5 (+119) 3.36u

                                    Hedge(s):
                                    Lawler KO/TKO (+430) 1u
                                    Lawler Round 1 (+700) .25u

                                    Fight #11: Woodley (C) vs. Usman
                                    Usman+Woodley Goes Distance (-105) 1.05u to win 1u
                                    Usman (+153) 3u
                                    Usman Unanimous Decision (+445) .5u
                                    Usman Round 4 (+1750) .1u
                                    Usman Round 5 (+2250) .1u

                                    Hedge(s):
                                    Woodley Round 1 (+500) .5u
                                    Woodley Round 2 (+700) .25u
                                    Woodley Split/Majority Decision (+890) .25u

                                    Fight #12: Jones (C) vs. Smith
                                    Jones Round 1 (+150) 1u
                                    Jones Submission (+200) 1u
                                    Jones Unanimous Decision (+975) .5u

                                    Hedge:
                                    Smith KO/TKO (+1125) .5u

                                    Straight Parlays:
                                    Magomedsharipov/Askren (-107) 1.07u to win 1u
                                    Chiasson/Garbrandt (+100) 2.02u

                                    Prop Parlays:
                                    Cirkunov+Walker WGD/Askren+Lawler GD (-111) 1.11u to win 1u
                                    Byrd+Shahbazyan WGD/Stamann+Perez GD (+109) 1u

                                    Full Card Props:
                                    Over 6.5 Fights Go Distance (+293) .5u
                                    Over 7.5 Fights Go Distance (+798) .5u
                                    Over 8.5 Fights Go Distance (+2650) .1u
                                    Over 9.5 Fights Go Distance (+12300) .1u

                                    Multi-Event Parlays:
                                    Jones/Means (-131) 2.63u to win 2u
                                    Adesanya -3.5/Askren (-119) 1.19u to win 1u
                                    Yan/Askren (-113) 4.52u to win 4u
                                    Amosov/Askren (-110) 2.2u to win 2u
                                    Yan/Magomedsharipov (+102) 1u
                                    Askren/Till (+110) 1u
                                    Yan/Magomedsharipov (+111) 1u
                                    Ismagulov/Magomedsharipov (+114) 1u
                                    Garbrandt/Dariush (+145) .75u
                                    Stamann/Means (+147) 1u
                                    Comment
                                    • 209 Life
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 09-15-18
                                      • 3146

                                      #158
                                      Gonna be good night of fights. Sleeper fight is Zabit vs Stephens thats gonna be fireworks
                                      Comment
                                      • Hugo de Naranja
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 04-14-16
                                        • 14140

                                        #159
                                        Added:
                                        Byrd ITD/Sanchez Decision/Cirkunov+Walker WSR2/Usman UD (+13216) .25u
                                        Comment
                                        • Shagdogy
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 06-16-10
                                          • 3564

                                          #160
                                          Won’t be able to watch this card live - anyone know where I can find the ppv fights later tonight or tomorrow morning? Thinking I can avoid spoilers and catch up when I get a shot.
                                          Comment
                                          • The HOFF
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 07-02-08
                                            • 4847

                                            #161
                                            Originally posted by Shagdogy
                                            Won’t be able to watch this card live - anyone know where I can find the ppv fights later tonight or tomorrow morning? Thinking I can avoid spoilers and catch up when I get a shot.
                                            I won’t be able to watch live either. I’ll be on a damn plane. But allfreefightvideos.com should have them at some point. They usually come down within a day though. I’ve managed to catch a few Sun morning but better chance of seeing most fights if u check Sat night.
                                            Comment
                                            • Teem
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 04-11-17
                                              • 343

                                              #162
                                              Gonna be a good night. Good luck everyone!
                                              Comment
                                              • A1pha
                                                SBR Rookie
                                                • 02-15-19
                                                • 21

                                                #163
                                                3U - Garbrandt -150
                                                2U - Woodley -155
                                                2U - Walker -170
                                                2U - Zhang -130
                                                1U - Stamann -160
                                                1U - Magomedsharipov -245
                                                1U - Byrd +145
                                                1U - Sanchez +205
                                                Comment
                                                • Fence
                                                  SBR Hustler
                                                  • 02-12-18
                                                  • 75

                                                  #164
                                                  I've got Cody for 1 unit; and

                                                  A parlay with Cody, Zabit and Zhang (.5 units to win 1.5);

                                                  I'm considering going in a little more on Garbrandt - I think he comes back with a vengeance...

                                                  BOL everybody!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Unwritten Law
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 10-31-13
                                                    • 2532

                                                    #165
                                                    What's everybody drinking for this event? Chu hi's for me!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Shagdogy
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 06-16-10
                                                      • 3564

                                                      #166
                                                      Originally posted by Unwritten Law
                                                      What's everybody drinking for this event? Chu hi's for me!
                                                      Cheers! This should be a good one. Mad I’m missing. Just hope I have the energy to stay up and watch em before I see all the results.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • praisebuddha
                                                        SBR Hustler
                                                        • 10-25-11
                                                        • 56

                                                        #167
                                                        Originally posted by Unwritten Law
                                                        What's everybody drinking for this event? Chu hi's for me!
                                                        Mind Haze IPA's from Firestone Walker
                                                        Comment
                                                        • mdunlap3
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 02-18-13
                                                          • 1847

                                                          #168
                                                          Love Cirkunov here...other dude is juiced to shite.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Shagdogy
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 06-16-10
                                                            • 3564

                                                            #169
                                                            Originally posted by The HOFF
                                                            I won’t be able to watch live either. I’ll be on a damn plane. But allfreefightvideos.com should have them at some point. They usually come down within a day though. I’ve managed to catch a few Sun morning but better chance of seeing most fights if u check Sat night.
                                                            Thanks HOFF I'll check there.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Kermit
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 09-27-10
                                                              • 32555

                                                              #170
                                                              Fight of the Night so far.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • spurginobili
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 05-09-09
                                                                • 3065

                                                                #171
                                                                I missed the 1st round, but how was that Cifers?

                                                                Looked like Viana outstruck her in the 1st & 3rd...statwise
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Thrilla
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 03-10-15
                                                                  • 13809

                                                                  #172
                                                                  Love you Hannah!

                                                                  And

                                                                  Shalom everybody.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Thrilla
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 03-10-15
                                                                    • 13809

                                                                    #173
                                                                    Farmer chicks tough as nails
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Hugo de Naranja
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 04-14-16
                                                                      • 14140

                                                                      #174
                                                                      Added:
                                                                      Byrd+Shahbazyan WGD/Jones (-137) 1.03u to win .75u
                                                                      Stamann Scorecards = No Action (+190) 1u
                                                                      Sanchez/Stamann/Cirkunov (+1153) .5u
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Hugo de Naranja
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 04-14-16
                                                                        • 14140

                                                                        #175
                                                                        Added Hedge(s):
                                                                        Gall Round 1 (+250) 1u
                                                                        Gall KO/TKO (+305) .5u

                                                                        I think Gall needs an early KO to win and I've got a bunch of Diego equity with my big play on him at (+285).
                                                                        Comment
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