UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith (March 02, 2019)

**Sanity Check** · 03-02-19, 06:32 AM

Hamaru Usman, Anthony Smith and Ben Askren may not have UFC belts.

But they do have the mentality and mindset of champions.

Gotta love it.

**Shagdogy** · 03-02-19, 06:39 AM

Originally posted by turbozed

I'm on board with all four of those ML bets. Let's get it Shagy!

Love it.

**Shagdogy** · 03-02-19, 06:45 AM

Originally posted by turbozed

I'm on board with all four of those ML bets. Let's get it Shagy!

My parlays are:
Chiasson/Zabit/Askren
Byrd/Askren
Cirkunov/Askren

Hoping to be in a position win a solid few units on Askren so I can hit a very easy free money hedge with Lawler KO/TKO at almost 4-1. Can’t picture Lawler winning any other way. But even at +220 a conservative hedge on his ML isn’t bad.

**JAKEPEAVY21** · 03-02-19, 08:22 AM

looking forward to this card

**HurlSweatPants** · 03-02-19, 11:12 AM

BOL to everyone making plays today, lets win some money.

Hopefully Askren pulls through, seems like everyone is on Dad Bod in some form.

**HurlSweatPants** · 03-02-19, 11:16 AM

Originally posted by Shagdogy

My parlays are:
Chiasson/Zabit/Askren
Byrd/Askren
Cirkunov/Askren

Hoping to be in a position win a solid few units on Askren so I can hit a very easy free money hedge with Lawler KO/TKO at almost 4-1. Can’t picture Lawler winning any other way. But even at +220 a conservative hedge on his ML isn’t bad.

Doing the same, I took the Lawler by KO prop at +385 to hedge, as opposed to Lawler ITD at +370. No way I would take him straight, I said this earlier, but if Lawler wins a decision I would be extremely surprised, and even more surprised if he pulls of a sub, which makes the ITD prop a little silly.

**Teem** · 03-02-19, 12:57 PM

Do you guys think it's likely Byrd/Edmen and Zabit/Stephens both start round 2? Just looking for a couple safe props to throw in with a couple ML's.

**JC2008** · 03-02-19, 01:03 PM

Originally posted by Teem

Do you guys think it's likely Byrd/Edmen and Zabit/Stephens both start round 2? Just looking for a couple safe props to throw in with a couple ML's.

I definitely like Stephens to start round 2 but that's just an opinion.

**Stringer Bell** · 03-02-19, 01:13 PM

In Jones/Smith fight, Round 3 doesn't start and Jones TKO/KO are both -145, which do you guys think is the better play?

**Teem** · 03-02-19, 01:14 PM

Yeah I like that one better than Byrd/Edmen... I'm trying to pull the trigger on Stamann by decision but idk anything about Perez other than he has a solid gas tank and he's been edging decisions in his recent fights. Maybe a couple from poor judging. I believe Stamann is coming in on short notice here. Which I normally like to fade. But I know people that are still big on him winning this fight.

**Teem** · 03-02-19, 01:18 PM

Smith is a tough sob. But I think Jones will be patient and put him away at some point by TKO/KO. That's the safer play imo... Nice name and profile pic btw. Currently going through The Wire again. Amazing show and I don't know too many people that have ever watched it. Just started Season 3.

**JC2008** · 03-02-19, 01:18 PM

Originally posted by Stringer Bell

In Jones/Smith fight, Round 3 doesn't start and Jones TKO/KO are both -145, which do you guys think is the better play?

I think the fight not starting round 3 is better than Jones TKO/KO/DQ as I don't see this fight lasting long, and I see a very real chance Jones subs him. I like the sub prop at +175 if anything.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 03-02-19, 02:05 PM

Originally posted by Stringer Bell

In Jones/Smith fight, Round 3 doesn't start and Jones TKO/KO are both -145, which do you guys think is the better play?

Won't Start Round 3

**Hugo de Naranja** · 03-02-19, 02:05 PM

Originally posted by Teem

Do you guys think it's likely Byrd/Edmen and Zabit/Stephens both start round 2? Just looking for a couple safe props to throw in with a couple ML's.

Like the Zabit one. Don't like the Byrd one at all.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 03-02-19, 03:12 PM

UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith Picks:
Polyana Viana Round 1 Submission (Armbar)
Macy Chiasson Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Charles Byrd Round 1 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Diego Sanchez Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Cody Stamann Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
Misha Cirkunov Round 1 Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
Zabit Magomedsharipov Round 2 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Cody Garbrandt Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)
Weili Zhang Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Ben Askren Unanimous Decision (30-24 x3)
Kamaru Usman Unanimous Decision (49-46 x2, 48-47)
Jon Jones Round 1 TKO (Elbows and Punches)

**Hugo de Naranja** · 03-02-19, 03:13 PM

Originally posted by turbozed

I'm on board with all four of those ML bets. Let's get it Shagy!

Sounds like we've got a consensus. I'm on all four moneylines as well.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 03-02-19, 03:14 PM

UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith

Fight Pass Prelims:

Fight #1: Viana vs. Cifers
Viana ITD (-103) 1.03u to win 1u
Viana KO/TKO (+775) .5u

Fight #2: Chiasson vs. Mazany
Chiasson+Mazany Won’t Go Distance (-105) 1.05u to win 1u
Chiasson Round 1 (+170) .5u
Chiasson KO/TKO (+325) 1u

Fight #3: Byrd vs. Shahbazyan
Byrd (+150) 2u
Byrd Submission (+410) .5u

Hedge:
Shahbazyan Round 1 (+350) .75u

Fox Sports 1 Prelims:

Fight #4: Sanchez vs. Gall
Sanchez (+285) 3.6u
Sanchez Round 3 (+2930) .25u

Hedge:
Gall KO/TKO (+280) .5u

Fight #5: Stamann vs. Perez
Stamann Decision (-110) 1.1u to win 1u

Fight #6: Cirkunov vs. Walker
Cirkunov+Walker Won’t Start Round 2 (-108) 1.62u to win 1.5u
Cirkunov (+120) 2u
Cirkunov ITD (+177) 1u
Cirkunov+Walker Under 60 Seconds (+900) .5u

Hedge:
Walker Round 1 (+165) 1u

Fight #7: Magomedsharipov vs. Stephens
Magomedsharipov Submission (+320) 1u
Magomedsharipov Round 2 (+650) .5u
Magomedsharipov Round 3 (+1125) .25u

Hedge:
Stephens Round 3 (+1475) .25u

Main Card:

Fight #8: Garbrandt vs. Munhoz
Garbrandt Decision (+321) .5u

Hedge:
Munhoz Submission (+475) .5u

Fight #9: Zhang vs. Torres
Zhang (-150) 1.5u to win 1u
Zhang ITD (+365) .5u

Fight #10: Askren vs. Lawler
Askren -3.5 (+119) 3.36u

Hedge(s):
Lawler KO/TKO (+430) 1u
Lawler Round 1 (+700) .25u

Fight #11: Woodley (C) vs. Usman
Usman+Woodley Goes Distance (-105) 1.05u to win 1u
Usman (+153) 3u
Usman Unanimous Decision (+445) .5u
Usman Round 4 (+1750) .1u
Usman Round 5 (+2250) .1u

Hedge(s):
Woodley Round 1 (+500) .5u
Woodley Round 2 (+700) .25u
Woodley Split/Majority Decision (+890) .25u

Fight #12: Jones (C) vs. Smith
Jones Round 1 (+150) 1u
Jones Submission (+200) 1u
Jones Unanimous Decision (+975) .5u

Hedge:
Smith KO/TKO (+1125) .5u

Straight Parlays:
Magomedsharipov/Askren (-107) 1.07u to win 1u
Chiasson/Garbrandt (+100) 2.02u

Prop Parlays:
Cirkunov+Walker WGD/Askren+Lawler GD (-111) 1.11u to win 1u
Byrd+Shahbazyan WGD/Stamann+Perez GD (+109) 1u

Full Card Props:
Over 6.5 Fights Go Distance (+293) .5u
Over 7.5 Fights Go Distance (+798) .5u
Over 8.5 Fights Go Distance (+2650) .1u
Over 9.5 Fights Go Distance (+12300) .1u

Multi-Event Parlays:
Jones/Means (-131) 2.63u to win 2u
Adesanya -3.5/Askren (-119) 1.19u to win 1u
Yan/Askren (-113) 4.52u to win 4u
Amosov/Askren (-110) 2.2u to win 2u
Yan/Magomedsharipov (+102) 1u
Askren/Till (+110) 1u
Yan/Magomedsharipov (+111) 1u
Ismagulov/Magomedsharipov (+114) 1u
Garbrandt/Dariush (+145) .75u
Stamann/Means (+147) 1u

**209 Life** · 03-02-19, 03:21 PM

Gonna be good night of fights. Sleeper fight is Zabit vs Stephens thats gonna be fireworks

**Hugo de Naranja** · 03-02-19, 04:24 PM

Added:
Byrd ITD/Sanchez Decision/Cirkunov+Walker WSR2/Usman UD (+13216) .25u

**Shagdogy** · 03-02-19, 04:27 PM

Won’t be able to watch this card live - anyone know where I can find the ppv fights later tonight or tomorrow morning? Thinking I can avoid spoilers and catch up when I get a shot.

**The HOFF** · 03-02-19, 04:59 PM

Originally posted by Shagdogy

Won’t be able to watch this card live - anyone know where I can find the ppv fights later tonight or tomorrow morning? Thinking I can avoid spoilers and catch up when I get a shot.

I won’t be able to watch live either. I’ll be on a damn plane. But allfreefightvideos.com should have them at some point. They usually come down within a day though. I’ve managed to catch a few Sun morning but better chance of seeing most fights if u check Sat night.

**Teem** · 03-02-19, 05:37 PM

Gonna be a good night. Good luck everyone!

**A1pha** · 03-02-19, 05:38 PM

3U - Garbrandt -150
2U - Woodley -155
2U - Walker -170
2U - Zhang -130
1U - Stamann -160
1U - Magomedsharipov -245
1U - Byrd +145
1U - Sanchez +205

**Fence** · 03-02-19, 05:39 PM

I've got Cody for 1 unit; and

A parlay with Cody, Zabit and Zhang (.5 units to win 1.5);

I'm considering going in a little more on Garbrandt - I think he comes back with a vengeance...

BOL everybody!

**Unwritten Law** · 03-02-19, 06:02 PM

What's everybody drinking for this event? Chu hi's for me!

**Shagdogy** · 03-02-19, 06:15 PM

Originally posted by Unwritten Law

What's everybody drinking for this event? Chu hi's for me!

Cheers! This should be a good one. Mad I’m missing. Just hope I have the energy to stay up and watch em before I see all the results.

**praisebuddha** · 03-02-19, 06:23 PM

Originally posted by Unwritten Law

What's everybody drinking for this event? Chu hi's for me!

Mind Haze IPA's from Firestone Walker

**mdunlap3** · 03-02-19, 06:29 PM

Love Cirkunov here...other dude is juiced to shite.

**Shagdogy** · 03-02-19, 06:53 PM

Originally posted by The HOFF

I won’t be able to watch live either. I’ll be on a damn plane. But allfreefightvideos.com should have them at some point. They usually come down within a day though. I’ve managed to catch a few Sun morning but better chance of seeing most fights if u check Sat night.

Thanks HOFF I'll check there.

**Kermit** · 03-02-19, 06:59 PM

Fight of the Night so far.

**spurginobili** · 03-02-19, 07:02 PM

I missed the 1st round, but how was that Cifers?

Looked like Viana outstruck her in the 1st & 3rd...statwise

**Thrilla** · 03-02-19, 07:03 PM

Love you Hannah!

And

Shalom everybody.

**Thrilla** · 03-02-19, 07:05 PM

Farmer chicks tough as nails

**Hugo de Naranja** · 03-02-19, 07:25 PM

Added:
Byrd+Shahbazyan WGD/Jones (-137) 1.03u to win .75u
Stamann Scorecards = No Action (+190) 1u
Sanchez/Stamann/Cirkunov (+1153) .5u

**Hugo de Naranja** · 03-02-19, 07:26 PM

Added Hedge(s):
Gall Round 1 (+250) 1u
Gall KO/TKO (+305) .5u

I think Gall needs an early KO to win and I've got a bunch of Diego equity with my big play on him at (+285).