UFC on ESPN: Ngannou vs. Velasquez, will be held on February 17, 2019

[A1pha]

Lots of money going in on Barao. Maybe Barao decision +400?

Might be worth a small play doesn't seem to have the Pop he use to before.

[A1pha]

Penne vs Esquibel is off Penn pulled out with an injury. She also missed weight yesterday...

[PaperTrail07]

Adding:

61302

Luque wins inside distance

-115

Larger than usual here

[Fence]

Lots of money going in on Barao. Maybe Barao decision +400?

Not a terrible gamble but Luke has a fairly high striking output compared to RB; and is likely to be cut if loses to Barao. Of course we know that Barao has slid in recent years but also has a significant competition / experience advantage over Luke. With those odds, might be worth a small play.

[A1pha]

Adding Lee by Decision +169 0.5 U
Lee -170 1u

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC on ESPN 1: Velasquez vs. Ngannou Picks:
Aleksandra Albu Round 1 Submission (Guillotine Choke)
Luke Sanders Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)
Scott Holtzman Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Andrea Lee Round 3 Submission (Armbar)
Manny Bermudez Round 1 Submission (Triangle Choke)
Jimmie Rivera Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Myles Jury Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Vicente Luque Round 1 Submission (D’Arce Choke)
Kron Gracie Round 2 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Cynthia Calvillo Round 1 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
James Vick Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
Francis Ngannou Round 1 TKO (Punches)

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC on ESPN 1: Velasquez vs. Ngannou

ESPN+ Prelims:

Fight #1: Albu vs. Whitmire
Albu (-125) 1.25u to win 1u
Albu ITD (+302) .5u
Albu Submission (+460) .25u

Fight #2: Sanders vs. Barao
Sanders (-168) 6.7u to win 4u
Sanders Decision (+175) 1u
Sanders KO/TKO (+348) .5u
Sanders Round 3 (+1200) .25u

Hedge(s):
Barao Round 1 (+550) .5u
Barao Submission (+620) 1u

ESPN Prelims:

Fight #3: Holtzman vs. Lentz
Holtzman (-175) 1.75u to win 1u
Holtzman Round 3 (+1400) .25u

Hedge:
Lentz ITD (+582) .25u

Fight #4: A. Lee vs. Evans-Smith
A. Lee -3.5 (+139) 2.25u
A. Lee+Evans-Smith Won’t Go Distance (+200) 1u
A. Lee ITD (+330) .5u
A. Lee Submission (+385) .5u
A. Lee Round 2 (+750) .25u
A. Lee KO/TKO (+1120) .25u
A. Lee Round 3 (+1200) .5u

Hedge:
Evans-Smith ITD (+700) .25u

Fight #5: M. Bermudez vs. Lopez
M. Bermudez ITD (-111) 2.22u to win 2u
M. Bermudez Round 1 (+225) .75u
M. Bermudez KO/TKO (+1100) .25u
M. Bermudez+Lopez Draw (+8000) .1u

Hedge(s):
Lopez Decision (+501) .25u
Lopez Round 1 (+575) .25u

Fight #6: Rivera vs. Sterling
Rivera (-138) 2.75u to win 2u

Hedge(s):
Sterling ITD (+466) .25u
Sterling Submission (+790) .25u

Main Card:

Fight #7: Jury vs. Fili
Jury (-143) 2.87u to win 2u
Jury -3.5 (+170) 1u

Fight #8: Luque vs. Barberena
Luque Round 1 (+275) .5u
Luque Submission (+314) .5u
Luque+Barberena Draw (+8000) .1u

Hedge(s):
Barberena KO/TKO (+930) .25u
Barberena Round 3 (+2225) .25u

Fight #9: Gracie (DEBUT) vs. Caceres
Gracie ITD (-157) 2.75u to win 1.75u
Gracie Round 2 (+450) .25u
Gracie KO/TKO (+1325) .25u

Hedge(s):
Caceres Scorecards = No Action (+442) .5u
Caceres Decision (+530) .5u

Fight #10: Calvillo vs. Casey
Calvillo Submission (+275) 1u

Hedge(s):
Casey (+240) 1u
Casey Decision (+423) .5u
Casey Round 1 (+1600) .25u

Fight #11: Vick vs. Felder
Vick Decision (+180) 1.5u

Hedge(s):
Felder KO/TKO (+250) 1u
Felder Round 1 (+400) .25u
Felder Submission (+1625) .1u

Fight #12: Velasquez vs. Ngannou
Ngannou (+202) 2.5u
Ngannou Round 1 (+358) 1.5u
Ngannou Round 2 (+850) .25u
Ngannou Submission (+2500) .25u

Hedge:
Velasquez Unanimous Decision (+749) 1u

Straight Parlays:
Holtzman+Lentz Over 2.5/A. Lee (+112) 1u
A. Lee/M. Bermudez (+121) 1u
Holtzman/M. Bermudez (+140) .75u
Holtzman/Jury (+168) 1u
Sanders/Holtzman/A. Lee/Rivera/Jury/Luque/Gracie (+1789) .25u
Albu/Sanders/Holtzman/A. Lee/M. Bermudez/Rivera/Jury/Luque/Gracie/Calvillo/Vick/Ngannou (+36520) .1u

Prop Parlays:
M. Bermudez+Lopez WGD/Rivera+Sterling GD (+108) 1u
Jury/Luque+Barberena WGD/Gracie ITD (+387) .3u
A. Lee/M. Bermudez/Rivera Decision (+430) .25u
Calvillo+Casey Under 2.5/Vick/Ngannou+Velasquez WSR3 (+614) .25u
Albu/Sanders -3.5/Holtzman (+620) .25u
Holtzman/M. Bermudez ITD/Rivera/Jury/Gracie ITD/Ngannou Round 1 (+5040) .1u
Albu ITD/Sanders Decision/Barberena/Gracie Round 2/Ngannou Round 1 (+10496) .1u

Full Card Props:
None

Multi-Event Parlays:
Young/A. Lee (+108) 1u
Turner+Potter WSR3/Rivera+Sterling GD (+108) 1u
Amosov/Sanders (+115) 1u

[Hugo de Naranja]

Best of luck tonight boys.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Sterling +3,5 handicap would have been pretttttttttty easy money here i think...

Would have been like (-300)

[Hugo de Naranja]

Albu -115 1 Unit
Holtzman -185 1 Unit
Velasquez -175 1 Unit
Velasquez wins by TKO/KO +117 0.5 Unit
Felder +100 1 Unit
Fili +125 0.5 Unit
Rivera -135 1 Unit
Bermudez -185 1.5 Unit
Bermudez/Lopez o1.5 -120 0.5 Unit
Barao/Sanders WGTD -115 0.5 Unit
Barberena/Luque GTD +115 0.5 Unit
Barbarena handicap +3½ +165 0.5 Unit

Some Fliers worth taking IMO
Rivera wins by TKO/KO +586, Albu BY decision +211 Cain anywhere from rds 3 and up crazy odds.

Best of luck tonight Alpha! Always nice to see newer posters getting some bets down.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Might be worth a small play doesn't seem to have the Pop he use to before.

Barao pretty much has one round of gas at this point. I think he needs a R1 finish to win.

[PaperTrail07]

GL fellas

[PaperTrail07]

def don't see him outpointing a very active sanders...

Barao pretty much has one round of gas at this point. I think he needs a R1 finish to win.

[Hugo de Naranja]

People keep saying this is a tough style matchup for Ngannou but I actually think it's a tough one for Velasquez. Ngannou just TKOed the best heavyweight wrestler in under a minute and is hard to take down early. Plus a power puncher of his stature is not the kind of opponent you want as you look to settle into a fight after a long layoff.

[bjpenn85]

Would have been like (-300)

It might have been. Ey i cant give you betpoints, do you know why?

[Hugo de Naranja]

It might have been. Ey i cant give you betpoints, do you know why?

Hmm not sure.

[JC2008]

Anyone have a good stream for the early prelims?

http://ripple.is/mma/7353-ufc-on-espn-ngannou-vs-velasquez-early-prelims

[Mackballs]

Wtf is the delay?

[Hugo de Naranja]

Wtf is the delay?

Penne vs. Esquibel got cancelled so they are starting late.

[209 Life]

Anybody else on the dogs Benito Lopez & Barbarena?

[Mackballs]

Penne vs. Esquibel got cancelled so they are starting late.

Ah I see, thanks.

[HurlSweatPants]

Best of luck tonight boys.

Damn dude, knew you were going against Barao but never could've guessed it would be your biggest bet. Lets get this Ngannou money

[The HOFF]

Son of a bitch.

[bjpenn85]

The taste of being unproff. Albu doesnt care fore technique or mma it seems.

[spurginobili]

Ouch, had Albu pretty big

[THE_LOCKSMITH]

that was quick

[bjpenn85]

Whitmire has the facial expression of someone who never wins, she cant believe it.

[boss_of_um]

Those chicks didn't look to be anywhere close to the same weight class. What a joke.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Whitmire is not a good fighter. Apparently Albu is worse

[bjpenn85]

Whitmire is not a good fighter. Apparently Albu is worse

Their both trash. I was super tempted to bet Albu, you get tempted on these cards where youre on the look for favourites....luckily you didnt bet much on her. I have so many times, lost on cards hoping and wanting to find safe plays. For me im just lucky going in + with this event, i dont know if i should have betted at all hehe. Just got to...

[Sanity Check]

.

Barao with the anime track walk out.

Sanders with the Bon Jovi.

<3

[Hugo de Naranja]

R1 for Barao. We'll see how his tank holds up

[HurlSweatPants]

Barao pieced him the penetrate up that round. 10-9 Barao

[boss_of_um]

That escalated quickly. Sanders with the KO

[mdunlap3]

R1 for Barao. We'll see how his tank holds up

SANDERS HUGO!!! Beautiful hit brother. I hit that because I saw your unit size! Nice start.