UFC on ESPN: Ngannou vs. Velasquez, will be held on February 17, 2019

[ELNATURAL]

I think I just watched the most amazing main event fight ever !

Wow that was worth the wait and drama. Incredible.

[Unwritten Law]

I thought Cain was gonna retire if he lost. He will be an auto-fade if he fights again. For him to think about coming back is crazy unless he's desperate for money.

[209 Life]

Retire Cain, Nothing left to prove

[Hugo de Naranja]

Lost 0.4u or so after a very up and down night. Happy about breaking even since I had some BAD picks. Hopefully Prague is better for everyone.

[Sanity Check]

Which heavyweight fight was more of a parody?

Matt Mitrione vs Sergei Kharitonov

Cain Velasquez vs Francis Ngannou

[Dim mak]

Lol this weekend was looking great for mma on paper but turned out shit.

Cain was doing exactly what he needed to do to win but his knee is done. What a shitty way to lose and now I have to watch jackass chael act like no injury happened

[bjpenn85]

Lost 0.4u or so after a very up and down night. Happy about breaking even since I had some BAD picks. Hopefully Prague is better for everyone.

Super tuf card to go in +...the difference between this card and the last one is night and day. I should not have placed any money on this event, just to get into habit that one doesnt always need to bet, its ok to skip. A lot of people today lost, when its unnecessary. But whole lot of fun though unless you reeeeeeeaaallly lost.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Super tuf card to go in +...the difference between this card and the last one is night and day. I should not have placed any money on this event, just to get into habit that one doesnt always need to bet, its ok to skip. A lot of people today lost, when its unnecessary. But whole lot of fun though unless you reeeeeeeaaallly lost.

For sure. Congrats to those few that won big tonight. Much respect.

[Hugo de Naranja]

People keep saying this is a tough style matchup for Ngannou but I actually think it's a tough one for Velasquez. Ngannou just TKOed the best heavyweight wrestler in under a minute and is hard to take down early. Plus a power puncher of his stature is not the kind of opponent you want as you look to settle into a fight after a long layoff.

Quick bump on this. Ngannou now 3-1 against Elite Wrestlers (KO/TKO Velasquez and Blaydes twice, lost to a UD to Miocic)

[ELNATURAL]

Ngannou was very impressive tonight.

Solid work. Out wrestled Cain.

[firekillex]

Ngannou was very impressive tonight.

Solid work. Out wrestled Cain.

smh

[Thrilla]

smh

Fkk that useless troll pos

[Thrilla]

[ELNATURAL]

Big Thrills

More tennis plays from you please ! You really know your stuff.

[Thrilla]

Big Thrills

More tennis plays from you please ! You really know your stuff.

Think for yourself and ask yourself the likelihood of Mertens having a high energy level after winning WTA Doha 2 days ago. Starts in 15 minutes.

[ELNATURAL]

Big Thrills Thank you

[Thrilla]

Big Thrills Thank you

Thank you for what? Did you fade Mertens or not?

Set Handicap, Game Handicap and Over won. Just waiting for the outright Zhu to hit. Squares on the big favorite thinking Mertens is in form. We sharps see this as a letdown spot.

[ELNATURAL]

Thank you for the play.

Big Thrills you are the sharpest here.

[Thrilla]

Thank you for the play.

Big Thrills you are the sharpest here.

Go fkk yourself

[Demonata]

Hugo whats your total for this card?

[Hugo de Naranja]

Hugo whats your total for this card?

-0.5u. I’ll get everything posted later tonight.

[Demonata]

-0.5u. I’ll get everything posted later tonight.

Thanks man. What???? No way you actually lost?

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC on ESPN 1: Velasquez vs. Ngannou Picks:
Aleksandra Albu Round 1 Submission (Guillotine Choke)
Luke Sanders Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)
Scott Holtzman Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Andrea Lee Round 3 Submission (Armbar)
Manny Bermudez Round 1 Submission (Triangle Choke)
Jimmie Rivera Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Myles Jury Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Vicente Luque Round 1 Submission (D’Arce Choke)
Kron Gracie Round 2 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Cynthia Calvillo Round 1 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
James Vick Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
Francis Ngannou Round 1 TKO (Punches)

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC on ESPN 1: Velasquez vs. Ngannou

ESPN+ Prelims:

Fight #1: Albu vs. Whitmire
Albu (-125) -1.25u
Albu ITD (+302) -.5u
Albu Submission (+460) -.25u

Result: Emily Whitmire Round 1 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Fight: -2u
Card: -2u

Fight #2: Sanders vs. Barao
Sanders (-168) +4u
Sanders Decision (+175) -1u
Sanders KO/TKO (+348) +1.74u
Sanders Round 3 (+1200) -.25u

Hedge(s):
Barao Round 1 (+550) -.5u
Barao Submission (+620) -1u

Result: Luke Sanders Round 2 KO (Punches)
Fight: +2.99u
Card: +0.99u

ESPN Prelims:

Fight #3: Holtzman vs. Lentz
Holtzman (-175) -1.75u
Holtzman Round 3 (+1400) -.25u

Hedge:
Lentz ITD (+582) -.25u

Result: Nik Lentz Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
Fight: -2.25u
Card: -1.26u

Fight #4: A. Lee vs. Evans-Smith
A. Lee -3.5 (+139) +3.13u
A. Lee+Evans-Smith Won’t Go Distance (+200) -1u
A. Lee ITD (+330) -.5u
A. Lee Submission (+385) -.5u
A. Lee Round 2 (+750) -.25u
A. Lee KO/TKO (+1120) -.25u
A. Lee Round 3 (+1200) -.5u

Hedge:
Evans-Smith ITD (+700) -.25u

Result: Andrea Lee Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Fight: -0.12u
Card: -1.38u

Fight #5: M. Bermudez vs. Lopez
M. Bermudez ITD (-111) +2u
M. Bermudez Round 1 (+225) +1.69u
M. Bermudez KO/TKO (+1100) -.25u
M. Bermudez+Lopez Draw (+8000) -.1u

Hedge(s):
Lopez Decision (+501) -.25u
Lopez Round 1 (+575) -.25u

Result: Manny Bermudez Round 1 Submission (Guillotine Choke)
Fight: +2.84u
Card: +1.46u

Fight #6: Rivera vs. Sterling
Rivera (-138) -2.75u

Hedge(s):
Sterling ITD (+466) -.25u
Sterling Submission (+790) -.25u

Result: Aljamain Sterling Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Fight: -3.25u
Card: -1.79u

Main Card:

Fight #7: Jury vs. Fili
Jury (-143) -2.87u to win 2u
Jury -3.5 (+170) -1u

Added:
Jury KO/TKO (+585) -.5u

Result: Andre Fili Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
Fight: -4.37u
Card: -6.16u

Fight #8: Luque vs. Barberena
Luque Round 1 (+275) -.5u
Luque Submission (+314) -.5u
Luque+Barberena Draw (+8000) -.1u

Hedge(s):
Barberena KO/TKO (+930) -.25u
Barberena Round 3 (+2225) -.25u

Result: Vicente Luque Round 3 TKO (Knees and Punches)
Fight: -1.6u
Card: -7.76u

Fight #9: Gracie (DEBUT) vs. Caceres
Gracie ITD (-157) +1.75u
Gracie Round 2 (+450) -.25u
Gracie KO/TKO (+1325) -.25u

Hedge(s):
Caceres Scorecards = No Action (+442) -.5u
Caceres Decision (+530) -.5u

Result: Kron Gracie Round 1 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Fight: +0.25u
Card: -7.51u

Fight #10: Calvillo vs. Casey
Calvillo Submission (+275) -1u

Hedge(s):
Casey (+240) -1u
Casey Decision (+423) -.5u
Casey Round 1 (+1600) -.25u

Result: Cynthia Calvillo Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Fight: -2.75u
Card: -10.26u

Fight #11: Vick vs. Felder
Vick Decision (+180) -1.5u

Hedge(s):
Felder KO/TKO (+250) -1u
Felder Round 1 (+400) -.25u
Felder Submission (+1625) -.1u

Result: Paul Felder Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)
Fight: -2.85u
Card: -13.11u

Fight #12: Velasquez vs. Ngannou
Ngannou (+202) +5.05u
Ngannou Round 1 (+358) +5.38u
Ngannou Round 2 (+850) -.25u
Ngannou Submission (+2500) -.25u

Hedge:
Velasquez Unanimous Decision (+749) -1u

Added:
Ngannou KO/TKO (+200) +2u

Result: Francis Ngannou Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Fight: +10.93u
Card: -2.18u

Straight Parlays:
Holtzman+Lentz Over 2.5/A. Lee (+112) +1.12u
A. Lee/M. Bermudez (+121) +1.21u
Holtzman/M. Bermudez (+140) -.75u
Holtzman/Jury (+168) -1u
Sanders/Holtzman/A. Lee/Rivera/Jury/Luque/Gracie (+1789) -.25u
Albu/Sanders/Holtzman/A. Lee/M. Bermudez/Rivera/Jury/Luque/Gracie/Calvillo/Vick/Ngannou (+36520) -.1u

Results: See Above
Fight: +0.23u
Card: -1.95u

Prop Parlays:
M. Bermudez+Lopez WGD/Rivera+Sterling GD (+108) +1.08u
Jury/Luque+Barberena WGD/Gracie ITD (+387) -.3u
A. Lee/M. Bermudez/Rivera Decision (+430) -.25u
Calvillo+Casey Under 2.5/Vick/Ngannou+Velasquez WSR3 (+614) -.25u
Albu/Sanders -3.5/Holtzman (+620) -.25u
Holtzman/M. Bermudez ITD/Rivera/Jury/Gracie ITD/Ngannou Round 1 (+5040) -.1u
Albu ITD/Sanders Decision/Barberena/Gracie Round 2/Ngannou Round 1 (+10496) -.1u

Added:
Jury Decision/Vick (+392) -.5u

Results: See Above
Fight: -0.67u
Card: -2.62u

Live Betting:
Barberena (+100) -2u after R2
Fili (+130) +1.3u after R2
Holtzman (+220) -.5u after R2

Results: See Above
Fights: -1.2u
Card: -3.82u

Full Card Props:
None

FOTN: Luque+Barberena
POTN: Gracie. Sanders
Fastest Submission: Whitmire R1 (1:01)
Fastest KO: Ngannou R1 (0:26)
Decisions: 6
Results: See Above
Final Card Total = -3.82u

Multi-Event Parlays:
Young/A. Lee (+108) +1.08u
Turner+Potter WSR3/Rivera+Sterling GD (+108) +1.08u
Amosov/Sanders (+115) +1.15u

Results: See Above
Fight: +3.31u
Multi-Event Parlays = +3.31u

[Hugo de Naranja]

Up and down night that ended with -3.82u on Prop Bets and +3.31u on Multi-Event Parlays for a -0.51u result. Honestly happy to break even after a very up and down card from me with a few lessons learned along the way.

[Hugo de Naranja]

What's next for Ngannou?

[Igor_1965]

I think I just watched the most amazing main event fight ever !

Wow that was worth the wait and drama. Incredible.

ditto!

[Thrilla]

What's next for Ngannou?

Only God knows...

[brooks85]

what's next?


hopefully a fight against someone who doesn't suffer one of the most random injuries in the history of mma within the first 30 seconds lol


cain says he felt 100% which is odd because that injury didn't look like he was 100%. He says it was a freak injury. Definitely no way he made it through training camp if that knee was ready to give out. Either it was a freak injury or he is lying.

[Thrilla]

Agree with hillbilly brooks. Hard to believe Cain was doing hard sparring sessions during camp with that kind of body like he used to do. Fighters lie all the time for that paycheck. Could have been hiding an injury.
Cain said he stepped inside too soon. lol It was like a pile of blubber hitting into a brick wall when he went inside.

[PaperTrail07]

too soon....what did he need a decade.....it was 100% a penetrating cash grab....he had that long and went in with that gameplan.....WTF...embarrassing.....he didn't look in shape (never does but even worse) and went in and went away from the plan.....KO within 30 seconds.....he also lacked respect ....tried to waltz in there and back down an animal....he needed to circle and make francis make the first move then grapple ect.......it was an overall embarrassing performance IMO....

Agree with hillbilly brooks. Hard to believe Cain was doing hard sparring sessions during camp with that kind of body like he used to do. Fighters lie all the time for that paycheck. Could have been hiding an injury.
Cain said he stepped inside too soon. lol It was like a pile of blubber hitting into a brick wall when he went inside.

[firekillex]

What's next for Ngannou?

Daniel Cormier or Stipe rematch only 2 fights for him tbh

[firekillex]

did anybody watch Cain in the open workout tweak his knee on a punch and he stopped the workout right away

[Hugo de Naranja]

did anybody watch Cain in the open workout tweak his knee on a punch and he stopped the workout right away

I did

[brooks85]

did anybody watch Cain in the open workout tweak his knee on a punch and he stopped the workout right away

that sob is lying then

wish I would have seen that. I should have watched all of it lol


One of my proudest mma betting moments was going large on Cain, rightfully, against JDS first time but when I watched him get into octagon I knew his knee(s) were ******. I posted to jump on JDS just in time. Good times.