UFC 100 with Bread, The Hoff and Robyn

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  • Bread
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-16-08
    • 23726

    #1
    UFC 100 with Bread, The Hoff and Robyn
    Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.


    Finally UFC 100 is here and we’re bringing out all the big guns for this one. MMA aficionados The Hoff and the lovely but dangerous MMA Robyn will be joining me to offer their opinions on this momentous event. But why stop there? We have the UFC 100 Capping Contest going on with cash prizes. We have more Prop bets to choose from than the Super Bowl. WeÂ’ve even got the greatest ring announcer ever dropping hints of giving us the debut of the Bruce Buffer 360! IÂ’m giddy! On to the fights!

    Brock Lesnar -225
    Frank Mir +185

    Robyn - Although I am not a fan, I am going with Mir at +190 for this fight. Lesnar is a force to be reckoned with, however I feel that Mir is a more seasoned opponent who is mentally ready for the battle. I predict that Mir wins by submission in the second round.

    Bread – Oh crap I’m picking against Robyn right off the bat. One of these days I will have a better record than her in an MMA event. I can feel it coming.

    Frank Mir (12-3-0) looked awfully impressive in his last outing, giving Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira his first early stoppage loss in 38 fights. What jumped out at me was how nasty his striking game was. We all know how dangerous MirÂ’s submissions are, as proven with his life saving leg lock victory over Brock Lesnar (3-1-0) last year. Mir was in the process of getting pummeled before he did what he does best. But against Nogueira, Mir was connecting and ringing his bell like he was trying to impress his girlfriend at the carnival.

    But you know what? It just doesnÂ’t matter. Lesnar is a beast, the likes of which have never been seen. At 265, he has 25 lbs of massive muscle on Mir. You have to think that he has learned from his carelessness and been training hard on how to avoid MirÂ’s tomfoolery. Remember the motorcycle crash that sidelined Mir for two years a while back? That will seem like a walk in the park once Lesnar is done slapping him around.

    Hoff - Are you pissed that Brock Lesnar got a title shot in his fourth MMA fight? Are you pissed because he didn’t “put in his time” like Frank Mir did? Do you hate that Lesnar was in the WWE? Do you hate how Lesnar doesn’t have any MMA skill and is only an enormous athletic specimen as well as a freak of nature? Well boo hoo. There’s no stopping this freight train.

    As a native Minnesotan I can tell you just what we do up here all winter - stay inside. Our state slogan is “Come freeze your ass off.” Brock has been living and training in the small town of Alexandria, about 2 hours NW of the Twin Cities. I’ve been there. Not much to do. I can tell you exactly what Brock has been doing up there the last half year. Brock has been training MMA, bed wrestling with Sable, and killing animals with his bare hands.

    Odds-wise, I have to say Frank Mir +190 is the pick. But thatÂ’s based on value and stats and all those other token gambling fallacies. Well guess what? IÂ’m doing it the way it should be done - picking a winner based on gut feeling and betting who I want to win the fight. BROCK LESNAR -225.


    Boys – Lesnar. Girl – Mir. Oh no



    Georges St-Pierre -310


    Thiago Alves +255



    Hoff - Georges St-Pierre makes me question my sexuality. IÂ’m kiddingÂ…I think. One of the greatest pound for pound fighters in the world, GSP has destroyed all challengers. He has stumbled twice, but avenged those losses violently.



    GSP is built like a brick poophouse (censored). Thiago Alves is built like two brick poophouses (censored). Alves is powerful, no denying it. He has that one punch capability to put GSP in lala land. But I have to go with quickness in this fightÂ…just like I do in bed. GEORGES ST-PIERRE -310.



    Bread – I love me some GSP oh yes I do. The guy is simply amazing. I enjoyed every second of his last fight, where he demoralized B.J. Penn into a crying baby, throwing in the towel and whining about too much Vaseline. The way he got roughed up, you would think he would take all the Vaseline he could get.



    As much as I love St-Pierre (18-2-0), I don’t want to be left holding the bag on a -310 favorite either. That’s never fun. And as much as I hate to admit it, I think this could be a fight that has everyone saying “I didn’t see that coming” at the end of the evening. Since losing to Fitch over three years ago, Thiago Alves (22-4-0) has been on a mission, winning seven straight, many by nasty early stoppage.



    In looking at GSP’s UFC record, I realized something. His first opponent was Karo Parisyan, who is Armenian. Since then, he’s faced 14 straight American opponents. Besides two losses to Matt Hughes and Matt Serra (which were both avenged tenfold), GSP has turned the “red, white and blue” black and blue. And these were no schleps, as he has handled America’s very best in Hughes, Serra, Penn, Jon Fitch, Sean Sherk and Josh Koscheck. St-Pierre is a Canadian, and I’ve learned recently that our neighbors-to-the-north possess a passionate disdain for Americans. Just ask SBR poster Betlom. I know, I couldn’t believe it either!



    Another thing that is hard to believe is that GSP has never faced a Brazilian opponent in his career. You would think with the abundance of Silvas and Thiagos in MMA these days that this wouldÂ’ve happened by now. IÂ’m going with Brazil and the money.



    God Bless Brazil






    Dan Henderson -220


    Michael Bisping +180



    Hoff - My thoughts on the Dan Henderson vs. Michael Bisping fight can best be described by this video. DAN HENDERSON -220.








    Robyn - I want nothing more than for Henderson to knock the North West Cockney right out of Bisping. Without an English crowd of MMA hooligans backing him, I predict an ultimate Bisping FAIL. I'm going with Henderson at -220.



    Bread – Yay I’m on the same side as Robyn (and Hoff)! But why is she so angry?



    The TUF Season 9 coaches will go at it at as Dan Henderson (24-7-0) meets Michael Bisping (18-1-0). I was all set to fire off all of the reasons why it will be fun to watch Bisping take a beating, but The Hoff’s video pretty much covered them all. I’d like to thank the maker of that video for including Hendo’s footage calling Bisping a “douche” so I didn’t have to do it here. This is a classy feature.



    Jon Fitch -470


    Paulo Thiago +375



    Bread – Before his inevitable loss to GSP, Fitch (22-3-0) was on quite a win streak that included victories over Alves and Diego Sanchez. They gave him a creampuff Asian to get him back on track a few months ago. Now Fitch is looking to start a new streak. I’m not adverse to this as it would also mean the return of the best crooked eye celebration in sports. But there’s just one problem.



    IÂ’m a believer in Paulo Thiago (11-0-0). He was a monstrous dog in his last fight in which he dealt Koscheck a devastating first round TKO. As shocking as that was, we still havenÂ’t seen him do what heÂ’s best at. The majority of his wins have come via submit. IÂ’m taking a shot at the money here with Thiago.



    Hoff - Paulo Thiago came out of nowhere to destroy Josh Koscheck. IÂ’ve never laughed so hard at a knock out before. Thank you Paulo. Now crawl back under that rock you came from, you ugly, ugly man.



    Rich Franklin JrÂ…I mean Jon FitchÂ…What do you do when you are always going to be second best? Any thoughts on you fighting at 155lbs Fitch? Enjoy this fight now. Because when you reach that No. 1 contender spot your hopes and dreams will be crushed just like your spine. JON FITCH -440



    Yoshihiro Akiyama -255


    Alan Belcher +215



    Hoff - Quick, name me an Asian fighter besides Yushin Okami that is successful in the UFC. Ahh BreadÂ…ItÂ’s your greatest fade material in all of sports. An Asian fighter making his debut in the UFC. All I can say is, Alan Belcher better be wearing his Rocky Balboa American Flag shorts for UFC 100. ALAN BELCHER +215



    Bread – Yes, this is indeed my greatest fade material in the history of sports, and hitting at some unreal rate. But I’m not writing about this fight or making a pick. Think of me as just kind of walking with my hands behind my back, maybe whistling a tune, minding my own business. All the while, out of the corner of my eye, I see that squirrel. And he sees me, but suspects nothing as I slowly get closer and closer. And then…WHAMMO! Daddy is gonna eat well tonight. But hey, good luck on your Belcher pick Hoff!



    Stephan Bonnar -330


    Mark Coleman +270



    Bread - Yes, Mark Coleman (15-9-0) is 44 years old balls and he looks like a Vin Diesel reject. I get all that. But are you kidding me with Bonnar (14-5-0) as a -330 favorite? The same Bonnar who was tossed around like a ragdoll in his last fight against Jon Jones? The same Bonnar who calls himself “American Psycho” even though he resembles a sad accountant? The same Bonnar in this preview for the worst movie of all time?? Yea, give me Coleman, thanks.









    Hoff - No that wasnÂ’t Mark Coleman nominated for an Academy Award, it was Mickey Rourke. I could see how you would get the two mixed up though. I mean just look at ColemanÂ’s fake-bake spray on orange tanÂ…gross!! And that wrinkly old decrepit bodyÂ…ugh I just threw up a little in my mouth. You know what has me salivating though? Those +270 odds on Old Man River.



    The mildly retarded Stephan Bonnar is a heavy favorite coming off a loss almost as embarrassing as ColemanÂ’s loss to Shogun. Why? I donÂ’t know. Takedown, lay and pray, all day baby. MARK COLEMAN +290



    Jim Miller -190


    Mac Danzig +165



    Robyn - I've gotta give some love to my favorite intense pink hamster, Mac Danzig. Sure, he has lost his last two fights, but if he can whip together one of his famous choke holds, I have a feeling he can take the guy who beat Matt 'Pretty Boy' Wiman. Plus, it is quite possible that he is 'Last Chance Mac' when it comes to PPV face time. I'm going with Danzig at +165.



    **************************************** **


    Bread – OK there you have it. Lots of great fights on the undercard, although I’m really not sure what I’m doing with those yet. Be sure to play in the contest. It’s free and fun. Any closing thoughts?



    Hoff – On the undercard I like Danzig (+165), Jake O’Brien (+335), Tom Lawlor (+178) and Matt Grice (-125). Oh, and Bisping has been fighting scrubs who got cut from their high school JV swim team. That’s all.



    Robyn- I do not typically make educated picks by following stats and injuries down to the final moment before a fight. I do not drool all over myself trying to figure out if Batman could win in a battle with Aquaman under water using bat sonar as his primary weapon. I am not a "handicapper" but I am also not a woman who picks a fighter because of his looks and the color of his trunks. I do take the spread into consideration. If a fighter is hugely favored, I won't even touch them financially, but I will always post my picks here at SBR and thus far, my record speaks for itself.



    Bread – So angry.






  • waco66
    SBR MVP
    • 04-14-09
    • 1645

    #2
    So Alves?
    Comment
    • Bread
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 03-16-08
      • 23726

      #3
      I say Alves. Hoff says GSP because he has the hots for him.

      lol.
      Comment
      • muffin_pirate
        SBR Hustler
        • 06-17-09
        • 83

        #4
        Do you three keep a track of your records or units?
        Comment
        • Bread
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 03-16-08
          • 23726

          #5
          No it's too painful. We really should've kept track of Robyn's though.
          Comment
          • muffin_pirate
            SBR Hustler
            • 06-17-09
            • 83

            #6
            Originally posted by Bread
            No it's too painful. We really should've kept track of Robyn's though.
            It's hard to believe she hits 97%.
            Comment
            • Bread
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 03-16-08
              • 23726

              #7
              That was obviously a joke. But she does hit at an amazing clip. She turned a $37 freeroll she won on SBR into over $600. Seriously.
              Comment
              • muffin_pirate
                SBR Hustler
                • 06-17-09
                • 83

                #8
                That is impressive. Do you pick only main card fights or prelims too?
                Comment
                • illmatick
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 01-05-09
                  • 5456

                  #9
                  gl peeps, bread I suggest you drop the hard on for alves
                  Comment
                  • Bread
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 03-16-08
                    • 23726

                    #10
                    Muff Pirate...Main card, prelims, it doesn't matter to me. I'm a junkie.

                    Ill...I'm taking the money and running with Alves. But yes, GSP is a sexy man. lol.
                    Comment
                    • muffin_pirate
                      SBR Hustler
                      • 06-17-09
                      • 83

                      #11
                      I would like to see Alves win and I think he has a better shot than what most think. The public is going too much off of GSP's last fight against BJ Penn.
                      Comment
                      • Bread
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 03-16-08
                        • 23726

                        #12
                        Why were all my apostrophes up there turned into big weird letter A's? WTF?
                        Comment
                        • Bread
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 03-16-08
                          • 23726

                          #13
                          And it took my two youtube videos and made them sbr videos and now they are not showing up at all, even though when I go to EDIT I see the code for them. Help SBR!
                          Comment
                          • Robyn
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 02-05-08
                            • 9681

                            #14
                            Is there any way for one of you to go back and post my record? Surely one of you are able to go back (even to my Liddell KO prediction) to disclose my record?
                            Comment
                            • Robyn
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 02-05-08
                              • 9681

                              #15
                              Ok, now after watching the video Bisping's Island........LMAOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!

                              Sure, I am confident the guy is a decent fighter....but is that really the best England had to offer? Doubt it. Dana White is an amazing business man. What would any popular out of town sport be without a famous faceman? Surely England has a better fighter than this douche bag.
                              Comment
                              • muffin_pirate
                                SBR Hustler
                                • 06-17-09
                                • 83

                                #16
                                robyn i bet you get people to do things for you pretty easily
                                Comment
                                • illmatick
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 01-05-09
                                  • 5456

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Robyn
                                  Ok, now after watching the video Bisping's Island........LMAOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!

                                  Sure, I am confident the guy is a decent fighter....but is that really the best England had to offer? Doubt it. Dana White is an amazing business man. What would any popular out of town sport be without a famous faceman? Surely England has a better fighter than this douche bag.
                                  James wilks +275
                                  Comment
                                  • yomama8000
                                    SBR Rookie
                                    • 05-17-08
                                    • 11

                                    #18
                                    Alves over GSP? I don't think so. GSP is too good and smart of a fighter to let some guy on roids beat him. Alves can throw a punch? Who cares. GSP will take him to the ground and make him tap. And I wouldn't get too cocky on Henderson winning....after all he is past his prime...and I am sure Bisping is going to be much quicker than the 38 year old.
                                    Comment
                                    • Robyn
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 02-05-08
                                      • 9681

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by muffin_pirate
                                      robyn i bet you get people to do things for you pretty easily
                                      I refuse to be a cocky dick like the rest of these fools.
                                      Comment
                                      • Willie Bee
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 02-14-06
                                        • 15726

                                        #20
                                        Viva Brasil!
                                        Comment
                                        • muffin_pirate
                                          SBR Hustler
                                          • 06-17-09
                                          • 83

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by yomama8000
                                          Alves over GSP? I don't think so. GSP is too good and smart of a fighter to let some guy on roids beat him. Alves can throw a punch? Who cares. GSP will take him to the ground and make him tap. And I wouldn't get too cocky on Henderson winning....after all he is past his prime...and I am sure Bisping is going to be much quicker than the 38 year old.

                                          Bisping may be quicker and will probably land more punches but Hendo has a granite chin and will do more damage with less punches that Bisping will do with more.
                                          Comment
                                          • jellobiafra
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 03-08-09
                                            • 6291

                                            #22
                                            I went with Bisping but I don't love the pick. I just think of Henderson as an athlete that's peaked and on the way down, and Bisping as the opposite. Not that Bisping's peak will ever be anywhere near Henderson's, just that at this point in their careers the disparity in abilities in not indicative of the line offered. So in other words, I think the value is with the Brit.
                                            Comment
                                            • yisman
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 09-01-08
                                              • 75682

                                              #23
                                              You misspelled betplom's name. For shame!

                                              Bread, are you taking the Asian? Your write-up over there didn't make much sense.
                                              [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                              [/quote]

                                              [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                              Comment
                                              • Shark79
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 11-19-07
                                                • 11211

                                                #24
                                                Brazil ... hmmm mmmmm ..... drooling
                                                Comment
                                                • Bread
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 03-16-08
                                                  • 23726

                                                  #25
                                                  Yisman I never take Asians but I'm not saying. I'm not saying yet because I don't want to jinx myself.


                                                  LOL @ Betlom!!!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Teela
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 07-19-08
                                                    • 2551

                                                    #26
                                                    Robyn, shame on you for giving females a bad name! We (females) should ALWAYS base our decisions on the color of trunks that are worn!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Bread
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 03-16-08
                                                      • 23726

                                                      #27
                                                      Tella you're probably very happy that Roger Huerta is back in the UFC

                                                      Comment
                                                      • Reload
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 03-23-08
                                                        • 12249

                                                        #28
                                                        Nice article and throwing in the Brazilian ass picture was a solid idea!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Bread
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 03-16-08
                                                          • 23726

                                                          #29
                                                          Reload I'm all about the giving.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • j0hnnyv
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-06-09
                                                            • 3620

                                                            #30
                                                            johnny bones jones and michael bisping. all you need tomorrow nite.

                                                            lesnar winning, gsp winning are a given. i hope alves TKFO gsp tho. this whole card including prelims is awesome.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Bread
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 03-16-08
                                                              • 23726

                                                              #31
                                                              Is it tomorrow yet? Actually about exactly 24 hrs later tmrow? WHEEEEEEEEEEE!!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Bread
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 03-16-08
                                                                • 23726

                                                                #32
                                                                Parlay that will put me close to retirement.

                                                                Thiago +380
                                                                Danzig +160
                                                                Kim -225

                                                                Comment
                                                                • jellobiafra
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 03-08-09
                                                                  • 6291

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Thiago?

                                                                  No, Bread. Sorry.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Robyn
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 02-05-08
                                                                    • 9681

                                                                    #34
                                                                    I know, throwing that in a parlay makes me nervous. Nervous for our household furniture.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Bread
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 03-16-08
                                                                      • 23726

                                                                      #35
                                                                      jello i will be rich and i will not buy you a beer.
                                                                      Comment
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