Ufc fn 139 bets 7pm est

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  • acquavallo
    SBR Sharp
    • 03-16-18
    • 350

    #1
    Ufc fn 139 bets 7pm est
    EDIT: Cowboy saved our bacon. We sucked ass for 1.9 days until now. From some 20 fights we went 2-17-1
    NET for Fri & Sat fights: +3/4 Unit.

    EPILOGUE: Atypical sessions since we started posting them here. This entire year previous to posting here this past month, we've had 30 fight betting sessions without one single loss, and NEVER so in the hole
    (Murphy's Law kicked in)
    . But this weekend has been one weird tsunami of faves winning almost every single fight-including a few controversial decisions, and worse- without ending the fight early(at least of the ones offering that prop, and at bettable odds).
    Most of the time there's a healthy mix of winning underdogs & faves plus early fight ends, allowing healthy profits.
    When faves win--especially at low odds, but can't dominate enough to end the fight early, there's no money to be made(similarly when both are evenly matched at minus odds) . And if the Under odds are unbettably low, the only other alternative is to bet the underdog to make it past the first round. Seldom is this last prop offered at bettable odds btw, and is not that safe-tonight a prime example.


    (Odds posted are highest found(earlier today, but constantly changing...do your research)--usually 5D and or same @ multiple books, in case of exception book listed)

    Starting -5½ Units in the hole from Fri & earlier today cards, faves went unbelievable 10-0)

    SANCHEZ +235 & NO DECISION +110(B365) dutched: 1/2 ratio 1 Unit (we'll post bet amounts live in progress) Lost the Split Decision

    Morales-Shelton Does Not Go To Decision +170 1 Unit LOSS

    Erosa +195 & Starts Round 2 -145 dutched 1/2 ratio Loss(not even a minute)2 Units, let's risk a bit...as long as Erosa can AT LEAST last one round, then that at least protects the bet and maybe we can build up a bit for the next fight's higher profit potential.

    Gunther +735 & Starts Round 2 +140 dutched 2/3 ratio LOSS 2 Units 1/3 Ratio, 3 IF running in the black at this point

    Cooper +130 & ND(does not go the distance) +170 dutched 6-4 ratio LOSS, highway robbery on that split decision

    1 UNIT(put in 1 Unit on Skelly-Moffett Under 2½ Rounds +175 but didn't have time to post here in time. Not counting it, but parlaying that 2.75 Units here to try and start digging out of the hole) no sense in digging a deeper hole-- between the underdog and women fights tend to go the distance.

    Editing: Trizano +150 & UNDER 2½ Rounds +100(WH) LOSS(bad audible) Found No Decision +100 instead 2 Units Dutched 4/5 ratio

    Cifers + 350 & ND +110(B365) dutched 1/3 ratio NET +1.15 Units(little to lose and potentially lots to win by adding Cifers to an even money or less bet like this Under, even if looks overmatched, because of such higher odds offered) 2 Units

    Pennington +175 & ND +200(WH) LOSS
    2 Units(1 each)
    equal amounts

    NET (past two days so far) -15.35 Units NET +16.089 Units Let's put 4.65 on Cowboy:
    Cerrone +180 ONLY Cerrone Wins Inside Distance +346 & Cerrone Wins in Round 3 +1600 dutched 6/1 4/1 ratio
    Last edited by acquavallo; 11-11-18, 01:49 AM.
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