Dana White's Tuesday Contender Series 2018 - Week 5

**turbozed** · 07-16-18, 10:24 PM

Okay this is tomorrow so let's discuss...

Like Morales here but not the price.

Going to take a stab on Colleen against the young hype of Barber. Breakdown below:

**turbozed** · 07-16-18, 10:25 PM

Maycee Barber is a 20 year old prospect with a very exciting and aggressive fighting style. It's clear that the UFC would like her to be a fresh new face at women's strawweight and this fight seems to be booked as a showcase fight for Barber as she is the largest favorite on the card. On the feet Barber throws a variety of kicks, punches, and knees with a very unorthodox style. Barber is a black belt in karate. On the mat he is constantly working for a submission or a reversal from the bottom or landing heavy ground and pound from the top.

Jamie Colleen is a kickboxer but the kicks are few and far between. Colleen is an exceptionally patient counterpuncher, preferring to stay in range and snipe away at her opponents with right hands once she has gotten their timing down. Very few women in the strawweight division can land a punch as devastating as the one she landed on Danielle Taylor which absolutely flattened Taylor in their first fight. She has a very abnormal amount of late round finishes (2 in round 3, 1 in round 4, and 1 in round 5) which speaks to her patience, cardio, and finishing ability. However this means she is a bit of a slow starter, dropping early rounds to both Tiffany Masters and Calie Cutler.

It's understandable that Colleen is a 4-1 underdog here. Her takedown defense in the early frames against Masters and Cutler mostly consisted of her trying and failing at fending off takedowns and surviving. Against Barber, one would expect Colleen not to be able to survive as Barber's grappling is at a much higher level. However, there's a decent chance that it doesn't get to the mat at all. While a lot of Barber's fights goes to ground where Barber has mostly dominated (except in a very close fight with Mallory Martin which could've gone either way), Barber's opponents have been the ones to take the fight to the ground. Perkins and Martin landed takedowns at will against Barber only to be swept or put in a triangle. Thompson and Esquivel for some reason decided to fall flat on their back on their own and let Barber mount them.

Another thing to consider is the inexperience of Barber's opponents. The worst of her opponents, Esquivel, had the most wins (2). While Barber dominates on the mat, it's unclear whether the fight will actually go there if Colleen stays balanced and doesn't put herself there. Barber's striking is singularly focused and isn't designed to lead to takedown attempts. Furthermore, Barber throws a lot but on train-tracks and she has eaten very heavy counter shots from much worse strikers. Colleen will have better hands and more power than anyone Barber has faced. Colleen also has very good footwork which was very apparent in her fight against Calie Cutler but wasn't there against Masters. Colleen stated in a recent interview that she went into the Masters fight 6 months after a knee surgery, and that she reinjured it during the fight. This may explain the slightly more plodding footwork as well as the inability to stuff early takedowns. Despite the injury, Colleen showed what she's capable of in the 3rd round of that fight.

With a big grappling advantage and competitive striking, Barber is the rightful favorite. But her exciting finishes and aggressive style has attracted way too much hype (and, more importantly, chalk) given her lack of defense and questionable ability to wrestle. Now she is taking a step up in competition in her 5th fight in a little over 12 months. Colleen would have been an attractive dog even at +300. But now that she's healthy and has focused her efforts full time into MMA, +380 is impossible to resist stabbing at.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 07-16-18, 11:12 PM

Originally posted by turbozed

Maycee Barber is a 20 year old prospect with a very exciting and aggressive fighting style. It's clear that the UFC would like her to be a fresh new face at women's strawweight and this fight seems to be booked as a showcase fight for Barber as she is the largest favorite on the card. On the feet Barber throws a variety of kicks, punches, and knees with a very unorthodox style. Barber is a black belt in karate. On the mat he is constantly working for a submission or a reversal from the bottom or landing heavy ground and pound from the top.

Jamie Colleen is a kickboxer but the kicks are few and far between. Colleen is an exceptionally patient counterpuncher, preferring to stay in range and snipe away at her opponents with right hands once she has gotten their timing down. Very few women in the strawweight division can land a punch as devastating as the one she landed on Danielle Taylor which absolutely flattened Taylor in their first fight. She has a very abnormal amount of late round finishes (2 in round 3, 1 in round 4, and 1 in round 5) which speaks to her patience, cardio, and finishing ability. However this means she is a bit of a slow starter, dropping early rounds to both Tiffany Masters and Calie Cutler.

It's understandable that Colleen is a 4-1 underdog here. Her takedown defense in the early frames against Masters and Cutler mostly consisted of her trying and failing at fending off takedowns and surviving. Against Barber, one would expect Colleen not to be able to survive as Barber's grappling is at a much higher level. However, there's a decent chance that it doesn't get to the mat at all. While a lot of Barber's fights goes to ground where Barber has mostly dominated (except in a very close fight with Mallory Martin which could've gone either way), Barber's opponents have been the ones to take the fight to the ground. Perkins and Martin landed takedowns at will against Barber only to be swept or put in a triangle. Thompson and Esquivel for some reason decided to fall flat on their back on their own and let Barber mount them.

Another thing to consider is the inexperience of Barber's opponents. The worst of her opponents, Esquivel, had the most wins (2). While Barber dominates on the mat, it's unclear whether the fight will actually go there if Colleen stays balanced and doesn't put herself there. Barber's striking is singularly focused and isn't designed to lead to takedown attempts. Furthermore, Barber throws a lot but on train-tracks and she has eaten very heavy counter shots from much worse strikers. Colleen will have better hands and more power than anyone Barber has faced. Colleen also has very good footwork which was very apparent in her fight against Calie Cutler but wasn't there against Masters. Colleen stated in a recent interview that she went into the Masters fight 6 months after a knee surgery, and that she reinjured it during the fight. This may explain the slightly more plodding footwork as well as the inability to stuff early takedowns. Despite the injury, Colleen showed what she's capable of in the 3rd round of that fight.

With a big grappling advantage and competitive striking, Barber is the rightful favorite. But her exciting finishes and aggressive style has attracted way too much hype (and, more importantly, chalk) given her lack of defense and questionable ability to wrestle. Now she is taking a step up in competition in her 5th fight in a little over 12 months. Colleen would have been an attractive dog even at +300. But now that she's healthy and has focused her efforts full time into MMA, +380 is impossible to resist stabbing at.

Tailing for 1u. Let's get it!

**SharpAngles** · 07-17-18, 11:19 AM

That Colleen line stuck out to me instantly. Who has Barber fought to warrant a line like that? I like Trevino as a small dog too.

**PaperTrail07** · 07-17-18, 11:26 AM

**Rich Benjamins** · 07-17-18, 01:09 PM

I checked it out, and it's tough to find a good bet on this one. Possibly Trevino as Vanderford's boxing sucks but he looks like a freak athlete. I'd like to bet on Shahbazyan but i don't see any recent tape on him. Barber looks like a strong up and comer but -400 seems too high. I'm going to pass on this card, good luck all.

**Rich Benjamins** · 07-17-18, 02:19 PM

A little steam coming in on Morales. I joined the trend and put down a bet at -300.

**stonebanks** · 07-17-18, 03:01 PM

I’m taking a punt on jones purely down to level of competition both have fought.

Coleen

Vandeford

Morales

**Squareguy** · 07-17-18, 03:01 PM

I put a small play on Vanderford. He looks like a better athlete with better cardio. I think Trevino can win the first round, but he gets tired quickly in grappling exchanges. My one worry is Vanderford's wrestling is not adapted to MMA and I could see him getting his back taken. Fortunately he looks like a gorilla and I think he'll muscle out of anything and break Trevino late in the second.

**stonebanks** · 07-17-18, 03:55 PM

Just watched some tape on Coleen.. lol not impressive at all!

**JAKEPEAVY21** · 07-17-18, 05:56 PM

took a blind stab on all the dogs

**Hugo de Naranja** · 07-17-18, 06:25 PM

Dana White’s Contender Series: Season 2 Episode 5 Picks:
Edmen Shahbazyan Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Austin Vanderford Round 2 Submission (Guillotine Choke)
Vince Morales Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Anthony Adams Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
Maycee Barber Round 1 Submission (Armbar)

**Hugo de Naranja** · 07-17-18, 06:25 PM

Dana White’s Contender Series Season 2 Episode 5

Fight #1: Shahbazyan vs. Jones
Parlays

Fight #2: Vanderford vs. Trevino
No Bet

Fight #3: Morales vs. Pilarte
Parlays

Fight #4: Adams vs. Onyenegecha
Adams Decision (+364) 1u

Fight #5: Barber vs. Colleen
Colleen (+360) 1u

Prop Parlays:
Shahbazyan+Jones WGD/Morales (-108) 1.08u to win 1u

**JAKEPEAVY21** · 07-17-18, 06:31 PM

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

Dana White’s Contender Series: Season 2 Episode 5 Picks:
Edmen Shahbazyan Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Austin Vanderford Round 2 Submission (Guillotine Choke)
Vince Morales Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Anthony Adams Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
Maycee Barber Round 1 Submission (Armbar)

looks like my dogs are gonna get clowned tonight!

**PaperTrail07** · 07-17-18, 06:56 PM

Had to bet the dogs myself....

**PaperTrail07** · 07-17-18, 06:57 PM

Trevino wins by 3 round decision

+500

**PaperTrail07** · 07-17-18, 06:58 PM

60105

Shahbazyan wins by 3 round decision

+335

**Thrilla** · 07-17-18, 07:00 PM

Let's start the show with Antonio Jones ml +212.

GL

**Shagdogy** · 07-17-18, 07:06 PM

Shahbazyan -260, 2.6u to win 1u.

Quick eye test... he looks much better. Hopefully he has some cardio if he needs it.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 07-17-18, 07:09 PM

Added:
Shahbazyan+Jones Under 1.5 (+100) .75u

**PaperTrail07** · 07-17-18, 07:12 PM

Lets go jones.....skills prob lacking..need a wild KO lol...

**Hugo de Naranja** · 07-17-18, 07:12 PM

"Head mooment, head mooment"

**PaperTrail07** · 07-17-18, 07:13 PM

Jones seems much bigger here...hope the TD does not eat him up

**Shagdogy** · 07-17-18, 07:14 PM

Boom. That was easy.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 07-17-18, 07:14 PM

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

Added:
Shahbazyan+Jones Under 1.5 (+100) .75u

Easy money + an Exact Pick

**PaperTrail07** · 07-17-18, 07:14 PM

lol that was quick......should have been ended earlier....

**Hugo de Naranja** · 07-17-18, 07:15 PM

Originally posted by PaperTrail07

Jones seems much bigger here...hope the TD does not eat him up

Huh? Shah is bigger and a striker

**Shagdogy** · 07-17-18, 07:17 PM

I won a bet on an Edmund fighter... maybe I should quit for the night.

**Thrilla** · 07-17-18, 07:17 PM

WTF! Shabazian on the juice! Cheater.

Thought he would be the smaller guy!

**Demonata** · 07-17-18, 07:17 PM

Easy peezy

**PaperTrail07** · 07-17-18, 07:17 PM

yeah I just meant stronger....clearly that was not correct lol....Jones got wobbled off a pretty weak shot....

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

Huh? Shah is bigger and a striker

**Thrilla** · 07-17-18, 07:18 PM

Dana White 1

Thrilla 0

**Demonata** · 07-17-18, 07:20 PM

PARLAY (3 TEAMS)
Risk: 25.00 - Win: 33.20
MU - [24010] Chibwikem Onyenegecha -197 (Anthony Adams vrs Chibwikem Onyenegecha)
Game start 07/17/2018 05:55 PM
MU - [24002] Maycee Barber -543 (Jamie Colleen vrs Maycee Barber)
Game start 07/17/2018 06:45 PM
MU - [24006] Vince Morales -329 (Domingo Pilarte vrs Vince Morales)
Game start 07/17/2018 06:20 PM
Ticket #368327671
Placed 07/17/2018 03:31 PM

PARLAY (2 TEAMS)
Risk: 25.00 - Win: 35.90
MU - [24018] Edmen Shahbazyan -259 (Antonio Jones vrs Edmen Shahbazyan)
Game start 07/17/2018 05:10 PM
MU - [24014] Austin Vanderford -132 (Angelo Trevino vrs Austin Vanderford)
Game start 07/17/2018 05:30 PM

**PaperTrail07** · 07-17-18, 07:21 PM

best fight of the night here imo….