Eryk Anders vs Lyoto Machida

Hugo de Naranja · 01-29-18, 01:45 PM

I like Anders to win this. He has a good pressure wrestling game and power in his hands. Machida’s best path to victory seems likely to be catching Anders with a knockout blow if he is sloppy to close the distance. I expect Anders to be around (-180) for his opening price.

TPowell · 01-29-18, 06:52 PM

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

I like Anders to win this. He has a good pressure wrestling game and power in his hands. Machida’s best path to victory seems likely to be catching Anders with a knockout blow if he is sloppy to close the distance. I expect Anders to be around (-180) for his opening price.

I think you'll see Anders under -140 personally

Hugo de Naranja · 01-29-18, 07:08 PM

I hope so

JIBBBY · 01-29-18, 10:17 PM

Machida getting old and knocked out lately, starting his decline...

Still is his decline a gap big enough to bet on Anders? Hmmm? I'd say it probably is.. Fading Machida might be the call and by KO. http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Eryk-Anders-93407

KingofKings · 01-30-18, 12:29 AM

Eryk Anders -300?

Hugo de Naranja · 01-30-18, 12:30 AM

Originally posted by KingofKings

Eryk Anders -300?

Opened (-230) and quickly got bet up. I think waiting for KO/TKO and -3.5 props makes sense given the current ML price.

KingofKings · 01-30-18, 12:35 AM

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

Opened (-230) and quickly got bet up. I think waiting for KO/TKO and -3.5 props makes sense given the current ML price.

I agree. Thoughts on Michel Prazeres and Desmond Green?

Hugo de Naranja · 01-30-18, 12:38 AM

Originally posted by KingofKings

I agree. Thoughts on Michel Prazeres and Desmond Green?

Slight lean to Prazeres so I basically agree with the current odds. Over 2.5 seems Parlayable as both guys are Decision machines.

KingofKings · 01-30-18, 12:39 AM

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

Slight lean to Prazeres so I basically agree with the current odds. Over 2.5 seems Parlayable as both guys are Decision machines.

Can't argue with that logic. Would be cool to see Prazeres hit another north south choke

Hugo de Naranja · 01-30-18, 12:42 AM

Originally posted by KingofKings

Can't argue with that logic. Would be cool to see Prazeres hit another north south choke

Yeah I think there have only been a few ever finished in UFC history. Who are your early leans?

KingofKings · 01-30-18, 12:46 AM

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

Yeah I think there have only been a few ever finished in UFC history. Who are your early leans?

Thiago Santos, Green&Prazeres over 2 1/2 rds, Anders, Pedro Munhoz

KingofKings · 01-30-18, 12:47 AM

I don't why but I have a feeling Sergio Moraes catches Tim Means in a sub.

Hugo de Naranja · 01-30-18, 12:52 AM

Originally posted by KingofKings

Thiago Santos, Green&Prazeres over 2 1/2 rds, Anders, Pedro Munhoz

Nice!! I like all of those. I put a huge bet down on Santos at (-150). Parlayed up Green+Prazeres O2.5 and Anders and took Munhoz and Moraes straight at dog money. Let's cash

TPowell · 01-30-18, 01:15 AM

Wow, this is unreal. Anders has a ton of potential but Machida closing in on +300? That is insane. I'll have to throw some on him ITD if this keeps up

TPowell · 01-30-18, 01:16 AM

I like Moraes straight at dog money but I like Dodson A LOT so far against Munhoz. Will probably wait and play by decision though

KingofKings · 01-30-18, 01:17 AM

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

Nice!! I like all of those. I put a huge bet down on Santos at (-150). Parlayed up Green+Prazeres O2.5 and Anders and took Munhoz and Moraes straight at dog money. Let's cash

I saw that you hit Santos at -150. Kudos man. Early bird gets the worm.

Hugo de Naranja · 01-30-18, 01:17 AM

Originally posted by TPowell

I like Moraes straight at dog money but I like Dodson A LOT so far against Munhoz. Will probably wait and play by decision though

Hmm can you tell me more about this one? I like Dodson but he is SO low volume at times.

Hugo de Naranja · 01-30-18, 01:17 AM

Originally posted by KingofKings

I saw that you hit Santos at -150. Kudos man. Early bird gets the worm.

Thank you sir!

TPowell · 01-30-18, 01:17 AM

When was Santos -150? Best Fight Odds literally has the opener at -240 but Breaking MMA Odds released it at -150

TPowell · 01-30-18, 01:20 AM

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

Hmm can you tell me more about this one? I like Dodson but he is SO low volume at times.

He's low volume but he isn't getting taken down by Munhoz and his boxing is really good. He ends up in tight decisions a ton which can make you nervous but when you bet him by decision like I did last fight at +180 or so and he loses an absolute toss up fight that I thought he probably won, you realize the guy can compete with anyone. I would expect Dodson by DEC to come out around +140 or 150 and I'll definitely be on it.

Hugo de Naranja · 01-30-18, 01:26 AM

Originally posted by TPowell

When was Santos -150? Best Fight Odds literally has the opener at -240 but Breaking MMA Odds released it at -150

He was (-150) for the first 12 seconds after the odds were released. Moved steadily down from there.

Hugo de Naranja · 01-30-18, 01:27 AM

Originally posted by TPowell

He's low volume but he isn't getting taken down by Munhoz and his boxing is really good. He ends up in tight decisions a ton which can make you nervous but when you bet him by decision like I did last fight at +180 or so and he loses an absolute toss up fight that I thought he probably won, you realize the guy can compete with anyone. I would expect Dodson by DEC to come out around +140 or 150 and I'll definitely be on it.

Couldn't Dodson get a KO here too? He's a huge puncher and Munhoz can be hit.

TPowell · 01-30-18, 01:31 AM

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

Couldn't Dodson get a KO here too? He's a huge puncher and Munhoz can be hit.

He could I suppose but Munhoz hasn't been knocked down by Font or Rivera and actually was competitive in those fights/won. The difference here is that Dodson is much better defensively than Font and has a better chin. One reason I like this fight to hit the scorecards for sure. The other thing is Dodson could EASILY be 4-0 at BW and be a top 2-3 guy right now IMO. I know MMA math doesn't work but the guy has survived some super dangerous competition and arguably won the fights.

TPowell · 01-30-18, 01:32 AM

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

He was (-150) for the first 12 seconds after the odds were released. Moved steadily down from there.

Damn, I capped it at -250 or so

MMANick · 01-30-18, 11:47 AM

I am interested in the Anders-3.5 or -5.5 prop. I think that'll hold some great value. He'll be pressing the action the entire fight. I think he scores a stoppage here.

KirkG · 01-30-18, 04:19 PM

Putting money on Anders, as much as I like Machida I can't see him winning. He still has a chance with some quick surprise ko but it's pretty slim.

Sanity Check · 01-30-18, 05:32 PM

Machida hasn't been the same since he got popped for steroids.

The weight cut down to 185 seems to make it worse.

Can't remember who Eryk Anders is...

JollyRogerMMA · 01-30-18, 09:32 PM

Machida is going to get KOed by a stiff Anyders Jab ..... Bulet is hitting that Under 2 1/2 because the crackhead chick has 0 technique.

JC2008 · 01-31-18, 08:26 PM

Let's not forget Machida's inactivity and getting starched in round 1 his last time out. I see the result being no different in this fight. Anders KO and probably round 1.