UFC Fight Night 123: Swanson vs. Ortega | Saturday 12.09.2017 (Fresno, CA)

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  • Shagdogy
    SBR MVP
    • 06-16-10
    • 3564

    #491
    Originally posted by turbozed
    All dogs strategy is up 3.8 units this card.

    Throwing out even odd fights (Ortega/Swanson and Lopez/Morales).
    Yup. It definitely felt like it would be that kind of card.
    Comment
    • yisman
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 09-01-08
      • 75682

      #492


      needed Ortega to get that finish

      have him by submission


      so close
      [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
      [/quote]

      [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
      Comment
      • Shagdogy
        SBR MVP
        • 06-16-10
        • 3564

        #493
        Ah damn! That was close. Saved by the bell. Ortega was going to finish that.

        It's weird though. Does Ortega attempt takedowns at all?
        Comment
        • bjpenn85
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 02-17-11
          • 5059

          #494
          a look into the future there
          Comment
          • JIBBBY
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 12-10-09
            • 83691

            #495
            That was close with that darse.. Long arms... Locked that in deceptively and quick... Cub better keep his distance..
            Comment
            • JIBBBY
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 12-10-09
              • 83691

              #496
              May live bet Ortega... Thinking about it now.. See how round 2 goes now..
              Comment
              • Clutchut12
                SBR MVP
                • 09-20-16
                • 3632

                #497
                10-9 cub,almost got his ass chocked out
                Comment
                • Clutchut12
                  SBR MVP
                  • 09-20-16
                  • 3632

                  #498
                  Originally posted by JIBBBY
                  May live bet Ortega... Thinking about it now..
                  I wouldnt stick it out with cub
                  Comment
                  • Shagdogy
                    SBR MVP
                    • 06-16-10
                    • 3564

                    #499
                    Originally posted by bjpenn85
                    a look into the future there
                    It's crazy how often things like that change the entire momentum of a fight. It's possible that Cub doesn't go anywhere near Ortega the rest of the fight and we never see another ground scramble.
                    Comment
                    • Shagdogy
                      SBR MVP
                      • 06-16-10
                      • 3564

                      #500
                      WOOOOOOOOOO!!!! Holy shit that guy's jiu jitsu is DANGEROUS.
                      Comment
                      • Clutchut12
                        SBR MVP
                        • 09-20-16
                        • 3632

                        #501
                        Fuk, nice hit on sub jib
                        Comment
                        • bjpenn85
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 02-17-11
                          • 5059

                          #502
                          theres the future
                          Comment
                          • JIBBBY
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 12-10-09
                            • 83691

                            #503
                            Yep sub. Damn I didn't get a chance to live bet Ortega.. Was ready too... Ugghhhh. Standing choke too..

                            I'll take the sub though on the hedge..

                            $100.00 $250.00 Pending 12/9/17 11:59pm MMA Props Fighting 1035 Ortega wins by submission +250* vs Any other result
                            Comment
                            • yisman
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 09-01-08
                              • 75682

                              #504
                              Ortega choke first round, ran out of time

                              Ortega choke second round, cash those tickets
                              [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                              [/quote]

                              [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                              Comment
                              • Hugo de Naranja
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 04-14-16
                                • 14140

                                #505
                                1 round too early
                                Comment
                                • thewitchinghour
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 10-30-17
                                  • 116

                                  #506
                                  Ortega is a monster... lights out... awesome night of fights... killed it... goodnight everyone
                                  Comment
                                  • PaperTrail07
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 08-29-08
                                    • 20423

                                    #507
                                    smooth
                                    Comment
                                    • firekillex
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 09-18-13
                                      • 6420

                                      #508
                                      brian hail mary ortega
                                      Comment
                                      • yisman
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 09-01-08
                                        • 75682

                                        #509
                                        not often you see someone even attempt that, let alone pull it off
                                        [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                        [/quote]

                                        [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                        Comment
                                        • JIBBBY
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 12-10-09
                                          • 83691

                                          #510
                                          Nice corn rows Ortega... Straight up G.. Ortega a bit ghetto...
                                          Comment
                                          • Clutchut12
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 09-20-16
                                            • 3632

                                            #511
                                            I think 2 stars come out of this card,ortega and lopez,we will see its been fun yall
                                            Comment
                                            • bjpenn85
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 02-17-11
                                              • 5059

                                              #512
                                              Originally posted by Shagdogy
                                              It's crazy how often things like that change the entire momentum of a fight. It's possible that Cub doesn't go anywhere near Ortega the rest of the fight and we never see another ground scramble.
                                              Ortega may be a champion some day, because seriously doesnt need to spend a calori to finish the fight. Every sub takes like 3-4 sec. I dont get it.
                                              Comment
                                              • boss_of_um
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 08-18-11
                                                • 1092

                                                #513
                                                Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
                                                1 round too early
                                                I saw your thread and was on it too.
                                                Was also on Ortega to win and to win by submission so it lessened the sting.
                                                Comment
                                                • JIBBBY
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 12-10-09
                                                  • 83691

                                                  #514
                                                  Ortega is tough.. Has a solid chin too.. That's big.. His boxing is only improving and his ground and chokes are his go to money moves...

                                                  I'm not gonna bet against him in the future.. He's a gamer...
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Shagdogy
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 06-16-10
                                                    • 3564

                                                    #515
                                                    If Ortega adds some offensive takedown ability then he pretty much seals off all paths to victory against him other than sticking and moving for 5 rounds and avoiding his danger for 25 minutes. Hard to do.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Shagdogy
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 06-16-10
                                                      • 3564

                                                      #516
                                                      Originally posted by Shagdogy
                                                      Soukhamthath +215, .5u
                                                      Holtzman -142, 1u
                                                      Lopez -120, 1.2u
                                                      Aljo +125, .8u
                                                      Benitez +265, .5u
                                                      Alex Perez + Alcantara parlay -106, 1u

                                                      That's all for now. Buncha small stuff just hopefully have a little fun. Good luck everyone.

                                                      Lost my Alex Perez parlay with Alcantara already so I'm adding it back in as Perez/Holtzman +110, 1u. Rolling with you on Holtzman, Hugo.

                                                      Having a solid night. Added Ortega by sub +202, .5u
                                                      Card Total: 6-2, +4.42u
                                                      YTD: 122-109, +16.77u

                                                      Pretty crazy card. Knew the dogs would come through in spots on this card... glad I was able to hit a few. I really wasn't excited for this card, but it turned out nicely. On to the next one!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Hugo de Naranja
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 04-14-16
                                                        • 14140

                                                        #517
                                                        Originally posted by Shagdogy
                                                        Card Total: 6-2, +4.42u
                                                        YTD: 122-109, +16.77u

                                                        Pretty crazy card. Knew the dogs would come through in spots on this card... glad I was able to hit a few. I really wasn't excited for this card, but it turned out nicely. On to the next one!
                                                        Great job Shagster!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Hugo de Naranja
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 04-14-16
                                                          • 14140

                                                          #518
                                                          UFC Fight Night 123: Swanson vs. Ortega Picks:
                                                          Trevin Giles Round 2 TKO (Punches)
                                                          Davi Ramos Round 1 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
                                                          Alejandro Perez Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
                                                          Merab Dvalishvili Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
                                                          Alex Perez Round 1 Submission (D’Arce Choke)
                                                          Luke Sanders Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
                                                          Alexis Davis Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)
                                                          Benito Lopez Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
                                                          Eryk Anders Round 1 TKO (Punches)
                                                          Scott Holtzman Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
                                                          Marlon Moraes Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
                                                          Jason Knight Round 2 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
                                                          Brian Ortega Round 3 Submission (Triangle Choke)
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Hugo de Naranja
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 04-14-16
                                                            • 14140

                                                            #519
                                                            UFC Fight Night 123: Swanson vs. Ortega

                                                            Fight Pass Prelims:

                                                            Fight #1: Giles vs. Neto
                                                            Neto Submission (+560) -.5u

                                                            Result: Trevin Giles Round 3 KO (Punches)
                                                            Fight: -0.5u
                                                            Card: -0.5u

                                                            Fight #2: Ramos vs. Gruetzemacher
                                                            Ramos ITD (+165) +3.3u

                                                            Hedge:
                                                            Gruetzemacher Decision (+538) -.5u

                                                            Result: Davi Ramos Round 3 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
                                                            Fight: +2.8u
                                                            Card: +2.3u

                                                            Fight #3: Alcantara vs. Perez
                                                            Perez (+160) +1.6u
                                                            Perez Decision (+400) +4u
                                                            Alcantara+Perez Draw (+8000) -.1u

                                                            Hedge(s):
                                                            Alcantara Round 1 (+325) -.5u
                                                            Alcantara Submission (+450) -.5u

                                                            Added Hedges:
                                                            Alcantara Round 1 (+300) -.5u
                                                            Alcantara Submission (+347) -.5u

                                                            Result: Alejandro Perez Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
                                                            Fight: +3.5u
                                                            Card: +5.8u

                                                            Fox Sports 1 Prelims:


                                                            Fight #4: Saenz vs. Dvalishvili (DEBUT)
                                                            Parlays

                                                            Result: Frankie Saenz Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)

                                                            Fight #5: Perez (DEBUT) vs. De Tomas
                                                            No Bet

                                                            Result: Alex Perez Round 2 Submission (D’Arce Choke)

                                                            Fight #6: Sanders vs. Soukhamthath
                                                            Sanders -3.5 (-105) -3.15u
                                                            Sanders KO/TKO (+325) -1u

                                                            Hedge:
                                                            Soukhamthath ITD (+524) +2.62u

                                                            Result: Andre Soukhamthath Round 2 TKO (Punches)
                                                            Fight: -1.53u
                                                            Card: +4.27u

                                                            Fight #7: Carmouche vs. Davis
                                                            Carmouche ITD (+438) -.5u

                                                            Result: Alexis Davis Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
                                                            Fight: -0.5u
                                                            Card: +3.77u


                                                            Main Card:

                                                            Fight #8: Lopez (DEBUT) vs. Morales
                                                            Lopez+Morales Wont Start Round 2 (+365) -.5u
                                                            Lopez KO/TKO (+505) -.5u

                                                            Result: Benito Lopez Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
                                                            Fight: -1u
                                                            Card: +2.77u

                                                            Fight #9: Anders vs. Perez (DEBUT)
                                                            Anders Round 1 (+225) -1u

                                                            Hedge:
                                                            Perez Submission (+1350) -.5u

                                                            Result: Eryk Anders Unanimous Decision (30-26, 30-25, 29-28)
                                                            Fight: -1.5u
                                                            Card: +1.27u

                                                            Fight #10: Holtzman vs. Horcher
                                                            Holtzman (-118) +2u

                                                            Result: Scott Holtzman Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
                                                            Fight: +2u
                                                            Card: +3.27u

                                                            Fight #11: Moraes vs. Sterling
                                                            Moraes (-150) +1u

                                                            Hedge:
                                                            Sterling Submission (+960) -.5u

                                                            Result: Marlon Moraes Round 1 KO (Knee)
                                                            Fight: +0.5u
                                                            Card: +3.77u

                                                            Fight #12: Knight vs. Benitez
                                                            Knight+Benitez Under 2.5 (+120) -1u
                                                            Knight Submission (+310) -1u

                                                            Hedge:
                                                            Benitez ITD (+822) -.5u

                                                            Result: Gabriel Benitez Unanimous Decision (30-26 x2, 29-27)
                                                            Fight: -2.5u
                                                            Card: +1.27u

                                                            Fight #13: Swanson vs. Ortega
                                                            Ortega ITD (+247) +4.94u
                                                            Ortega Round 3 (+1050) -1u
                                                            Ortega Split/Majority Decision (+1200) -.25u
                                                            Ortega Round 4 (+1650) -.25u
                                                            Ortega Round 5 (+2450) -.25u
                                                            Swanson+Ortega Draw (+8000) -.1u

                                                            Hedge(s):
                                                            Swanson Unanimous Decision (+258) -2u
                                                            Swanson KO/TKO (+695) -.5u

                                                            Added Hedge:
                                                            Swanson ITD (+485) -.5u

                                                            Result: Brian Ortega Round 2 Submission (Guillotine Choke)
                                                            Fight: +0.09u
                                                            Card: +1.36u

                                                            Straight Parlays:
                                                            Holtzman+Horcher Over 2.5/Sanders (+101) -1u
                                                            Holtzman+Horcher Over 2.5/Moraes (+123) +2.46u
                                                            Ramos/Dvalishvili (+126) -1u
                                                            Holtzman/Moraes/Knight+Benitez Under 2.5/Ortega (+905) -.25u

                                                            Results: See Above
                                                            Fights: +0.21u
                                                            Card: +1.57u

                                                            Prop Parlays:
                                                            Anders -3.5/Sanders (+116) -1u
                                                            Davis/Lopez/Anders+Perez Under 2.5 (+468) -.5u
                                                            Dvalishvili/Perez ITD/Sanders Decision (+590) -.25u
                                                            Giles -3.5/Ramos ITD/Perez (+958) +2.395u

                                                            Results: See Above
                                                            Fights: +0.645u
                                                            Card: +2.215u

                                                            Full Card Props:
                                                            Swanson+Ortega FOTN (+275) +2.75u

                                                            Over 8.5 Fights Go Distance (+307) -1u
                                                            Over 9.5 Fights Go Distance (+787) -.5u

                                                            FOTN: Swanson+Ortega
                                                            POTN: Ortega, Moraes
                                                            Fastest Submission: Alex Perez R2 (1:54)
                                                            Fastest KO: Moraes R1 (1:07)
                                                            Decisions: 7
                                                            Results: See Above
                                                            Fights: +1.25u
                                                            Final Card Total = +3.465u

                                                            Multi-Event Parlays:
                                                            Anders -3.5/Cyborg (+103) 1u
                                                            Anders -3.5/Open (+xxx) 1u
                                                            Anders -3.5/Open (+xxx) 1u

                                                            Results: Anders Covers -3.5
                                                            Fights: +0u, 3 MEPS Carry Over to Future Cards
                                                            Multi-Event Parlays = +0u
                                                            Last edited by Hugo de Naranja; 12-10-17, 03:15 AM.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Hugo de Naranja
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 04-14-16
                                                              • 14140

                                                              #520
                                                              Small profit on this card. On a solid streak for Main Event picks, something like 11 in a row.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Hugo de Naranja
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 04-14-16
                                                                • 14140

                                                                #521
                                                                Going to complete those 2 Anders Multi-Event Parlays with Lamas ML at a net price of (+132)
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Demonata
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 07-12-11
                                                                  • 25829

                                                                  #522
                                                                  I lost about $400 pretty good night on the card. =:#=;#/&#!:&:!=\,::#hvdt vs dfhrerhfc
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • UncleChael
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 10-30-13
                                                                    • 3979

                                                                    #523
                                                                    Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
                                                                    Small profit on this card. On a solid streak for Main Event picks, something like 11 in a row.
                                                                    GSP...
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • nyrider88
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 07-12-17
                                                                      • 355

                                                                      #524
                                                                      up 300, solid night except for the Cub fight.

                                                                      had a crazy 12 fights parlay, $2 wins 100g's hit 8 out of 12.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Hugo de Naranja
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 04-14-16
                                                                        • 14140

                                                                        #525
                                                                        Originally posted by UncleChael
                                                                        GSP...
                                                                        Check the record bud. I picked him
                                                                        Comment
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