UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Poirier (November 11, 2017)

[turbozed]

I think I'm going to stop playing scorecards = no action bets. Got burned by GSP and now Guida of all people.

[Shagdogy]

I think I'm going to stop playing scorecards = no action bets. Got burned by GSP and now Guida of all people.

Seriously. Who the F saw that coming? Really put a dent in a very solid night I was putting together. Suuuuuuuucks.

[dvb02]

"scorecards = no action bets" can you explain what that means??

[JIBBBY]

I'm starting to think just play the UFC fights straight up win or lose bets as these props and hedges are starting to kick my asss and especially in these last 2 UFC cards..

I can pick the win or loser mostly but the props are slipping away as it seems.. Fights at this UFC level are starting to get hard to call in the UFC... Fighters are more and more well rounded these days and can win is so many ways.... Times are changing..

[Shagdogy]

I really need Matt Brown now. Lopez would be a nice little bonus if he can push this fight in his favor. As bad as these judges have been I feel like i have no worse than a 50/50 shot if it goes to decision.

[Hugo de Naranja]

"scorecards = no action bets" can you explain what that means??

Wins if your guys gets a Knockout/Submission, Loses if he gets finished, Pushes if either guy wins a decision

[Shagdogy]

I'm starting to think just play the UFC straight win or lose bets as these props and hedges are starting to kick my asss and especially in these last 2 UFC cards..

I can pick the win or loser mostly but the props are slipping away as it seems.. Fights at this UFC level are starting to get hard to call in the UFC... Fighters are more and more well rounded these days and can win is so many ways.... Times are changing..

I never seem to be able to get a handle playing only prop outcomes on fights. More often than not I get screwed.

[dvb02]

thanks Hugo!

[JIBBBY]

I never seem to be able to get a handle playing only prop outcomes on fights. More often than not I get screwed.

The sports books that I don't have prop bet options I'm winning lately with the UFC like in this event with just the straight plays and parlays, 5dimes, Bovada, Betdsi, Bookmaker I'm getting murdered playing the prop play.. Been like that lately..

[firekillex]

play straight if the odds are -200 or under
if -200+ play props

thank me later

[Hugo de Naranja]

Man Lopez is getting tagged early

[Karmaphobia]

play straight if the odds are -200 or under
if -200+ play props

thank me later

Yup

[Demonata]

play straight if the odds are -200 or under
if -200+ play props

thank me later

True dat

[PaperTrail07]

Whiffed a few props myself.....guida fight incl...

I'm starting to think just play the UFC fights straight up win or lose bets as these props and hedges are starting to kick my asss and especially in these last 2 UFC cards..

I can pick the win or loser mostly but the props are slipping away as it seems.. Fights at this UFC level are starting to get hard to call in the UFC... Fighters are more and more well rounded these days and can win is so many ways.... Times are changing..

[PaperTrail07]

close round.... Lopez?

[Hugo de Naranja]

Live-Bet:
Assuncao+Lopez WGD (+290) .5u

I don't like Lopez' striking defense at all so far. Think he could get clipped with a counter hook coming in

[turbozed]

Firing on FDNGD at +290

[Demonata]

Firing on FDNGD at +290

Im taking FDNGDABCDEFG

[Shagdogy]

Who put this gameplan together for Lopez? He is fighting right into the strengths of Assuncao. Not doing anything to try to change the fight. He's not having any success and he's not making any adjustments either. Poor showing from Lopez.

[turbozed]

Live-Bet:
Assuncao+Lopez WGD (+290) .5u


I don't like Lopez' striking defense at all so far. Think he could get clipped with a counter hook coming in

Looks like we're thinking the same. Assuncao's lack of aggressiveness could be a problem.

[turbozed]

And we CASH Hugo! Wow what a KO

[PaperTrail07]

WOW...

[Hugo de Naranja]

Firing on FDNGD at +290

And there it is

[Shagdogy]

Nice job boys. got that finish. Lopez... what an awful fight for him. I couldn't have been more wrong with that play.

[JIBBBY]

Just as I mention props.. I played this below and lost on all prop books.... Lol.. I parlayed Assuncao straight on all books that didn't offer props and won...

$140.00

$100.00

Pending

11/11/17 10:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1411 Assuncao wins by 3 round decision -140* vs Not Assuncao by 3 round decision

[turbozed]

Still batting 1000 on live bets. Maybe I should make the unit size a bit ballsier than 25% normal

[Hugo de Naranja]

Still batting 1000 on live bets. Maybe I should make the unit size a bit ballsier than 25% normal

Which other ones have you hit so far?

[dvb02]

who do you'll have in the next one?

[Hugo de Naranja]

who do you'll have in the next one?

I've got Ferreira Decision

[Karmaphobia]

Still batting 1000 on live bets. Maybe I should make the unit size a bit ballsier than 25% normal

The equities investor in me would say pull back to 10%. The gambler says go big or go home. GL

[JIBBBY]

I've got Ferreira Decision

I got this, thinking Nate is old and washed up and won't last.. Might just be showing up for a last Zuffa pay check..

$150.00

$195.00

Pending

11/11/17 10:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1309 Ferreira wins inside distance +130* vs Not Ferreira inside distance

[turbozed]

Which other ones have you hit so far?

Only 1 this event, but I'm 8-0 since July.

Willis Over
Marshman Over
Oliviera ML
Cummins ML
Cummins Over
Pettis ML
Covington ML

All small bets like a weenie. I'm going to have to go full U or at least half U in the future.

[PaperTrail07]

Nice to have that end

[Demonata]

Letssss gooo marquardt. Love this line. I see this fight as 50 50.

[turbozed]

Got a flyer on Marquardt TKO here. Don't expect it to hit but 6-1 odds is pretty good and I don't see Nate winning any other way.