Invicta 24: Borella vs Dudieva (July 15, 2017)

**Rich Benjamins** · 07-15-17, 07:18 AM

I haven't made any bets or done research on this card yet, will try later. I put it up to see if anyone has any input.

**Ty$** · 07-15-17, 08:21 AM

I was looking last night and wow I hate trying to cap these fights. A couple undefeated girls in Borella and Kolesnyk but can't fight much footage prolly lay off this unless someone here has some solid info. Im friends w matchmaker Kaitlin Young but she prolly wouldn't like me asking who's the best bet I'm assuming

**JIBBBY** · 07-15-17, 11:15 AM

Wow Dimes doesn't even have O/U's on these fights.. I'm out on betting these chicks unless someone posts something that changes my mind.. May parlay up the 2 biggest favorites for small if bored and around, but that's it..

**turbozed** · 07-15-17, 06:18 PM

Is Acioly a much better grappler than Karina Rodriguez or something? Both are pretty raw so it's weird that Acioly is a HUGE favorite. Rodriguez trains at Lobo gym now with Aldana and Grasso (who she lost to 4 years ago). Relatively inactive since 2014 except for one fight last year. Has she been slowly getting better? She didn't look that great in her first pro fight, but maybe we see an improved version.

Acioly definitely is bigger and she is tough. Her wins are not super impressive. Two of her opponents were 0-0. Her best win was against Jamie Thorton who was beating up on her before getting poked in the eye and gassing. It looks impressive but watching that fight it looks like Jamie Thorton just gave up. Possibly a front-runner with only a few minutes of fight in her (literally has not seen round 2 in 7 fights). I'd probably favor Acioly based on available footage but certainly not at -420.

If Rodriguez has trained at all in the past few years, she might be worth a look at +330. Big question mark is her grappling game. I'm assuming the oddsmakers are assuming she gets instant subbed, so wondering if anyone knows what the deal with this one is.

**turbozed** · 07-15-17, 06:40 PM

Another thing with Kolesnyk vs Pam Sorenson.

Kolesnyk's opponents have a combined win number of 0. Literally, all 6 opponents had 0 wins amongst them.

Also, Kolesnyk vs Younes is available on Youtube if you want to see her in action. Striking looks okay (at least in the 3rd round) but her grappling is pretty raw. Pam Sorenson isn't a great fighter by any means but at least she's won fights against some decent fighters. Might be a pretty large technical skill differential.

In fact the only thing of note about Kolesnyk is her nickname "Pretty." Which is pretty lame even though they did make her look good in her profile pic.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 07-15-17, 06:42 PM

Invicta 24: Dudieva vs. Borella Picks
Barbara Acioly Round 1 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Helena Kolesnyk Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
Jinh Yu Frey Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Mara Romero Borella Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)

**Rich Benjamins** · 07-15-17, 08:05 PM

I bet the max on Jinh Yu Frey at -280 (700 to win 250). The line got better, I think Cummins skill is her takedowns, and Frey has a great ground game, think she can stuff Cummins. Frey also seemed to have a good camp, trained with Calderwood.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 07-15-17, 08:34 PM

Invicta 24: Dudieva vs. Borella

Fight #1: Acioly vs. Rodriguez
No Bet

Fight #2: Sorenson vs. Kolesnyk
No Bet

Fight #3: Jinh Yu vs. Cummins
Parlays

Fight #4: Dudieva vs. Borella
Borella (+135) 1u

Multi-Event Parlays:
Jinh Yu/Nelson (+116) 1u

**Hugo de Naranja** · 07-15-17, 08:36 PM

Originally posted by Rich Benjamins

I bet the max on Jinh Yu Frey at -280 (700 to win 250). The line got better, I think Cummins skill is her takedowns, and Frey has a great ground game, think she can stuff Cummins. Frey also seemed to have a good camp, trained with Calderwood.

Let's get it

**Rich Benjamins** · 07-15-17, 08:38 PM

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

Let's get it

**turbozed** · 07-15-17, 08:39 PM

Wooo! Big hit with Karina Rodriguez! That striking looks extremely sharp.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 07-15-17, 08:41 PM

Originally posted by turbozed

Wooo! Big hit with Karina Rodriguez! That striking looks extremely sharp.

Nice hit bro. You nailed the value there!

**Rich Benjamins** · 07-15-17, 08:42 PM

Granted I didn't do much research on the card, but from a little bit of surface research (thank you Turbozed), none of the other bets look appealing to me other than Jin Yu Frey at -280.

**turbozed** · 07-15-17, 08:44 PM

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

Nice hit bro. You nailed the value there!

Nailed the value maybe but that fight looked nothing like what I was expecting lol. Oh well I'll take it

**turbozed** · 07-15-17, 08:56 PM

Alright that Sorenson fight looked exactly what I was expecting. 2-0 tonight in ~~Bellator~~ Invicta. Been having a rough month but haven't lost a WMMA bet lately. Maybe I should just focus on the girls from now on lol

**Hugo de Naranja** · 07-15-17, 09:00 PM

Originally posted by turbozed

Alright that Sorenson fight looked exactly what I was expecting. 2-0 tonight in Bellator. Been having a rough month but haven't lost a WMMA bet lately. Maybe I should just focus on the girls from now on lol

*Invicta

**Hugo de Naranja** · 07-15-17, 09:01 PM

Not sure why Frey/Cummins isn't the main event

**turbozed** · 07-15-17, 09:05 PM

Jinh Yu Frey with that mean mug then brings up the chihuahua into the shot lol

**Rich Benjamins** · 07-15-17, 09:09 PM

Damnn Turbozed, great job and prefight analysis. As long as I've seen your posts you seem to be right on, with the men and the women's fights.

Originally posted by turbozed

Nailed the value maybe but that fight looked nothing like what I was expecting lol. Oh well I'll take it

**turbozed** · 07-15-17, 09:16 PM

Frey's wrestling and counterwrestling is legit. Should just look to get top control and stay there.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 07-15-17, 09:18 PM

Disengage on the ground Frey! Keeps getting caught in tight Armbars. You're a better striker, just out volume her

**Hugo de Naranja** · 07-15-17, 09:18 PM

Originally posted by turbozed

Jinh Yu Frey with that mean mug then brings up the chihuahua into the shot lol

Love that gif lol

**Hugo de Naranja** · 07-15-17, 09:21 PM

How many Armbars is she going to be in? O/U 5.5

**turbozed** · 07-15-17, 09:22 PM

Originally posted by Rich Benjamins

Damnn Turbozed, great job and prefight analysis. As long as I've seen your posts you seem to be right on, with the men and the women's fights.

Thanks brotha. Hope some of you guys jumped on Karina Rodriguez. This is my first time seriously capping Invicta and I'm finding that the lines are really off. Rodriguez was +435 and Sorenson was +125 at opening. Rodriguez might have been a lucky hit, but Sorenson was definitely set completely wrong. Should've been a 2-1 favorite at least.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 07-15-17, 09:24 PM

Originally posted by turbozed

Thanks brotha. Hope some of you guys jumped on Karina Rodriguez. This is my first time seriously capping Invicta and I'm finding that the lines are really off. Rodriguez was +435 and Sorenson was +125 at opening. Rodriguez might have been a lucky hit, but Sorenson was definitely set completely wrong. Should've been a 2-1 favorite at least.

Keep the good analysis coming

**Rich Benjamins** · 07-15-17, 09:26 PM

I didn't take either bet, wish I did. You didn't necessarily make a 100% recommendation, or say that you made those bets. But next time I'll pay more attention to your "hints".

Originally posted by turbozed

Thanks brotha. Hope some of you guys jumped on Karina Rodriguez. This is my first time seriously capping Invicta and I'm finding that the lines are really off. Rodriguez was +435 and Sorenson was +125 at opening. Rodriguez might have been a lucky hit, but Sorenson was definitely set completely wrong. Should've been a 2-1 favorite at least.

**Rich Benjamins** · 07-15-17, 09:28 PM

Pretty dominant victory. Frey had to sweat a deep armbar, but her arms are too buffed, was able to resist it and get out.

Originally posted by Rich Benjamins

I bet the max on Jinh Yu Frey at -280 (700 to win 250). The line got better, I think Cummins skill is her takedowns, and Frey has a great ground game, think she can stuff Cummins. Frey also seemed to have a good camp, trained with Calderwood.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 07-15-17, 09:29 PM

Frey gets the win but not a good performance imo

**Hugo de Naranja** · 07-15-17, 09:30 PM

Just put herself in a lot of unnecessary bad spots

**turbozed** · 07-15-17, 09:30 PM

Originally posted by Rich Benjamins

I didn't take either bet, wish I did. You didn't necessarily make a 100% recommendation, or say that you made those bets. But next time I'll pay more attention to your "hints".

Lol I don't want to be responsible for anyone tailing and losing money so I just ask questions and drop some info here and there. I've been betting mma on and off for about 10 years (starting with PRIDE OWGP in 2006) but still feel like an amateur compared to a lot of the guys here.

**turbozed** · 07-15-17, 09:32 PM

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

Just put herself in a lot of unnecessary bad spots

Agree. Although certainly exciting for Frey backers. Congrats

**turbozed** · 07-15-17, 09:46 PM

Not sure what Dudieva was doing there holding onto that choke tightly for a whole minute. Might just burn out her arm for no reason.

**turbozed** · 07-15-17, 09:56 PM

Huge mistake by Mara to give up mount for an armbar. Shoulda just rode it out on top. Almost cost her the fight.

**turbozed** · 07-15-17, 10:02 PM

So with Borella winning, that makes everyone here a winner this event? Good job guys!

Invicta 24 - Flyweight 3 rounds - Scottish Rite Temple - Kansas City, Missouri - UFC Fight Pass
Sat 7/15	6001 Mara Romero Borella	+155
11:30PM	6002 Milana Dudieva	-195
Invicta 24 - Atomweight 3 rounds - Scottish Rite Temple - Kansas City, Missouri - UFC Fight Pass
Sat 7/15	6101 Ashley Cummins	+250
11:00PM	6102 Jinh Yu	-350
Invicta 24 - Featherweight 3 rounds - Scottish Rite Temple - Kansas City, Missouri - UFC Fight Pass
Sat 7/15	6201 Helena Kolesnyk	+130
10:30PM	6202 Pam Sorenson	-170
Invicta 24 - Flyweight 3 rounds - Scottish Rite Temple - Kansas City, Missouri - UFC Fight Pass
Sat 7/15	6301 Barbara Acioly	-420
10:00PM	6302 Karina Rodriguez	+300