BJ is a far cry from the fighter he used to be during his championship reign, but I view Siver as a less polished version of Sean Sherk. BJ has fought his fair share of wrestlers and should be able to keep this fight standing, where I believe he will have the decided advantage with his technical boxing. Siver hasn't fought in over two years and appeared gaunt at the weigh-ins yesterday. On the other hand, BJ just had a hard reminder of what it feels like to be in the octagon again, suffering a brutal TKO loss to Yair Rodriguez this past January. To avoid another embarrassing defeat, Penn likely took this training camp seriously. With all this in mind, look for BJ to come out fresh for this fight and Siver to show signs of ring-rust.
BJ Penn (+135) to defeat Dennis Siver (-165): 2 units
BJ Penn (+135) to defeat Dennis Siver (-165): 2 units