UFC on FOX 23: Shevchenko vs. Pena (January 28, 2017)

[JIBBBY]

OK Showtime boxing next like JC said..

Turned out this event was profitable after all next..

[Capybara]

Bullet!!! Damn she good. Easy money.

[Sanity Check]

Lots of fence hugging with Herb Dean doing nothing to break it up.

Wonder if Herb Dean was biased in favor of Pena.

Shevchenko not even breathing hard at the end of the fight. Scary.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Solid night of fights and bets.

[Sanity Check]

Between bellator yesterday and ufc today, almost doubled my money.

But since I only bet like $5 on fights -- that's not saying much.

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC on Fox 23: Shevchenko vs. Pena Picks:
J.C. Cottrell Round 1 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Alexandre Pantoja Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
Marcos Rogerio De Lima Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Alessio Di Chirico Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
Luis Henrique Da Silva Round 2 TKO (Punches)
Li Jingliang Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Raphael Assuncao Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Sam Alvey Round 1 KO (Punch)
Jason Knight Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
Francis Ngannou Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Donald Cerrone Round 3 TKO (Head Kick and Punches)
Valentina Shevchenko Unanimous Decision (49-46, 48-47 x2)

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC on Fox 23: Shevchenko vs. Pena Draftkings Double Up Lineup:
Francis Ngannou ($9,600) 104 Points
J.C. Cottrell ($8,700) 14.5 Points
Jason Knight ($8,500) 101.5 Points
Li Jingliang ($8,100) 101.5 Points
Julianna Pena ($7,800) 18.5 Points
Jorge Masvidal ($7,300) 119 Points

Risk: 1u
Total Points: 459 Points
Result: Did Not Cash, -1u

UFC on Fox 23: Shevchenko vs. Pena Draftkings Tournament Lineup:
Sam Alvey ($9,000) 48 Points
Donald Cerrone ($8,900) 15 Points
J.C. Cottrell ($8,700) 14.5 Points
Jordan Johnson ($8,600) 84.5 Points
Li Jingliang ($8,100) 101.5 Points
Andrei Arlovski ($6,600) 1.5 Points

Risk: .2u
Total Points: 265 Points
Result: Did Not Cash, -.2u

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC on Fox 23: Shevchenko vs. Pena

Fight Pass Prelims:

Fight #1: Gonzalez vs. Cottrell
No Bet

Result: Jason Gonzalez Round 1 Submission (D'Arce Choke)

Fight #2: Pantoja (DEBUT) vs. Shelton (DEBUT)
No Bet

Result: Alexandre Pantoja Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)

Fox Sports 1 Prelims:

Fight #3: Rogerio de Lima vs. Kimball (DEBUT)
Rogerio de Lima+Kimball Under 1.5 (-140) +2u
Rogerio de Lima/Kimball Draw (+8000) -.2u

Added:
Kimball Round 2 (+950) -.25u
Kimball Round 3 (+1750) -.1u

Result: Marcos Rogerio de Lima Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Fight: +1.45u
Card: +1.45u

Fight #4: Spicely vs. Di Chirico
No Bet

Result: Eric Spicely Round 1 Submission (Triangle Choke)

Fight #5: Da Silva vs. Johnson (DEBUT)
Henrique Da Silva (+185) -2u
Henrique Da Silva KO/TKO (+465) -.5u

Result: Jordan Johnson Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Fight: -2.5u
Card: -1.05u

Fight #6: Jingliang vs. Nash (DEBUT)
Jingliang (-140) +3u
Jingliang+Nash Under 2.5 (-110) +2u

Hedge:
Nash Submission (+1440) -.5u

Result: Li Jingliang Round 2 KO (Punches)
Fight: +4.5u
Card: +3.45u

Fight #7: Assuncao vs. Sterling
Assuncao (-125) +3u
Assuncao Decision (+157) +1.57u
Assuncao -3.5 (+185) -.5u

Hedge(s):
Sterling Scorecards = No Action (+131) +0u
Sterling Scorecards = No Action (+260) +0u
Sterling Submission (+1035) -.25u

Result: Raphael Assuncao Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
Fight: +3.82u
Card: +7.27u

Fight #8: Alvey vs. Marquardt
Alvey ITD (+100) -3u
Alvey KO/TKO (+135) -1u
Alvey Round 1 (+300) -.5u
Alvey Decision (+539) +2.695u

Result: Sam Alvey Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
Fight: -1.805u
Card: +5.465u

Main Card:

Fight #9: Knight vs. Caceres
Knight Scorecards = No Action (-145) +3u
Knight Decision (+178) -1u
Knight Submission (+655) +3.275u

Hedge:
Caceres Round 3 (+1750) -.25u

Added:
Knight (-130) +2u

Result: Jason Knight Round 2 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Fight: +7.025u
Card: +12.49u

Fight #10: Ngannou vs. Arlovski
Ngannou Round 2 (+465) -.5u
Ngannou Submission (+725) -.5u
Ngannou Round 3 (+1100) -.25u

Hedge:
Arlovski Round 1 (+825) -.5u

Result: Francis Ngannou Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Fight: -1.75u
Card: +10.74u

Fight #11: Cerrone vs. Masvidal
Cerrone (-115) -7.475u
Cerrone Round 2 (+750) -1u
Cerrone Round 3 (+1400) -1u
Cerrone/Masvidal Draw (+5500) -.2u

Hedge(s):
Masvidal KO/TKO (+855) +17.1u
Masvidal Round 1 (+1025) -.5u

Added:
Masvidal Submission (+1280) -.5u

Result: Jorge Masvidal Round 2 TKO (Punches)
Fight: +6.425u
Card: +17.165u

Fight #12: Shevchenko vs. Pena
Shevchenko (+100) +2.5u
Shevchenko Unanimous Decision (+315) -.5u
Shevchenko Round 4 (+1650) -.25u
Shevchenko Round 5 (+2450) -.25u
Shevchenko/Pena Draw (+5000) -.2u

Hedge(s):
Pena Submission (+500) -.5u
Pena KO/TKO (+825) -.5u
Pena Round 1 (+1050) -.25u
Pena Round 2 (+1300) -.25u

Added:
Pena Decision (+460) -1u

Result: Valentina Shevchenko Round 2 Submission (Armbar)
Fight: -1.2u
Card: +15.965u

Straight Parlays:
Caceres+Knight Over 2.5/Ngannou+Arlovski Under 1.5 (+123) -1u
Rogerio de Lima U1.5/Ngannou U1.5/Cerrone U2.5 (+626) +3.13u

Results: Rogerio de Lima U1.5, Ngannou U1.5, Cerrone U2.5 Win, Caceres O2.5 Loses
Fights: +2.13u
Card: +18.095u

Prop Parlays:
Alvey+Marquardt Won’t Go Distance/Ngannou ITD (-109) -2.18u
Jingliang/Ngannou ITD (+123) +1.23u
Rogerio de Lima+Kimball Won’t Start Round 2/Jingliang (+188) +1.88u
Cottrell/Shelton/Rogerio de Lima U1.5 (+468) -.5u
Sterling SNA/Alvey SNA/Knight SNA/Cerrone SNA (+716) -2u
Cottrell+Gonzalez WGD/Pantoja Decision/Rogerio De Lima Won’t Start R2 (+1005) +2.5125u
Johnson Decision/Caceres Decision (+1012) -.5u
Knight Decision/Pena Decision (+1221) -.25u
De Lima Round 1/Jingliang Round 1 (+1238) .25u
Marquardt Decision/Masvidal Decision (+1277) -1u
Masvidal Decision/Shevchenko Unanimous Decision (+1311) -.25u
Ngannou+Arlovski Under 1.5/Cerrone ITD/Shevchenko Decision (+1468) -.25u
Assuncao -3.5/Alvey ITD/Knight Decision (+1738) -.25u
Jingliang KO/Alvey KO/Ngannou KO (+1751) -.25u
Pantoja Submission/Johnson Submission (+1931) -.25u
Di Chirico Decision/Johnson+Da Silva WGD/Jingliang Decision (+1935) -.25u
Alvey KO/Masvidal KO (+2144) -.25u
Masvidal Decision/Pena Decision (+2174) -.5u
Arlovski ITD/Pena ITD (+2585) -.25u
Alvey Round 2/Ngannou Round 2 (+3350) -.1u
Assuncao Decision/Knight Decision/Cerrone Decision/Shevchenko Decision (+4574) -.25u

Added:
Caceres ITD/Masvidal Decision (+2973) -.5u

Results: See Above
Fights: -4.4075u
Card: +13.6875u

Full Card Props:
Over 6.5 Fights Go Distance (+242) -1.75u
Over 7.5 Fights Go Distance (+621) -.5u
Knight/Caceres FOTN (+750) +0u
Rogerio De Lima Fastest KO (+850) -.25u
No Fights End in Submission (+1348) -.25u
Over 8.5 Fights Go Distance (+1930) -.25u

Results: See Above
Fights: -3u
Card: +10.6875u

Live Betting:
Johnson+Da Silva Won’t Go Distance (-130) -1.3u
Sterling (+350) .-5u
Pena (+240) -.5u

Results: Johnson+Da Silva GD, Sterling Loses, Pena Loses
Fights: -2.3u
Final Card Total = +8.3875u

Multi-Event Parlays:
Njokuani/Not De Lima Decision/Not Da Silva Decision/Not Caceres ITD (-110) +1u
Njokuani/Assuncao (+137) +1.37u
Cerrone/Cerrone (+159) -1u

Results: All Parlay Legs But Cerrone Win
Fights: +1.37u
Final Multi-Event Parlays Total = +1.37u

Note: First leg of Cerrone open parlay was his win against Matt Brown.

[Rich Benjamins]

I just threw up some parlays for giggles. Check this one out:

Marcos Rogerio De Lima @ -179 A Fight - Money Line Marcos Rogerio De Lima -vs- Jeremy Kimball Mixed Martial Arts - UFC @ 1/28/2017 14:15 FT 1:0 Won Eric Spicely @ -117 A Fight - Money Line Eric Spicely -vs- Alessio Di Chirico Mixed Martial Arts - UFC @ 1/28/2017 14:40 FT 1:0 Won Jordan Johnson @ -211 A Fight - Money Line Jordan Johnson -vs- Luis Henrique Da Silva Mixed Martial Arts - UFC @ 1/28/2017 15:00 FT 3:0 Won Li Jingliang @ -144 A Fight - Money Line Bobby Nash -vs- Li Jingliang Mixed Martial Arts - UFC @ 1/28/2017 15:35 FT 0:2 Won Raphael Assuncao @ -142 A Fight - Money Line Aljamain Sterling -vs- Raphael Assuncao Mixed Martial Arts - UFC @ 1/28/2017 16:10 FT 1:2 Won Sam Alvey @ -150 A Fight - Money Line Nate Marquardt -vs- Sam Alvey Mixed Martial Arts - UFC @ 1/28/2017 16:40 FT 0:3 Won Jason Knight @ -150 A Fight - Money Line Alex Caceres -vs- Jason Knight Mixed Martial Arts - UFC @ 1/28/2017 17:15 FT 0:2 Won Francis Ngannou @ -405 A Fight - Money Line Andrei Arlovski -vs- Francis Ngannou Mixed Martial Arts - UFC @ 1/28/2017 17:50 FT 0:1 Won Jorge Masvidal @ +132 A Fight - Money Line Jorge Masvidal -vs- Donald Cerrone Mixed Martial Arts - UFC @ 1/28/2017 18:10 FT 1:0 Won Valentina Shevchenko @ -122 A Fight - Money Line Julianna Pena -vs- Valentina Shevchenko Mixed Martial Arts - UFC @ 1/28/2017 18:45 FT 0:2 Won

+17892 A

3.00

536.75

536.75

[rsynweap84]

Lots of fence hugging with Herb Dean doing nothing to break it up.

Wonder if Herb Dean was biased in favor of Pena.

Shevchenko not even breathing hard at the end of the fight. Scary.

I freakin said Schev's cardio is without question, though I got to admit I wish I woulda bet sub, instead o ITD. Didn't figure her sambo?judo background for winning Russian MMA tourneys, but I feel her next fight with Nunes will be like the first, she took Nunes in the third last time, given a fourth she wouldn've finished IMO, but it was a 3 rounder. I doubt she subs Nunes a BJJ black belt, but her striking and cardio will make the difference.

[TPowell]

UFC on Fox 23: Shevchenko vs. Pena Draftkings Double Up Lineup:
Francis Ngannou ($9,600) 104 Points
J.C. Cottrell ($8,700) 14.5 Points
Jason Knight ($8,500) 101.5 Points
Li Jingliang ($8,100) 101.5 Points
Julianna Pena ($7,800) 18.5 Points
Jorge Masvidal ($7,300) 119 Points

Risk: 1u
Total Points: 459 Points
Result: Did Not Cash, -1u

UFC on Fox 23: Shevchenko vs. Pena Draftkings Tournament Lineup:
Sam Alvey ($9,000) 48 Points
Donald Cerrone ($8,900) 15 Points
J.C. Cottrell ($8,700) 14.5 Points
Jordan Johnson ($8,600) 84.5 Points
Li Jingliang ($8,100) 101.5 Points
Andrei Arlovski ($6,600) 1.5 Points

Risk: .2u
Total Points: 265 Points
Result: Did Not Cash, -.2u

My double up lineup didn't cash either. 473 points and came out 11/20 (top 10 paid). Kimball with 2.5 screwed me. Oh well, made it back with my tourny lineup and I killed it on this card. Up a little over 7 units. Had 3 on Shev which made it a sweet finish!

[Hugo de Naranja]

Awesome! Nice hit Rich!

[Hugo de Naranja]

My double up lineup didn't cash either. 473 points and came out 11/20 (top 10 paid). Kimball with 2.5 screwed me. Oh well, made it back with my tourny lineup and I killed it on this card. Up a little over 7 units. Had 3 on Shev which made it a sweet finish!

Always nice to pick the main event right.

[Rich Benjamins]

Thanks Hugo. I got lucky. Wish i put more on it lol

[Shagdogy]

De Lima 2u, -140
Jingliang 2u, -137
Sterling 2u, +122
Alvey 1.5u, -145
Da Silva 1.5u, +170

I would've been much bigger on De Lima but the altitude and his missed weight scared me, and I just don't feel great about it, but my capping has him as a big fav in my eyes. Alvey is just a stab against an older, weak chinned opponent. Just could not get comfortable on this card. Hoping for just a moderate gain. Good luck everyone. I may add something on Masvidal/Cerrone later. We'll see.

Adding Masvidal 1.5u at +147

4-2 on the night, +2.63 units.

2017 YTD: 9-2, +10.34 units

[JIBBBY]

Best fight was the Cowboy/Masvidal fight.. I don't think we've ever seen Cowboy get knocked silly like that.. Cowboy seems to always come up short against the title contenders. Take note of that in the future..

Masvidal just put that division on notice just like Francis (Scary Black man) did by knocking out AA like it was nothing..

[TPowell]

Best fight was the Cowboy/Masvidal fight.. I don't think we've ever seen Cowboy get knocked silly like that.. Cowboy seems to always come up short against the title contenders. Take note of that in the future..

Masvidal just put that division on notice just like Francis (Scary Black man) did by knocking out AA like it was nothing..

idk, I just think it was a poor stylistic matchup for Cowboy and he shouldn't have stepped into the fight that quick. Brown hurt him in his last fight and he decides to come in on like 1 months rest to face a warrior like Mas? The other thing is that Masvidal is finally understanding he has to THROW and pressure some to win fights.

[JIBBBY]

idk, I just think it was a poor stylistic matchup for Cowboy and he shouldn't have stepped into the fight that quick. Brown hurt him in his last fight and he decides to come in on like 1 months rest to face a warrior like Mas? The other thing is that Masvidal is finally understanding he has to THROW and pressure some to win fights.

Cowboy likes to stay active and he's never had problems coming in on call up.. Cowboy does get wobbled in fights but never dropped like that and almost out..

I just think Masvidal is on a mission right now and is peeking and in his MMA prime.. He certainly has upped the pressure and volume in recent fights. You could still see he was a bit slow with his output and pressure just right up until Cowboy started to crack him.. Mas flipped the switched and then turned up the forward pressure and started to throw down.. Then knocked out Cowboy soon after..

[Hugo de Naranja]

Looks like my FOTN pushed since they gave out 4 POTN. Will adjust results accordingly by +1.5u.

[firekillex]

masvidal isnt a title contender at 170 imo
but cowboy does seem to always choke on the big fights this would classify since it was in his hometown
he had absolutely 0 head movement tonight and he payed for it... masvidal looked crisp though

masvidal vs magny or masvidal vs lawler next id really like lets make it happen
cowboy will get back on the horse and do what he does though looking forward to see his next scrap whoever its against

[Shagdogy]

Best fight was the Cowboy/Masvidal fight.. I don't think we've ever seen Cowboy get knocked silly like that.. Cowboy seems to always come up short against the title contenders. Take note of that in the future..

Masvidal just put that division on notice just like Francis (Scary Black man) did by knocking out AA like it was nothing..

Cowboy just doesn't care about winning a title. I'm convinced. He fights to fight. Winning or losing comes second to just being in a fight. This was def a bad matchup for Cerrone. He's vulnerable against a better boxer and Masvidal has a stronger chin and the toughness to deal with the kicks without changing his game, and that's what we saw.

[JIBBBY]

Firekill -

Masvidal vs Lawler would be a good scrap for sure.. I still think Masvidal will out box and eventually knock him out..

He'd beat Magny and out box him as well or take him down.. Tough to bet against Masvidal right now unless he goes up against a pure wrestler..

[Rich Benjamins]

I wanna Masvidal vs Wonderboy. That would be interesting.

Firekill -

Masvidal vs Lawler would be a good scrap for sure.. I still think Masvidal will out box and eventually knock him out..

He'd beat Magny and out box him as well or take him down.. Tough to bet against Masvidal right now unless he goes up against a pure wrestler..

[JIBBBY]

Final results for the weekend - Not gonna post all my bets this time, too much work you'll have to take my word for it..

I won about $300 or so on Bellator Friday night and about $500 or so with this event last night just on 5dimes after totaling it all up over the weekend.. Didn't kill it with this UFC event but it was a winning weekend of MMA for this guy and I'll take that every time...

I was VERY hit and miss on this UFC card and battling all night, was battling all the way up until the Knight win.. Then things started to go my way... I won every fight after that..

Broke even when Knight won on the straight, then went up about $500 after AA got dropped in the 1st round and by KO and when Masvidal won ITD.. Kinda washed out on the main event, had Shev straight, but also had the fight going the distance so that washed out..


This was my biggest fight win on the night for $290 coming down the stretch.. What's funny is this fight I was most up in the air on leading up.. I did post this pending..

$100.00

$390.00

Win

1/28/17 9:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1105 Masvidal wins inside distance +390* vs Not Masvidal inside distance

Hedge

$100.00

$150.00

Loss

1/28/17 9:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1111 Cerrone wins by 3 round decision +150* vs Not Cerrone by 3 round decision

Total weekend profit in MMA + $800.00 with just 5dimes..

[JIBBBY]

I wanna Masvidal vs Wonderboy. That would be interesting.

A Wonderboy match up would be interesting?.. Might give the edge to Wonderboy just because of his style... T-Wood not sure? Could go either way..

[Sanity Check]

Shevchenko is everything Ronda wishes she could be.

I'm willing to bet Shevchenko does a better Arnold impression than Ronda did in Fast Furious 7 if she was cast in a movie.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Apparently Pena won R1 on 2 judges' scorecards

[firekillex]

If nick Diaz would ever take a fight him versus masvidal would be everything a true mma could ever love but unfortunately I don't see him ever taking that,,

onky threw magny out there because he said 200k? On twitter after masvidal post fight interview.. I'd almost rather cerrone get magny and masvidal get somebody like lawler or condit next to really test him plus both guys coming off layoffs he could potentially win either

170 shark infested waters that's for sure

[Rich Benjamins]

Laywler and Condit are done. A real test would be Maia, Wonderboy or Woodley.

If nick Diaz would ever take a fight him versus masvidal would be everything a true mma could ever love but unfortunately I don't see him ever taking that,,

onky threw magny out there because he said 200k? On twitter after masvidal post fight interview.. I'd almost rather cerrone get magny and masvidal get somebody like lawler or condit next to really test him plus both guys coming off layoffs he could potentially win either

170 shark infested waters that's for sure

[JIBBBY]

Laywler and Condit are done. A real test would be Maia, Wonderboy or Woodley.

Oh Snap, Maia would take down Masvidal and work his magic on the ground.. Don't think even Masvidal has the take down defense, or ground defense to fend off Maia....

Maia is getting old now and this is a young mans sport.. Maia a year ago I take, Maia a year from now I don't....

I see this happening though. Smother and take down on everyone but T-Wood...

[Hugo de Naranja]

Oh Snap, Maia would take down Masvidal and work his magic on the ground.. Don't think even Masvidal has the take down defense, or ground defense to fend off Maia....

Maia is getting old now and this is a young mans sport.. Maia a year ago I take, Maia a year from now I don't....

I see this happening. Smother and take down on everyone but T-Wood...

No one has the TDD to fend off Maia. I'm on the bandwagon with you now Jibs

[JIBBBY]

No one has the TDD to fend off Maia. I'm on the bandwagon with you now Jibs

Late to the party Hugo .. Maia is no spring chicken anymore.. Still he'll be able to take down guys like Wonderboy or Masvidal at will I believe and take their backs...

[Rich Benjamins]

I'd like to see Maia vs Wonderboy. I think Maia might have trouble, WB is so quick.

Late to the party Hugo .. Maia is no spring chicken anymore.. Still he'll be able to take down guys like Wonderboy or Masvidal at will I believe and take their backs...

[JIBBBY]

I'd like to see Maia vs Wonderboy. I think Maia might have trouble, WB is so quick.

Wonderboy could possibly pull off an Anderson Silva on Maia.. Keep distance and range and pepper Maia to death until he gasses.. Still all Maia needs is one take down on Wonderboy.. His ground is untested...

Maia is a smarter fighter today and he is a master of closing the distance and grabbing a leg or body hold.. He's progressed since getting embarrassed standing years ago against Anderson Silva..

I think he gets the take down and sub's out Wonderboy if they match up.. Just like he did to Condit and Matt Brown.. Wonderboy is a tall fighter and that plays into Maia's wheel house for take downs..

[firekillex]

Not on the masvidal top 3 at 170 party or Maia being champion party
negative Nancy over here but I honestly can't see either scenario happening