Riots UFC 98 Picks !
(I totally just stayed up all night making this, then realized the fights are not tonight, but next week. Im sorry, forgive me, im in Iraq and sometimes my dates get messed up, oh well , i will add to it when the other lines become available.)
Hey guys, im pretty new to this site, iv been trying to get into handicapping , not so good in baseball yet , but MMA is my fan. If you went to [edit-RiotBoyer] you would see im the NME heavyweight champion. Im also an MMA geek , its a small community , iv trained with alot of guys and met even more. Im usually right with my picks. (i guarantee i will have a winning record tonight lol) Chuck Liddell killed me last time tho, but here we go ...
Dave Kaplan Vs George Roop
George roop did go thru the ultimate fighter with a messed up hand, and his biggest weakness is getting submitted. Kaplan (an all state wrestler from right down the street from where i grew up) is not to good in the submission department, and prefers to ground and pound. Their records should tell you everything. Kaplan is 2-2. On loss came to Junie Browning (if you do not know, the kid is straight trash and was destroyed by cole miller recently via a blue belt guillotine. i know Cole just got his brown belt, im saying the submission was very simple). One of Dave Kaplans wins came against a guy who is 0-3. George Roop is a respectable 8-4 and his wins come from multiple ways, few decisions, few submissions, few TKO's. George Roop is Def the more tested and more versatile fighter.
Riots Pick : George Roop -150
YOSHIYUKI YOSHIDA Vs. BRANDON WOLFF
Yoshida , or Zenko as he is known, fought almost his entire career in Japan. and even owns a 9 fight winning streak , 4 of those fights were to win the the GCM welterweight Tournament. Only one came in the UFC, and that was against the recently kicked out of UFC "WarMachine" or , John Koppenhaver, which was his name before the legal name change. His second fight came during the UFC fight for the troops, in which he was on the receiving end of that devastating knockout via Josh Koscheck. Now lets look at his opponent Brandon Wolfe, who actually had more to do with WarMachine getting kicked out of the UFC then Zenko did. Why ? Because the UFC wanted to sign Brandon Wolfe vs. WarMachine, but WarMachine had no idea who he was, so he called his friends and training partners and they "They all said the guy is savage, sick, tough as hell, a really tough fighter and a really tough fight. Basically we all came to the conclusion that I have nothing to gain from the fight." Wolfe did lose to Ben Saunders, but Ben is a beast from who you will all make money off of when he upsets Mike Swick on the next UFC. Anyways, i feel Zenko is the more proven fighter, but hes not going to get Wolfe in that thai clinch that Saunders had him in, the line is way off on this one, Zenko may win, but no way in hell i take him at that price. Wolfe has a 45% chance of winning this fight and thats good enough for me and my money.
Riots Pick : BRANDON WOLFF + 350
PAT BARRY Vs TIM HAGUE
This fight would seem evenly matched, Barry, the former Pro Kickboxer vs. Hague, the reigning King of The Cage champ. Let me make one thing clear ... its not ... its not going to be close at all. Three of Pat Barrys Four wins have come from Leg kicks. Do you know how good your leg kicks have to bee to TKO someone with Leg kicks ???? All fights were in the first round to. The UFC is slowly bringing this guy along, and Tim Hague is just another name for the die hard fight fans to recognize on Barrys resume. King of the Cage is like Double A baseball. Hague is making to big a jump right now. I hope they show the fight on TV cause Barry is fun to watch. Anything can happen in MMA , any slip or missed punch could lead to a quick lose for anybody, so their are no locks, but this is as close as it gets.
Riots Pick: Pat Barry -315
PHILLIPE NOVER Vs. KYLE BRADLEY
Bradley is a Vet of the sport with a record of 13-6 (3 of those losses are Jamie Varner and Melvin Guillard x2). He was TKO'd in both his UFC fights, once by TUF standout Joe Lauzon, and another by Chris Lytle. This should hurt him against the hard hitting Nover, who also sports a blackbelt and beat up both Roop and Kaplan on TUF, and Dana white said he reminds him of GSP. The future looks bright for this kid. All and Nover should win, but Bradley is no joke, and thats alot of juice. Dont bet the house on this one .... or any of them, but especially not this one.
Riots Pick: Norver -340
SEAN SHERK Vs. FRANKIE EDGAR
Does the torch get passed ?? We will find out after 3 rounds. If your site has prop bets , i would bet a good amount that this one goes the distance. These are two guys who are known for going all the way. Former champ and phenominal wrestler, Sherk, has beat everybody not named Matt Hughs, B.J. Penn and GSP. 33-3-1. Not bad in this line of work. Edgars record is nice as well at 9-1. That one loss ... another great wrestler Grey Maynard. Sherk has the better stanima, and in r ounds , he wont need it. i see Sherk in Edgars guard alot. I dont think this fight will be as awesome as we are hoping. Sherk should win this one, but yet again, the juice is very high and im not sure the juice is worth the squeeze.
Riots Pick Sherk -300
MATT HUGHES Vs. MATT SERRA
I wonder if they will fight or talk about that one time when they each beat GSP. Matt Hughes is a UFC legand turning Has-been , Serra is a never-was-cept-that-time-he-knocked-out-GSP-and-won-the-belt. Both looked Horrible in their rematches vs GSP. Interesting fact tho, that TKO loss to GSP was only the second stoppage lose for Serra. The first was that infamous spinning back elbow from Shonnie Carter with like 12 seconds left. Its time to break some hearts tho, Matt Hughes never had great striking, he was never a submission expert, he was just physically stronger (ALOT STRONGER) then his opposition. His wins over Royce Gracie and B.J. Penn were 3 years ago, Matt Hughes is 36 years old, the Physical strength is fading and recovering from a torn MCL isnt going to help any. He has been suspect-able to Submissions before and i think Matt Serras Ju jitzu is underrated. The guy got his black belt under Renzo Gracie, thats no easy task.
Riots Pick: Serra + 200
LYOTO MACHIDA Vs RASHAD EVANS
The Mythical Machida Vs. the Hated Evans. First things first, i want to clear a few things up. Yes, Machida did beat B.J. Penn, but he also out weighed him by 28 pounds. Thats alot to smaller guys. Yes, he did beat Rich Franklin 2 years before Franklin won the belt, and Yes he did beat Tito Ortiz (but Tito has not been the same in a long long time.) He only has two submission victories, one against Sokoudjo , who is not know for his ground game. I dont think he is going to out wrestler Evans, i dont think hes going to submit hum either, so this fight will take place standing up. I know Machida is a good striker, but i really cant see anyone standing 5 rounds with Rashad Evans. Hes got quick hands like he showed against Forrest, and hes got great wrestling which will help him take down and finish his stunned opponent. Thats the way i see this most likely playing out. Evans TKO 60% likely Machida boring decision 40% likely.
Riots Pick: Evans +170
Thats all the fights i got on my sites, a quick rundown for the other ones, in case your site has them:
Krzysztof Soszynski vs. Andre Gusmao
Soszynski should win this one. Not sure what the line is, but Andre is comming of a loss to a good wrestler Jon Jones and now faces an even better wrestler. My friend on team Quest with Kryz tells me he is one of the best wrestlers he has gone against and i see a 2nd round TKO for Soszynski
Brock Larson vs. Chris Wilson
Larson 26-2 (two loses WEC champ Carlos Condit and UFC contender John Fitch ... not to shabby). Wilson has had success in the IFL , but struggled in the UFC and i think hes struggles continue as Brock Larson picks up a Unanomous decision.
Dan Miller vs. Chael Sonnen
Dan Miller suffered his one lose early in his career. He is a very good wrestler and should have a good match against Sonnen, who is a late replacement. Sonnen is an experienced fighter, but has pretty much lost to every big name that he has fought. I think Miller wins Via TKO.
Drew McFedries vs. Xavier Foupa-Pokam
Pokam is a very good Muay thai fighter who is working on his ground game. He wont have to work to hard because McFedries has been submitted by Mark Kampmann, who is def not known for his grappling. This fight is gonna be a fight between Brawler and Technician. I see Pokam winning it Via KO.
Lets Recap my Picks :
Pokam
Miller
Larson
Soszynski
Roop -150
Wolfe +350
Berry -315
Norver -340
Sherk -300
Serra +200
Evans +170
Hey guys, im pretty new to this site, iv been trying to get into handicapping , not so good in baseball yet , but MMA is my fan. If you went to [edit-RiotBoyer] you would see im the NME heavyweight champion. Im also an MMA geek , its a small community , iv trained with alot of guys and met even more. Im usually right with my picks. (i guarantee i will have a winning record tonight lol) Chuck Liddell killed me last time tho, but here we go ...
Dave Kaplan Vs George Roop
George roop did go thru the ultimate fighter with a messed up hand, and his biggest weakness is getting submitted. Kaplan (an all state wrestler from right down the street from where i grew up) is not to good in the submission department, and prefers to ground and pound. Their records should tell you everything. Kaplan is 2-2. On loss came to Junie Browning (if you do not know, the kid is straight trash and was destroyed by cole miller recently via a blue belt guillotine. i know Cole just got his brown belt, im saying the submission was very simple). One of Dave Kaplans wins came against a guy who is 0-3. George Roop is a respectable 8-4 and his wins come from multiple ways, few decisions, few submissions, few TKO's. George Roop is Def the more tested and more versatile fighter.
Riots Pick : George Roop -150
YOSHIYUKI YOSHIDA Vs. BRANDON WOLFF
Yoshida , or Zenko as he is known, fought almost his entire career in Japan. and even owns a 9 fight winning streak , 4 of those fights were to win the the GCM welterweight Tournament. Only one came in the UFC, and that was against the recently kicked out of UFC "WarMachine" or , John Koppenhaver, which was his name before the legal name change. His second fight came during the UFC fight for the troops, in which he was on the receiving end of that devastating knockout via Josh Koscheck. Now lets look at his opponent Brandon Wolfe, who actually had more to do with WarMachine getting kicked out of the UFC then Zenko did. Why ? Because the UFC wanted to sign Brandon Wolfe vs. WarMachine, but WarMachine had no idea who he was, so he called his friends and training partners and they "They all said the guy is savage, sick, tough as hell, a really tough fighter and a really tough fight. Basically we all came to the conclusion that I have nothing to gain from the fight." Wolfe did lose to Ben Saunders, but Ben is a beast from who you will all make money off of when he upsets Mike Swick on the next UFC. Anyways, i feel Zenko is the more proven fighter, but hes not going to get Wolfe in that thai clinch that Saunders had him in, the line is way off on this one, Zenko may win, but no way in hell i take him at that price. Wolfe has a 45% chance of winning this fight and thats good enough for me and my money.
Riots Pick : BRANDON WOLFF + 350
PAT BARRY Vs TIM HAGUE
This fight would seem evenly matched, Barry, the former Pro Kickboxer vs. Hague, the reigning King of The Cage champ. Let me make one thing clear ... its not ... its not going to be close at all. Three of Pat Barrys Four wins have come from Leg kicks. Do you know how good your leg kicks have to bee to TKO someone with Leg kicks ???? All fights were in the first round to. The UFC is slowly bringing this guy along, and Tim Hague is just another name for the die hard fight fans to recognize on Barrys resume. King of the Cage is like Double A baseball. Hague is making to big a jump right now. I hope they show the fight on TV cause Barry is fun to watch. Anything can happen in MMA , any slip or missed punch could lead to a quick lose for anybody, so their are no locks, but this is as close as it gets.
Riots Pick: Pat Barry -315
PHILLIPE NOVER Vs. KYLE BRADLEY
Bradley is a Vet of the sport with a record of 13-6 (3 of those losses are Jamie Varner and Melvin Guillard x2). He was TKO'd in both his UFC fights, once by TUF standout Joe Lauzon, and another by Chris Lytle. This should hurt him against the hard hitting Nover, who also sports a blackbelt and beat up both Roop and Kaplan on TUF, and Dana white said he reminds him of GSP. The future looks bright for this kid. All and Nover should win, but Bradley is no joke, and thats alot of juice. Dont bet the house on this one .... or any of them, but especially not this one.
Riots Pick: Norver -340
SEAN SHERK Vs. FRANKIE EDGAR
Does the torch get passed ?? We will find out after 3 rounds. If your site has prop bets , i would bet a good amount that this one goes the distance. These are two guys who are known for going all the way. Former champ and phenominal wrestler, Sherk, has beat everybody not named Matt Hughs, B.J. Penn and GSP. 33-3-1. Not bad in this line of work. Edgars record is nice as well at 9-1. That one loss ... another great wrestler Grey Maynard. Sherk has the better stanima, and in r ounds , he wont need it. i see Sherk in Edgars guard alot. I dont think this fight will be as awesome as we are hoping. Sherk should win this one, but yet again, the juice is very high and im not sure the juice is worth the squeeze.
Riots Pick Sherk -300
MATT HUGHES Vs. MATT SERRA
I wonder if they will fight or talk about that one time when they each beat GSP. Matt Hughes is a UFC legand turning Has-been , Serra is a never-was-cept-that-time-he-knocked-out-GSP-and-won-the-belt. Both looked Horrible in their rematches vs GSP. Interesting fact tho, that TKO loss to GSP was only the second stoppage lose for Serra. The first was that infamous spinning back elbow from Shonnie Carter with like 12 seconds left. Its time to break some hearts tho, Matt Hughes never had great striking, he was never a submission expert, he was just physically stronger (ALOT STRONGER) then his opposition. His wins over Royce Gracie and B.J. Penn were 3 years ago, Matt Hughes is 36 years old, the Physical strength is fading and recovering from a torn MCL isnt going to help any. He has been suspect-able to Submissions before and i think Matt Serras Ju jitzu is underrated. The guy got his black belt under Renzo Gracie, thats no easy task.
Riots Pick: Serra + 200
LYOTO MACHIDA Vs RASHAD EVANS
The Mythical Machida Vs. the Hated Evans. First things first, i want to clear a few things up. Yes, Machida did beat B.J. Penn, but he also out weighed him by 28 pounds. Thats alot to smaller guys. Yes, he did beat Rich Franklin 2 years before Franklin won the belt, and Yes he did beat Tito Ortiz (but Tito has not been the same in a long long time.) He only has two submission victories, one against Sokoudjo , who is not know for his ground game. I dont think he is going to out wrestler Evans, i dont think hes going to submit hum either, so this fight will take place standing up. I know Machida is a good striker, but i really cant see anyone standing 5 rounds with Rashad Evans. Hes got quick hands like he showed against Forrest, and hes got great wrestling which will help him take down and finish his stunned opponent. Thats the way i see this most likely playing out. Evans TKO 60% likely Machida boring decision 40% likely.
Riots Pick: Evans +170
Thats all the fights i got on my sites, a quick rundown for the other ones, in case your site has them:
Krzysztof Soszynski vs. Andre Gusmao
Soszynski should win this one. Not sure what the line is, but Andre is comming of a loss to a good wrestler Jon Jones and now faces an even better wrestler. My friend on team Quest with Kryz tells me he is one of the best wrestlers he has gone against and i see a 2nd round TKO for Soszynski
Brock Larson vs. Chris Wilson
Larson 26-2 (two loses WEC champ Carlos Condit and UFC contender John Fitch ... not to shabby). Wilson has had success in the IFL , but struggled in the UFC and i think hes struggles continue as Brock Larson picks up a Unanomous decision.
Dan Miller vs. Chael Sonnen
Dan Miller suffered his one lose early in his career. He is a very good wrestler and should have a good match against Sonnen, who is a late replacement. Sonnen is an experienced fighter, but has pretty much lost to every big name that he has fought. I think Miller wins Via TKO.
Drew McFedries vs. Xavier Foupa-Pokam
Pokam is a very good Muay thai fighter who is working on his ground game. He wont have to work to hard because McFedries has been submitted by Mark Kampmann, who is def not known for his grappling. This fight is gonna be a fight between Brawler and Technician. I see Pokam winning it Via KO.
Lets Recap my Picks :
Pokam
Miller
Larson
Soszynski
Roop -150
Wolfe +350
Berry -315
Norver -340
Sherk -300
Serra +200
Evans +170
