UFC Fight Night 102 - Derrick Lewis vs Shamil Abrurakhimov (December 9th, 2016)

[UncleChael]

Proven investors never give up boys. Lets fukking go DERRICK 'BLACK BEAST' LEWIS..

[mackave]

prop bet every round, took 4 and 5 live for a little more. Good thing this russian moron stopped running as much and lewis woke up.

[Shagdogy]

Wow. I'll take the win but that was an absolutely disgusting fight. Nothing to be proud of. I think Ref Mirigliotta was the most active guy in the cage. I feel lucky to come away a winner in that one.

[TPowell]

Wow. I'll take the win but that was an absolutely disgusting fight. Nothing to be proud of. I think Ref Mirigliotta was the most active guy in the cage. I feel lucky to come away a winner in that one.

Yeah that was early IMO

[mackave]

Yep it was some booolshit

[freeVICK]

Tailed you guys on the lewis pick, thanks! Great group of sharp mma minds in here

[Shagdogy]

4u Lewis -180 to win 2.2
4u Burgos -175 to win 2.3
1.5u Perez +265 to win 4
1u Smith +185 to win 1.85

That's all. Time to look into Saturday night now. Good luck.

+2 units. I'll take it. Wont find me big on Black Beast again any time soon.

[Shagdogy]

On the flip side I feel real good about the Burgos pick. Trator was game but Burgos too strong and crisp with that lead left. I like what I see from him.

[Ty$]

Mein Cub Holloway ... enough said

[THE_LOCKSMITH]

dodged a bullet there boys....

[Hugo de Naranja]

Had Yoder as well Ty$. Thought she edged it but Kish gets another questionable decision. She is 2-0 in UFC and should probably be 0-2. Certainly fade material for the future

[Hugo de Naranja]

Man heck of a fight... the faves keep rolling

Was crazy watching this live. Did the Ruski tare his ACL in the first? Couldn't believe he kept going and he almost had Villante out

[Hugo de Naranja]

Ngannou wins by submission +1300

Anybody tail me on this one? I played it for a full unit.

[Hugo de Naranja]

prop bet every round, took 4 and 5 live for a little more. Good thing this russian moron stopped running as much and lewis woke up.

What were live bet odds here?

[Hugo de Naranja]

On the flip side I feel real good about the Burgos pick. Trator was game but Burgos too strong and crisp with that lead left. I like what I see from him.

You were right on that one. Good call Shaggy!

[TPowell]

Rough start killed me. Should have avoided Aldrich and Camozzi. Would have saved 1.5 units. I loved Anderson in this fight, but basically broke even on him. Worst decision of night was taking the over instead of Anderson -3.5

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC Fight Night 102: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov Picks:
Juliana Lima Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)
Ryan Janes Round 2 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Marc Diakiese Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Tiago Trator Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
Andrew Sanchez Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Joe Gigliotti Round 1 Submission (Guillotine Choke)
Randy Brown Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Ashley Yoder Round 2 Submission (Armbar)
Gian Villante Round 3 TKO (Punches)
Corey Anderson Unanimous Decision (30-26, 30-27 x2)
Francis Ngannou Round 2 KO (Punch)
Derrick Lewis Round 1 TKO (Murder)

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC FN 102: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov Draftkings Tournament Lineup:
Derrick Lewis ($9,100) 67.5 Points
Gian Villante ($8,800) 111 Points
Andrew Sanchez ($8,700) 67 Points
Randy Brown ($8,200) 106 Points
Joe Gigliotti ($7,600) 10.5 Points
Sean O’Connell ($7,200) 4.5 Points

Risk: .2u
Total Points: 365.5
Result: Did Not Cash

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC Fight Night 102: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov

Fight Pass Prelims:

Fight #1: Lima vs. Aldrich (DEBUT)
No Bet

Result: Juliana Lima Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)

Fight #2: Berish vs. Janes (DEBUT)
No Bet

Result: Ryan Janes Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)

Fight #3: Perez vs. Diakiese
No Bet

Result: Marc Diakiese Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)

Fight #4: Trator vs. Burgos (DEBUT)
Trator (+160) -1u

Result: Shane Burgos Unanimous Decision (30-26, 29-27, 29-28)
Fight: -1u
Card: -1u

Fight #5: Sanchez vs. Smith
No Bet

Result: Andrew Sanchez Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)

Fight #6: Gigliotti vs. Meerschaert
Gigliotti/Meerschaert Under 1.5 (+140) +1.4u

Result: Gerald Meerschaert Round 1 Submission (Anaconda Choke)
Fight: +1.4u
Card: +.4u

Fight #7: Brown vs. Camozzi (DEBUT)
No Bet

Result: Randy Brown Round 2 TKO (Knee and Punches)

Fight #8: Kish vs. Yoder (DEBUT)
Yoder (+200) -1u

Result: Justine Kish Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
Fight: -1u
Card: -.6u

Main Card:

Fight #9: Villante vs. Safarov
Villante Decision (+420) -.5u
Villante Round 3 (+1000) -.25u

Result: Gian Villante Round 2 TKO (Punches and Elbows)
Fight: -.75u
Card: -1.35u

Fight #10: Anderson vs. O’Connell
Anderson+O’Connell Over 2.5 Rounds (-120) -2.4u
O’Connell (+330) -1u
O’Connell KO/TKO (+900) -.25u
O’Connell Round 3 (+2250) -.25u

Hedge:
Anderson Decision (+148) -1u

Result: Corey Anderson Round 2 TKO (Punches)
Fight: -4.9u
Card: -6.25u

Fight #11: Ngannou vs. Hamilton
Ngannou Submission (+1200) +12u

Hedge:
Hamilton Decision (+1045) -.5u

Result: Francis Ngannou Round 1 Submission (Kimura)
Fight: +11.5u
Card: +5.25u

Fight #12: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov
Lewis KO/TKO (-140) +2u
Lewis Round 1 (+200) -1u
Lewis/Abdurakhimov Goes Distance (+600) -1u
Lewis/Abdurakhimov Draw (+9000) -.2u

Hedge:
Abdurakhimov Decision (+1420) -1.5u

Result: Derrick Lewis Round 4 TKO (Punches)
Fight: -1.7u
Card: +3.55u

Straight Parlays:
Lima+Aldrich Over 2.5/Brown (+127) +1.27u
Villante/Lewis (+135) +2.7u

Results: Lima+Aldrich Over 2.5, Brown, Villante and Lewis All Win
Fights: +3.97u
Card: +7.52u

Prop Parlays:
Gigliotti Submission/Anderson Decision (+1577) -.25u
Janes Submission/Yoder Submission (+1838) -.25u
Trator Decision/Smith Decision (+2467) -.25u
Anderson+O’Connell Over 2.5/Abdurakhimov Decision (+2686) -.25u

Results: See Above
Fights: -1u
Card: +6.52u

Multi-Event Parlays:
Lewis/Cerrone (+105) 1u
Lewis/Holloway (+135) 2u

Results: Lewis Wins
Fights: Parlays Carry Over to UFC 206
Final Card Total: +6.52u

[bjpenn85]

Interesting result. Ngannou and lewis turned the profit for you. Your strategy by making a lot of bets is kind of a no no. A lot of people are not betting a lot of plays, and rather go for 1-4 plays per event. You kind of prove them wrong, but you also see that youre missing a lot, like one should. Its very hard to picks which round a fighter wins and who wins in every fight. But you win a lot on some huge props, which make you profitable, and when you like a fighter, you understandably bet a larger amount and you also cash on those. Im still torn if this is the correct strategy. I wonder if its possible to combine by picking huge props which youre confident in, and go for a couple plays you believe in, you can win even more?

[Shagdogy]

Anybody tail me on this one? I played it for a full unit.

Ngannou's submission was just plain scary. That was a beast of a man just saying "you can tap or I'm gonna take this arm home with me. Your choice." Also, did anyone hear after the fight he basically said he just learned that? Physically, this guy is silly. If he keeps developing with good coaching he will be absolutely for real.

[Sato]

Ngannous power is too much. Doesnt even need to have the right technique...as soon as he uses strenght its over.

[brooks85]

lol was everyone on lewis?

I stopped watching and came back, Lewis was sitting on his stool looking super depressed so I figured he just got pounded out but nope, they raised his arm. SWeeeett

[TPowell]

lol was everyone on lewis?

I stopped watching and came back, Lewis was sitting on his stool looking super depressed so I figured he just got pounded out but nope, they raised his arm. SWeeeett

lol everybody including the ref was on Lewis. Lewis is a fade going forward IMO. He just doesn't have anything standing. His entire game is top control and pound you out

[Rich Benjamins]

Anybody tail me on this one? I played it for a full unit.

Very nice Hugo!

[JIBBBY]

I had to take off after a rough start, I figured we have the better event tonight so I needed to leave the house..

Glad to see some of you guys won. I was hit and miss again with this event... Kish, Randy Brown, and Lewis winning by KO saved me from taking a real beating.. Still lost a few bucks with this event but nothing horrible...

Looking forward to making it up with this event tonight. Big money riding tonight!!!!

[Hugo de Naranja]

Interesting result. Ngannou and lewis turned the profit for you. Your strategy by making a lot of bets is kind of a no no. A lot of people are not betting a lot of plays, and rather go for 1-4 plays per event. You kind of prove them wrong, but you also see that youre missing a lot, like one should. Its very hard to picks which round a fighter wins and who wins in every fight. But you win a lot on some huge props, which make you profitable, and when you like a fighter, you understandably bet a larger amount and you also cash on those. Im still torn if this is the correct strategy. I wonder if its possible to combine by picking huge props which youre confident in, and go for a couple plays you believe in, you can win even more?

I'm still trying to get more disciplined but having 30+ plays for event has been working for me so far. When I play props that are (+1000) or better for a unit or more, I hit them a lot more than the odds would suggest. I was well on my way to Abdurakhimov Decision hitting at (+1420) last night as well.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Very nice Hugo!

Thank you sir.

[Hugo de Naranja]

lol everybody including the ref was on Lewis. Lewis is a fade going forward IMO. He just doesn't have anything standing. His entire game is top control and pound you out

Hard to see where either goes from here. Abdurakhimov can't finish anyone which isn't viable in the HW division. Lewis loves GnP but seems to have very low fight IQ and struggles to get the fight to the ground. Proceed with caution.

[brooks85]

lol everybody including the ref was on Lewis. Lewis is a fade going forward IMO. He just doesn't have anything standing. His entire game is top control and pound you out

Hard to see where either goes from here. Abdurakhimov can't finish anyone which isn't viable in the HW division. Lewis loves GnP but seems to have very low fight IQ and struggles to get the fight to the ground. Proceed with caution.

it's unlikely Lewis will improve much without joining a top camp so fade is looking solid since his next opponent should be a step up. A HW on a 5 fight win-streak with 4/5 ko's is marketing material. He is probably going to get a big name next so he can be fed to the sharks. Then whoever beats him will probably get number 1 contender whereas if lewis won he wouldn't. One of those deals. That's my gut lol

[Hugo de Naranja]

Yeah I'm definitely interested to see who these guys get next.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Btw all 3 judges had the main event 30-27 Shamil after R3. Lewis needed the finish to win.

[brooks85]

Lewis vs browne UFC 208 coming up Feb 11th