UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira (November 19, 2016)

**Hugo de Naranja** · 11-17-16, 01:56 PM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

Alot of these fights on the main cards in both events I find are a bit tricky to prop bet.. I'm still working them.. I don't think I'm gonna load up this go around on any of the main fights in either event..

I'm gonna focus a bit more on the under card fights myself as I think there are some better bets to be had in those fights on actually both cards....

Lines set pretty sharply for the main events. Especially Bader/Nog

**PaperTrail07** · 11-17-16, 02:03 PM

Agree---I mean there are 30+ fights Saturday including Bellator---if it does not stand out....get away....Here are the play I feel are $$...

WHO DO YOU SEE GETTING BEAT HERE>>.? LOVE USMAN.....he will wear down Alves like Barb did....

11/19/2016 4:00 PM UFC Fighting 1302 Teruto Ishihara* -255 vs Artem Lobov
11/19/2016 2:30 PM UFC Fighting 1602 Kyogi Horiguchi* -190 vs Ali Bagautinov
11/19/2016 12:30 PM UFC Fighting 2102 Marion Reneau* -220 vs Milana Dudieva
11/19/2016 11:30 PM UFC Fighting 3002 Ryan Bader* -350 vs Antonio Rogerio Nogueira
11/19/2016 11:00 PM UFC Fighting 3102 Thomas Almeida* -320 vs Albert Morales
11/19/2016 10:30 PM UFC Fighting 3202 Claudia Gadelha* -450 vs Cortney Casey
11/19/2016 9:30 PM UFC Fighting 3402 Kamaru Usman* -200 vs Warley Alves

Originally posted by JIBBBY

Alot of these fights on the main cards in both events I find are a bit tricky to prop bet.. I'm still working them.. I don't think I'm gonna load up this go around on any of the main fights in either event..

I'm gonna focus a bit more on the under card fights myself as I think there are some better bets to be had in those fights on actually both cards....

**Hugo de Naranja** · 11-17-16, 02:07 PM

Originally posted by PaperTrail07

Agree---I mean there are 30+ fights Saturday including Bellator---if it does not stand out....get away....Here are the play I feel are $$...

WHO DO YOU SEE GETTING BEAT HERE>>.? LOVE USMAN.....he will wear down Alves like Barb did....

11/19/2016 4:00 PM UFC Fighting 1302 Teruto Ishihara* -255 vs Artem Lobov
11/19/2016 2:30 PM UFC Fighting 1602 Kyogi Horiguchi* -190 vs Ali Bagautinov
11/19/2016 12:30 PM UFC Fighting 2102 Marion Reneau* -220 vs Milana Dudieva
11/19/2016 11:30 PM UFC Fighting 3002 Ryan Bader* -350 vs Antonio Rogerio Nogueira
11/19/2016 11:00 PM UFC Fighting 3102 Thomas Almeida* -320 vs Albert Morales
11/19/2016 10:30 PM UFC Fighting 3202 Claudia Gadelha* -450 vs Cortney Casey
11/19/2016 9:30 PM UFC Fighting 3402 Kamaru Usman* -200 vs Warley Alves

Liking all the favorites here, eh Papes? I think Alves catches Usman in a guillotine. His chokes are nasty. I'd guess 5/7 of the above fighters will win.

**JIBBBY** · 11-17-16, 02:10 PM

Originally posted by PaperTrail07

Agree---I mean there are 30+ fights Saturday including Bellator---if it does not stand out....get away....Here are the play I feel are $$...

WHO DO YOU SEE GETTING BEAT HERE>>.? LOVE USMAN.....he will wear down Alves like Barb did....

11/19/2016 4:00 PM UFC Fighting 1302 Teruto Ishihara* -255 vs Artem Lobov
11/19/2016 2:30 PM UFC Fighting 1602 Kyogi Horiguchi* -190 vs Ali Bagautinov
11/19/2016 12:30 PM UFC Fighting 2102 Marion Reneau* -220 vs Milana Dudieva
11/19/2016 11:30 PM UFC Fighting 3002 Ryan Bader* -350 vs Antonio Rogerio Nogueira
11/19/2016 11:00 PM UFC Fighting 3102 Thomas Almeida* -320 vs Albert Morales
11/19/2016 10:30 PM UFC Fighting 3202 Claudia Gadelha* -450 vs Cortney Casey
11/19/2016 9:30 PM UFC Fighting 3402 Kamaru Usman* -200 vs Warley Alves

I like em all..

Especially like Almeida, Ishi, Gadelha, and Bader...

**JIBBBY** · 11-17-16, 02:17 PM

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

Liking all the favorites here, eh Papes? I think Alves catches Usman in a guillotine. His chokes are nasty. I'd guess 5/7 of the above fighters will win.

Yep, I got Usman by decision hedged with Alves by Sub... Profitable either way..

**PaperTrail07** · 11-17-16, 02:27 PM

Enh....not ALLLLL the fav's but I feel these guys will WIN.....you could be right....just don't think he is the same fighter he used to be...but again...this brazil mix could be just what he needs...I think Usman is pretty under rated and he didn't get enough credit for his win against Rocky Edwards....Rocky's wrestling and aggression is legit sauce IMO....

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

Liking all the favorites here, eh Papes? I think Alves catches Usman in a guillotine. His chokes are nasty. I'd guess 5/7 of the above fighters will win.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 11-17-16, 02:27 PM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

I like em all..

Especially like Almeida, Ishi, Gadelha, and Bader...

I think Gadelha will win but don't think there's ML value at (-450). What about Gadelha decision since Casey is tough and Gadelha is not much of a finisher?

**Hugo de Naranja** · 11-17-16, 02:28 PM

Originally posted by PaperTrail07

Enh....not ALLLLL the fav's but I feel these guys will WIN.....you could be right....just don't think he is the same fighter he used to be...but again...this brazil mix could be just what he needs...I think Usman is pretty under rated and he didn't get enough credit for his win against Rocky Edwards....Rocky's wrestling and aggression is legit sauce IMO....

Yeah I'd say Edwards is the best win on his resume. Then again, Alves has beat Jouban, Covington, and Taleb who I think are all better than Edwards. His only loss is to Barbarena, the GOAT.

**PaperTrail07** · 11-17-16, 02:29 PM

+500 for Alves Sub is NOT BAD....-120 usman by dec---rather lay the 200 bc alves gasses....

**PaperTrail07** · 11-17-16, 02:31 PM

LMFAO right....totally agree....nobody messes w the GOAT...NOBODY...I agree Alves by Sub is the play if your playing him....I mean He does not KO ANYONE...

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

Yeah I'd say Edwards is the best win on his resume. Then again, Alves has beat Jouban, Covington, and Taleb who I think are all better than Edwards. His only loss is to Barbarena, the GOAT.

**JIBBBY** · 11-17-16, 03:04 PM

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

I think Gadelha will win but don't think there's ML value at (-450). What about Gadelha decision since Casey is tough and Gadelha is not much of a finisher?

Yep Gadelha by decision is the call for sure.. I love betting the smaller chicks to win by decision.. Usually works out more often then not with the cream of the crop UFC level...

Waiting for more props to come out... Maybe tomorrow they all pop up and we can really get to work here!!!

**PaperTrail07** · 11-17-16, 03:09 PM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

Yep Gadelha by decision is the call for sure.. I love betting the smaller chicks to win by decision.. Usually works out more often then not with the cream of the crop UFC level...

Waiting for more props to come out... Maybe tomorrow they all pop up and we can really get to work here!!!

**Hugo de Naranja** · 11-17-16, 03:54 PM

Originally posted by PaperTrail07

+500 for Alves Sub is NOT BAD....-120 usman by dec---rather lay the 200 bc alves gasses....

Alves comes out firing with his striking in the first round. I'm pre-fight betting him and will look to live-bet Usman after R1.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 11-17-16, 03:55 PM

Originally posted by PaperTrail07

+500 for Alves Sub is NOT BAD....-120 usman by dec---rather lay the 200 bc alves gasses....

I just missed the opener on Alves Sub (+672) which would have been nice

**PaperTrail07** · 11-17-16, 04:02 PM

For sure....agree---he is totally round 1 heavy...

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

I just missed the opener on Alves Sub (+672) which would have been nice

**rsynweap84** · 11-18-16, 02:40 PM

11/19/2016 4:00 PM MMA Props Fighting 1333 Ishihara wins by TKO/KO* +117 vs Any other result
11/19/2016 11:00 PM MMA Props Fighting 3129 Morales wins by TKO/KO* +507 vs Any other result
11/19/2016 10:30 PM MMA Props Fighting 3211 Gadelha wins by 3 round decision* -125 vs Not Gadelha by 3 round decision
11/19/2016 10:00 PM MMA Props Fighting 3309 Leites wins inside distance* +208 vs Not Leites inside distance
11/19/2016 9:30 PM MMA Props Fighting 3427 Alves wins by submission* +425 vs Any other result

Risking $25.00 To Win $9,559.53

ehhe...

**Hugo de Naranja** · 11-18-16, 02:46 PM

Originally posted by rsynweap84

11/19/2016 4:00 PM MMA Props Fighting 1333 Ishihara wins by TKO/KO* +117 vs Any other result
11/19/2016 11:00 PM MMA Props Fighting 3129 Morales wins by TKO/KO* +507 vs Any other result
11/19/2016 10:30 PM MMA Props Fighting 3211 Gadelha wins by 3 round decision* -125 vs Not Gadelha by 3 round decision
11/19/2016 10:00 PM MMA Props Fighting 3309 Leites wins inside distance* +208 vs Not Leites inside distance
11/19/2016 9:30 PM MMA Props Fighting 3427 Alves wins by submission* +425 vs Any other result

Risking $25.00 To Win $9,559.53

ehhe...

I like it. Good luck!

**PaperTrail07** · 11-18-16, 02:58 PM

Gotta swing for the fences to hit one over love it

Originally posted by rsynweap84

11/19/2016 4:00 PM MMA Props Fighting 1333 Ishihara wins by TKO/KO* +117 vs Any other result
11/19/2016 11:00 PM MMA Props Fighting 3129 Morales wins by TKO/KO* +507 vs Any other result
11/19/2016 10:30 PM MMA Props Fighting 3211 Gadelha wins by 3 round decision* -125 vs Not Gadelha by 3 round decision
11/19/2016 10:00 PM MMA Props Fighting 3309 Leites wins inside distance* +208 vs Not Leites inside distance
11/19/2016 9:30 PM MMA Props Fighting 3427 Alves wins by submission* +425 vs Any other result

Risking $25.00 To Win $9,559.53

ehhe...

**THE_LOCKSMITH** · 11-18-16, 03:27 PM

time to make some 10, 12, 15 fight parlays .....

**JIBBBY** · 11-18-16, 03:52 PM

I'll try a few $5 prop parlays all with +odds.. Thanks for reminding me fellas.. I'll try a bunch of combinations and see if any stick..

MMA parlay Lotto tickets coming up..

**JIBBBY** · 11-18-16, 03:59 PM

Not much of big hit if I win it but I do think this might have a good chance..

$5.00	$215.42	Pending	6 Team Parlay
				Pending	11/19/16 4:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1333 Ishihara wins by TKO/KO +117* vs Any other result
				Pending	11/19/16 12:45pm MMA Props Fighting 2011 Cummings wins by 3 round decision +139* vs Not Cummings by 3 round decision
				Pending	11/19/16 11:30pm MMA Props Fighting 3004 Fight won’t go 5 round distance -240* vs Nogueira / Bader goes 5 round distance
				Pending	11/19/16 11:00pm MMA Props Fighting 3109 Almeida wins inside distance -150* vs Not Almeida inside distance
				Pending	11/19/16 10:30pm MMA Props Fighting 3211 Gadelha wins by 3 round decision -125* vs Not Gadelha by 3 round decision
				Pending	11/19/16 7:30pm MMA Props Fighting 3804 Fight won’t go 3 round distance +100* vs Gamburyan / Eduardo goes 3 rd distance

**JIBBBY** · 11-18-16, 08:15 PM

Weigh ins.. Some brief fighter discussions as well. Probably worth the watch... Would say nothing sticks out though in these weigh ins to me.. Every fighter looked normal for them..

**Hugo de Naranja** · 11-19-16, 12:10 AM

UFC FN 100: Bader vs. Nogueira II Picks:
Francimar Barroso Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)
Justin Scoggins Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)
Luis Henrique Round 2 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Johnny Eduardo Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
Marcos Rogerio de Lima Round 2 TKO (Punches)
Jack Hermansson Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
Sergio Moraes Round 3 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Warlley Alves Round 1 Submission (Guillotine Choke)
Krzysztof Jotko Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Claudia Gadelha Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Thomas Almeida Round 2 TKO (Punches)
Ryan Bader Unanimous Decision (50-45, 49-46 x2)

**Hugo de Naranja** · 11-19-16, 12:11 AM

No Draftkings for this event.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 11-19-16, 12:11 AM

UFC Fight Night 100: Bader vs. Nogueira II

Fight Pass Prelims:

Fight #1: Barroso vs. Stewart (DEBUT)
Barroso Decision (+254) 1.5u

Hedge:
Stewart KO/TKO (+305) .5u

Fight #2: Scoggins vs. Munoz
Munhoz Scorecards = No Action (+202) 4u
Munhoz Submission (+1050) 1u

Hedge:
Scoggins Decision (+158) 2u

Fox Sports 1 Prelims:

Fight #3: Henrique vs. Colombo
No Bet

Fight #4: Eduardo vs. Gamburyan
Eduardo+Gamburyan Over 2.5 Rounds (-130) 1.3u to win 1u

Fight #5: Rogerio de Lima vs. Antigulov (DEBUT)
Rogerio de Lima/Antigulov Under 1.5 Rounds (-145) 2.9u to win 2u

Fight #6: Hermansson vs. Ferreira
Hermansson (-140) 4.2u to win 3u
Hermansson/Ferreira Goes Distance (+185) 1.5u
Hermansson Round 3 (+875) .5u

Hedge:
Ferreira Decision (+385) 1u

Main Card:

Fight #7: Moraes vs. Ottow
Moraes ITD (+140) 1u
Moraes Round 3 (+925) .25u

Hedge:
Ottow Decision (+350) .5u

Fight #8: Usman vs. Alves
Alves (+170) 3u
Alves Submission (+500) 3u
Alves KO/TKO (+935) .5u
Usman/Alves Draw (+6000) .2u

Hedge:
Usman Round 3 (+1775) .25u

Fight #9: Leites vs. Jotko
Jotko Decision (+300) 3u

Hedge(s):
Leites ITD (+241) 1.5u
Leites Decision (+252) 2u
Leites Round 2 (+650) .25u
Leites Round 3 (+1075) .25u

Fight #10: Gadelha vs. Casey
Gadelha Decision (-112) 3.36u to win 3u
Gadelha Round 3 (+1050) .5u

Hedge(s):
Casey Scorecards = No Action (+257) 1u
Casey KO/TKO (+1315) .25u

Fight #11: Almeida vs. Morales
Morales KO/TKO (+640/+1067) 2u
Almeida/Morales Draw (+7500) .125u

Hedge:
Almeida KO/TKO (+170) 2u

Fight #12: Bader vs. Nogueira
Bader Decision (+272) 1.5u
Bader Unanimous Decision (+335) .5u

Hedge:
Nogueira Scorecards = No Action (+237) 1u

Straight Parlays:
Barroso/De Lima/Moraes (+330) .5u

Prop Parlays:
De Lima+Antigulov Won’t Start Round 3/Bader -5.5 (+110) 2u
Usman Decision/Gadelha Decision (+236) 1u
Usman Decision/Leites+Jotko Over 2.5/Gadelha Decision (+460) .25u
Munhoz Scorecards = No Action/Casey Scorecards = No Action (+948) .25u
Munhoz Scorecards = No Action/Antigulov Submission (+1108) .5u
Jotko Decision/Bader Decision (+1388) .5u
Hermansson Decision/Ottow Decision (+1610) .25u
Munhoz Scorecards = No Action/Nogueira KO (+1863) .25u
Scoggins Decision/Gadelha Decision/Bader Unanimous Decision (+1920) .25u
Alves ITD/Almeida Decision (+2102) .5u
Henrique Submission/Antigulov Round 1 (+2156) .25u

Full Card Props:
Over 5.5 Fights Go Distance (+118) 1.25u
Over 6.5 Fights Go Distance (+314) 1u
Over 7.5 Fights Go Distance (+834) .5u
Over 8.5 Fights Go Distance (+2625) .25u

**Hugo de Naranja** · 11-19-16, 11:55 AM

Hermansson down to (-140)

. Had to take a swing at those odds

**bjpenn85** · 11-19-16, 12:19 PM

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

Hermansson down to (-140)

. Had to take a swing at those odds

Very surprising development. I have noe clue why the public is coming in on Ferreira here.

**bjpenn85** · 11-19-16, 12:28 PM

-114 now

**Hugo de Naranja** · 11-19-16, 02:23 PM

Munhoz Scorecards = No Action down to (-126). Glad I pounded it at (+202)

**TPowell** · 11-19-16, 06:09 PM

Henrique ML (-290)/Mousasi ITD (-192) 1 unit to win 1 unit
Ferreira SUB (+461)0.25 units to win 1.15 units
Hermansson (-120) 1.2 units to win 1 unit
Bader (-350)/Gadelha (-460)/Hall DON'T go (-350) 1 unit to win 1 unit
Ottow (+139) 1 unit to win 1.4 units
Usman Round 3 (+1750) 0.10 units to win 1.75 units
Stewart/Barroso START R3 (-115) 1.15 units to win 1 unit
Leites (-140) 1.4 units to win 1 unit

**TPowell** · 11-19-16, 06:14 PM

WTF, god damn it. Headbutt TKO penetrates me

**TPowell** · 11-19-16, 06:18 PM

WHY do I NEVER get the lucky side of this type shit in MMA? Like never

**spurginobili** · 11-19-16, 06:18 PM

That'll work..took a shot with the under there

**Hugo de Naranja** · 11-19-16, 06:54 PM

That Munhoz sub was a huge hit for me!

**JC2008** · 11-19-16, 06:55 PM

Well, prelims underway in 5 minutes....!