UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley (July 30, 2016)

[ufcfan2016]

Glass chin? Lol

remember when diaz love tap him more then a decade ago and he face planted? GLASS CHINER

[JC2008]

- Good job Jibbbers.

[firekillex]

Glass chin? Lol

Lol guys a retard , love how people say stuff like this after somebody loses one fight
everybody said Woodley wins first 2 rounds or lawler wins if it goes further nothing special everybody in the world agreed on that you either went one way or the other

[Rich Benjamins]

I stayed far away from this fight. Wanted to bet on Lawler but I resisted the urge. Lawler should've trained better for that right hand, that's all Woodley has. Shit, take a left handed shot, just don't get hit by that fuckinng right hook!

[Ty$]

Congrats jibbs... I gotta tail you sir.

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC 201 Picks:
Damien Brown Rd 2 Submission
Michael Graves Unanimous Decision
Wilson Reis Unanimous Decision
Anthony Hamilton Unanimous Decision
Ross Pearson Split Decision
Nikita Krylov Rd 1 Submission
Ryan Benoit Rd 2 TKO
Erik Perez Unanimous Decision
Matt Brown Rd 2 KO
Karolina Kowalkiewicz Unanimous Decision
Robbie Lawler Rd 4 TKO

[ufcfan2016]

Lol guys a retard , love how people say stuff like this after somebody loses one fight
everybody said Woodley wins first 2 rounds or lawler wins if it goes further nothing special everybody in the world agreed on that you either went one way or the other

you're moms a retard. going to bed i get the last say

GG...

[richie360]

No had these bets locked in days ago.. I didn't hedge bet on this card.. Just decided to load up down the stretch on the straights.. Didn't even mess with props..

Liked the dogs.. Need this last one to hit to really run the table.. All gravy regardless..

Woodly winning meant i lost £10 on this card. If Lawler would have won my bank roll would have been in bad shape!

[xagonzx]

I lost 4 fights and tons of money. Glad I'm super drunk going to bed. penetrate this card

I've been there buddy, it happens to us all. Get some sleep and come back strong. I lost on this card too, not huge though.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Fight #2: Graves vs. Velickovic
Graves (-175) +0u
Graves -3.5 (+125) +0u
Graves ITD (+250) -.25u
Graves Submission (+550) -.25u

Result: Draw
Fight: -.5u
Card: -.5u

Fight #3: Reis vs. Sandoval
Reis Decision (+145) -.5u

Result: Reis Round 1 Submission
Fight: -.5u
Card: -1u

Fight #5: Pearson vs. Masvidal
Pearson (+180) -1.5u
Fight Goes to Decision (-190) +1u

Result: Masvidal Unanimous Decision
Fight: -.5u
Card: -1.5u

Fight #6: Krylov vs. Herman
Under 1.5 Rounds (-110) +2u
Krylov ITD (-104) +2u
Krylov Submission (+266) -.5u
Krylov Submission (+384) -.25u
Krylov Round 2 (+450) +1.125u

Hedge:
Herman Round 3 (+1500) -.25u

Result: Krylov Round 2 KO
Fight: +4.125u
Card: +2.625u

Fight #7: Benoit vs. Serrano
Benoit Scorecards = NA (-122) -> Cancelled
Benoit (+115) +1.15u
Benoit KO/TKO (+395) -.5u

Result: Benoit Split Decision
Fight: +.65u
Card: +3.275u

Fight #8: Perez vs. Rivera
Perez (-120) +1u
Perez Decision (+227) +1.135u

Hedge:
Rivera Scorecards = NA (+136) -> Cancelled

Result: Perez Unanimous Decision
Fight: +2.235u
Card: +5.41u

Fight #9: Brown vs. Ellenberger
Brown ITD (-150) -2.25u
Brown ITD (-141) -1.41u
Brown Round 2 (+475) -.5u
Brown Submission (+581) -.25u

Hedge:
Ellenberger Submission (+956) -.25u

Result: Ellenberger Rd 1 TKO
Fight: -4.66u
Card: +.75u

Fight #10: Namajunas vs. Kowalkiewicz
Kowalkiewicz (+190) +1.9u
Kowalkiewicz (+220) +6.6u

Hedge:
Namajunas Submission (+310) -1u
Namajunas Submission (+365) -.5u

Result: Kowalkiewicz Split Decision
Fight: +7u
Card: +7.75u

Fight #11: Lawler vs. Woodley
Lawler -5.5 (+130) -4u
Lawler Round 3 (+875) -1u
Lawler Round 4 (+1175) -2u
Lawler Round 5 (+1675) -1.5u
Lawler Decision (+400) -1.5u

Hedge(s):
Woodley Round 1 (+850) +12.75u
Woodley Round 2 (+1050) -1u
Woodley Submission (+1375) -.5u
Woodley Submission (+1600) -.25u

Result: Woodley Rd 1 KO
Fight: +1u
Card: +8.85u

Final Card = +8.85u

[Thrilla]

[parlayin]

JIBBBY FOR PREZ

[KalouKalou]

you going to jab some1 as explosive as woodley and 1 hit ko power? he still had a full gas tank

lol you can't be serious, just watch the Woodley-Rory fight and you will understand how to stop your explosive Woodley

[Killer_Demo]

Damn T-Wood closed that distance quick. Left hand feint with heavy right hand over top. No champion is safe in UFC

[Hugo de Naranja]

Draftkings:
Brown ($10,900) Rd 1 KO Loss
Lawler ($10,600) Rd 1 KO Loss
Krylov ($10,200) Krylov Rd 2 KO Win
Hamilton ($9,400) Rd 1 TKO Win
Kowalkiewicz ($8,600) Split Decision Win

[Hugo de Naranja]

Damn T-Wood closed that distance quick. Left hand feint with heavy right hand over top. No champion is safe in UFC

His fights will be easy to bet. Woodley early KO or opponent late finish or close decision.

[xagonzx]

You beat me to posting this! I should've listened.

[Thrilla]

[HurlSweatPants]

Hats off to the Jibbs. GN fellas see you for the Yair card.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Excellent card Jibsters. Glad to see you dominating the game again

[xagonzx]

Fight #2: Graves vs. Velickovic
Graves (-175) +0u
Graves -3.5 (+125) +0u
Graves ITD (+250) -.25u
Graves Submission (+550) -.25u

Result: Draw
Fight: -.5u
Card: -.5u

Fight #3: Reis vs. Sandoval
Reis Decision (+145) -.5u

Result: Reis Round 1 Submission
Fight: -.5u
Card: -1u

Fight #5: Pearson vs. Masvidal
Pearson (+180) -1.5u
Fight Goes to Decision (-190) +1u

Result: Masvidal Unanimous Decision
Fight: -.5u
Card: -1.5u

Fight #6: Krylov vs. Herman
Under 1.5 Rounds (-110) +2u
Krylov ITD (-104) +2u
Krylov Submission (+266) -.5u
Krylov Submission (+384) -.25u
Krylov Round 2 (+450) +1.125u

Hedge:
Herman Round 3 (+1500) -.25u

Result: Krylov Round 2 KO
Fight: +4.125u
Card: +2.625u

Fight #7: Benoit vs. Serrano
Benoit Scorecards = NA (-122) -> Cancelled
Benoit (+115) +1.15u
Benoit KO/TKO (+395) -.5u

Result: Benoit Split Decision
Fight: +.65u
Card: +3.275u

Fight #8: Perez vs. Rivera
Perez (-120) +1u
Perez Decision (+227) +1.135u

Hedge:
Rivera Scorecards = NA (+136) -> Cancelled

Result: Perez Unanimous Decision
Fight: +2.235u
Card: +5.41u

Fight #9: Brown vs. Ellenberger
Brown ITD (-150) -2.25u
Brown ITD (-141) -1.41u
Brown Round 2 (+475) -.5u
Brown Submission (+581) -.25u

Hedge:
Ellenberger Submission (+956) -.25u

Result: Ellenberger Rd 1 TKO
Fight: -4.66u
Card: +.75u

Fight #10: Namajunas vs. Kowalkiewicz
Kowalkiewicz (+190) +1.9u
Kowalkiewicz (+220) +6.6u

Hedge:
Namajunas Submission (+310) -1u
Namajunas Submission (+365) -.5u

Result: Kowalkiewicz Split Decision
Fight: +7u
Card: +7.75u

Fight #11: Lawler vs. Woodley
Lawler -5.5 (+130) -4u
Lawler Round 3 (+875) -1u
Lawler Round 4 (+1175) -2u
Lawler Round 5 (+1675) -1.5u
Lawler Decision (+400) -1.5u

Hedge(s):
Woodley Round 1 (+850) +12.75u
Woodley Round 2 (+1050) -1u
Woodley Submission (+1375) -.5u
Woodley Submission (+1600) -.25u

Result: Woodley Rd 1 KO
Fight: +1u
Card: +8.85u

Final Card = +8.85u

Nice night OJ. I only had a few bets, but i think i lost like 3 units. Had Graves, Brown, Krylov and RL tonight. Only Krylov hit.

Edit: i actually placed a last minute Dec on masdival that hit.

[ufcfan2016]

lol you can't be serious, just watch the Woodley-Rory fight and you will understand how to stop your explosive Woodley

That woodlrywasn't mentally there you can tell huge difference... Get serious. Full of confidence tonight

[Thrilla]

https://youtu.be/Pbgfc7ZJP0s?t=13m47s

And New! And New!

https://youtu.be/Pbgfc7ZJP0s?t=13m47s

And New! And New!

New!



New!

New!

[Hugo de Naranja]

Nice night OJ. I only had a few bets, but i think i lost like 3 units. Had Graves, Brown, Krylov and RL tonight. Only Krylov hit.

Edit: i actually placed a last minute Dec on masdival that hit.

Nice to grind out a profit (mostly due to Karolina) in an event where 2 of three of my five most confident picks didn't cash (Lawler, Brown, Graves)

[Ty$]

Fight #2: Graves vs. Velickovic
Graves (-175) +0u
Graves -3.5 (+125) +0u
Graves ITD (+250) -.25u
Graves Submission (+550) -.25u

Result: Draw
Fight: -.5u
Card: -.5u

Fight #3: Reis vs. Sandoval
Reis Decision (+145) -.5u

Result: Reis Round 1 Submission
Fight: -.5u
Card: -1u

Fight #5: Pearson vs. Masvidal
Pearson (+180) -1.5u
Fight Goes to Decision (-190) +1u

Result: Masvidal Unanimous Decision
Fight: -.5u
Card: -1.5u

Fight #6: Krylov vs. Herman
Under 1.5 Rounds (-110) +2u
Krylov ITD (-104) +2u
Krylov Submission (+266) -.5u
Krylov Submission (+384) -.25u
Krylov Round 2 (+450) +1.125u

Hedge:
Herman Round 3 (+1500) -.25u

Result: Krylov Round 2 KO
Fight: +4.125u
Card: +2.625u

Fight #7: Benoit vs. Serrano
Benoit Scorecards = NA (-122) -> Cancelled
Benoit (+115) +1.15u
Benoit KO/TKO (+395) -.5u

Result: Benoit Split Decision
Fight: +.65u
Card: +3.275u

Fight #8: Perez vs. Rivera
Perez (-120) +1u
Perez Decision (+227) +1.135u

Hedge:
Rivera Scorecards = NA (+136) -> Cancelled

Result: Perez Unanimous Decision
Fight: +2.235u
Card: +5.41u

Fight #9: Brown vs. Ellenberger
Brown ITD (-150) -2.25u
Brown ITD (-141) -1.41u
Brown Round 2 (+475) -.5u
Brown Submission (+581) -.25u

Hedge:
Ellenberger Submission (+956) -.25u

Result: Ellenberger Rd 1 TKO
Fight: -4.66u
Card: +.75u

Fight #10: Namajunas vs. Kowalkiewicz
Kowalkiewicz (+190) +1.9u
Kowalkiewicz (+220) +6.6u

Hedge:
Namajunas Submission (+310) -1u
Namajunas Submission (+365) -.5u

Result: Kowalkiewicz Split Decision
Fight: +7u
Card: +7.75u

Fight #11: Lawler vs. Woodley
Lawler -5.5 (+130) -4u
Lawler Round 3 (+875) -1u
Lawler Round 4 (+1175) -2u
Lawler Round 5 (+1675) -1.5u
Lawler Decision (+400) -1.5u

Hedge(s):
Woodley Round 1 (+850) +12.75u
Woodley Round 2 (+1050) -1u
Woodley Submission (+1375) -.5u
Woodley Submission (+1600) -.25u

Result: Woodley Rd 1 KO
Fight: +1u
Card: +8.85u

Final Card = +8.85u

What's your unit? I gotta get more calculated ... You're a betting wizard w the hedges

[KalouKalou]

That woodlrywasn't mentally there you can tell huge difference... Get serious. Full of confidence tonight

Wow, you know your stuff.

[Hugo de Naranja]

What's your unit? I gotta get more calculated ... You're a betting wizard w the hedges

$20

[BigSpoon]

Woodley v Wonderboy then winner of Condit v Maia to get the next title shot?

[Thrilla]

Wow, you know your stuff.

Just ignore him hel be gone in 2017

[Thrilla]

ufcfan2016 will you still be a fan in 2017?

[firekillex]

Dennis Bermudez -220 over rony Jason coming up....
really like that line already looking at new lines , get buried come back like a walking dead extra good wins for Woodley and ellenberger can't hate on those performances , it's mma anything can happen in the year of the underdog

[xagonzx]

Nice to grind out a profit (mostly due to Karolina) in an event where 2 of three of my five most confident picks didn't cash (Lawler, Brown, Graves)

A win is a win in the end! I regret not taking the value on KK, just really like both fighters and let the fan in me not allow me to make any bets on it. Nice man, you're consistent!

[xagonzx]

$20

If you can afford it, you should up the size. You're a good capper!

[Hugo de Naranja]

For those that don't already have a bet on the main event, you might want to consider this strategy:

Pre-Fight Bet:
Woodley Rd 1 for 2 units (ASAP for best price)
Woodley Rd 2 for 1 unit (ASAP for best price)
Lawler -5.5 for 2 units (Right before weigh-ins for best price)

Live Bet:
Lawler after Rd 1 if he lost the round but the fight is still going on. Lawler after Rd 1 will almost certainly be +odds
Lawler after Rd 2 if he is still plus odds

Unless one of these fighters has completely changed since their last appearance, this fight will likely be won by Woodley early or Lawler late when Woodley runs out of gas. If Woodley wins in Round 1, you will profit about 8u. If he wins in Round 2, you will profit about 6u. If Lawler wins in the first 2 rounds, you will break even. Now if Lawler survives the first 2 and you live bet him at +odds there is a high chance he comes back and wins by late finish and possibly decision which would cash both live bets and likely the -5.5 bet as well.

Out of curiosity, did anyone use the strategy I suggested a few days ago?

[Hugo de Naranja]

If you can afford it, you should up the size. You're a good capper!

Thanks man. I hate to over extend myself so I'm pretty nitty about unit size for the moment but it's something to consider.