UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Garbrandt (May 29, 2016)
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UncleChaelSBR MVP
- 10-30-13
- 3979
#106Comment -
Killer_DemoSBR Hall of Famer
- 06-15-08
- 8409
#107Only play for me is 2 unit on Jeremy Stephens +155. Fading baraoComment -
BeelzebubzySBR Hall of Famer
- 06-06-11
- 6995
#108NO.... I cap fights so I'm a bit more confident in my specific dog selection rather then hopeful random selection.. Like I said if 5 or 6 favorites were to hit in a row while doing the double up then that gets very sketchy and stressful...
However, Based on dog hit trends with the UFC events recently it's more likely every 3rd fight at most a dog will hit though. If that's the case and that trend continues in this event then you will make money trying the double up theory..
fights are not correlated like that. result of fight A has no impact on fight BComment -
dhristov211SBR MVP
- 12-18-15
- 2535
#109does josh post here?Comment -
Hugo de NaranjaSBR Posting Legend
- 04-14-16
- 14140
#110My Picks for this Event:
Milstead Rd 1 TKO
Caraway Split Decision
Campbell Rd 2 TKO
Pereira Rd 1 Submission
Trujillo Rd 1 TKO
Eye Split Decision
Felder Unanimous Decision
Larkin Unanimous Decision
Miranda Unanimous Decision
Story Unanimous Decision
Barao Rd 2 Submission
Almeida Rd 2 TKOComment -
JIBBBYSBR Aristocracy
- 12-10-09
- 83693
#112^^^I'm on Milstead by KO for really small in the first fight too.. Even at -150... I was tempted to NO play this fight.. Not confident at all with this but I'll roll the dice for a 50 spot to be entertained......
Next couple fights after that I'm rolling with the dogs.. Just wasn't able to sniff out props or hedge play on fights 2 and 3.. Just going with the straights..
Fight #1 -
$50.00 $33.30 Pending 5/29/16 6:00pm MMA Props Fighting 2133 Milstead wins by TKO/KO -150* vs Any other result
Fight #2 -
$150.00 $525.00 Pending 5/29/16 6:30pm UFC Fighting 2001 Bryan Caraway +350* vs Aljamain Sterling
Fight #3 -
$100.00 $145.00 Pending 5/29/16 7:00pm UFC Fighting 1902 Erik Koch +145* vs Shane Campbell Last edited by JIBBBY; 05-29-16, 01:39 PM.Comment -
JIBBBYSBR Aristocracy
- 12-10-09
- 83693
#113I wanna hedge in fight #2 and still might but just wish the odds were a bit better with this prop.. I may still back up the $150 with this hedge play..
2011 Sterling wins by 3 round decision -106 Comment -
Hugo de NaranjaSBR Posting Legend
- 04-14-16
- 14140
#114I'm betting Sterling/Caraway this way. It's possible for Sterling to finish Caraway but I think that's pretty unlikely. Caraway is the best value dog on this entire card.Comment -
Mxs1332SBR Wise Guy
- 03-08-16
- 661
#115Good luck to everyone and their picks tonight. This is a great match up card stylistically. Also Joe Rogan and the boys are holding a fight companion podcast!!
WOO HOO cheers gents
My card:
.5u to win 1.25u1.75 units to win 1
5/29/16 11:59pm UFC Fighting 1002 Thomas Almeida -175*vs Cody Garbrandt1.6u to win 1
5/29/16 11:30pm UFC Fighting 1102 Renan Barao -160*vs Jeremy Stephens1.25u to win 1
5/29/16 10:31pm UFC Fighting 1201 Rick Story -125* vs Tarec Saffiedine1u to win 1.1u
5/29/16 10:00pm UFC Fighting 1301 Chris Camozzi +110*vs Vitor Miranda1u to win 1.15u
5/29/16 8:30pm UFC Fighting 1601 Jessica Eye +115* vs Sara McMann1.05u to win 1 unit
5/29/16 7:30pm UFC Fighting 1802 Alberto Pereira Uda -105*vs Jake Collier
5/29/16 8:00pm UFC Fighting 1702 Jordan Rinaldi +250*vs Abel Trujillo
Did take fight on short notice but if he can get out of the 1st round i like his chances from then on
Then 3 team parlay 1u to win 2.59u
Added 2nd parlay - 3 units to win 5.55u3 Team Parlay Pending 5/29/16 11:59pm UFC Fighting 1002 Thomas Almeida -175*vs Cody Garbrandt Pending 5/29/16 11:30pm UFC Fighting 1102 Renan Barao -155*vs Jeremy Stephens Pending 5/29/16 6:00pm UFC Fighting 2102 Adam Milstead -255*vs Chris De La Rocha
3 Team Parlay Pending 5/29/16 11:59pm UFC Fighting 1002 Thomas Almeida -175*vs Cody Garbrandt Pending 5/29/16 6:30pm UFC Fighting 2002 Aljamain Sterling -330*vs Bryan Caraway Pending 5/29/16 6:00pm UFC Fighting 2102 Adam Milstead -255* Last edited by Mxs1332; 05-29-16, 02:37 PM.Comment -
UncleChaelSBR MVP
- 10-30-13
- 3979
-
Mxs1332SBR Wise Guy
- 03-08-16
- 661
#117testComment -
firekillexSBR Hall of Famer
- 09-18-13
- 6420
#118i think my boy funk master gets a decision tbh, i see him clearly winning the striking exchanges with his length and creativity, not to impressed with carraways striking 30-27 sterling
cody no love +155
jeremy stephen +135
larkin -110
i like the dog value in tonights main events BOLComment -
Mxs1332SBR Wise Guy
- 03-08-16
- 661
#119Added some prop play from some very friendly advice.
1u to win 5.2u MMA Props Fighting 1305 Camozzi wins inside distance +502* vs Not Camozzi inside distance
.25u to win 2.35u MMA Props Fighting 1529 Burkman wins by TKO/KO +940* vs Any other result
1u to win 1.3u MMA Props Fighting 1541 Burkman points handicap +3½ +130* vs Felder points
0.4u to win 8.9u MMA Props Fighting 1725 Rinaldi wins in round 3 +2225* vs Any other
1u to win 1.55u MMA Props Fighting 1742 Rinaldi points handicap +3½ +155* vs Trujillo points handicap
0.5u to win 1.21u MMA Props Fighting 1809 Pereira wins inside distance +242* vs Not Pereira inside distance
1u to win 4u MMA Props Fighting 1833 Pereira wins by TKO/KO +400* vs Any other result
1u to win 4.8u MMA Props Fighting 1933 Koch wins by TKO/KO +480* vs Any other resultLast edited by Mxs1332; 05-29-16, 04:00 PM.Comment -
firekillexSBR Hall of Famer
- 09-18-13
- 6420
#120should toss .5-1 unit on stephens by tko/ko inside the distance
nice prop bets though good luckComment -
JIBBBYSBR Aristocracy
- 12-10-09
- 83693
#122
I'm on Stephens straight myself for a good amount.. Was entertaining the idea of the KO prop earlier and may still ad a bit on it.. Barao hasn't proven he's back to his old self yet.. Chin is still in question..
Not likely Stephens sub's out Barao but it is a slightly safer play with ITD..1129 Stephens wins by TKO/KO +290
1105 Stephens wins inside distance +269 Last edited by JIBBBY; 05-29-16, 03:24 PM.Comment -
JIBBBYSBR Aristocracy
- 12-10-09
- 83693
#123
$100.00 $230.00 Pending 5/29/16 11:59pm MMA Props Fighting 1037 Garbrandt wins by TKO/KO +230* vs Any other result
Can't hedge with this as the odds aren't good enough for my liking..
1041 Almeida wins by TKO/KO -110
FS1 Main Card
Thomas
Almeida
"Thominhas"
vs
Cody
Garbrandt
"No Love"
BRAZIL
Country
USA
21-0-0
Record
8-0-0
76%
KO/TKO
88%
19%
SUB
0%
5%
DEC
13%
67 in
Height
68 in
135 lbs
Weight
135 lbs
70 in
Reach
65 in
38 in
Leg Reach
38 inLast edited by JIBBBY; 05-29-16, 03:51 PM.Comment -
Mxs1332SBR Wise Guy
- 03-08-16
- 661
#124Not a bad idea at all..
I'm on Stephens straight myself for a good amount.. Was entertaining the idea of the KO prop earlier and may still ad a bit on it.. Barao hasn't proven he's back to his old self yet.. Chin is still in question..
Not likely Stephens sub's out Barao but it is a slightly safer play with ITD..1129 Stephens wins by TKO/KO +290
1105 Stephens wins inside distance +269
I could definitely see this happeningComment -
firekillexSBR Hall of Famer
- 09-18-13
- 6420
#125stephens hits like a mack truck and barao has a ton of fights and hasnt looked good in the past few even his win over mitch gagnon i wasnt to impressed with. i could see stephens knocking this guy into the next universe loll especially after that weigh in yesterday he looks pumped to get his hands on barao . Gonna be a crazy fight and fight card with a ton of exciting fightsComment -
Mxs1332SBR Wise Guy
- 03-08-16
- 661
#126So pumped for this card!! Match up heaven... Glorious
Powerful Joe SilvaComment -
Thor4140SBR Posting Legend
- 02-09-08
- 22296
#127I don't know Capt i can see this one going to the Judges. Mas hasn't been finished in years. These fights i think will go to the judges i stay far away from. I thought Mas won his last fight and i thought Larkin won his. I like the weight class difference with Larkin and always liked Larkin but have been disappointed with him a few times with his hands. He seems to lose a little confidence in them at times. I still think he should win but of course im not the judges. Especially in these type of fights where i think the line looks a bit shady for some reason. I kinda like the Fav in the main event. I think Cody is a little bit full of himself and gets stretched. He gets sloppy at times but i need to see this line comedown a bit. I got it at -190. Not worth it at that price.Comment -
ThrillaSBR Posting Legend
- 03-10-15
- 13809
#128Who's on the Caraway bandwagon?Comment -
xagonzxSBR Sharp
- 04-26-16
- 283
#130^^^I'm on Milstead by KO for really small in the first fight too.. Even at -150... I was tempted to NO play this fight.. Not confident at all with this but I'll roll the dice for a 50 spot to be entertained......
Next couple fights after that I'm rolling with the dogs.. Just wasn't able to sniff out props or hedge play on fights 2 and 3.. Just going with the straights..
Fight #1 -
$50.00 $33.30 Pending 5/29/16 6:00pm MMA Props Fighting 2133 Milstead wins by TKO/KO -150* vs Any other result
Fight #2 -
$150.00 $525.00 Pending 5/29/16 6:30pm UFC Fighting 2001 Bryan Caraway +350* vs Aljamain Sterling
Fight #3 -
$100.00 $145.00 Pending 5/29/16 7:00pm UFC Fighting 1902 Erik Koch +145* vs Shane Campbell Comment -
JIBBBYSBR Aristocracy
- 12-10-09
- 83693
#131I am and along with the straight play for $150 I also hit this earlier and forgot that I did.. I need to ad this to Fight #2 for pending bets.. Couldn't resist at these odds at the time..
$100.00 $615.00 Pending 5/29/16 6:30pm MMA Props Fighting 2007 Caraway wins by 3 round decision +615* vs Not Caraway by 3 round decision Comment -
xagonzxSBR Sharp
- 04-26-16
- 283
#132I am and along with the straight play for $150 I also hit this earlier and forgot that I did.. I need to ad this to Fight #2 for pending bets.. Couldn't resist at these odds at the time..
$100.00 $615.00 Pending 5/29/16 6:30pm MMA Props Fighting 2007 Caraway wins by 3 round decision +615* vs Not Caraway by 3 round decision Comment -
UncleChaelSBR MVP
- 10-30-13
- 3979
#133I'm a Bad Mama Jama, Bad Mama Jama.Comment -
xagonzxSBR Sharp
- 04-26-16
- 283
#135Card is about to kick off. I don't have too much invested in this card, a lot of .25 to 1 unit bets. Too many close matchups that i can't get a good read on.
Good luck all!Comment -
JIBBBYSBR Aristocracy
- 12-10-09
- 83693
#136
I was actually thinking Koch by decision but he has many ways to win and or finish the fight.. Koch fought and lost to some of the best in the division (Porier and Lamas) and was game in a couple of those fights. Cambell simple is not one of the very best and has not fought to the same level of competition IMO..http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Erik-Koch-23390Had to go with the dog in this one even with the layoff... He's coming off a very ugly quick KO loss to Cruishank and I think he will bring his best into this rebound fight win or lose..Last edited by JIBBBY; 05-29-16, 05:09 PM.Comment -
JIBBBYSBR Aristocracy
- 12-10-09
- 83693
#137Game time!!! Let's do this!!!
Milstead for the KO for peanuts..Last edited by JIBBBY; 05-29-16, 05:05 PM.Comment -
xagonzxSBR Sharp
- 04-26-16
- 283
#138I was actually thinking Koch by decision but he has more ways to win and finish the fight.. Koch fought and lost to some of the best in the division (Porier and Lamas) and was game in a couple of those fights. Cambell simple is not one of the very best and has not fought to the same level of competition IMO..http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Erik-Koch-23390Had to go with the dog in this one..Comment -
Unwritten LawSBR MVP
- 10-31-13
- 2532
#139Gotta take Milstead.Comment
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