WSOF 30: Branch vs. Starks (April 02, 2016)

[THE_LOCKSMITH]

NBCSN, 11:30 p.m. ET
David Branch vs. Clifford Starks (for middleweight title)
Jon Fitch vs. Joao Zeferino (for vacant welterweight title)
Jake Heun vs. Vinny Magalhaes
Abu Azaitar vs. Danny Davis Jr.

Preliminary Card, 8 p.m. ET
Matthew Frincu vs. Abubakar Nurmagomedov
Rex Harris vs. Clinton Williams
Matt Church vs. Steve Kozola
Carlos Garcia vs. Jason Pacheco
Adam Acquaviva vs. Andres Ponce
Zach Bunnell vs. Jeff Roman

[THE_LOCKSMITH]

Fading Fitch???

[JIBBBY]

Fading Fitch???

Fitch is pretty much a can these days but Zeferino is a one trick pony with his submission game.. 15 of his 20 pro wins have come by Submission..http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Joao-Zeferino-17577 Joh Fitch probably pressures and grinds out rounds on points. It's either Zef by Sub or propably Fitch by decision or Fitch by pound out late IMO.. Still waiting on some props to pop up for this..

Vinny Mag by Sub I thnk has to be the call, probably breaks bone or tears a lig at some point with Heun ... Heun will be tapping quicky as well at the first sign of a submission attempt sinking in from Vinny.. Dude is a dirty fighter... Fighters cringe when having to fight that guy... Some how I just think Vinny getting this fight to the ground at some point then game over.. Heun is nothing really specical... Vinny will be juiced up as usual too.. There is no Sub prop so ITD Vinny at -190 might be the call...

Branch and Stark have never fought past the 3rd round and this is a 5 rounder.. One of these dudes finish I think.. Both nearly 35 years old and I don't think either have it in them to go 5...

Having a hard time sniffing +odd bets for this card so the parlay is what I have to.. Not betting the house on this card either..

$77.60	$108.90	Pending	2 Team Parlay
				Pending	4/2/16 11:59pm MMA Props Fighting 3004 Fight won’t go 5 round distance -170* <small>vs</small> Starks / Branch goes 5 round distance
				Pending	4/2/16 11:59pm MMA Props Fighting 3209 Magalhaes wins inside distance -195* <small>vs</small> Not Magalhaes inside distance

[JIBBBY]

Some write up if you guys wanna check...

Combat press - http://combatpress.com/2016/03/world...d-predictions/

MMA MANIA (copy and paste)

WSOF 30 predictions, preview for 'Branch vs Starks' NBC Sports-televised main card

By SteveJuon
<header> @angrymarks on Mar 31, 2016, 8:00p 11
</header>
<source type="image/webp"> World Series of Fighting







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World Series of Fighting (WSOF) returns to NBC Sports Network this weekend (Sat., April 2, 2016) with its latest mixed martial arts (MMA) event, which will take place inside Hard Rock Hotel & Casino in Las Vegas, Nevada.
WSOF 30's main event will feature dual champion David Branch returning to defend his Middleweight title against Clifford Starks, while the co-main event will see Jon Fitch and Joao Zeferino battle for the vacant Welterweight title.
That's not all.
Let's break down all of the WSOF 30 main card matches below:

185 lbs.: David Branch (c) (17-3) vs. Clifford Starks (13-2)

After a brief stint in Bellator MMA during its earliest days -- and an unremarkable 2-2 stint in four UFC fights -- David Branch has truly blossomed as a fighter inside the confines of WSOF's Decagon. He's a perfect in the promotion (7-0), and along the way, has acquired both the Middleweight and Light Heavyweight titles. As long as he can successfully defend both belts, who's going to argue that Branch deserves it? To that end, he's making a long overdue Middleweight title defense -- his last was against Yushin Okami in November of 2014.
Clifford Starks would like to be the man to knock him off that throne. "Big Cat" also had an unremarkable stint in UFC, going 1-2 in three fights, but he's perfect (5-0) since leaving, including two Bellator fights and three bouts in WSOF. His last bout may be his most impressive performance to date, knocking off the highly touted and previously undefeated Krasimir Mladenov in Sept. 2015. Mladenov's nickname was "The Wrestler," but he was unable to use takedowns effectively, and between ill-conceived attempts, he got lit up and busted up standing.
Starks would undoubtedly love to turn this title shot into a similar situation, but the diversity of Branch's skill set (five technical knockouts, six submissions and six decisions in 17 wins) shows there are very few holes in his game right now. He's quick to seize opportunities when they come, but wise enough to wait for the right moments to strike, as he didn't finish Okami until the fourth round of their aforementioned fight. That fight also gives little reason to think Branch will gas out even though Middleweight is a much tougher cut to make. Starks grinds out more than 50 percent of his wins (seven out of 13) but that won't help him here. As good as he is I really think he's up Shits Creek without a paddle here.
Final result: David Branch wins via rear-naked choke in round four

170 lbs.: Jon Fitch (27-7-1, 1 NC) vs. Joao Zeferino (20-7)

Lose a "Lightweight Tournament" and get a world title shot? That's not normally the way things work, but given that top contender Jake Shields is embroiled in a contractual feud, WSOF 25 runner up Joao Zeferino slides into this fight for the vacant WSOF title. "The Brazilian Samurai" was on a five-fight win streak coming into WSOF, and he nearly ran the table in the aforementioned tournament, so he's arguably worthy to get this spot. He wins 75 percent of his fights by submission (15 out of 20) so you definitely don't want to wind up on the ground with him.
Jon Fitch is a crafty veteran, proving over-and-over again he's not afraid to go into somebody's wheelhouse and challenge them to do their best or fail in the attempt. He's won three of his last four in WSOF, including a title eliminator against Okami in the latter's debut at Welterweight. In hindsight, that was too much of a cut for Okami to make, but this time Fitch's opponent is actually moving up a weight class.
The increased bulk he's carrying should slow down Zeferino enough for Fitch to take him down and dare Zeferino to apply his fearsome heel hook. Fitch has some of the best ground game defense going, which would have made for an awesome fight with Shields, but should make for a much easier fight with Zeferino. Fitch is going to be naturally bigger and stronger than Zeferino, so the chances of him sweeping for a submission are quite frankly unlikely at best.
Final result: Jon Fitch via unanimous decision to claim Welterweight title

205 lbs.: Vinny Magalhaes (13-7) vs. Jake Heun (9-4)

Once again we have another fighter who has been reborn outside UFC, as Vinny Magalhaes is now in his groove with a three-fight win streak that includes capturing (and subsequently vacating) the Titan FC Light Heavyweight title. His litany of medals in Brazilian jiu-jitsu and grappling competitions vastly exceeds the amount of gold he's won in MMA, but he's well positioned with an impressive win to challenge Branch down the road. Magalhaes is even better on the ground than the aforementioned Zeferino, with 84 percent (11 out of 13) wins coming by submission.
Attention Jake Heun: Ya' best protect ya' neck!
That's not to say "The Honey Bear" has no chance in hell. He's got four wins in his last five fights, with his only loss coming to this card's title challenger (Starks). The American Top Team prospect out of Anchorage, Alaska, has plenty of power striking (four wins), but can submit you or go the distance as well (five combined wins). He needs to come out of the blocks quick, land some strikes to knock Magalhaes off his game, and avoid takedowns at all costs. I still feel that Magalhaes has untapped potential that's just now starting to show in his WSOF run.
Final result: Vinny Magalhaes wins via submission in round two

170 lbs.: Danny Davis Jr. (11-10-1) vs. Abu Azaitar (11-1-1)

Looking at their respective records alone, you might take this fight for a joke. Danny Davis Jr. is not as bad as his win-loss record suggests, though. In his last two losses, he dropped a split decision to Matt Frincu (who is fighting on the "Prelims" of this card) and a unanimous decision to Abubakar Nurmagomedov (also on the WSOF 30 "Prelims"). WSOF expects big things from Abu Azaitar, though, who has won six fights via technical knockout in the first round, and one more that went to the second. If the German prospect delivers on his promise, he should hand a game but overmatched Davis his third straight loss.
Final result: Abu Azaitar wins via first round technical knockout

[JIBBBY]

Late start time for this event I see!! Better late then never I guess These college hoop games are both blow outs..

[JoshKnows46]

this is starting in 30 more minutes, right?

[Pimp178]

this is starting in 30 more minutes, right?

Yes, 1130 pm est.

[JoshKnows46]

Yes, 1130 pm est.

thanks pimp!

[JoshKnows46]

fight night 86 odds about to be released on 5 dimes very soon..

[JoshKnows46]

will be..
black beast -165 gonzaga +135
and
dalby -175 cummings +135

[badgerguy]

29-28 by all 3 judges? Ok....lol

[JoshKnows46]

29-28 by all 3 judges? Ok....lol

Just terrible, how do u score 2 rounds for abu??!

[badgerguy]

Just terrible, how do u score 2 rounds for abu??!

I can't, I would argue 29-28 Davis if anything.

[THE_LOCKSMITH]

what ever happened to that lawsuit Fitch and other brought against the UFC

[THE_LOCKSMITH]

Palhares is the true champ

[shabang]

what ever happened to that lawsuit Fitch and other brought against the UFC

I think you just answered your own question lol

[JIBBBY]

I went out last night and got home late and had to watch this tivo'd.. Really didn't bet hard with this event so I didn't mind being abscent.. I didn't post pending for this event my bad as I was planning to during the event live but wasn't home to do so... Have to take me word for it this go around....

I mentioned I did like all the favorites and I mentioned I got parlay happy with this card... My night in a nut shell..



Bet #1 - Running total $145.00

$52.00	$145.10		Win	5 Team Parlay
									Win	4/2/16 11:59pm WSOF Fighting 3002 David Branch -350* <small>vs</small> Clifford Starks
									Win	4/2/16 11:59pm WSOF Fighting 3102 Jon Fitch -250* <small>vs</small> Joao Zeferino
									Win	4/2/16 11:59pm WSOF Fighting 3202 Vinny Magalhaes -245* <small>vs</small> Jake Heun
									Win	4/2/16 11:30pm WSOF Fighting 3302 Abu Azaitar -255* <small>vs</small> Danny Davis Jr
									Win	4/2/16 11:00pm WSOF Fighting 3402 Abubakar Nurmagomedov -1350* <small>vs</small> Matthew Frincu

Bet #2 - Running total $83.00

$62.50

$50.00

Loss

4/2/16 11:30pm MMA Props Fighting 3309 Azaitar wins inside distance -125* <small>vs</small> Not Azaitar inside distance

Bet #3 - Running Total $6.00

$77.60	$108.90		Loss	2 Team Parlay
									Loss	4/2/16 11:59pm MMA Props Fighting 3004 Fight won’t go 5 round distance -170* <small>vs</small> Starks / Branch goes 5 round distance
									Loss	4/2/16 11:59pm MMA Props Fighting 3209 Magalhaes wins inside distance -195* <small>vs</small> Not Magalhaes inside distance

Bet #4 Running Total $106.00

$190.00

$100.00

Win

4/2/16 11:59pm WSOF Fighting 3101 Joao Zeferino/Jon Fitch Over 2½ -190*

Bet #4 Running Total $80

$26.40

$73.90

Loss

4/2/16 11:59pm MMA Props Fighting 3205 Heun wins inside distance +280* <small>vs</small> Not Heun inside distance

Bet #5 Running Total $55

$26.30

$76.30

Loss

4/2/16 11:59pm WSOF Fighting 3001 Clifford Starks +290* <small>vs</small> David Branch

FINAL TOTALS + $55...

(I consider this event a wash.. I'll take the 50 bucks though but I was off with my prop calls for this event.. That ended up hurting my profits.. My big bet was the Fitch over 2.5 because he is a grinder and not a finisher as I mentioned, I would have played Fitch by decision by I never saw the prop pop up..

[JIBBBY]

Oh and that Bovada ITD Vinny play at +250 was cancelled and refunded.. NO ACTION...

[bjpenn85]

Oh and that Bovada ITD Vinny play at +250 was cancelled and refunded.. NO ACTION...

Yeah, they do that all the time. Bovada, are they what someone would call a "shady bookie"?

[JIBBBY]

Yeah, they do that all the time. Bovada, are they what someone would call a "shady bookie"?

Yeah BJ, Bovada is funky at times and they don't have as many props as 5D either.. They do have decent bonus stuff goings on from time to time... Sometimes you can also find better value in lines especially if you are on the dogs in Hoop and Hockey. Payouts are fast though as they will have a check arrive via courier service quickly, well that's been my experience anyways in the past.. Bovada is ok, it's not the worst or the best IMO..

[JoshKnows46]

Yeah, they do that all the time. Bovada, are they what someone would call a "shady bookie"?

all books have human error, that was a obvious line error, most books put rules in place saying it's up to the player not to bet on blatant line errors, 5dimes considers is stealing, and has banned accounts for doing it, in the rare occasion a person collected a check on a error, from my understanding, its looked down upon atleast with that book.

[LBfightlife]

Still think you are lame Jibby but gotta give props for hitting that parlay. I thought they would all win but I didn't have the balls to bet it but it's nice to see that hit on a 5 team.