*JoshKnows UFC Fight Night 84: Feb 27th

[PaperTrail07]

I added Teymur and Gouti $$

[PaperTrail07]

Dempsey looks like a live dog

[Thor4140]

Thor ya didn't have to do that... What a nice guy!!!!

I appreciate the points man and I'll give em back to ya as soon as I double them up.. I still owe my Canadian pal JC2008 - 500 points as well for a nice gesture he did for me months ago as well.... I'll remember this Thor and return the favor in spades one day......

It's nice to see some guys on this forum are cool like that. Really...

*I won't load up all my points on a main event fight anymore like RDA for example coming up.. I got silly doing that twice already and got burnt twice for 1000's and zero'd out.....

Jibby i didn't give them to ya to expect them back. Do what ya want with them. Miri asked me if i could help ya out someway. We were feeling sad for you.

[PaperTrail07]

Silva looked weak IMO .....

[JoshKnows46]

Silva looked weak IMO .....

I don't see it, how does he look weak?

teymur and dempsey fights are both no bets for me, can see paths to victory on both sides of both those fights, would bet dempsey before id lay the number...i'm on gouti under, no bet on the side in that fight, very small lean pack, the under is the only value in that fight.

[PaperTrail07]

He looked the same who am I kidding lol...just didnt seem to be mentally there for me...could mean nothing...

I don't see it, how does he look weak?

teymur and dempsey fights are both no bets for me, can see paths to victory on both sides of both those fights, would bet dempsey before id lay the number...i'm on gouti under, no bet on the side in that fight, very small lean pack, the under is the only value in that fight.

[PaperTrail07]

Teymur is simply more athletic IMO....the Russian Hammer KO'd him....so will Teymur...not a HUGE edge like you said though....thinking 1st or 2nd round KO/TKO..

I don't see it, how does he look weak?

teymur and dempsey fights are both no bets for me, can see paths to victory on both sides of both those fights, would bet dempsey before id lay the number...i'm on gouti under, no bet on the side in that fight, very small lean pack, the under is the only value in that fight.

[PaperTrail07]

I see Gouti doing the same....only way he does not win is if he is grappled to death..i see him moving and getting the KO

[JoshKnows46]

Teymur is simply more athletic IMO....the Russian Hammer KO'd him....so will Teymur...not a HUGE edge like you said though....thinking 1st or 2nd round KO/TKO..

Def more athletic, but could lose a dec by getting taken down a couple times each round, he could also get the ko or be the more active guy as you said, it just feels like a toss up to me.

[JoshKnows46]

I see Gouti doing the same....only way he does not win is if he is grappled to death..i see him moving and getting the KO

I'll be rooting for the Gouti ko to come through for you, gl with the event.

[JoshKnows46]

I added another 900 to my anderson mcgregor parlay, for a total of 1800 risked.

[TPowell]

Added:
Daniel Omielanczuk -120 risking $1000
Gouti/pack under 2.5 +145 risking $300
Amirk/Wilkinson under 2.5 -155 risking $600

Wow over 3 units on Daniel? Curious why

[mirinquads]

He looked the same who am I kidding lol...just didnt seem to be mentally there for me...could mean nothing...

Thought he looked 10x more confident than he did against Diaz. Bisping over did it with the trashtalk, the kind of shit that fires Anderson up. Very emotional fighter.

Regretting my over bets here, could see Bisping getting starched earlier than expected.

[mirinquads]

Wow over 3 units on Daniel? Curious why

Way better all around. Actually have some footwork. Man Mount is slow as penetrate and only has a game when he has you against the cage, and the size difference werent what they made it out to be. He will have even more problems tracking him down in the big octagon, opposed to the little shit cages/rings he's had success in before.

[TPowell]

Way better all around. Actually have some footwork. Man Mount is slow as penetrate and only has a game when he has you against the cage, and the size difference werent what they made it out to be. He will have even more problems tracking him down in the big octagon, opposed to the little shit cages/rings he's had success in before.

Hes literally beat better competition than Daniel and should be improving much quicker as well. Sticking to my guns here. Athleticism wins fights in these bum heavyweight fights. Danho cut from 290 to get to 261. He'll be the much stronger, more athletic, well conditioned athlete. He could finish this fight late or get a reasonably solid decision win.

[TPowell]

Thought he looked 10x more confident than he did against Diaz. Bisping over did it with the trashtalk, the kind of shit that fires Anderson up. Very emotional fighter.

Regretting my over bets here, could see Bisping getting starched earlier than expected.

Think you'll be okay mirin. Just need to get out of the first 2 rounds and I think it'll be a borefest start. Silva will try to counter strike with precision to avoid a possible takedown. I think round 3 or 4 sounds right for a Silva ko

[mirinquads]

Hes literally beat better competition than Daniel and should be improving much quicker as well. Sticking to my guns here. Athleticism wins fights in these bum heavyweight fights. Danho cut from 290 to get to 261. He'll be the much stronger, more athletic, well conditioned athlete. He could finish this fight late or get a reasonably solid decision win.

What makes you think Jarjar binks is more athletic? And well conditioned? Disagree there.

[mirinquads]

Anyway, Omie has lost to the same type of style before, so it certainly could happen. Id hit up jarjar binks by decision for sure if you want to play him though.

[JoshKnows46]

Danho is carrying a considerable amount of amount of body fat, omi has never been stopped in a fight, if the fight was to go to latter rounds, favors omi, but he is considerably better in grappling and striking, I don't see it getting out of the first round. I'm guessing losing to Hamilton is why we are getting such a good number. I have it capped at -240. He also has more experience in the ufc and in general. I believe he's a excellent play here.

[JoshKnows46]

Think you'll be okay mirin. Just need to get out of the first 2 rounds and I think it'll be a borefest start. Silva will try to counter strike with precision to avoid a possible takedown. I think round 3 or 4 sounds right for a Silva ko

That's what I'm thinking, late 3rd, early 4th...hoping the old anderson doesn't show up, even anderson at 50 percent ko's bisping a 100 out of 100 fights. Anderson fights southpaw, right into bispings crooked blind eye, two much less presice, less powerful, slower strikers in dolloway and Lietes nearly knocked him out multiple times, bisping has no chance here, bispings reflexs are going, chin is shot, and hes blind in one eye, fighting the goat,,he's going to sleep in this fight.

[TPowell]

Danho is carrying a considerable amount of amount of body fat, omi has never been stopped in a fight, if the fight was to go to latter rounds, favors omi, but he is considerably better in grappling and striking, I don't see it getting out of the first round. I'm guessing losing to Hamilton is why we are getting such a good number. I have it capped at -240. He also has more experience in the ufc and in general. I believe he's a excellent play here.

This fight def goes in the later rounds and I think danhos cardio will be fine. Josh, I'm ragging you hard when danho grinds out a boring clinch fest decision

[PaperTrail07]

You too...yeah it somewhat is but I usually just lean to the natural.....your right though....guy ends up on his back he could be useless..

I'll be rooting for the Gouti ko to come through for you, gl with the event.

[PaperTrail07]

GL to everyone---My bets are locked and loaded...

[PaperTrail07]

100% agree....he SHOULD ROLL Danho IMO.....he brings nothing to the table he has not seen before...should push danho all over the cage..

This fight def goes in the later rounds and I think danhos cardio will be fine. Josh, I'm ragging you hard when danho grinds out a boring clinch fest decision

[TPowell]

What makes you think Jarjar binks is more athletic? And well conditioned? Disagree there.

From what I've heard about him and the little I've watched. I just really don't like Daniel. His footwork isn't bad but he just seems very unathletic

[JoshKnows46]

This fight def goes in the later rounds and I think danhos cardio will be fine. Josh, I'm ragging you hard when danho grinds out a boring clinch fest decision

Your more than welcome to get on my case if this one loses, but I see no path to victory for your boy, dec maybe, but it's bleek. Very unlikely he gets out the first, and even more unlikely he gets out the 2nd, he's complete dog dodo.

[JC2008]

Hes literally beat better competition than Daniel and should be improving much quicker as well. Sticking to my guns here. Athleticism wins fights in these bum heavyweight fights. Danho cut from 290 to get to 261. He'll be the much stronger, more athletic, well conditioned athlete. He could finish this fight late or get a reasonably solid decision win.

- If anything, a 29 lb. weight cut will hinder his performance/cardio.

[JoshKnows46]

Ciscos price is dropping, lovely, I'm gonna watch the line, but may be adding another 2 units to him. Must have been the talk about Pickett fighting smart coming out his camp that has people jumping on the dog.

[TPowell]

Ciscos price is dropping, lovely, I'm gonna watch the line, but may be adding another 2 units to him. Must have been the talk about Pickett fighting smart coming out his camp that has people jumping on the dog.

Think I'm going to add a unit on Rivera by TKO. Have him at 230 risking a few units already

[AliMMA]

Hey Josh, I don't bet the amount you guys do so I mainly do parlays with about $30 over 4 or 5 fighters. Any ideas a parlay I could put together for this event?

[mirinquads]

Hey Josh, I don't bet the amount you guys do so I mainly do parlays with about $30 over 4 or 5 fighters. Any ideas a parlay I could put together for this event?

Heres, an idea, stop doing that dumb shit at once.

But if not, some combination of Khabilv over, Omielanchuk over, Jotko, Rivera and Breese ITD should be some decent bets. But really, stop playing like that, its mathematically disadvantageous for you to do so.

[JoshKnows46]

Heres, an idea, stop doing that dumb shit at once.

But if not, some combination of Khabilv over, Omielanchuk over, Jotko, Rivera and Breese ITD should be some decent bets. But really, stop playing like that, its mathematically disadvantageous for you to do so.

Agree with most of this exept omie over, that fight is finished early. I'd go with Breese itd...anderson.. goes the. Distance in khabilov fight.. jotko....and rivera, do that same parlay for equal price with Lietes instead of rivera...or you can take any one of those 5 out and put mcgregor in if you care to wait 2 weeks. Also it doesn't matter if you have only 30 bucks, your better off betting 5 dollars a play till you get to a 100, then 15 a play till u get to 200, then 25 a bet till you get to 500, so on and so forth, straight bets are the way to win money, but I hope that parlay hits for u, good luck

[JC2008]

Agree with most of this exept omie over, that fight is finished early. I'd go with Breese itd...anderson.. goes the. Distance in khabilov fight.. jotko....and rivera, do that same parlay for equal price with Lietes instead of rivera...or you can take any one of those 5 out and put mcgregor in if you care to wait 2 weeks. Also it doesn't matter if you have only 30 bucks, your better off betting 5 dollars a play till you get to a 100, then 15 a play till u get to 200, then 25 a bet till you get to 500, so on and so forth, straight bets are the way to win money, but I hope that parlay hits for u, good luck

The UFC PPV is next weekend, so throwing CM in is only a week's wait thankfully.

[UncleChael]

Hey Josh, I don't bet the amount you guys do so I mainly do parlays with about $30 over 4 or 5 fighters. Any ideas a parlay I could put together for this event?

I will make a parlay for you and SBR tomorrow.

[tiberiusdush]

hey josh i been tailing u for a good while just dont post much, went 7-0 last week mostly due to ur insight, lets keep the good times rolling.


do u know a good site to stream tomorrow fight pass event on?