Tips capping

[Deceptakhan]

First id like to give mad props for the wealth of knowledge iv collected on this site
Im just looking for some capping tips
are there any books yall started with? all i can find online are basic tips
im trying my best to learn from what i see here
Thanks

[leetreaper]

Join Date: 12-26-12

[Deceptakhan]

So that's how u get up to 28,000 posts...

[mirinquads]

5Dimes is essential for MMA betting, Bookmaker for the livelines, but you need to line shop on as many sites as possible.
It's all about the matchups, if you want to be succesful betting the sport, you gotta know what you're looking at. A lot of people here lose and lose and lose because they just go by public opinion and hype build up for the fighters. (See Brooks, and others on this site).

[brooks85]

5Dimes is essential for MMA betting, Bookmaker for the livelines, but you need to line shop on as many sites as possible.
It's all about the matchups, if you want to be succesful betting the sport, you gotta know what you're looking at. A lot of people here lose and lose and lose because they just go by public opinion and hype build up for the fighters. (See Brooks, and others on this site).

lol child is still upset cause he walked right into my trap. Reality is I have more on the line on fantasy contests than you actually bet you dumb chump. Plus, I haven't made myself look like an idiot like yourself which you can't truthfully deny.


miri's advice would be just wait until the fight is over then bump a previous half-ass post. If the fight loses, don't bump. That is you miri, you haven't tricked anyone.

[mirinquads]

lol child is still upset cause he walked right into my trap. Reality is I have more on the line on fantasy contests than you actually bet you dumb chump. Plus, I haven't made myself look like an idiot like yourself which you can't truthfully deny.


miri's advice would be just wait until the fight is over then bump a previous half-ass post. If the fight loses, don't bump. That is you miri, you haven't tricked anyone.

You're so easy to bait. It's getting boring at this point.

[brooks85]

You're so easy to bait. It's getting boring at this point.

hey, as long as you don't deny what we all know I'll be your huckleberry. Acceptance is important miri, good for you.

[mirinquads]

hey, as long as you don't deny what we all know I'll be your huckleberry. Acceptance is important miri, good for you.

You're not fooling anyone Brooks. Your 'trap' got exposed as being retarded and disproven, you got shit on by the other posters on this site. You have nothing to add to any discussion what so ever. I love how you conceded defeat in the other thread like a little bitch. - And no you haven't made your self look like an idiot, you have proven without a shadow of a doubt that you are infact an idiot.

Everybody hates you on this site, you're a terrible bettor and you will die alone in your one room apartment, when they turn off the heat because you can't pay your bills, pizzaboy.

[bjpenn85]

hey, as long as you don't deny what we all know I'll be your huckleberry. Acceptance is important miri, good for you.

Your comebacks lack that tasty, delicate sting to it. Miri own you ass right now. You should just bow down at this point

[JIBBBY]

Capping and betting MMA - pick your spots when you see a gem.. Don't play every fight like me unless you live and breathe the sport..

Oh, and tail winners if you really don't know the sport or fighters or don't bet it at all...

[brooks85]

You're not fooling anyone Brooks. Your 'trap' got exposed as being retarded and disproven, you got shit on by the other posters on this site. You have nothing to add to any discussion what so ever. I love how you conceded defeat in the other thread like a little bitch. - And no you haven't made your self look like an idiot, you have proven without a shadow of a doubt that you are infact an idiot.

Everybody hates you on this site, you're a terrible bettor and you will die alone in your one room apartment, when they turn off the heat because you can't pay your bills, pizzaboy.

no it didn't. As I have told you before its your perception vs reality. That is why you still say stuff about pizza points when logically it makes you look like a clown every time. I owned that argument between you and your crew. It was hilarious and that is why they shutup about it yet you keep mentioning it like a clown. Because you are one; that is why education is important.

Your comebacks lack that tasty, delicate sting to it. Miri own you ass right now. You should just bow down at this point

"comebacks"

you kids are too funny. I'll just worry about logic. The only thing miri owns is the fool I have made him look like over and over. Even he can't truthfully deny it.


It is also funny how wordy and emotional he gets. Just be man miri and admit you hooked your wagon to a bunch of idiots. They are gone, who cares. Next year you can enter BTP and stop embarrassing yourself by acting like you don't care.

[mirinquads]

The only thing miri owns is the fool I have made him look like over and over. Even he can't truthfully deny it.

That made 0 sense, but nice try at an English sentence. Talking about education but can't put together a sentence in your native tongue that makes sense.

I wonder why you consistently are the laughing stock of this forum.

Just be man miri

How embarrassing, lol

[opinionator]

[brooks85]

That made 0 sense, but nice try at an English sentence. Talking about education but can't put together a sentence in your native tongue that makes sense.

I wonder why you consistently are the laughing stock of this forum.



How embarrassing, lol

comical how you just admitted your trouble with reading comprehension. Nice Work chump.

[mirinquads]

comical how you just admitted your trouble with reading comprehension. Nice Work chump.

No, your grammar is just so fuken terrible your sentence is unreadable. I own my self because you made me look like a fool? It's like I'm talking to a third grader that's trying to be clever.

You're literally over 30 years old and can't put an proper English sentence together.. 'Muuuuuricaaa!

[Deceptakhan]

A lot of people here lose and lose and lose because they just go by public opinion and hype build up for the fighters. (See Brooks, and others on this site).

all about finding that hidden value, cheers mirin

[mirinquads]

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-tools/odds-converter/

Use this, it will give you the implied value of the line you're getting. If you feel the outcome is more likely you can bet it, there's different models to figure out how much if you want to go that indepth with it.

[Sanity Check]

"There are no shortcuts."

Whatever you don't know will return to bite you in the a$$ eventually.

[Joeey]

Interesting thread - to read tips etc. As a long time lurker, hardly post the only feedback Id give to others here is a seeminly under-appreciation of how teams/gyms/coaches are incorporated into capping.

Ie, 2 of the major upsets of late have been JW fighters, fighting with their brains. Overeem and Holm. There are some gyms who do the same thing over time, and others like JW who will have their fighters adapt, grow with the sport and their fighters generally have a higher fight IQ.

This week we have JW v ATT - Condit v Lawler. I think this should be a pick em, but honestly the camp is leaning me towards favouring condit pulling out a grinding decision win. I think condit has enough tools for the camp to figure out a plan.

Coner is another - he is a smart fighter and its painfully obvious he studies and studies opponents to the Nth degree.

Generally, the game is understanding what it is - finding value against the 'bookies' where the bookies generally will find a line which represents the weight of money they expect on a given outcome - not necessarily what the 'real' odds should be.

The key is finding the value when the weight of money has it wrong, and hope over time this edge is the difference to you.

The other problem is betting too much - on a given card, you may find 1, 2 or 3 bets. But if you are consistently betting on 10-11 fights on a card, you are in for pain. Thats what the bookies want you to do.

[JIBBBY]

"There are no shortcuts."

Whatever you don't know will return to bite you in the a$$ eventually.

Even things you do know will sometimes bite ya in the ass especially in MMA Sanity.. I know you know this... A lucky punch or the favored fighter is mentally or physically off for reason going in and that blows up your MMA logic.. This sport is mostly mental so ya gotta lean on the current fighter trends and what is working best... Envisioning the style match ups...

Getting the best odds after that is up to you.. It does ad up over time and don't be lazy like me sometimes.... Miri is right in this regards to best odds play for every bet....

With betting each fight in every event, my take and why I do it -

Take the coin flip fights and go with the odds value.. Overtime it works out if you are atleast 50% on those picks.. That's why I bet every fight on each card most of the time except for maybe when they are close to even odds fights and I'm REALLY on the fence..

I'll lose some fights that I'm on the fence with but I also win alot of those fights as well.. That's when the odds kick in if you bet those fights with only +value over time.. Parlay up the heavy favorites to protect big bank roll dumps...

[bjpenn85]

Even things you do know will sometimes bite ya in the ass especially in MMA Sanity.. I know you know this... A lucky punch or the favored fighter is mentally or physically off for reason going in and that blows up your MMA logic.. This sport is mostly mental so ya gotta lean on the current fighter trends and what is working best... Envisioning the style match ups...

Getting the best odds after that is up to you.. It does ad up over time and don't be lazy like me sometimes.... Miri is right in this regards to best odds play for every bet....

With betting each fight in every event, my take and why I do it -

Take the coin flip fights and go with the odds value.. Overtime it works out if you are atleast 50% on those picks.. That's why I bet every fight on each card most of the time except for maybe when they are close to even odds fights and I'm REALLY on the fence..

I'll lose some fights that I'm on the fence with but I also win alot of those fights as well.. That's when the odds kick in if you bet those fights with only +value over time.. Parlay up the heavy favorites to protect big bank roll dumps...

Do you date/document every bet?

[agendaman]

I basically tail 3 mma cappers on the ufc forum JIBBY---josh knows-- and uncle chael btm. line they make me money

[JIBBBY]

Do you date/document every bet?

No..

The sports books document and dates the bets for me, after the events are completed I then go back after and see how I did overall to the dollar.. What bets I won and lost.. I add it all up.. Which props I hit and didn't, etc.. I take a mental note..

I have a good idea how I'm doing during the events live as I go along and when posting....

[mirinquads]

I basically tail 3 mma cappers on the ufc forum JIBBY---josh knows-- and uncle chael btm. line they make me money

Don't do what this chump is doing if you want to be a succesful gambler. Learn the ins and out's your self. What will you do when Jibbby drinks him self to death?

[JIBBBY]

Don't do what this chump is doing if you want to be a succesful gambler. Learn the ins and out's your self. What will you do when Jibbby drinks him self to death?

Maybe we should all just tail you Miri.

End thread....

[agendaman]

again those 3 guys make me money you haven't made me shit pal

[mirinquads]

And why would i want to?

[terpkeg]

And why would i want to?

Net cred, son!

[bjpenn85]

Miri is smart, best to have him around. Agendaman, you now how 4 guys to tail, although tailing is gay.