JoshKnows MMA Winners

**bjpenn85** · 12-11-15, 07:58 PM

Youre back. Im on Dunham and Ferguson as well.

**Karmaphobia** · 12-11-15, 08:47 PM

Nice picks - GL

**UncleChael** · 12-11-15, 08:56 PM

Ferguson is the future! Get it, Josh..

**slayer14** · 12-11-15, 10:10 PM

Who will win julian erosa fight

**mirinquads** · 12-11-15, 10:12 PM

All looks good except conor and cockhold

**bjpenn85** · 12-11-15, 10:21 PM

Originally posted by mirinquads

All looks good except conor and cockhold

Agreed. It appears that the fighters going for aldo, almost unanimously. I dont know if that is a valid concern, i usually dont put to much into that as the fighters doesnt necessarily have a lot of experience with betting. I do think that there a lot of unknows with mcregors ground game after laying for longer periods underneath of mendes without doing to much. standing its close, probably the a small advantage to conor although the kicks of aldo may be an equalizer. As i said to much unknown and therefor not a very good for betting.

**bjpenn85** · 12-11-15, 10:22 PM

rockhold and weidman is sooo f close i dont know how people can have a good read on that one

**JoshKnows46** · 12-11-15, 10:35 PM

two of my bigger bets, becuase of the perception of these fights being close fights, i'm getting even money or better in both... Rockhold is bigger stronger faster, more technical, more ways to win than wiedman, wiedman will attempt to get and keep rockhold down and will be unsuccessful, wiedmans toughness alone will make this last till the 3rd or 4th, but it will be clear who the better fighter is, and rockhold will win every round till its finished....i've spoke plenty on aldo/mcgregor last time they were to fight, aldo has never faced a striker like this, mcgregors reach and constant pressure will negate aldos kicks, its not just a slight striking advantage....I cap mcgregor at -280, and rockhold at -160.

**mirinquads** · 12-11-15, 10:37 PM

But it doesn't matter when Weidmans ways to win is better though. Boxing and forward pressure wins the day.. I am on Rockhold sub and split dec too tho

**bjpenn85** · 12-11-15, 11:12 PM

Originally posted by JoshKnows46

two of my bigger bets, becuase of the perception of these fights being close fights, i'm getting even money or better in both... Rockhold is bigger stronger faster, more technical, more ways to win than wiedman, wiedman will attempt to get and keep rockhold down and will be unsuccessful, wiedmans toughness alone will make this last till the 3rd or 4th, but it will be clear who the better fighter is, and rockhold will win every round till its finished....i've spoke plenty on aldo/mcgregor last time they were to fight, aldo has never faced a striker like this, mcgregors reach and constant pressure will negate aldos kicks, its not just a slight striking advantage....I cap mcgregor at -280, and rockhold at -160.

I always find it amusing how confident you sometimes are in spots like this. I see very close fights, although i agree on who should be the favourite in both matchups. Go rockhold and conor!

**JIBBBY** · 12-11-15, 11:18 PM

Welcome back Josh..

**slayer14** · 12-12-15, 12:02 AM

ferguson down the illegal head kick and he lose 1 point, he has to knock out barboza now to win

**UncleChael** · 12-12-15, 12:10 AM

El cucuy!!

**agendaman** · 12-12-15, 12:35 PM

will aldo tank here mendes sure did i'm leaning McGregor using props as a hedge dunno guys

**Sato** · 12-12-15, 12:41 PM

Originally posted by JoshKnows46

two of my bigger bets, becuase of the perception of these fights being close fights, i'm getting even money or better in both... Rockhold is bigger stronger faster, more technical, more ways to win than wiedman, wiedman will attempt to get and keep rockhold down and will be unsuccessful, wiedmans toughness alone will make this last till the 3rd or 4th, but it will be clear who the better fighter is, and rockhold will win every round till its finished....i've spoke plenty on aldo/mcgregor last time they were to fight, aldo has never faced a striker like this, mcgregors reach and constant pressure will negate aldos kicks, its not just a slight striking advantage....I cap mcgregor at -280, and rockhold at -160.

Conor has never faced a guy with such quickness and power. I love how Conor tends to get sloppy when he tries to get to the outside after an attack which leaves him open to a counter shot and thats where Aldo capitalized his entire career.

**plekz** · 12-12-15, 01:03 PM

Originally posted by JoshKnows46

two of my bigger bets, becuase of the perception of these fights being close fights, i'm getting even money or better in both... Rockhold is bigger stronger faster, more technical, more ways to win than wiedman, wiedman will attempt to get and keep rockhold down and will be unsuccessful, wiedmans toughness alone will make this last till the 3rd or 4th, but it will be clear who the better fighter is, and rockhold will win every round till its finished....i've spoke plenty on aldo/mcgregor last time they were to fight, aldo has never faced a striker like this, mcgregors reach and constant pressure will negate aldos kicks, its not just a slight striking advantage....I cap mcgregor at -280, and rockhold at -160.

nor have conor ever set foot in a cage with anyone even remotely close to aldo's level previously. aldo will also be faster and he most definetly sports the better footwork and pivots.

**JoshKnows46** · 12-12-15, 01:40 PM

Are you serious, better footwork and pivots? Aldo is a stationary target, he stands in front of his opp, when he's hurt he bites down on his mouth piece and fires away, that will not work against a devastating southpaw with Connors reach power and quickness, aldo uses offense as his defense to back opp up, that will not work against mcgregor who has pin point accracy and power, Aldo always slows down or even takes the round off around round 3, if he takes the body kickes Mendes did, which he leaves himself wide open for, it Will be much sooner than that, Aldo has been out 15 months and has talked of retirement, 2 big red flags, he has never been in a fight this big in his carrer, combined with alr3ady poor cardio, never facing a guy that puts this kind of pressure and pace on him,and a long lsyoff, makes this a supremely easy fight to handicap, there's not a chance in hell Aldo lasts longer than 3 rounds on the mat with McGregor.

**JoshKnows46** · 12-12-15, 01:54 PM

Originally posted by Sato

Conor has never faced a guy with such quickness and power. I love how Conor tends to get sloppy when he tries to get to the outside after an attack which leaves him open to a counter shot and thats where Aldo capitalized his entire career.

Connor fights long, with a southpaw stance and he's very good at keeping his opp on the end of his punches and judging distance, the best in the ufc at it... aldos most powerful weapons are his left hook and leg kicks, those both are much more effective against orthodox fighters, not southpaws, and defintly not against one of the best southpaw strikers in the game with a 84 inch reach, and he knows how to use it. Aldo will get absolutely uniquvitly picked apart from beginning to end, Connor has huge advantages in the cardio department and chin department, he won't get back up by aldos quickness and power like most of aldos opp, so Aldo using his offense as his best defensd will be a problem, aldo will look lost in there and will break under the constant pressure.

**JoshKnows46** · 12-12-15, 02:41 PM

2-2 yesterday, good night, won the big one on El cuccuy.

Added:
McGregor wins by TKO/KO +166 $600

**bjpenn85** · 12-12-15, 06:37 PM

If conors chin and defence under leg attack will hold up he probably wins, but after watching his fight vs mendes earlier today, man o man that man gets hit a lot. Shot after shot after shot. Conor is so sloppy, but somehow mendes shots doesnt even face him, maybe aldos shot wont affect him either, but god knows. His guard is also very passiv, just laying there, not one single submission attempt from the bottom. And that is the flaws we know of, maybe a lot more will show up in this fight. There is def unknowns in this fight, and i dont understand how you could be so confident in conor, good luck!!!

**blackHIPPY** · 12-12-15, 11:56 PM

so are you on mcgregor or aldo?

**bjpenn85** · 12-13-15, 12:37 AM

Amazing predictions josh, you clearly see things other people dont. Hats off.

**Shazzadude** · 12-13-15, 12:40 AM

You capped that Rockhold fight perfectly Josh, well done!

**bjpenn85** · 12-13-15, 01:01 AM

and the saga continues...im f speechless. Once again, fantastic!

**Aye J Mac** · 12-13-15, 01:07 AM

Good work

**thellama** · 12-13-15, 01:13 AM

Awesome. I bet that TKO/KO prop right before the fight, fastest collect I've ever had.

**agendaman** · 12-13-15, 01:38 AM

JODH KNOWS fade the wise guys

**TPowell** · 12-13-15, 01:56 AM

Josh knew tonight...... what a PPV

**prior22usaf** · 12-13-15, 02:07 AM

Thanks for sharing your picks again Josh! Won a big chunk of change tonight thanks to you.... Much appreciated man... Looking forward to the next UFC event...

Originally posted by JoshKnows46

Chad Mendes +110 Risking $600

Artem Lobov -170 Risking $600

Tony Ferguson -150 Risking $3000

Evan Dunham -230 Risking $600

Conor McGregor +100 Risking $3000

Luke Rockhold +115 Risking $1200

Max Holloway -550 Risking $600

**JoshKnows46** · 12-13-15, 02:11 AM

Thanks guys, was my pleasure.
4-0 tonight, 6-2 combined last 2 nights/ +$6,535.90

**prior22usaf** · 12-13-15, 02:12 AM

Bookmaker already has a line on a possible Mcgregor-Frankie Edgar fight.... Conor is -175 in that one... Any thoughts Josh?

**JoshKnows46** · 12-13-15, 02:20 AM

Originally posted by prior22usaf

Bookmaker already has a line on a possible Mcgregor-Frankie Edgar fight.... Conor is -175 in that one... Any thoughts Josh?

Lean connor, but i dont want to make any moves with my emotions still high from winning with connor, or let this win effect my judgement, edgar is more cool headed and calculated then mendes or aldo, he's a smarter fighter and he has wrestling, better footwork, less stationary like mendes and aldo are, so i do believe it should be mcgregors toughest fight in this division, so i will take my time looking at that one, i dont want my high from the win to effect my thought process.

**prior22usaf** · 12-13-15, 02:28 AM

Originally posted by JoshKnows46

Lean connor, but i dont want to make any moves with my emotions still high from winning with connor, or let this win effect my judgement, edgar is more cool headed and calculated then mendes or aldo, he's a smarter fighter and he has wrestling, better footwork, less stationary like mendes and aldo are, so i do believe it should be mcgregors toughest fight in this division, so i will take my time looking at that one, i dont want my high from the win to effect my thought process.

Sounds good man...I've got that same high right now....lol. You're right though.... Will just enjoy today's winnings for now... Thanks again for making this a sweet night!

**TPowell** · 12-13-15, 02:50 AM

I think you have to take Conor at less than -200 here. Edgar is a gritty guy but he doesn't have the power to KO Conor for the most part and Frankie's chin isn't that great. His heart is amazing but he gets clipped. Frankie should easily be able to take Conor down, but he can't keep them there for 5 rounds. Conor will land the big left at some point