Do you use spreadsheets/models

[TPowell]

Just curious who all uses these tools and who kind of free wheels it. I'm working on a spreadsheet template now, but information is tough to find, especially since none of it has level of competition factored in/most include full career stats but here is what I've decided to use so far. I'd like to find something for submission defense though and to weigh fights differently (5 most recent=heaviest weight), but that is very time consuming if you can't scrape data.

Age
Reach
Stance
Significant Strikes per minute (Attempted and Landed)
Sig strike accuracy
Sig strike allowed per minute
Sig strike defense
Takedown average
Takedown attempts/15 mins
Takedown defense
Sub Attempts/15 mins

[dww123]

I tried something similar years ago and found out quickly it did more harm than good. Now I just watch all the fights i can and extrapolate what ever i can from their records.

[TPowell]

I tried something similar years ago and found out quickly it did more harm than good. Now I just watch all the fights i can and extrapolate what ever i can from their records.

yeah? Curious exactly what happened. PM me if you don't mind

[dww123]

yeah? Curious exactly what happened. PM me if you don't mind

Sure. Based on your posting #'s you're obviously knowledgable about betting but can you tell me how much experience you have specifically with MMA wagering?

[TPowell]

Sure. Based on your posting #'s you're obviously knowledgable about betting but can you tell me how much experience you have specifically with MMA wagering?

I would say mostly casually. Watch the fights and make bets based off feel and maybe a podcast or 2 I've listened to. Typically don't deviate far from picking a winner because I'm not as well versed to get into props

[Sanity Check]

I break things down by...

Kickboxing/striking technique
Wrestling
Grappling and subs

Then breakdown by...

Strength and conditioning(how strong they look and how fast they move, their technique, cardio)
Body type(height, reach and physique)

Then there's...

Mentality, attitude and work ethic
What team they're working with, who's training them

Looking at their record...

Their age
How long they've been fighting
Wins and losses, how padded their records or the records of their opponents are
Finishes vs decisions, what they finish by, what their opponent has been finished by
Do they have an amateur career in boxing, wrestling, judo, other
Do they have credentials or achievements in grappling competitions, athletics
Their rank: example purple belt in jiu jitsu, 2nd degree black belt in jiu jitsu, black belt in judo, black belt in tae kwon do, international master of sports in sambo and so on.

Day of weigh ins...

Did they make weight
Did they look injured walking to the scale
Did they look mentally beaten or broken or seem to lack confidence weighing in

Those are probably the basics.

[JIBBBY]

Lean heavy on fighter strengths and style match ups to go along with current win and or losing streaks... Then factor in training camps, age, inactivity, fighter reports, weigh in cuts and sizing..

Betting odds obviously are considered just because in MMA any fighter at the top level can win... Land the perfect shot, hit a sneaky sub, fighter can get injured during a fight, judging robbery, and or just catch that fighter on a bad night..

[getlucky2win]

hawg analysis is most important. holly holm is a gr8 example

[Ebe]

I used a model once. I used her pussy, and mouth for about an hour. It was nice.