UFC Fight Night: VanZant vs. Namajunas(December 10, 2015)

[THE_LOCKSMITH]

UFC Fight Pass, 10 p.m. ET
Rose Namajunas vs. Paige VanZant
Michael Chiesa vs. Jim Miller
Sage Northcutt vs. Cody Pfister
Thiago "Marreta" Santos vs. Elias Theodorou

UFC Fight Pass, 6:45 p.m. ET
John Howard vs. Tim Means
Omari Akhmedov vs. Sergio Moraes
Kevin Casey vs. Antonio Carlos Junior
Johnny Eduardo vs. Aljamain Sterling
Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Andreas Stahl
Michael Graves vs. Danny Roberts
Phillipe Nover vs. Zubaira Tukhugov
Kailin Curran vs. Emily Kagan

[JIBBBY]

This is our next event.. Just bumping to bump... Get to this card during the week.. Favorites looking like the call at a quick glance anyways...

I do have this little prop pending so far.. Figure Vanzant is the new UFC hyped chick and probably gets the spectacular finish before the end of 5 rounds.. I usually like to take the overs with these tiny girls but Vanzant has some very good stand up..

The only play for value that I thought worth trying in this fight anyways.. I suppose VanZant could win this fight by decision though but I'm liking her to finish more..

$150.00

$412.50

Pending

12/10/15 11:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1009 Van Zant wins inside distance +275* <small>vs</small> Not Van Zant inside distance

[JIBBBY]

Sage Northcut wins ITD is probably the call for best value.. Those straight win odds are massive.. Sage is a knockout wizard so far... Think the under might even work at +125..

No KO prop out yet so this is the next best thing as these Northcut lines are only going to increase over time now.. This kid is hyped big time...

1109 Northcutt wins inside distance

<input id="radiox" value="M1_9" name="radiox" type="radio">-210

<small>UFC Fight Night 80 - Lightweight 3 rounds - The Chelsea at The Cosmopolitan - Las Vegas, Nevada - UFC Fight Pass</small>
Thu 12/10		1101 Cody Pfister		<input id="radiox" value="M1_1" name="radiox" type="radio">+800	<input id="radiox" value="L1_1" name="radiox" type="radio">o1½ -145
11:00PM		1102 Sage Northcutt		<input id="radiox" value="M2_1" name="radiox" type="radio">-1250	<input id="radiox" value="L2_1" name="radiox" type="radio">u1½ +125

[nanderson1134]

Going to be an intense 3 days starting with this event!

[TPowell]

seriously? Pfister is a disaster on the feet. Guy has zero football or strike defense but refuses to do anything but keep moving forward. The only negative is that Pfister is a tough rooster_eater. I think Northcutt by TKO COULD have value but I can only imagine the line

[JIBBBY]

seriously? Pfister is a disaster on the feet. Guy has zero football or strike defense but refuses to do anything but keep moving forward. The only negative is that Pfister is a tough rooster_eater. I think Northcutt by TKO COULD have value but I can only imagine the line

Well the Northcutt wins inside the distance prop is -210 now so the KO prop will probably be set around -175 if I had to guess..

[TPowell]

Well the Northcutt wins inside the distance prop is -210 now so the KO prop will probably be set around -175 if I had to guess..

might as well take it at less than -200. This is a massive hype fight

[mirinquads]

seriously? Pfister is a disaster on the feet. Guy has zero football or strike defense but refuses to do anything but keep moving forward. The only negative is that Pfister is a tough rooster_eater. I think Northcutt by TKO COULD have value but I can only imagine the line

0 football defense? Fading this chump for sure then

[TPowell]

0 football defense? Fading this chump for sure then

footwork lol

[JIBBBY]

I like the football term better.. If he has 0 football defense that means the offense is gonna run right over him..

That football analogy works for me.. All in with Northcutt ITD at -210 then. Kid wonder should roll him... Probably by KO as well but it is possible he gets a sub win in this one..

[PaperTrail07]

Dirty Bird Gonna Do Work here...

[getlucky2win]

will have plenty of spank material after ths 1

[JIBBBY]

Dirty Bird Gonna Do Work here...

Agreed..

[JIBBBY]

I think Jim Miller takes out Mike Chiesa as well.. Similar fighters, both tough but I think Jim is better on the ground, hits harder standing, more ways to win simply said.... Jim will be giving up a height advantage but I don't think that will bother him as Chiesa isn't elite standing and is sometimes an easy target to hit..

UFC finally gave Jim Miller an opponent he can beat.. Zuffa has been throwing Jim Miller to the wolves in recent fights..http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Jim-Miller-14463

[TPowell]

I think Jim Miller takes out Mike Chiesa as well.. Similar fighters, both tough but I think Jim is better on the ground, hits harder standing, more ways to win simply said.... Jim will be giving up a height advantage but I don't think that will bother him as Chiesa isn't elite standing and is sometimes an easy target to hit..

UFC finally gave Jim Miller an opponent he can beat.. Zuffa has been throwing Jim Miller to the wolves in recent fights..http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Jim-Miller-14463

I agree, I feel like Chiesa tend to fall back against upper half fighters. His best win is easily Iaquinta but that was his UFC debut and he's grown tons since. Joe Lauzon dominated him a couple fights ago and I think Miller is a better fighter than Lauzon

[PaperTrail07]

agree....trying to kill the man...

I think Jim Miller takes out Mike Chiesa as well.. Similar fighters, both tough but I think Jim is better on the ground, hits harder standing, more ways to win simply said.... Jim will be giving up a height advantage but I don't think that will bother him as Chiesa isn't elite standing and is sometimes an easy target to hit..

UFC finally gave Jim Miller an opponent he can beat.. Zuffa has been throwing Jim Miller to the wolves in recent fights..http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Jim-Miller-14463

[Theo_Goodman]

I like Jim Miller too.

I like Rose to win the Van Zant fight, I agree on the under 2.5 rounds.
I dont like how Van Zant exposes her back when she does that little judo throw out of the clinch Rose can capialise on that, also rose is not a slouch on the feet but I do see Van Zant having a slight edge there.

[TPowell]

Is see Northcutt +145 by TKO/KO. I don't see how you can beat that. He COULD lock in a sub but I doubt it

[Sanity Check]

Johnny Eduardo could be one of those juicing-in-the-off-season, fighting-once-every-year, type guys.

Let's see if USADA testing makes a difference.

[Theo_Goodman]

I like a small bet on Cody Pfister at +834 rather than anything on the UFC hype train Northcutt.

[JIBBBY]

I like a small bet on Cody Pfister at +834 rather than anything on the UFC hype train Northcutt.

I'm on the fight won't go the distance myself...

1204 Fight won’t go 3 round distance

<input id="radiox" value="M2_35" name="radiox" type="radio">-300

I also took a very small shot on this prop myself... Ya never know?.... Northcut should win this fight though and in grand fashion like he normally does..

$10.00

$110.00

Pending

12/10/15 11:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1205 Pfister wins inside distance +1100* <small>vs</small> Not Pfister inside distance

[TPowell]

Anybody see anything on the prelims? Nothing sticking out at first glance.

[TPowell]

Curious about the Santos/Elias fight. Santos has crazy good MT and a ton of power plus Elias hasn't really fought anyone CLOSE to as dangerous of a striker as Santos is. On the flip side, Santos has been taken down 1 time in 5 UFC fights.... he's 0-1 defending takedowns. I still think Santos has to stay on his feet in the first round and get him out of there to win this fight, but worth a look if the line gets much over +200 because I think Santos easily has the ability to turn Elias's lights out with those devastating kicks

[TPowell]

Guess I'm riding with the MMA Analysis guys on the following. May play Santos if the line keeps rising.

Ponzi and Means ML Parlay (close to even money)
Roberts (-150)
Jim Miller (EV)
Moraes (+110)
Northcutt by TKO/KO (+140)

[JIBBBY]

Here are the event write ups and predictions that are out - Good reads

MMAmania - http://www.mmamania.com/2015/12/7/98...as-vanzant-mma

Combatpress - http://combatpress.com/2015/12/toe-t...d-predictions/

Cagepages - http://cagepages.com/2015/12/08/ufc-...s-predictions/

Bleacher report - No event write up out for this event..

[TPowell]

Here's a link to the podcast for all 3 events this week. Solid stuff. Skip to like the 10 min mark for start of breakdown

http://www.mmaoddsbreaker.com/news/the-mma-analysis-monster-ufc-weekend-preview/

[Sanity Check]

Anybody see anything on the prelims? Nothing sticking out at first glance.

-Nathan Coy and Sergio Moraes are last second replacements. Their cardio could be in question if they haven't been active.

-Nathan Coy did ok going 1-1 on the ultimate fighter blackzilians vs american top team. If he's in shape and doesn't gas out he has a decent shot of winning, good wrestler and a vet with a lot of experience, although I can't say I know anything about his opponent.

-Kailin Curran is the chic who dominated Alex Chambers in the 1st two rounds standing. Then in the 3rd round her corner tells her to go for a takedown. Kailin gets the takedown and is submitted. Dominated the entire fight standing through 2 rounds, gets the takedown in the 3rd off her corners advice, is submitted & loses. People might not remember her name, but they might remember her from that.

-I suspect Johnny Eduardo is juicing. Will it help him or hurt him, I couldn't say.

-Antonio Carlos Jr. is a decorated bjj guy. He's tough, good everywhere. Kevin Casey was on a season of the ultimate fighter and dated Muhammad Ali's daughter for a time. I think Kevin Casey needs an early finish or he loses. Casey's gas tank isn't too good.

[JIBBBY]

agree....trying to kill the man...

Off topic but I had to send a shout out!!!

Paper you hit 10 straight on BTP now.. That's awesome!!

Keep it up as you are now in the real money...

23

PaperTrail07

33-20-2

62.26 %

W 10

90.0

+17.07

[JAKEPEAVY21]

Off topic but I had to send a shout out!!!

Paper you hit 10 straight on BTP now.. That's awesome!!

Keep it up as you are now in the real money...

23

PaperTrail07

33-20-2

62.26 %

W 10

90.0

+17.07

[Sanity Check]

Off topic but I had to send a shout out!!!

Paper you hit 10 straight on BTP now.. That's awesome!!

Keep it up as you are now in the real money...

23

PaperTrail07

33-20-2

62.26 %

W 10

90.0

+17.07

I took a glance at the vbookie account I use for laughs and realized I'm 15-5 in MMA/NFL wagers. Not bad for a puny mortal.

Where can I see stats, sign up forms for BTP or whichever contests?

[JIBBBY]

I took a glance at the vbookie account I use for laughs and realized I'm 15-5 in MMA/NFL wagers. Not bad for a puny mortal.

Where can I see stats, sign up forms for BTP or whichever contests?

Go into "players lounge" and the top threads are BTP contest.. Or just hit my contests on the side of this screen and you can navigate to the contest through that...

[JIBBBY]

This card is first up tomorrow night.. Working out the props tonight and will check those weigh ins...

[PaperTrail07]

Gotta watch the weigh in's!!

[TPowell]

not going to be able to watch them more than likely. A review would be nice

[plekz]

Here's a link to the podcast for all 3 events this week. Solid stuff. Skip to like the 10 min mark for start of breakdown

http://www.mmaoddsbreaker.com/news/t...ekend-preview/

the oddsbreaker guys suck ass, wyman and ruebusch takes them to school every day of the week.