Before the lines move: Wendesday plays

[JoshKnows46]

I still got the parlay of Thompson/usman/jouban/leites going
I added
parlay on jouban/leites
parlay on jouban/Andrade
parlay on jouban/kevin lee
parlay on jouban/ Leon
straight play on reneau +160, wrong girl favored.
For those that bet football, also bet New Orleans +3 week 1, neworleans to win NFC south, win the NFC and win the Super Bowl.

these are lines I see going to -400, and -700 by Wednesday, got jouban at -420 and less, so I got them in early, lots more coming, big mismatches on this card, will have some under round plays and Ko probs coming. Excellent card for betting here.

[JIBBBY]

Liking your Jouban plays for sure, Kevin Lee as well... GL...

I'm a little Surprised you don't like Holly Holm?.. She's up and coming, undefeated and improving with every fight.. I think it's a tough call to go against her right now..

http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Holly-Holm-75125

[JoshKnows46]

Liking your Jouban play for sure, Kevin Lee as well... GL...

Thanks jibby, make jouban a play early, it will rise. Good luck bro.

Bet these last night, Ill post my betting tickets Wednesday, or when I have time, these bets are in, and I suggest y'all get this in now as well if you want to play them.

Was in a hurry, spelled Wednesday wrong, mods please fix this for me **

[bjpenn85]

dwyer may not be as sexy pick, but guys got power and i do think hes appearance is bit deceiving. Look at him, looks like a clumsy tower, but he can "finish fights"

[JoshKnows46]

dwyer may not be as sexy pick, but guys got power and i do think hes appearance is bit deceiving. Look at him, looks like a clumsy tower, but he can "finish fights"

I've done my homework on these fightS, 8 of 8 dwyers wins are by Ko, and 8 of 11 of jouban's wins are by ko, if ur worried about the Dwyer Ko then hedge with Dwyer by Ko when it comes out.

[johnny99]

Tailed you on Jouban and NO...hope it gets through

[THE_RUDESTER]

Do you think Tony Ferguson will take care of business?

[JoshKnows46]

Do you think Tony Ferguson will take care of business?

To be honest, I've been back and forth on that fight, I don't have a good feel for it, so I don't wanta sway your decision. But I believe they have much better favs of -200 to lay your money on, on that card. Gun to my head I take ferguson, but believe the odds should be even. Too many question marks, Thompson saying he doesn't even know who ferguson is, he wants higher profile fights, taking about retirement, either he's playing veteran mind games to get ferguson to charge forward, or he's underestimating him and his heart isn't it anymore. Thompson could steal two rounds with wrestling and win a decision, I don't think he can finish ferguson, but he could win a decision. If I was you, I would hedge some of your parlays with Thompson by decision, he out grappled bendo, and Castillo out grappled Ferguson. But gun to my head I'd lay the -200. Tough fight to call, I'm just gonna sit back and enjoy that scrap, I'm a fan of both guys, but I'll be rooting for ferguson. Sorry I couldn't be of more help. Good luck.

[JoshKnows46]

[JoshKnows46]

...

[THE_RUDESTER]

OK cool thanks for getting back good luck on your plays man.

[JoshKnows46]

OK cool thanks for getting back good luck on your plays man.

For sure, thx.

[JoshKnows46]

So far...
Stephen Thompson(won)/ usman(won)/ jouban/ leites $100 to win $455
Jouban -420/Edwards-260 $250 to win $178.57
Jouban -420/leites -105 $200 to win $283.45
Jouban -420/ Andrade -320 $170 to win $106.25
Jouban -420/ kevin lee -260 $150 to win 107.14
Reneau +155 $150 to win $232.50
New Orleans saints +3 vs zona $575 to win $500
New Orleans to win NFC south +210 $500 to win $1050
New Orleans to win NFC conference +1825 $500 to win $9,125
New Orleans to win the Super Bowl +4500 $500 to win $22,500

[JoshKnows46]

Matt Dwyer/Alan Jouban Under 1½ -130 $169 to win $130

[johnny99]

Wow Reneau line going the other way around

[JoshKnows46]

Wow Reneau line going the other way around

Im hoping it'll keep going that way, didn't see it going up, but I'm gonna try to hit it at it's peak for 50-100 more, before it goes back down.

[agendaman]

new orleans to win super bowl honestly josh knows 46 why so

[JoshKnows46]

new orleans to win super bowl honestly josh knows 46 why so

They were a game behind the division, made massive improvements, at linebacker, cornerback, offensive line, and they got there Sproles like scat back back in spiller, and the rest of the NFC south didn't make that many changes, they win the NFC south easy, so I win my money back on the NFC championship and Super Bowl probs with that play, and I'm free rolling in the playoffs, then they just need to win a few playoff games, seattles the only comp in the NFC, and the afc is weak. Give Brees more time and all the wrs are open, massive value here at +4500 for what I see as one of the top 3 teams in the NFC this year. I'm also high on josh hill at Te, they had a amazing free agency and draft on paper.

[Mercersux]

Im hoping it'll keep going that way, didn't see it going up, but I'm gonna try to hit it at it's peak for 50-100 more, before it goes back down.

Reneau is seriously good. You would think she'd get taken more seriously after her last win but holms got all the steam behind her. To me the opening line tells you all you need to know.

[CaptChaos145]

Reneau is the dark horse in the division.

[fitguy67]

agree with above two posts...i bought some Reneau on the 5th at +180...surprised to see i can STILL add some to the position at +200...

BIG stepup in competition for Holm from tough-but-not-technically-sound brawler in pennington (who gave one-dimensionally elite boxer Holm enough trouble)...

great when fighters of Reneau's proven calibre continue to get no-name priced

at +200 we're being well compensated for the chance that Holly's added lots of arrows to her quiver, especially in the TDD and SubD she'll need to not get exposed by the fun-to-watch well-rounded Reneau...

bonus payout is that if we cash, UFC won't like it one bit...much moreso than in her last fight when she choked out Andrade to whom she was apparently being fed

[JoshKnows46]

Rest of my plays, added another 130 on reneau at +205,... played manny straight, it'd, and by sub.... Played Sam silica by Tko, and parlayed him with jouban.....played Mir to win in round 1 small....jouban by Ko

[JIBBBY]

So far...
Stephen Thompson(won)/ usman(won)/ jouban/ leites $100 to win $455
Jouban -420/Edwards-260 $250 to win $178.57
Jouban -420/leites -105 $200 to win $283.45
Jouban -420/ Andrade -320 $170 to win $106.25
Jouban -420/ kevin lee -260 $150 to win 107.14
Reneau +155 $150 to win $232.50
New Orleans saints +3 vs zona $575 to win $500
New Orleans to win NFC south +210 $500 to win $1050
New Orleans to win NFC conference +1825 $500 to win $9,125
New Orleans to win the Super Bowl +4500 $500 to win $22,500

Congrats on the Jouban parlay win Josh.. You called it from the very start again..

[fitguy67]

josh, i just cashed a nice 2-legger based on your degree of confidence in one side of two fights that i would've otherwise left alone...Jouban*Gamburyan*...tks

go Marion...'nother skill-exhibition by Marion "refuse to be an opponent" Reneau

[fitguy67]

Jibby...remember last Reneau fight...the resurrected Sider nailed it for us...could get whiny as hell for no reason, but knew his chick-fightin'

you know what happened to RonPaul?

[fitguy67]

holly's put in a lot of work and had/followed a good game plan ...(after that feeble snooze-fest against rocky)

[JoshKnows46]

They forced my hand...too much value not to play it..

Josh Thomson by decision +338 $100 to win $338

[CaptChaos145]

Holly Holm looked really good. I'm gonna think twice before I bet against again.