UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. Faber (May 16, 2015)

[Unwritten Law]

Can the fix be in for Barnatt to let Munoz walk away with a win? Tread lightly either side I'd say. Munoz would be a fool to try to trade at a huge disadvantage, reach-wise. I can definitely see him trying to take it to the mat and the question is if Barnatt's TDD is legit or not.

[bjpenn85]

theres another upside to having long reach, you can time takedowns a lot better. Add that up to munoz having horrible takedowns already....1+1 = ....?

[JIBBBY]

I found this part 1 and 2 card preview write up to hold decent fighter information.. Check as these 2 links cover the entire card fighter by fighter..

Part 1

http://www.mmamania.com/2015/5/11/8584043/ufc-fight-night-66-prelims-undercard-preview-predictions-pt1-manila-mma

Part 2

http://www.mmamania.com/2015/5/12/8584039/ufc-fight-night-66-prelims-undercard-preview-predictions-pt2-fox-sports-1-manila-mma

[Shagdogy]

Faber at +360 is solid value IMO. He's rolling, and Alpha Male camp has good momentum right now. Both Faber and Edgar can be dropped by solid punches, but I don't see either of them getting the one punch KO. If Faber can hurt Edgar in an exchange, then he could lock a tight grip on his neck. Faber's chokes are no joke. I think it's way closer than +360.

[Thrilla]

Maybe it will help you guys form an opinion. a previous fight Royston Wee vs Yao Zhikui http://ok.ru/video/15879244314 , Wee won but it should have been Zhikui as he was more aggresive.

[imadegen]

Luke Barnatt at - 145 over the washed up 37 year old Mark Munoz seems like the play.. Mark Munoz probably gets KO'd again if I had to guess.. Must win for both fighters anyways IMO... Luke Barnatt isn't anything special though but I find it absolutely impossible to bet on Mark Munoz ever again based on his recent performances.. http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Luke-Barnatt-56567

Faber at those odds I think is worth a try as well... Faber should give Frankie Edgar a solid run for his money.. Similar fighting styles and strengths going in anyways which should make it a close match up.. Submission game probably favors Urijah as well.. Other then Faber's losses in recent years to Barao he's been rolling of late.. http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Urijah-Faber-8847 at 35 years of age I'm thinking Faber still has something left to prove..

Also love Neil Magny and Gegard Mousasi...

Um who is this luke Barnatt and what makes him so dominant aside from being tall? From my recollection this guy has pillow hands and hasnt really fought anyone noteworthy. Mark Munoz has faught some elite competition.

It isn't a far stretch to see mark Munoz wrestling this guy for three rounds straight

[Shagdogy]

Seems like Jib isn't saying Barnatt is dominant as much as he is saying he just won't bet on Munoz. If you don't like Barnatt, then you should prob just stay away from this fight unless you wanna bet on a guy coming off 3 straight rd 1 losses. Too many question marks in this one for me. Munoz already said this is his final fight. Is he mentally checked out, or is he extra motivated to fight in the Philippines? For me, without someone on the inside to answer those questions for me, I'm staying away.

[JIBBBY]

Um who is this luke Barnatt and what makes him so dominant aside from being tall? From my recollection this guy has pillow hands and hasnt really fought anyone noteworthy. Mark Munoz has faught some elite competition.

It isn't a far stretch to see mark Munoz wrestling this guy for three rounds straight

Well for one Luke has never been finished or dropped standing in his pro MMA career.. He's got a winning record at 3-2 fighting in the UFC... His take down defense is questionable going in against Munoz and I agree... Luke is nothing special in the UFC but the way Mark Munoz has been getting beat down lately by elite competition leads me to believe he is done at age 37..

Gotta go with the younger fighter with length, chin and the need to win to stay in the UFC.. This is Mark Munoz's last fight as he is announcing his retirement after win or lose, this leads me to believe he is not mentally strong and could be packing it in already even fighting in his native land...

Can Munoz lay on Luke Barnatt for 3 rounds and not get sub'd out maybe? Can Mark Munoz get tapped on the jaw at some point and let the doubt creep in probably...

Money is on... Use the force Luuuuukkkkeeee!!!! Going for KO prop too...

Luke gets the win even though he is a border line class B fighter is my thinking anyways..... I could be wrong though...

[mirinquads]

Dylan Andrews KO'ed him brutally on the Ultimate fighter.

[mirinquads]

Faber at +360 is solid value IMO. He's rolling, and Alpha Male camp has good momentum right now. Both Faber and Edgar can be dropped by solid punches, but I don't see either of them getting the one punch KO. If Faber can hurt Edgar in an exchange, then he could lock a tight grip on his neck. Faber's chokes are no joke. I think it's way closer than +360.

Rolling? He looked like dogshit in his last fight.

[JIBBBY]

Let's talk props for value!!!! Got a few pending for small and working on more now... Care to share anyone?



1225 Barnatt wins in round 3 +800* <small>vs</small> Any other result (Thinking Munoz hangs tough early but gasses late and then gets dropped)

1233 Barnatt wins by TKO/KO +190* <small>vs</small> Any other result (Chin is shot, Barnett has reach and KO's on record, most likely pathway to victory)

1427 Nover wins by submission +950* <small>vs</small> Any other result (Nover is a submission specialist first so you never know?)

[Thor4140]

Frankly shocked at Edgar/Faber odds. Pounded Faber by sub at +1500 (one of the craziest lines I've ever seen IMO). Will add more on Faber straight. I think this fight is a PK. I was expecting even odds on both fighters. Faber will not be fazed by Edgar's movements. Faber hits harder... and is a master at taking advantage of mistakes (and get submissions). Will be interesting to see if Faber can out grapple Edgar.

A Frankie doesn't make mistakes and B. Franky tossed Maynard around like a toy so Faber won't even touch Frankie in the wrestling department.

[Killer_Demo]

fukk this card starts early west-coast time.

[BIGDAY]

Frankie for the MAX!

[spurginobili]

Anyone awake? Took the under 2.5 here. Small

[spurginobili]

1st fight goes to the dog

[McCarthyFam]

lets win some money boys! I skipped the fight pass shit. what do we have for wee/guangyou

[McCarthyFam]

starting with NING GUANGYOU

[Wilfred]

Where does the UFC get these guys

[McCarthyFam]

good start! whats next!?

[McCarthyFam]

I went with Lima

[spurginobili]

Disappointing from Lima there. 2nd consecutive 1st round TKO

[McCarthyFam]

tough loss. rolling with tuck here!

[McCarthyFam]

need an american to win, can't understand these fucckkss

[McCarthyFam]

ah shiitt, skipped one. taking johnson

[spurginobili]

Went with Zhang next. Small again

Not very familiar with most of these Asian fighters

[spurginobili]

Bought back with Johnson live..think he's got this

[spurginobili]

ah shiitt, skipped one. taking johnson

Nice call McCarthy

No pick for this next one; just gonna bet it live

[JAKEPEAVY21]

checking in good morning fellas..need Tuck in one of my parlays

[spurginobili]

Morning Jake

Don't remember seeing so many betable lines; just wish I knew more of these fighters

[Dr.Gonzo]

On Tuck here

[spurginobili]

tough loss. rolling with tuck here!

checking in good morning fellas..need Tuck in one of my parlays

Nice call guys

[McCarthyFam]

thanks!

[McCarthyFam]

next one is too juicy. any thoughts on nover guys?

[spurginobili]

next one is too juicy. any thoughts on nover guys?

Don't know much about him

I put a little on Eddiva next @ those odds