UFC 185: Pettis vs. Dos Anjos (March 14, 2015)

[THE_LOCKSMITH]

Pay-per-view, 10 p.m. ET
Anthony Pettis vs. Rafael dos Anjos (for lightweight title)
Carla Esparza vs. Joanna Jedrzejczyk (for strawweight title)
Matt Brown vs. Johny Hendricks
Roy Nelson vs. Alistair Overeem
Chris Cariaso vs. Henry Cejudo

FOX Sports 1, 8 p.m. ET
Ross Pearson vs. Sam Stout
Roger Narvaez vs. Elias Theodorou
Daron Cruickkshank vs. Beneil Dariush
Josh Copeland vs. Jared Rosholt

UFC Fight Night, 6:30 p.m. ET
Ryan Benoit vs. Sergio Pettis
Joseph Duffey vs. Jake Lindsey
Germaine de Randamie vs. Larissa Pacheco

[THE_LOCKSMITH]

back to back PPV cards without a fight night in between

[Beelzebubzy]

Esparza -120

[JIBBBY]

This is a good card.. Should be entertaining!!!!!

I'll be trying Dos Anjos and Matt Brown at those odds evenly...

No need to wait......placed...

	3/1/15 12:33am	$100.00	$250.00	Pending	3/14/15 11:00pm UFC Fighting 1201 Matt Brown +250* <small>vs</small> Johny Hendricks
	3/1/15 12:32am	$100.00	$335.00	Pending	3/14/15 11:59pm UFC Fighting 1001 Rafael dos Anjos +335* <small>vs</small> Anthony Pettis

[Unwritten Law]

Throwing some cash on RDA for sure! The line goes up the better, I'm taking him regardless. Dariush has some value as the dog.

[plekz]

RDA is good up to level six, Pettis is on that seven sh!t however. I like Brown over Hendriks though, assuming he can do a good job staying on his feet, because i seriously doubt Johny is going to want to have anything to do with Brown's pressure. Johny cutting without Dolce this time aswell so he'll probably actually look good (or he'll fail miserably)

[JIBBBY]

Esparza -120

Probably a good play and the right one Beelz... I can only imagine the line moving for Carla over these next 2 weeks.. Might be a good time to jump on this play now.. It's already jumped to -155 on 5Dimes..

29574958-1

3/1/15 12:22pm

Pending

3/14/15 11:30pm UFC Fighting 1101 Carla Esparza -155* <small>vs</small> Joanna Jedrzejczyk

Carla should handle Miss Poland...http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Joann...zejczyk-101411

[UncleChael]

Big Country!!

[JIBBBY]

Big Country!!

Props that are out for this fight.. Nothing really grabs my interest.. Fight won't go distance -400 is almost a lock though...

<small>Alistair Overeem vs Roy Nelson - Heavyweight 3 rounds - UFC 185 propositions</small>
Sat 3/14		1303 Overeem / Nelson goes 3 round distance		<input id="editx" name="M1_46" size="4"> +310
10:30PM		1304 Fight won't go 3 round distance		<input id="editx" name="M2_46" size="4"> -400
Sat 3/14		1305 Overeem wins inside distance		<input id="editx" name="M1_47" size="4"> -116
10:30PM		1306 Not Overeem inside distance		<input id="editx" name="M2_47" size="4"> -114
Sat 3/14		1307 Overeem wins by 3 round decision		<input id="editx" name="M1_48" size="4"> +375
10:30PM		1308 Not Overeem by 3 round decision		<input id="editx" name="M2_48" size="4"> -515
Sat 3/14		1309 Nelson wins inside distance		<input id="editx" name="M1_49" size="4"> +229
10:30PM		1310 Not Nelson inside distance		<input id="editx" name="M2_49" size="4"> -289
Sat 3/14		1311 Nelson wins by 3 round decision		<input id="editx" name="M1_50" size="4"> +1400
10:30PM		1312 Not Nelson by 3 round decision		<input id="editx" name="M2_50" size="4"> -3050
Sat 3/14		1313 Overeem / Nelson draw		<input id="editx" name="M1_51" size="4"> +15000
10:30PM		1314 Fight not a draw		<input id="editx" name="M2_51" size="4"> -45000

I'd say if you're gonna bet on Big Country he's gonna win inside the distance at +229.. A little better then the +200 straight.. Roy wins by KO or SUB as those are his only conceivable pathways to victory... No way Fat boy Roy goes the distance and wins a decision over Reem..

As far as I can tell Roy has become a one round fighter these days before he gasses out completely, we saw that in the Hunt fight.. Reem maybe a 2 round fighter. Lol..

Reem by KO on the flip side I think if he is to win... Gotta wait for that prop to come out....

[JIBBBY]

Throwing some cash on RDA for sure! The line goes up the better, I'm taking him regardless. Dariush has some value as the dog.

Dariush.. http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Beneil-Dariush-56583

Dariush at 9-1 and 4 fights deep in the UFC now is a good call.. He only lost that one fight by decision. He certainly has a chance against Daron.. At +165 it's worth a try..

Good eye Unwritten Law... I concur!!!!

[JIBBBY]

I think there could be value with Sam Stout at +250.. Should be closer to even odds in my opinion.. Both 30 years old, both coming off devastating KO losses.. Stout is decent standing, has experience.. Both respond well after a loss.. Both are tough as nails and hard to finish...http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Sam-Stout-9901 Ross has the power advantage and Stout maybe has the technical advantage standing..

Gonna try this small... Thinking Stout by decision as long as he doesn't end up on his back for half the fight anyways...

3/2/15 9:11pm

$18.00

$81.90

Pending

3/14/15 9:30pm Props Fighting 1507 Stout wins by 3 round decision +455* <small>vs</small> Not Stout by 3 round decision

3/1/15 11:50pm

$50.00

$125.00

Pending

3/14/15 9:30pm UFC Fighting 1501 Sam Stout +250* <small>vs</small> Ross Pearson

PS.. capping this card early as I don't want to be accused of leaching info off other gambling sites and or other MMA write ups.. These posts are all me before the word gets out.....

[tebowned]

Dariush.. http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Beneil-Dariush-56583

Dariush at 9-1 and 4 fights deep in the UFC now is a good call.. He only lost that one fight by decision. He certainly has a chance against Daron.. At +165 it's worth a try..

Good eye Unwritten Law... I concur!!!!

Jibby he lost by KO.

Nonetheless My underdogs bets are stout and Dariush as well.

[dawgs777]

matt brown and big country

[mirinquads]

Unbelievable that Esparza is only -155 in this spot

[JIBBBY]

Jibby he lost by KO.

1st round KO and not a decision loss.. Thanks for the correction.

[JIBBBY]

This card really does have a bunch of potential dog wins written all over it!!!

Another match up I've considered as a dog play.. Chris Cariaso +400 dog..

Those are massive favorite odds for a fighter that is only 7-0 and only one fight deep into the UFC!!! Dustin Kumira is really Cejudo's only big name win thus far.. He grinded out that victory and a good win for sure building up his hype train......http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Henry-Cejudo-125297

Granted Henry is the "Olympic stud Wrestler" going in and all, I'm still thinking he may be a little bit raw.... Most expect him to grind out a victory on the ground in this one.. I'm thinking - Chris Cariaso really has fought some of the best in the division, tons of experience over Cejudo and if he can keep this on the feet it may be to his advantage.. He has hammered out a bunch of decision wins over the years at the UFC level and will not be an easy OUT!!! .. (11 UFC fights and went 7-4 in those) http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Chris-Cariaso-16467//

At those odds I'm gonna take a stab at this dog for 50 bucks.....

3/2/15 1:30pm

$50.00

$200.00

Pending

3/14/15 10:00pm UFC Fighting 1401 Chris Cariaso +400* <small>vs</small> Henry Cejudo

[JIBBBY]

What do you think gents? Could we all rape the bookies with another dog parlay like this? Thought to try this $5 parlay early in the game just for giggles and kicks... Nice payout if it sticks..

3/2/15 2:01pm	$5.00	$19,566.55	Pending	8 Team Parlay
				Pending	3/14/15 11:59pm UFC Fighting 1001 Rafael dos Anjos +335* <small>vs</small> Anthony Pettis
				Pending	3/14/15 11:30pm UFC Fighting 1101 Carla Esparza -155* <small>vs</small> Joanna Jedrzejczyk
				Pending	3/14/15 11:00pm UFC Fighting 1201 Matt Brown +250* <small>vs</small> Johny Hendricks
				Pending	3/14/15 10:30pm UFC Fighting 1302 Roy Nelson +180* <small>vs</small> Alistair Overeem
				Pending	3/14/15 10:00pm UFC Fighting 1401 Chris Cariaso +400* <small>vs</small> Henry Cejudo
				Pending	3/14/15 9:30pm UFC Fighting 1501 Sam Stout +250* <small>vs</small> Ross Pearson
				Pending	3/14/15 8:30pm UFC Fighting 1701 Beneil Dariush +135* <small>vs</small> Daron Cruickshank
				Pending	3/14/15 8:00pm UFC Fighting 1802 Jared Rosholt -280* <small>vs</small> Josh Copeland

[plekz]

How does RDA win against Pettis, like what realistic ways to victory does he have?

[Thor4140]

How does RDA win against Pettis, like what realistic ways to victory does he have?

Pettis guts out an injury we don't know about? Cost him the fight? Other then that i have no idea. U can give me ten to one and i still wouldn't take RDA.

[Thor4140]

Impossible to bet Hendricks anymore until the weighins. The guy has a million and one excuses. Are they valid? Most likely but he brings most of the excuses on. He can prolly knock out Brown in the first round but who knows he may have to lose 70 pounds the night before the fight. Why he carries so much weight i have no idea. He looks like he should be able to make 155

[Thor4140]

Reem is just dumb enuf to get caught by that stupid overhand right of Big Country's. I hope Big Belly loses and Dana forces him down to 205 but i think the crafty prick beats the mental midget.

[JIBBBY]

How does RDA win against Pettis, like what realistic ways to victory does he have?

A decision win perhaps???? Maybe even a late round KO isn't unthinkable....

Sat 3/14

1007 Anjos wins by 5 round decision

<input id="editx" name="M1_8" size="4"> +610

Sat 3/14

1037 Anjos wins by TKO/KO

<input id="editx" name="M1_23" size="4"> +1150

Copy and paste -

Division: Lightweight
Records: Anthony Pettis (18-2), Rafael dos Anjos (23-7)
The lightweight title fight between Anthony Pettis and Rafael dos Anjos is a true battle of contrasting styles. The champ is an absolute gunslinger, known for his absurd acrobatics and kick-focused striking. The challenger is a jack-of-all-trades and master of none who has remained a staple of the division by attacking each opponent smartly and methodically.
While it's easy to get drunk on Pettis' amazing talent, serious doubts remain regarding his staying power as champion. His high-risk, high-reward style may be effective but can easily go awry when it comes to judges' scorecards. For a tough out like Dos Anjos, who has only been finished twice in his 30-fight career (one of those times coming via freak injury), that could spell trouble.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Dos Anjos 3 fight win streak, has won 8 of his last 9 fights in the UFC.. http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Rafael-dos-Anjos-11675

[plekz]

Yeah but RDA really hasn't looked amazing in any of those fights, Pettis put away Gil and Bendo in under two rounds. And the kind of ''lnp'' Guida implemented i seriously doubt is even possible to pull off anymore on Pettis, and on the feet Pettis is alot more prolific and creative (not to mention technically sound) then RDA. RDA has an impressive streak sure, but i see Pettis finishing all of the people RDA has w's over (some of them he already finished, like Cerrone)

How many times had Gil been finished before Pettis choked him out?

[Kermit]

I like Carla Esparza. I thought that she would be more of a favorite.

I can also see Nelson winning by Knock Out.

[JIBBBY]

Reem is just dumb enuf to get caught by that stupid overhand right of Big Country's. I hope Big Belly loses and Dana forces him down to 205 but i think the crafty prick beats the mental midget.

Big Belly is 39 years old in 3 months, has gray hair now.. Dude is only gonna be putting on more weight from this point forward.. He never had diet discipline and it's hard to teach an old dog new tricks.. 205 is a pipe dream.... Hey but with more weight comes more power and as you get older the power is the last thing to go..

All the fights Fat Boy Roy won in the last 3 years are by way of 1st round KO.. If Roy beats Reem it's gonna be by knock out in the first round and it's just that simple..http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Roy-Nelson-10249

More props just came out on this fight and with that being said -

Sat 3/14		1333 Nelson wins by TKO/KO		<input id="editx" name="M1_95" size="4"> +310
10:30PM		1334 Any other result		<input id="editx" name="M2_95" size="4"> -430

Sat 3/14		1321 Nelson wins in round 1		<input id="editx" name="M1_89" size="4"> +425
10:30PM		1322 Any other result		<input id="editx" name="M2_89" size="4"> -675

Flip side props -

Sat 3/14		1315 Overeem wins in round 1		<input id="editx" name="M1_86" size="4"> +185
10:30PM		1316 Any other result		<input id="editx" name="M2_86" size="4"> -265

Sat 3/14		1317 Overeem wins in round 2		<input id="editx" name="M1_87" size="4"> +500
10:30PM		1318 Any other result		<input id="editx" name="M2_87" size="4"> -900

Sat 3/14		1329 Overeem wins by TKO/KO		<input id="editx" name="M1_93" size="4"> +110
10:30PM		1330 Any other result		<input id="editx" name="M2_93" size="4"> -150

[UncleChael]

Anthony Pettis is a monster striker. RDA wants to stand and bang.

[UncleChael]

Big Country KO drops to +250. He's gonna do it anyways.

[Beelzebubzy]

Big Country KO drops to +250. He's gonna do it anyways.

3/14/15 10:30pm Props Fighting 1309 Nelson wins inside distance +350* <small>vs</small> Not Nelson inside distance

Anyone grab the ITD prop at +420

[JIBBBY]

3/14/15 10:30pm Props Fighting 1309 Nelson wins inside distance +350* <small>vs</small> Not Nelson inside distance

Anyone grab the ITD prop at +420

Best bet for the Nelson fight in my mind is -

Pending3/14/15 10:30pm UFC Fighting 1301 Alistair Overeem/Roy Nelson Under 1½ -135*

[UncleChael]

3/14/15 10:30pm Props Fighting 1309 Nelson wins inside distance +350* <small>vs</small> Not Nelson inside distance

Anyone grab the ITD prop at +420

Thanks. Big Country can knock this buffoon out. And I cannot fukking wait

[Kermit]

Thanks. Big Country can knock this buffoon out. And I cannot fukking wait

Agree.

[fitguy67]

Pettis will find the littlest of openings and make you pay. Standing: from close range or far. On the mat: from bottom or top. Clever, creative, and surgical in execution.

I pick RDA against any LW not named Anthony Pettis (his wins over Bendo & Cerrone were definitely NOT a fluke...he IS that good...but, as Plekz noted, Pettis is at that one unattainable level higher)

[Unwritten Law]

Pettis is elite, yes, but RDA is red hot now too. So we'll see. I definitely think RDA can hang and maybe catch Showtime in an upset.

[JIBBBY]

^^ I'd like to see Cowboy Cerrone get another shot at Pettis and RDA.. Both those losses came 2 years ago and since then Cowboy has been on fire winning 7 straight.. I hope the loser of this fight gets Cowboy again!!!...http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Donald-Cerrone-15105

[THE_LOCKSMITH]