UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs. Siver (January 18, 2015)

[Ron_Paul_2012]

No offense but i was laughing my ass off and also confused back when i heard MD and a few others were loading up on Josh Thomson. Bendo is world class. i hope he keeps getting overlooked, more ££££ for me.

Same Irish fella who loaded up on a 105 lbs. girl named Alex Chambers. She was quickly submitted by 115 lbs. Irish SBG fighter Aisling Daly. Yeah quite the dimwit that one is.

[JIBBBY]

^^ I agree with Marz, you gotta think Bendo will rebound after his horrible loss to Dos Anjos.. I certainly don't see Eddie Alverez taking out Bendo in this one...

http://www.ufc.com/event/ufc-fight-night-boston-2015?f1=Benson-Henderson&f2=eddie-alvarez

[UncleChael]

Y'all not see Alvarez is out ? and Cowboy is in!!!!!!

[UncleChael]

http://www.bloodyelbow.com/2015/1/5/7497485/eddie-alvarez-out-donald-cerrone-in-vs-ben-henderson-fight-night-boston

[Vaughany]

^^ I agree with Marz, you gotta think Bendo will rebound after his horrible loss to Dos Anjos.. I certainly don't see Eddie Alverez taking out Bendo in this one...

http://www.ufc.com/event/ufc-fight-n...=eddie-alvarez

lol

[Vaughany]

Y'all not see Alvarez is out ? and Cowboy is in!!!!!!

Jibbbeh is still getting through the 2012 news and MMAHours! Give him a chance

[Vaughany]

haha siiick

[Vaughany]

McGregor: ‘I Will Be The Betting Favorite Against Aldo’



Conor McGregor is currently gearing up for his UFC Fight Night Boston bout against Dennis Siver, which will go down Sunday January 18th.
Ahead of the bout, UFC President Dana White has stated that if McGregor wins, he will be granted a title shot against Jose Aldo, likely in Dublin, Ireland.
McGregor spoke to Joe Rogan during the UFC 182 PPV about his bout against Siver, as well as why he feels he will be the betting favorite in his future fights from here on out.
“So January 18th, I feel I will stop Dennis Siver inside two minutes. I’ve ran through some scenarios, I cannot see him escaping the first two minutes. He is a seasoned veteran, he is a kickboxing expert, a taekwondo expert, he is my most experienced competitor that I will ever have faced. But I feel that under two minutes it will take me to dispatch him, and again it will make way for the football stadium in Ireland.”
“I’m not looking past him, I’m looking through him. This has been my approach the whole time. I say what I’m going to do to my opponent and map out what is next. This is no different. I’ve been doing this since I stepped foot inside the Octagon. The only difference now is, my previously opponents were supposed to beat me. Dustin (Poirier) was supposed to beat me. (Diego) Brandao was supposed to beat me. (Max) Holloway was supposed to beat me. (Marcus) Brimage was my first UFC caliber opponent, and I came through. The only difference here is that now everybody expects me to win. So I am grateful that the fans see what I see now. They are seeing the clearer picture, that there is nobody that can stand in my way.
“It will be the same outcome when myself and Jose face off. He will not stand a chance, and the fans will see that as well. I believe I will be the betting favorite on all of these future contests. I certainly feel that way.”

[brooks85]

aldo by dec

[JIBBBY]

Jibbbeh is still getting through the 2012 news and MMAHours! Give him a chance

I slipped, haven't really even looked at this card since it's light years away...

My bad with Eddie Alvarez...


Cowboy!!!!!

[whipton]

@whipthecapper


UFC Fight Night 59 Plays
=========================


Parlay: @TheNotoriousMMA Inside The Distance (-551) x @UriahHallMMA (-505) 10 Units for 4.2 Units


Parlay: John Howard/Lorenz Larkin Over 2½ (-240) x Sean Spencer/Cathal Pendred Over 2½ (-215) 2.2 Units for 2.3 Units


Parlay: @seanspencer170 (-175) x @CWadeMMA (-380) 1 Unit for 1 Unit


*Tateki Matsuda/Joby Sanchez Over 2½ (-260) 2 Units for 0.8 Units


**Norman Parke/Gleison Tibau Over 2½ (-240) 8 Units for 3 Units


@da_MONSOON (-160) 3.2 Units for 2 Units


@BensonHenderson (-130) 2.6 Units for 2 Units


Sean O'Connell (-140) 1.4 units for 1 Unit


@ssorianoMMA (+135) 1 Unit for 1.4 Units


@GleisonTibauMMA (-135) 1.4 Units for 1 Unit


John Case (-160) 1.6 Units for 1 Unit


Tateki Matsuda wins by 3 round decision (+185) 1 Unit for 1.9 Units


*was originally parlayed with Benson Henson (-260) vs Eddie Alvarez. Eddie got hurt; making it a straight up play.

**was originally parlayed with Eddie Alvarez/Benson Henderson Over 2½ (-240). Eddie got hurt making it a straight up play.

[JIBBBY]

The question is do we Cowboy nut huggers wait or take the bait? That line is currently hovering around that +110 mark.. Is it going up or down in 12 days time? That is the magic question gents... I went ahead and placed anyways..

Thinking this fight over - Those Benson Henderson wins over Cowboy came 4 years ago +.. That's a long time and alot has changed for both fighters in 4 years.. I like Cowboy's chances as the dog going into this one. He's been the more active fighter by far, Cowboy is peaking now, his confidence is at an all time high, and I'm not so sure I can say the same for Bendo based on his last fight.. He really got steam rolled against RDA..

Bendo is coming off that giant loss though and will he rebound well against a guy he already beat twice is the million dollar question? I don't think he will.. Ride em Cowboy!!!....

It's gonna be a war fellas.. What a great match up!!.. Huge test for Cowboy going into this one!!!!!

http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Benson-Henderson-20548

PS.. I do think this fight should be the main event and not Siver vs McGreg just for the record now..

[nanderson1134]

Benson is going to work the owboy

[Jim_Gunn]

I had to make a small play on Cowboy at +130. He's on fire, so I like him as a dog.

[marzwoody]

You know your forums dead when there's better discussion going on in sherdog.

http://forums.sherdog.com/forums/f2/official-ufn-59-betting-thread-post-your-bets-2904183/index49.html

[Sacrelicious]

You know your forums dead when there's better discussion going on in sherdog.
http://forums.sherdog.com/forums/f2/...3/index49.html

Dont worry, I'm still here.

[MD]

You know your forums dead when there's better discussion going on in sherdog.
http://forums.sherdog.com/forums/f2/...3/index49.html

If you think that's analysis worth reading, then you belong there.

[Sacrelicious]

If you think that's analysis worth reading, then you belong there.

Sacrelicious feels moderately burned.

[JIBBBY]

This thread will pick up as we grow closer to fight time.. Still a full week away...

[Sanity Check]

^^ you gotta think Bendo will rebound after his horrible loss to Dos Anjos..

Bendo is known to train extremely hard. There is a possibility he overtrains and the excessive wear and tear will have an accumulated negative effect. If Bendo trains so hard he is actually destroying his body & health, his losses could be a sign of his deterioration. It could indicate the begining of a downward spiral, rather than a rebound.

[marzwoody]

If you think that's analysis worth reading, then you belong there.

Nah ill just post on the other forum.

[Sanity Check]

Sacrelicious feels moderately burned.

Sacrelicious.

If you go pro can I have your extra 700 bet points?

[JIBBBY]

Bendo is known to train extremely hard. There is a possibility he overtrains and the excessive wear and tear will have an accumulated negative effect. If Bendo trains so hard he is actually destroying his body & health, his losses could be a sign of his deterioration. It could indicate the begining of a downward spiral, rather than a rebound.

It looked that way in his last fight Sanity.. At age 31 now you would think Bendo still has alot left in the tank though.. This next fight will tell alot about Bendo me tinks as in whether or not he is fade material from this point forward...

[Sanity Check]

It looked that way in his last fight Sanity.. At age 31 now you would think Bendo still has alot left in the tank though.. This next fight will tell alot about Bendo me tinks as in whether or not he is fade material from this point forward...

Its tough to distinguish chronological age from biological age. Jamie Varner is retired at 30.

Maybe I should be exaggerating Bendo's chances in the hope of fattening Cowboy's line.

Has anyone here made sock puppet accounts & trolled forums with the intent of moving the line to make better odds for themselves? That might explain some things.

[Jim_Gunn]

If you think that's analysis worth reading, then you belong there.

Do you seriously think that the hog analysis, trolling, inside jokes, and delusional claims by posters on this forum of being sharps who provide disinformation to manipulate lines is superior? It's about a 10/90 percent ratio of signal to noise here lately.

[Thor4140]

Do you seriously think that the hog analysis, trolling, inside jokes, and delusional claims by posters on this forum of being sharps who provide disinformation to manipulate lines is superior? It's about a 10/90 percent ratio of signal to noise here lately.

jeese finally another guy who isn't giddy about talking about other guys coks.

[Sanity Check]

Jim_Gunn. This is the only part of your post that registered.

Do you seriously think that the hog analysis is superior?

What can I say.

He's here to chew bubblegum and anal-yze hogs.

And... he's all outta bubblegum.

[JIBBBY]

Here we go with the injuries.. Louis Taylor out with a bad back, I wonder who is gonna step up on short notice to fight Uriah Hall now??

http://www.mmafighting.com/2015/1/11/7528911/louis-taylor-injured-uriah-hall-without-an-opponent-for-boston-card

[MD]

Do you seriously think that the hog analysis, trolling, inside jokes, and delusional claims by posters on this forum of being sharps who provide disinformation to manipulate lines is superior? It's about a 10/90 percent ratio of signal to noise here lately.

Hypothetical: imagine a world where almost no one was good at breaking down fights (I know, it's tough.) Now imagine, in that same world, two separate forums; one in which dozens or hundreds of guys commit themselves to posting completely worthless fight analysis, and one forum where guys commit themselves to jokes, with some good analysis sprinkled in on occasion.

Which forum would you rather be a part of?

[Jim_Gunn]

Hypothetical: imagine a world where almost no one was good at breaking down fights (I know, it's tough.) Now imagine, in that same world, two separate forums; one in which dozens or hundreds of guys commit themselves to posting completely worthless fight analysis, and one forum where guys commit themselves to jokes, with some good analysis sprinkled in on occasion.

Which forum would you rather be a part of?

Well for one, it's not an either/or choice. I figure it's best to get info from more than one source.

[MD]

Well for one, it's not an either/or choice. I figure it's best to get info from more than one source.

It's barely a choice at all. I've never read an insightful post in a Sherdog betting thread, not even once. I'm sure there are a couple here or there, but I wouldn't dig through piles of shit to find them.

Most of the best fight discussion goes on in private. That's just how it has to be.

[Jim_Gunn]

I read multiple forums and get something out of each one. There are far more substantive MMA betting discussions in the Sherdog threads than there are here by far. More people post detailed analysis there, and also more people post their picks and bets in detail before the fights. Those are concrete things that can be measured and results demonstrated. A few people do that here too, just not as many. Any discussions or wagers that supposedly go on in private are simply not verifiable and are not really interesting or relevant in terms of a forum contribution.

[MD]

I read multiple forums and get something out of each one. There are far more substantive MMA betting discussions in the Sherdog threads than there are here by far. More people post detailed analysis there, and also more people post their picks and bets in detail before the fights. Those are concrete things that can be measured and results demonstrated. A few people do that here too, just not as many. Any discussions or wagers that supposedly go on in private are simply not verifiable and are not really interesting or relevant in terms of a forum contribution.

1) As I said, if that's your idea of "detailed analysis", then you belong there.
2) What do you think a "contribution" is? No one is here to contribute to "the forum", most of us don't like "the forum", we're here to mutually benefit from each other's analysis. There's a very obvious reason that so much of this goes on in private; saying that the only type of "interesting" or "relevant" discussion goes on publicly just makes you sound like a sportsbook shill. As for being "verifiable", plenty of people have stated this before. If you're asking if we're all involved in some sort of conspiracy to pretend to discuss fights behind your back while not actually discussing fights, the answer is clearly yes.

Uncoincidentally, pretty much everyone who complains about a lack of analysis has nothing to contribute themselves. I wonder why.

[marzwoody]

Hypothetical: imagine a world where almost no one was good at breaking down fights (I know, it's tough.) Now imagine, in that same world, two separate forums; one in which dozens or hundreds of guys commit themselves to posting completely worthless fight analysis, and one forum where guys commit themselves to jokes, with some good analysis sprinkled in on occasion.

Which forum would you rather be a part of?

Sounds like Sherdog and SBR.

[JIBBBY]

^^How about a forum that consists of betting option plays for best value, posting mostly ideas on how a fight should play out to suit a certain prop play.... Sherdog forum doesn't have any of that and most other MMA forums don't either...A forum that posters concentrate on the best way to bet the fights based on how they should play out... That's what I look for on SBR, and that's what I try to post on the event threads myself.....

Anyone can gather basic fighter information from current article reads and by watching the past 2 fight vids... You don't need forums to teach you that.. Sherdog and Wiki fighter history also helps in the final capping equation to see fighter trends and streaks....

So I personally don't put much merit into other posters fighter breakdowns unless it is in line with what I think will happen..... Current injury reports, personal fighter problems and current training camp info is helpful in forum posts if someone is on the inside and willing to post..

My take on the perfect MMA gambling forum... Throw in some humor as well at times.. SBR delivers some of that on the event threads...