UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Le (August 23, 2014)

[Ron_Paul_2012]

odds that burt is tapping it?

[MarkWoodstick]

odds that burt is tapping it?

Burt would absolutely BURY dat ass.

[Wilbo86]

I like to imagine when Burt climaxes he yells "we jizz'n!!!!" or equivalent, ah la fighter walkouts.

[MarkWoodstick]

I have no doubt in my mind that Burt bangs with his sock on

[Wilbo86]

Just got limited for the first time in my gambling career. A proud but also exceedingly frustrating moment for me.

[Vaughany]

I like to imagine when Burt climaxes he yells "we jizz'n!!!!" or equivalent, ah la fighter walkouts.

lol

[Vaughany]

[PunisherIND]

Just got limited for the first time in my gambling career. A proud but also exceedingly frustrating moment for me.

Congrats. Out of curiosity, which book?

[Bad Tattoo]

<input type="button" name="infoIcon" class="infoIcon left" title="" style="float: left; cursor: help; height: 14px; margin: 0px; overflow: hidden; text-indent: -9999px; width: 14px; border: none; padding: 0px; background-image: url(<a href=" https:="" sports.bodog.eu="" betslip="" images="" betslip-icons-sprite.png);"="" target="_blank"><label class="description left" style="display: block; font-weight: bold; float: left; font-size: 10px; margin-left: 5px; width: 190px;">Parlay (2 picks)</label><label class="selectionName left" id="parlay-20056219" style="display: block; font-weight: bold; float: left; font-size: 10px; padding: 2px 5px; width: 214px; margin: 5px 0px 0px; background-image: -webkit-radial-gradient(50% 50%, circle farthest-corner, rgb(229, 229, 229), rgb(200, 200, 200) 87%); background-color: rgb(200, 200, 200);">Michael "The Count" Bisping -315</label><label class="selectionName left" id="parlay-20029803" style="display: block; font-weight: bold; float: left; font-size: 10px; padding: 2px 5px; width: 214px; margin: 5px 0px 0px; background-image: -webkit-radial-gradient(50% 50%, circle farthest-corner, rgb(229, 229, 229), rgb(200, 200, 200) 87%); background-color: rgb(200, 200, 200);">Tyron "The Chosen One" Woodley -185</label>


Risk
CA$ 30.00

To Win
CA$ 30.89


Your wager has been placed.Your reference number is #








lets go Jibb

[Wilbo86]

Congrats. Out of curiosity, which book?

Sportsbet Australia. Doesn't really bother me cause its one of the shitty local books, terrible lines, high vig etc. But I should be more careful cause I know some are owned by international books. Another one of the other local ones I use is owned by William Hill and offers the same lines.

For future reference does anyone happen to know if affiliates or linked books like that share info for the purposes of cutting people out? I.e if I get limited at one will I get limited or excluded at the other?

[PunisherIND]

Sportsbet Australia. Doesn't really bother me cause its one of the shitty local books, terrible lines, high vig etc. But I should be more careful cause I know some are owned by international books. Another one of the other local ones I use is owned by William Hill and offers the same lines.

For future reference does anyone happen to know if affiliates or linked books like that share info for the purposes of cutting people out? I.e if I get limited at one will I get limited or excluded at the other?

they do. even unaffiliated books share info.

[JIBBBY]

I posted this on the Jibbby thread, should have been posted here...... Cung Lee/Bisping prop -

I think more of lock then even the win/lose bet would be "1004 - fight doesn't go the distance" (+100)

It's even money on this prop and I think Bisping either gets dropped early by chance or Cung Lee gases out and gets stopped before the final bell at round 5..

Just sharing.. I have not won yet consistently with the prop bets so take caution in trailing.. This one seems solid to me though.. I'm on it at even money...

5 rounds is a long time to go for the 35 and 42 year olds even if they are just trying to survive and make it to the final bell.. My thoughts anyways..

[FightFightFight]

they do. even unaffiliated books share info.

Need to pick your brain on this. Even a new thread. Who do we know is affiliated with who/sharing info? And on what? Any ideas? I got booted from Sportsint for no apparent reason. They said it was info that came from a monitoring service. But it was possibly linked to fraud prevention. An issue with my *********** that really shouldnt have been an issue. Hard to say. Really had to dig to get that much info from them.

[FightFightFight]

I googled monitoring services, and found some. Their main goal seems to be finding groups involved in match fixing, but the service could work for anything.

[PunisherIND]

Need to pick your brain on this. Even a new thread. Who do we know is affiliated with who/sharing info? And on what? Any ideas? I got booted from Sportsint for no apparent reason. They said it was info that came from a monitoring service. But it was possibly linked to fraud prevention. An issue with my *********** that really shouldnt have been an issue. Hard to say. Really had to dig to get that much info from them.

i dont have much knowledge on the subject, i just know that unaffiliated books share information. i'll send you a PM.

[mirinquads]

That Dong is huge...

[JIBBBY]

^^ He does tower over Woodley and does have what looks like a good reach advantage. I already played Woodley so I'm sticking to my guns. That pic makes me a little nervous I gotta be honest....

[Sacrelicious]

Kim = bigger hog.

[Wilbo86]

That Dong is huge...

Oh yeah baby. Meanwhile those odds keep climbing. I think it'll close around +200 or higher at which point I'll swoop in like a champion.

Why he leave his shirt on? Dong, you disappoint me.

[imadegen]

2 team parlay

Michael Bisping -325/Woodley -145 ($120 to win $150) placed on 2 accounts.. Bovada/5D..

Also hit the prop 1009 - Bisping wins inside the distance +135... 5 round fight is a long time to go for an old man...

I like both of these alot.

[Beelzebubzy]

I like both of these alot.

who re teh girls in your picture?

[Skel]

I posted this on the Jibbby thread, should have been posted here...... Cung Lee/Bisping prop -

I think more of lock then even the win/lose bet would be "1004 - fight doesn't go the distance" (+100)

It's even money on this prop and I think Bisping either gets dropped early by chance or Cung Lee gases out and gets stopped before the final bell at round 5..

Just sharing.. I have not won yet consistently with the prop bets so take caution in trailing.. This one seems solid to me though.. I'm on it at even money...

5 rounds is a long time to go for the 35 and 42 year olds even if they are just trying to survive and make it to the final bell.. My thoughts anyways..

I like the cut of your jibbb. Tailed for 0.8 units.

[Skel]

^^ He does tower over Woodley and does have what looks like a good reach advantage. I already played Woodley so I'm sticking to my guns. That pic makes me a little nervous I gotta be honest....

Shorter fighters often have a lot of success with the overhand right. Woodley's is a nuclear bomb.

[Jim_Gunn]

UFN 48 Risk: $651.50

Cung Le (+255) vs Michael Bisping $25.00 for $63.75
Le wins by TKO/KO (+465) $25.00 for $116.25
Bisping wins in round 4 (+1375) $5.00 for $68.75
Bisping wins in round 5 (+1675) $5.00 for $83.75
Dong Hyun Kim (+150) vs Tyron Woodley $50.00 for $75.00
Woodley wins by TKO/KO (+255) $25.00 for $63.75
Zhang Lipeng (+130) vs Brendan O'Reilly $40.00 for $52.00

Sai wins by 3 round decision (+461) $10.00 for $46.10
Alberto Mina (-200) vs Shinsho Anzai $80.00 for $40.00
Yuta Sasaki (-135) vs Roland Delorme $54.00 for $40.00
Colby Covington (-375) vs Anying Wang $187.50 for $50.00
Wang/Covington Under 1½ (+145) 0.00 for $36.25 (Free Play)
Elizabeth Phillips (+140) vs Milana Dudieva $50.00 for $70.00
Phillips wins by 3 round decision (+210) $20.00 for $42.00
Phillips/Dudieva Over 2½ (-210) $84.00 for $40.00

Kim/Woodley Fight of the Night (+300) $10.00 for $30.00

Parlay:
Jianping Yang (-192) + Danny Mitchell (-210) $25.00 for $31.13

[Wilbo86]

Kim straight hedged with Woodley in Round 1
Kim by Decision
Bisping/Le ITD
Leipang/O'Reily -2.5 Rounds

[JIBBBY]

I like the cut of your jibbb. Tailed for 0.8 units.

Thanks and good luck Skel.. This prop looked REALLY nice to me at +100... I'm in big on this one..

I see Wilbo hit it too...

[Crassus]

Gambling math question. Kim's point spread bet is +3.5 and -160. So that should mean you're getting, Kim ML and slightly discounted Woodley by decision (I.E. Woodley by decision - % of times Woodley wins by more than three points, so at least 2 rounds on every judges card and all three rounds on one)

I feel like this is a pretty close match, it could easily be 29-28 for Woodley so the discount can't be TOO big right?

Kim ML is +185 and Woodley by decision is +190. Where do I go from here? I'm feeling I should discount the Woodley by decision a decent amount, but how exactly do I calculate what the line should be with those two options and whether or not that's better than -160. I feel like it must be but I can't figure out how to tell exactly. Maybe I'm just too stoned right now but I'm drawing a blank here. Halp please?

[Sacrelicious]

Cung Le is really good with kicks.

[Skel]

Covington parlayed with Velasquez by decision
Le by decision +900 0.6 units
Woodley ITD +235 0.5 units
Woodley/Kim FotN +300 0.4 units
Bisping/Le doesn't GTD +105 0.8 units
Le +265 1.4 units

[Keyboard Warrior]

Gambling math question. Kim's point spread bet is +3.5 and -160. So that should mean you're getting, Kim ML and slightly discounted Woodley by decision (I.E. Woodley by decision - % of times Woodley wins by more than three points, so at least 2 rounds on every judges card and all three rounds on one)

I feel like this is a pretty close match, it could easily be 29-28 for Woodley so the discount can't be TOO big right?

Kim ML is +185 and Woodley by decision is +190. Where do I go from here? I'm feeling I should discount the Woodley by decision a decent amount, but how exactly do I calculate what the line should be with those two options and whether or not that's better than -160. I feel like it must be but I can't figure out how to tell exactly. Maybe I'm just too stoned right now but I'm drawing a blank here. Halp please?

are you really asking a forum full of racist retards/rednecks that would fail 8th grade algebra a math question?

[Ron_Paul_2012]

No plays from MD. Is he skipping this event?

[Ron_Paul_2012]

are you really asking a forum full of racist retards/rednecks that would fail 8th grade algebra a math question?

Hey Sider. How are you doing? Any big plays for you this morning or afternoon?

[Crassus]

are you really asking a forum full of racist retards/rednecks that would fail 8th grade algebra a math question?

I feel like the math isn't that complex, I'm just blanking hard.

[Skel]

Gambling math question. Kim's point spread bet is +3.5 and -160. So that should mean you're getting, Kim ML and slightly discounted Woodley by decision (I.E. Woodley by decision - % of times Woodley wins by more than three points, so at least 2 rounds on every judges card and all three rounds on one)

I feel like this is a pretty close match, it could easily be 29-28 for Woodley so the discount can't be TOO big right?

Kim ML is +185 and Woodley by decision is +190. Where do I go from here? I'm feeling I should discount the Woodley by decision a decent amount, but how exactly do I calculate what the line should be with those two options and whether or not that's better than -160. I feel like it must be but I can't figure out how to tell exactly. Maybe I'm just too stoned right now but I'm drawing a blank here. Halp please?

I hope I'm answering your question here.
The probability indicated by betting on both Kim +185 and Woodley decision +190 at equal amounts is given by (100/285) + (100/290) = 0.7.
To turn that into a betting line, the formula is:
0.7 = x/(x+100), where x is the betting line. It's just an algebra problem after that.
It works out to an effective betting line of -233, so you'd be paying a good deal more than -160 to cover the possibility of Woodley winning a decision by a margin of more than 3 points.

[NunyaBidness]

Need to pick your brain on this. Even a new thread. Who do we know is affiliated with who/sharing info? And on what? Any ideas? I got booted from Sportsint for no apparent reason. They said it was info that came from a monitoring service. But it was possibly linked to fraud prevention. An issue with my *********** that really shouldnt have been an issue. Hard to say. Really had to dig to get that much info from them.

Yeah, Pun is right, books do share info. There's some sort of black book. Fortunately a lot of books don't do their dilligence until you try to cash out. So, #1 advice is, don't cash out from a book you're killing until you're done with it. Another reason to have a very large bankroll.