UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs. Miller

[MD]

Featherweight	Conor McGregor	vs.	Cole Miller
Welterweight	Gunnar Nelson	vs.	Zak Cummings
Flyweight	Brad Pickett	vs.	Ian McCall
Light Heavyweight	Tom Lawlor	vs.	Ilir Latifi
Light Heavyweight	Cody Donovan	vs.	Nikita Krylov
Flyweight	Neil Seery	vs.	Phil Harris
Middleweight	Tor Troeng	vs.	Trevor Smith
Lightweight	Norman Parke	vs.	Naoyuki Kotani

[MD]

[Vaughany]

The GOAT should be -20000000

[JIBBBY]

http://www.ufc.com/event/ufn-albuquerque-fs1#/fight

[marzwoody]

Thinking about putting 5 hundid on mr mcgregor hmmm...

[Ron_Paul_2012]

Thinking about putting 5 hundid on mr mcgregor hmmm...

Don't jinx it for the rest of us mama's boy!

[mmaed]

Will be on Ilir Latifi and probably Trevor Smith.

Anyone see them opening as dogs?

[Unwritten Law]

McGregor is a steal

[marzwoody]

Don't jinx it for the rest of us mama's boy!

Did you get jinxed the last time you lost 33 units?

[getlucky2win]

Miller via whateva da fuk he wants

[TheCalculator]

2 things that worry me about McGregor vs. Miller.

1. The reach. If Cole really stays on the outside he could give Conor some challenges.

2. Conor's ego. I never like seeing guys that are THAT confident. The Universe seems to find a way to humble these guys.

That being said -- I think Conor is playable up to -400.

[MD]

2 things that worry me about McGregor vs. Miller.

1. The reach. If Cole really stays on the outside he could give Conor some challenges.

2. Conor's ego. I never like seeing guys that are THAT confident. The Universe seems to find a way to humble these guys.

That being said -- I think Conor is playable up to -400.

I am distinctly unworried by both. Only way Miller wins is by forcing a scramble, I think.

[Wilbo86]

Its a no play for me at the current price, might put something small on Miller when the steam rolls in on McGregor... Not sure though, still thinking about it.

[Ron_Paul_2012]

Its a no play for me at the current price, might put something small on Miller when the steam rolls in on McGregor... Not sure though, still thinking about it.

You're not on McGregor? Well that settles it for me then. ALL IN on the Notorious One!!!!!!

[TheCalculator]

You're not on McGregor? Well that settles it for me then. ALL IN on the Notorious One!!!!!!

100 unit play?

[Ron_Paul_2012]

100 unit play?

Nah. Just kidding. However, I do feel certain McGregor will win.

[Sykes]

Play is Conor r1 or r2. Simples, this aint even close. He will blitz this guy.

[Sykes]

Pictt, Nelson ** - easy money.

[Sykes]

U going MD?

[Vaughany]

Cole Miller has been forced out of a planned matchup with Conor McGregor, and Diego Brandao has agreed to step in as a replacement opponent.
The new matchup now headlines UFC Fight Night 46, which takes place July 19 at The O2 in Dublin.
UFC officials today announced the change and revealed that Miller ha suffered torn ligaments in his hand and is currently in a full cast. Despite the change, UFC President remains optimistic the fight will be a barnburner.
“Diego Brandao is explosive and a well-rounded fighter,” White stated. “This should be a war.”

[Wilbo86]

Much better matchup for McGregor in my opinion. Brandao has the first half of the first round to get him out of there before he gases terribly, at which point his chances hit 0 for the rest of the fight, he's the FW version of Eric Silva. I hope he brings his past aggression to the weighins.

[marzwoody]

Much better matchup for McGregor in my opinion. Brandao has the first half of the first round to get him out of there before he gases terribly, at which point his chances hit 0 for the rest of the fight, he's the FW version of Eric Silva. I hope he brings his past aggression to the weighins.

Lol better match up for mcgregor.. do you even pay attention when you watch MMA? sometimes he gasses sometimes he conserves his energy, and he's always throwing bombs. and has good ground game.

[Skel]

Brandao is much more dangerous on the feet than Miller, and still a threat on the ground. Mcgregor should win this though.

[marzwoody]

Brandao is much more dangerous on the feet than Miller, and still a threat on the ground. Mcgregor should win this though.

Yep completely agree. more risk for conor, more risk for my money. should make a better / more exciting fight though.

[Wilbo86]

Lol better match up for mcgregor.. do you even pay attention when you watch MMA? sometimes he gasses sometimes he conserves his energy, and he's always throwing bombs. and has good ground game.

Alright just my opinion bra, no need to get catty. Sorry for having a go at you the other day bout your chalk bets, if you want to bear a grudge that's fine, I'll just start ignoring you.

[Wilbo86]

Also, obviously brandao is much more aggressive and dangerous than miller, but like I said, I only see them being the case for 1 out of a potential 5 round fight.

[marzwoody]

Alright just my opinion bra, no need to get catty. Sorry for having a go at you the other day bout your chalk bets, if you want to bear a grudge that's fine, I'll just start ignoring you.

Its fine dude. i don't bear grudges like ron paul, md and so many others on this site, main purpose of this site is to discuss fights and have a few laughs nothing more,

[Ron_Paul_2012]

Its fine dude. i don't bear grudges like ron paul, md and so many others on this site, main purpose of this site is to discuss fights and have a few laughs nothing more,

I don't hold grudges, just ask MD. If I see a post of yours that contains some nugget of wisdom or insight I will let you know. But you don't make it easy for anyone to compliment you.

[Ron_Paul_2012]

Brandao is much more dangerous on the feet than Miller, and still a threat on the ground. Mcgregor should win this though.

Brandao is definitely a live dog. He has a much better chance for victory than Miller did. I planned on a 50 unit play on McGregor vs Miller. But I'm not even sure if I will be playing this match up. I guess it depends on wether or not McGregor vs Brandao will be even or McGregor a very slight favorite.

[marzwoody]

Brandao is definitely a live dog. He has a much better chance for victory than Miller did. I planned on a 50 unit play on McGregor vs Miller. But I'm not even sure if I will be playing this match up. I guess it depends on wether or not McGregor vs Brandao will be even or McGregor a very slight favorite.

Smart man. my exact thoughts

[Vaughany]

should be a more exciting fight for the neutral at least. "Gonna be a dog-fight"!!

[MD]

Much better matchup for McGregor in my opinion. Brandao has the first half of the first round to get him out of there before he gases terribly, at which point his chances hit 0 for the rest of the fight, he's the FW version of Eric Silva. I hope he brings his past aggression to the weighins.

And how long is Miller a threat? One round? Two? He can pretty much only win by catching Conor in a scramble, whereas Brandao's power is an immediate threat. Miller was a squash match, fair line was McGregor -1600ish.

[Vaughany]

Chris Fields


10 hrs · Edited ·




I predict Conor McGregor by Diego having an asthma attack he gasses so much

[Wilbo86]

And how long is Miller a threat? One round? Two? He can pretty much only win by catching Conor in a scramble, whereas Brandao's power is an immediate threat. Miller was a squash match, fair line was McGregor -1600ish.

I disagree. The reach differential was huge, he'll now have a moderate reach advantage against brandao. Not like he's some high level striker but would negate some of Connors speed and movement. By no means do I think it was close to an even fight but I think people under rate Miller because he comes across like a douchey wet rag with an awkward fighting style.

Combine this with the fact that McGregor is coming off a massive lay off and potentially career changing ACL surgery. I think given that, you'd be crazy to lay anyone in that situation -1600.

Side note, I'd lay -5000 he blows that acl again before his careers up.

[Wilbo86]

My judgment could be a little clouded, I've made solid margins betting miller against average competition in his last couple of fights.