TUF Brazil 3 Finale: Maldonado vs. Miocic (May 31, 2014)

[THE_LOCKSMITH]

FOX Sports 1, 10 p.m. ET
Fabio Maldonado vs. Stipe Miocic
Antonio Carlos Jr. vs. Vitor Miranda
Warlley Alves de Andrade vs. Marcio Alexandre Jr.
Demian Maia vs. Alexander Yakovlev
Rony Jason vs. Robert Peralta

FOX Sports 1, 8 p.m. ET
Rodrigo Damm vs. Rashid Magomedov
Ernest Chavez vs. Elias Silverio
Paulo Thiago vs. Gasan Umalatov
Mark Eddiva vs. Kevin Souza

UFC Fight Pass, 6:30 p.m. ET
Ricardo Abreu vs. Wagner Silva
Marcos Rogerio de Lima vs. Richardson Moreira
Matt Hobar vs. Pedro Munhoz

[Lick496]

my sweet sweet Paulo Thiago...

oh god i wonder what the line on Maia is going to be

[Ron_Paul_2012]

my sweet sweet Paulo Thiago...

oh god i wonder what the line on Maia is going to be

The russian he is fighting is decent. He might have better striking than Maia & his wrestling is good. His MO is ground & pound. But Maia will probably sub him via triangle or arm bar.

[Lick496]

ya, but 3 of his 4 losses were by sub

[Beelzebubzy]

Is Jason the best play of the card for actual UFC fighters?

[Wilbo86]

I can't believe I'm about to say this but...

...if the line moves against Moldonado, which i assume it will, there might be some ever so slight value.

[NunyaBidness]

I can't believe I'm about to say this but...

...if the line moves against Moldonado, which i assume it will, there might be some ever so slight value.

I think the market already agrees with that to some extent. It seems like this line should've hit -1000 pretty fast.

[MD]

I think the market already agrees with that to some extent. It seems like this line should've hit -1000 pretty fast.

Yeah, I had the same feeling, especially since there seems to be a trend of steam coming in on heavy favourites and driving their numbers up.

[TheCalculator]

Yeah, I had the same feeling, especially since there seems to be a trend of steam coming in on heavy favourites and driving their numbers up.

Fight day is when the line has been moving heavily. Hoping for more of the same. Weigh ins should help since Fabio will look like a bag of milk.

[Wilbo86]

I think the market already agrees with that to some extent. It seems like this line should've hit -1000 pretty fast.

So what you're saying is your max bets haven't even put a dent in the lines then?

[FightFightFight]

Yeah, I had the same feeling, especially since there seems to be a trend of steam coming in on heavy favourites and driving their numbers up.

Those guys are broke now though.

[NunyaBidness]

So what you're saying is your max bets haven't even put a dent in the lines then?

Heh, I haven't bet it. I rarely cap main events as the lines tend to get released before I get around to looking at them, and I have difficulty coming up with a good number once I'm anchored to a release.

[Wilbo86]

Heh, I haven't bet it. I rarely cap main events as the lines tend to get released before I get around to looking at them, and I have difficulty coming up with a good number once I'm anchored to a release.

No comprende...? main events usually have the most value and highest limits?

I like to think I can still cap decently even when anchored.

[NunyaBidness]

I'm speaking for myself only.

[Skel]

Alexander Yakovlev (Russian: Александр Яковлев, born July 18, 1984), also known as Sultan Tikhaev, is a Russian mixed martial artist and rapper.

<iframe width="560" height="315" src="//www.youtube.com/embed/jq_HbK0c6sg" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

[Imsmarterthanu]

Found this funny ass ending to one of Warley Alves fights

[JIBBBY]

Didn't even see this thread... http://bleacherreport.com/articles/2...nd-predictions

[Lick496]

im liking a lot of the underdogs chances...especially being in brazil

[Skel]

im liking a lot of the underdogs chances...especially being in brazil

Why does the fight being in Brazil give the underdogs better chances?

[JIBBBY]

^^^Stipe Miocic and Damian Maia in a parlay bet is the call I think.. I certainly don't see the dogs winning in either of those 2 fights...

Maia should have an easy time, and as long as Stipe doesn't stand and trade too much I can't see him losing either.....

Stipe should own Maldonado on the ground even though Maldonado has shown decent take down defense in his previous fights.. Stipe is too big, strong and athletic and should get the take downs at will and then commence the brutal ground and pound is my thinking..

Still got to bet a lot to win a little unfortunately.. A win is a win though...

[Skel]

^^^Stipe Miocic and Damian Maia in a parlay bet is the call I think.. I certainly don't see the dogs winning in either of those 2 fights...

Maia should have an easy time, and as long as Stipe doesn't stand and trade too much I can't see him losing either.....

Stipe should own Maldonado on the ground even though Maldonado has shown decent take down defense in his previous fights.. Stipe is too big, strong and athletic and should get the take downs at will and then commence the brutal ground and pound is my thinking..

Still got to bet a lot to win a little unfortunately.. A win is a win though...

Add Elias Silverio to the parlay and you're at almost even odds. Stipe should win as long as he fights with a modicum of intelligence and puts Maldonado away on the ground. The only way Maia should lose is if he gasses out and even then the fight will likely be close. I'm on all chalk this weekend, so I'm hoping the favorites come through.

[Lick496]

i feel like judging is particularly shady there, no? I feel like that was a factor a while back but i could be mistaken for somewhere else. Damm and Magomedov have been going to a lot of decisions lately, im liking the brazilian at home.

But, im also a good fade

[Skel]

i feel like judging is particularly shady there, no? I feel like that was a factor a while back but i could be mistaken for somewhere else. Damm and Magomedov have been going to a lot of decisions lately, im liking the brazilian at home.

But, im also a good fade

That could very well be a close fight. I have a little on the over, which is sitting at -175 right now on 5D.

[Unwritten Law]

Stipe over Maldonado

[Ron_Paul_2012]

i feel like judging is particularly shady there, no? I feel like that was a factor a while back but i could be mistaken for somewhere else. Damm and Magomedov have been going to a lot of decisions lately, im liking the brazilian at home.

But, im also a good fade

Mago is no joke. He has a victory vs Maia's opponent. He defeated the Russian rapper at 170 lbs. His striking is better than Damm's & Damm will not be able to get the fight to the ground.

[Skel]

Mago is no joke. He has a victory vs Maia's opponent. He defeated the Russian rapper at 170 lbs. His striking is better than Damm's & Damm will not be able to get the fight to the ground.

Both Yakovlev and Tony Martin were able to get him down in the first round (Yakovlev in the second as well) but Magomedov was able to defend further attempts and win the striking. With the way Damm's been fighting lately, I'm not entirely sure if he'll shoot in at all. I see Magomedov taking a decision or late stoppage.

[Ron_Paul_2012]

Bookmaker took the entire Miocic vs Maldonado card down. What's going on?

[NunyaBidness]

Bookmaker took the entire Miocic vs Maldonado card down. What's going on?

Nope.

[JIBBBY]

The double header is about to start now!!!!!... MMA overdose today...

Who's on board for this one too?

[Ron_Paul_2012]

I'm on Munhoz.

[THE_LOCKSMITH]

hur we go!

[Jim_Gunn]

TUF Brazil 3: Risk $600.50

Fabio Maldonado (+450) vs Stipe Miocic $25.00 for $112.50
Stipe Miocic/Fabio Maldonado Over 2½ (-125) $62.50 for $50.00
Miocic wins by 5 rnd unanimous decision (+320) $10.00 for $32.00
Antonio Carlos Junior (-170) vs Vitor Miranda $85.00 for $50.00
Miranda wins by 3 round decision (+458) $5.00 for $22.90
Warlley Alves (-185) vs Marcio Alexandre Junior $46.25 for $25.00
Alexandre Jr wins by 3 round decision (+467) $5.00 for $23.35

Mark Eddiva (+270) vs Kevin Souza $25.00 for $67.50
Abreu wins by 3 round decision (+196) $15.00 for $29.40
Marcos Rogerio de Lima (-135) vs Richardson Moreira $33.75 for $25.00

Parlays:
Demian Maia (-460) + Rony Jason (-280) $77.00 for $50.22
Elias Silverio (-410) + Rashid Magomedov (-290) $149.00 for $100.25
Ricardo Abreu (-320) + Pedro Munhoz (-265) $62.00 for $50.08

[Bumdeal]

oops. was posting in the wrong thread. was big on Pedro! woot

[JIBBBY]

Hobart got steam rolled...

[Bumdeal]

im parlay crazy tonight, lets see which fighter buries me!

$50.00 $93.45 Pending 5 Team Parlay
Pending 5/31/14 11:59pm UFC Fighting 2001 Stipe Miocic -620* vs Fabio Maldonado
Pending 5/31/14 10:30pm UFC Fighting 2302 Demian Maia -485* vs Alexander Yakovlev
Pending 5/31/14 10:00pm UFC Fighting 2401 Rony Jason -335* vs Robbie Peralta
Pending 5/31/14 9:30pm UFC Fighting 2501 Rashid Magomedov -330* vs Rodrigo Damm
Pending 5/31/14 9:00pm UFC Fighting 2601 Elias Silverio -475* vs Ernest Chavez


$50.00 $87.50 Pending 5/31/14 8:30pm UFC Fighting 2701 Gasan Umalatov +175* vs Paulo Thiago


$30.00 $82.50 Pending 5/31/14 8:00pm UFC Fighting 2801 Mark Eddiva +275* vs Kevin Souza


$30.00 $78.00 Pending 5/31/14 7:00pm UFC Fighting 3002 Wagner Silva +260* vs Ricardo Abreu


$160.00 $100.00 Pending 5/31/14 7:30pm UFC Fighting 2901 Marcos Rogerio de Lima -160* vs Richardson Moreira


5/31/14 4:34pm $250.00 $155.80 Pending 2 Team Parlay
Pending 5/31/14 9:00pm UFC Fighting 2601 Elias Silverio -460* vs Ernest Chavez
Win 5/31/14 6:30pm UFC Fighting 3102 Pedro Munhoz -300* vs Matt Hobar


5/31/14 4:32pm $100.00 $162.12 Pending 4 Team Parlay
Win 5/31/14 4:30pm UFC Fighting 1002 Gegard Mousasi -265* vs Mark Munoz
Pending 5/31/14 11:59pm UFC Fighting 2001 Stipe Miocic -580* vs Fabio Maldonado
Pending 5/31/14 9:00pm UFC Fighting 2601 Elias Silverio -460* vs Ernest Chavez
Win 5/31/14 6:30pm UFC Fighting 3102 Pedro Munhoz -300* vs Matt Hobar


5/31/14 3:13pm $75.00 $119.63 Pending 4 Team Parlay
Win 5/31/14 4:30pm UFC Fighting 1002 Gegard Mousasi -275* vs Mark Munoz
Pending 5/31/14 11:59pm UFC Fighting 2001 Stipe Miocic -580* vs Fabio Maldonado
Pending 5/31/14 9:00pm UFC Fighting 2601 Elias Silverio -460* vs Ernest Chavez
Win 5/31/14 6:30pm UFC Fighting 3102 Pedro Munhoz -300* vs Matt Hobar


5/30/14 1:28am $50.00 $127.71 Pending 5 Team Parlay
Win 5/31/14 12:00pm UFC Fighting 1602 Iuri Alcantara -370* vs Vaughan Lee
Pending 5/31/14 10:30pm UFC Fighting 2001 Stipe Miocic -500* vs Fabio Maldonado
Pending 5/31/14 8:30pm UFC Fighting 2401 Rony Jason -270* vs Robbie Peralta
Pending 5/31/14 7:30pm UFC Fighting 2601 Elias Silverio -450* vs Ernest Chavez
Win 5/31/14 5:00pm UFC Fighting 3102 Pedro Munhoz -255* vs Matt Hobar