UFC 173: Barao vs. Dillashaw (May 24, 2014)

[Ron_Paul_2012]

Any one who has Hendo or Dillashaw speak up now.

[MD]

Me too & me too. Do you have Dillashaw or Hendo MD?

Dillashaw, yes. I'd never bet Hendo though, probably still value in Cormier.

[JIBBBY]

Chiesa may be the best gimmick fighter in MMA. Good from around three positions, but no one can stop him from getting there.

He's got Chael Sonnen in him with a side of Jake Shields for sure... Still very suspect standing though but improving...

[Jim_Gunn]

Chiesa ML and Chiesa by decision cashed nicely for me.

[Wilbo86]

Krause by decision and goes distance next. Worried Varner can get TD's at will.

Same bets and exactly the same worries. I think Krause's solid and aactive jab should be able to hinder them to at least some degree.

[Wilbo86]

Any one who has Hendo or Dillashaw speak up now.

Small on Dillashaw ITD

[Ron_Paul_2012]

Dillashaw, yes. I'd never bet Hendo though, probably still value in Cormier.

I don't have any plays on the Barao fight. What about Cormier TKO? Dan's chin is damaged goods & Cormier at 205 should have excellent power. If he hit's Dan with the same shot he gave Big Foot it's light's out! I might just have to lay a few units on TJ.

[MD]

I don't have any plays on the Barao fight. What about Cormier TKO? Dan's chin is damaged goods & Cormier at 205 should have excellent power. If he hit's Dan with the same shot he gave Big Foot it's light's out! I might just have to lay a few units on TJ.

I personally think that TJ is the best fighter Barao has ever fought, and his toughest test stylistically to date. Barao UD in the +300 range, goes distance, and Dillashaw are my plays for that fight. Still expecting Barao to win, though.

As far as Cormier goes, o2.5, goes distance, and Cormier by decision are my plays there. I can already feel Dan's chin cracking.

[Ron_Paul_2012]

BetDSI +765 Dillashaw!

[fitguy67]

as posted earlier taking a flyer on the last two dogs of the evening (Hendo +595, Dilla +676), hoping that lightning strikes at least once on the last two way-overpriced (either SU or parlayed) fights...

third-last fight's a different story: IMO Lawler worth the -177 price-tag>>>-1.77x/1x

[TheCalculator]

Value is on Krause. Public sleeping on him because he's not well known IMO. This is a PK and quite possibly Krause should be the favorite.

[Ron_Paul_2012]

Value is on Krause. Public sleeping on him because he's not well known IMO. This is a PK and quite possibly Krause should be the favorite.

I have a tiny play on Krause as well. GL!

[MD]

Value is on Krause. Public sleeping on him because he's not well known IMO. This is a PK and quite possibly Krause should be the favorite.

I hate betting on this fight. Either fighter could win in pretty much any way, and Krause's technical striking edge could mean nothing if Varner can close the distance on him and swing bombs between TD attempts. Or Krause could easily out-box and stuff Varner, then choke him out as soon as they touch the mat.

Who the f-ck knows?

[fitguy67]

Value is on Krause. Public sleeping on him because he's not well known IMO. This is a PK and quite possibly Krause should be the favorite.

just locked in Krause (just a half-unit splash to win a unit) at +201 at pinny just before glove-tap

[MD]

I tweeted this just before the fight:

"Expecting a lot of variance, win or lose, though; these guys are built for wacky results."



F-cking Varner, man.

[Dwil125]

Whoa Did varner just tear his acl or something

[Bumdeal]

Krause is one dumb ************.

[Bumdeal]

Varner cant even stand.

[THE_LOCKSMITH]

crazy!

[Tommy Blingshyne]

unfortunate ending cause varner was still in that fight even w/ a broken ankle

[brooks85]

man that sucks, varner was throwing heat even with his broken ankle

[Grabaka]

Any one who has Hendo or Dillashaw speak up now.

Both!

[fitguy67]

thanks for that quick unit, Calculator...

all sorts of "nobody REALLY has any idea who should REALLY be favored" fights go off with one guy truth-be-told almost arbitrarily declared a
-(big number pulled out of the air) favorite

but with an actual h2h record being extremely rare and even common opponents very often similarly non-existent...
taking a "low-cost splash to steal a unit" is generally +ev in such "info-vacuum" situations

[mmaCAPPER]

Hey guys, ive been browsing these forums for a few months and only just decided to register...been good with MMA capping lately, and look for value. so far, i like a parlay on cormier/barao/lawler (yes lawler bet does seem a little risky but i am confident) for -113 I like james krause vs varner - reason is because varner is very inconsistent and his cardio has not been there at all in alot of his fights since coming back. his last fight was due to damage done but cardio played a huge factor because he started to get real sloppy. James Krause IMO should even have a striking advantage here but its a slight lean and for +160? NO WAY you should not bet here. Michael Chiesa at -125 vs a gasser with power, Chiesa should have the striking and grappling advantage and superior workrate/cardio. I think he at least wins 2 out of 3 rounds or even sink in a rear naked choked at some point when trinaldo gasses. other fights...not too sure yet, i will get back to you on this.

its a shame about varner showed alot of heart, at least 2 of my predictions are on. chiesa had me worried when he got body blowed and almost looked out for a second and krause with that freebie after varner ankle gave out...even before his ankle went out he looked tenative.

i got a crazy parlay going for 1 unit

1.	24-May-14	Mixed Martial Arts/UFC	(Money Line)	T.J. Dillashaw vs Renan Barao for Fight (-950)	Pending
2.	24-May-14	Mixed Martial Arts/UFC	(Money Line)	Dan Henderson vs Daniel Cormier for Fight (-792)	Pending
3.	24-May-14	Mixed Martial Arts/UFC	(Money Line)	Jake Ellenberger vs Robbie Lawler for Fight (-185)	Pending
4.	24-May-14	Mixed Martial Arts/UFC	(Total Rounds)	Francisco Rivera/Takeya Mizugaki (O 2.5) for Fight (-203)	Pending
5.	24-May-14	Mixed Martial Arts/UFC	(Money Line)	James Krause vs Jamie Varner for Fight (+159)	Pending
6.	Win 24-May	Mixed Martial Arts/UFC	(Money Line)	Francisco Trinaldo vs Michael Chiesa for Fight (-139)	0 - 3
7.	Win 24-May	Mixed Martial Arts/UFC	(Money Line)	Katsunori Kikuno vs Tony Ferguson for Fight (-334)	0 - 1
8.	Win 24-May	Mixed Martial Arts/UFC	(Money Line)	Chico Camus vs Chris Holdsworth for Fight (-379)	0 - 3

[Bumdeal]

Most likely on Hendo and Dillashaw as well. Anything can happen.

[Beelzebubzy]

dr stepped on vsrners foot

[Bumdeal]

Rivera ITD

[Beelzebubzy]

on cisco ko

[MD]

On Rivera +310, Mizugaki -150.

Not a purposeful arb, just think both lines are off.

[Bumdeal]

On Rivera +310, Mizugaki -150.

Not a purposeful arb, just think both lines are off.

closing a parlay?

[mmaCAPPER]

you are guys are crazy mizugaki is ultra durable. But its the only finish i see coming for rivera otherwise he LOSSES. hopefully the O2.5 cashes for my parlay

[nickcruz60]

Just put $ on Lawler. Good luck to everyone!

[MD]

closing a parlay?

No, on both straight. Bigger on Mizu.

[MD]

Lol. I really like betting on MMA at the moment; the variance is hilarious. I'd probably have put the odds of Mizugaki dropping and almost finishing Rivera while he's fresh at +1200.

[beermankirk]

<small>Takeya Mizugaki vs. Francisco Rivera - Live in Play wagering between every round - Internet Only</small>
Sat 5/24		1301 Takeya Mizugaki		<input id="radiox" value="M1_3" name="radiox" type="radio">-240
10:30PM		1302 Francisco Rivera		<input id="radiox" value="M2_3" name="radiox" type="radio">+180