UFC 172: Jones vs. Teixeira (april 26, 2014)

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  • THE_LOCKSMITH
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 08-25-08
    • 7237

    #1
    UFC 172: Jones vs. Teixeira (april 26, 2014)


    Pay-per-view, 10 p.m. ET
    Jon Jones vs. Glover Teixeira
    Phil Davis vs. Anthony Johnson
    Tim Boetsch vs. Luke Rockhold
    Bobby Green vs. Jim Miller
    Andre Fili vs. Max Holloway

    FOX Sports 1, 8 p.m. ET
    Joseph Benavidez vs. Timothy Elliott
    Takanori Gomi vs. Isaac Vallie-Flagg
    Bethe Correia vs. Jessamyn Duke
    Joe Ellenberger vs. Yancy Medeiros

    UFC Fight Pass, 7 p.m. ET

    Charlie Brenneman vs. Danny Castillo
    Chris Beal vs. Patrick Williams



  • Nick Nacho
    SBR High Roller
    • 04-14-14
    • 144

    #2
    There are some EASY locks here for a parlay. Not gonna make you a lot of money here, but this is what I got;

    Jones vs Texiera
    Texiera's only chance for a win is KO. Everyone has a punchers chance but with Jones's reach that is unlikely to happen and Jones is too smart to find on the inside against glover.
    I got Jones via UD 50-45

    Anthony Johnson Vs Phil Davis
    Again only a punchers chance for Johnson and that is VERY unlikely to happen considering Davis has never been finished and has a MUCH higher fighter IQ than Johnson. Davis will use his range and takedowns when necessary to outpoint him the whole fight
    Davis by easy UD 30-27

    Luke Rockhold vs Tim Boetsch
    After an embarrassing KO loss to Vitor Belfort, Rockhold will be looking to make a statement in this fight. Also, as highly regarded prospect from Strikeforce, the UFC is looking to give Rockhold a win by tossing him a fighter who is a gatekeeper at best. Boetsch has pulled off upsets in the past but against an undersized Lombard and an overated Okami. No upset will happen in this fight as I see Rockhold being the better fighter everywhere.

    Rockhold by tko/or UD

    Joseph Benavidez vs. Timothy Elliott
    Benavidez is the number 2 flyweight in the world.. If not for that fluke KO against mighty mouse he could easily be the flyweight champ. So unless there is another fluke.. No way Benavidez losses this fight.

    Benavidez by UD
    Comment
    • Vaughany
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 03-07-10
      • 45563

      #3
      Kalikas?!
      Comment
      • Beelzebubzy
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 06-06-11
        • 6995

        #4
        Where's the parlay then?
        Comment
        • latarianmilton
          SBR Sharp
          • 12-23-13
          • 342

          #5
          i think rumble has a good shot at winning, but i expected him to be around +220
          Comment
          • Nick Nacho
            SBR High Roller
            • 04-14-14
            • 144

            #6
            Originally posted by Beelzebubzy
            Where's the parlay then?
            parlay all 4
            Comment
            • Nick Nacho
              SBR High Roller
              • 04-14-14
              • 144

              #7
              Rumble won't win.... Davis has far superior wrestler, and a much much higher fighter iq. Meaninng he is not dumb enough to caught by a ko punch from rumble
              Comment
              • mmaed
                SBR MVP
                • 11-25-11
                • 1327

                #8
                I could see jones tkoing glover in the later rounds. He is a big muscle bound guy so i expect him to tire. I imagine jones will be attemptingto use his reach and throwing alot of kicks to the body. I would take into consideration that bader almost knocked him out.

                i would add that phil has a decent shot at submitting rumble.

                Not touching luke rockhold. I expect him to in but that line is not worth it. Especially with the power tim has.

                i like benavidez but im a little hesitant to bet him. Elliot seems to be a super tough guy with decent takedown defense and a pretty high volume striker. Benavidez is better than him in every single area but i could see tim making this fight somewhat close or even winning a bs decision becaue he pushed forward. Kind of like ehat clay guida does. Add in diego sanchez. Most likely joeb catches him with something big and gets him to the ground and submits him or manages to win a decision.

                Good luck. If i were you i would probably leave out rockhold just because he doesnt really bring any value. Maybe rockhold by decision would be a good straight bet for you. He doesnt temd to submit guys amd tims chin is very solid. At even money its a solid bet considering what his odds are straight.
                Comment
                • Nick Nacho
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 04-14-14
                  • 144

                  #9
                  But on a parlay it doesn't hurt to put Rockhold in there.. he's a lock
                  Comment
                  • Vaughany
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 03-07-10
                    • 45563

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Nick Nacho
                    But on a parlay it doesn't hurt to put Rockhold in there.. he's a lock
                    Need more chalk. Not bisping by sub and not browne by sub as well brah
                    Comment
                    • Nick Nacho
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 04-14-14
                      • 144

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Vaughany
                      Need more chalk. Not bisping by sub and not browne by sub as well brah

                      I don't know what you mean brah.... Yes, it would be a cold day in hell if Bisping and Browne win by sub... wont happen
                      Comment
                      • Nick Nacho
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 04-14-14
                        • 144

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Vaughany
                        Need more chalk. Not bisping by sub and not browne by sub as well brah
                        If you throw down $100 on a 3 way parlay and leave Rockhold out.. you win $118. If you put Rockhold in on a 4 way you win $143. So, why not take the extra $25??
                        Comment
                        • Vaughany
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 03-07-10
                          • 45563

                          #13
                          I agree son, throw them all in together, free cheeseburgerz
                          Comment
                          • Rubber Guard
                            SBR MVP
                            • 06-22-11
                            • 1550

                            #14
                            I;m betting Tex.
                            Comment
                            • Nick Nacho
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 04-14-14
                              • 144

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Rubber Guard
                              I;m betting Tex.

                              How is Tex going to win?
                              Comment
                              • Rubber Guard
                                SBR MVP
                                • 06-22-11
                                • 1550

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Nick Nacho
                                How is Tex going to win?
                                Stuff all the takedowns with his very good wrestling then knock out Jon Jones with his fist.
                                Comment
                                • Educ8d Degener8
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-12-10
                                  • 3177

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Nick Nacho
                                  If you throw down $100 on a 3 way parlay and leave Rockhold out.. you win $118. If you put Rockhold in on a 4 way you win $143. So, why not take the extra $25??
                                  One might suggest that Rockhold shouldn't be -800 against a seasoned gatekeeper like Boetsch... Oh nvm...
                                  Comment
                                  • Beelzebubzy
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 06-06-11
                                    • 6995

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Nick Nacho
                                    How is Tex going to win?
                                    Broken toe
                                    Comment
                                    • Nick Nacho
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 04-14-14
                                      • 144

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Rubber Guard
                                      Stuff all the takedowns with his very good wrestling then knock out Jon Jones with his fist.

                                      Will never happen bro. Jones will use his reach and keep his distance.. He knows better then to fight on the inside and get into a slug fest with TEX. Jones wins any day of the week
                                      Comment
                                      • Beelzebubzy
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 06-06-11
                                        • 6995

                                        #20
                                        Show the ticket Nacho Cheese
                                        Comment
                                        • Nick Nacho
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 04-14-14
                                          • 144

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Beelzebubzy
                                          Broken toe

                                          LOL. yea, sun even shines on a dogs ass once in a while
                                          Comment
                                          • THE_LOCKSMITH
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 08-25-08
                                            • 7237

                                            #22
                                            Next!
                                            Comment
                                            • Skel
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 03-04-14
                                              • 1284

                                              #23


                                              Bobby Green has been forced to withdraw from his UFC 172 confrontation with Jim Miller, Sherdog.com on Saturday confirmed with a source close to the bout.

                                              Miller will instead collide with Yancy Medeiros at the April 26 event, according to the source. Medeiros was initially supposed to face Joe Ellenberger, and it is unknown if “Excalibur” will still compete on the card. The UFC has not yet made an announcement on the expected change.
                                              Shit, I was looking forward to betting that fight.
                                              Comment
                                              • agendaman
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 12-01-11
                                                • 3732

                                                #24
                                                value value-all i hear-where is the value in having the wrong side cashiers window is all that counts
                                                Comment
                                                • Pabst
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 05-06-13
                                                  • 199

                                                  #25
                                                  As of now, I only have

                                                  1,5u on Elliott/Benavidez goes 3 round distance -150*<small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Fight won't go 3 round distance

                                                  Elliot is a tough mofo and I don't see Benavidez finishing him

                                                  Im still waiting to read you guys bets, I might tail some of the great capper of this forum..
                                                  Comment
                                                  • yisman
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 09-01-08
                                                    • 75682

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Skel
                                                    http://www.sherdog.com/news/news/Sou...-UFC-172-66835



                                                    Shit, I was looking forward to betting that fight.


                                                    changes officially announced:

                                                    Medeiros will fight Miller.

                                                    Rocha will face Ellenberger
                                                    [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                                    [/quote]

                                                    [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Skel
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 03-04-14
                                                      • 1284

                                                      #27
                                                      Boetsch interview: http://www.sherdog.com/news/news/Tim...-UFC-172-66873

                                                      On whether he can bully Rockhold: “Absolutely. I feel like I can bully anybody in the middleweight division, and that’s part of the game plan. But I think Luke’s going to come into this one with a little bit different game plan than what everybody’s expecting. I really think he’s working hard on his wrestling and I think he understands that I have the ability to stop this fight with my punching power. I really expect him to try to put me on my back and keep me there.”
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Unwritten Law
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 10-31-13
                                                        • 2532

                                                        #28
                                                        I got Glover this one.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Becel
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 12-14-08
                                                          • 139

                                                          #29
                                                          Everything Nick said. These are easy fights. The only thing is that no way Glover lasts 5 rounds, Jones out wrestles him and gets the sub at some point.

                                                          Outside chance of an upset is Elliot, but that's about it though.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Unwritten Law
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 10-31-13
                                                            • 2532

                                                            #30
                                                            Glover is a beast and will knock Jones' head off
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Vaughany
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 03-07-10
                                                              • 45563

                                                              #31
                                                              "Most stacked card ever"... Really Dana, really?

                                                              Comment
                                                              • Vaughany
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 03-07-10
                                                                • 45563

                                                                #32
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Dwil125
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 11-08-12
                                                                  • 2048

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by Vaughany
                                                                  "Most stacked card ever"... Really Dana, really?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • PaperTrail07
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 08-29-08
                                                                    • 20423

                                                                    #34
                                                                    I may put 2K on Phil Davis here
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • PaperTrail07
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 08-29-08
                                                                      • 20423

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Jones by TKO/Stoppage...1st or second round.. .Rockhold by decision...Davis by Decision...simple as it gets really
                                                                      Comment
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