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  • Pabst
    SBR High Roller
    • 05-06-13
    • 199

    #1
    Warning, only locks here!
    Hi!

    I'm Pabst, huge mma fan for over 10 years now, been betting for about 11/2 year and I'm having quite a bit of success! Here, on this very thread, I will post every single LOCK there is in an event.

    UFN 39

    Not a very good betting card IMO. I only see one lock ;
    UFC Fighting 1101 Clay Guida/Tatsuya Kawajiri Over 2½ -275

    There is NO WAY this fight isnt going to a decision, tail me on that.

    5.5UNIT on Guida/Kawajiri Over 2 1/2
  • leetreaper
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 10-23-10
    • 34841

    #2
    -275
    Comment
    • Pabst
      SBR High Roller
      • 05-06-13
      • 199

      #3
      Originally posted by leetreaper
      -275
      Not that high.
      Comment
      • leetreaper
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 10-23-10
        • 34841

        #4
        Originally posted by Pabst
        Not that high.
        really? gl
        Comment
        • Pabst
          SBR High Roller
          • 05-06-13
          • 199

          #5
          Not a lock, just a good bet :

          Guida wins by 3 round decision +140

          1U to win 1.40U
          Comment
          • MD
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 01-31-12
            • 9728

            #6
            Why are you only risking 5u if there's no way the fight doesn't go to decision and it's a lock? I'd be risking more in this spot if I were you. Like 100u.
            Comment
            • Pabst
              SBR High Roller
              • 05-06-13
              • 199

              #7
              For me, 5U is big money. ;-)
              Comment
              • MD
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 01-31-12
                • 9728

                #8
                Don't need to know how much a unit is for someone to tell them if they're underbetting or not.
                Comment
                • JIBBBY
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 12-10-09
                  • 83693

                  #9
                  I think Clay Guida winning the fight is a solid lock or bet.. You guys are too hung up on going the distance or not bets.. Clay is a grinder and Kawajiri has that warrior spirit.. Chances are this fight should go to a decision if we are talking duration of fight.

                  I've been following MMA since UFC #1... Trained in Boxing and Jits... I'm a sports writer today at age 46 and I live and breath MMA still.. Even with all that said - I still can't lock down bets in this sport.. It's a tough sport to bet on..

                  Clay Guida winning the fight period is the best bet on this card in my mind for value!!!... Guida is hard to finish, relentless with his pressure, very solid with his wrestling and take downs, very hard to submit, and lastly and most importantly he is a cardio machine.. In my mind that is all gonna be too much for Kawajiri to handle as the fight goes on.. Guida is gonna wear him down and probably win by decision...

                  Kawajiri does have a striker and punchers chance though on a long shot.. One good shot and the fight changes as we have seen Guida rocked a few times in his UFC career and then sub'd shortly after.. Nothing is a lock...

                  Still love Guida in this fight.. Almost a must win for him too...
                  Last edited by JIBBBY; 04-09-14, 09:12 PM.
                  Comment
                  • Dwil125
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-08-12
                    • 2048

                    #10
                    If I tail your locks and they lose can I get a refund?
                    Comment
                    • Pabst
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 05-06-13
                      • 199

                      #11
                      No.
                      Comment
                      • Dwil125
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-08-12
                        • 2048

                        #12
                        Oh okay just making sure, I thought you wouldn't mind since they are locks anyway.
                        Comment
                        • agendaman
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-01-11
                          • 3727

                          #13
                          is this a lock of the millenium-need to know
                          Comment
                          • Vaughany
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 03-07-10
                            • 45563

                            #14
                            Originally posted by agendaman
                            is this a lock of the millenium-need to know
                            Travis Browne not by Submission @ -69959595 is lock of the millennium cuz
                            Comment
                            • Beelzebubzy
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 06-06-11
                              • 6995

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Vaughany
                              Travis Browne not by Submission @ -69959595 is lock of the millennium cuz
                              Parlayed it with not rumble by sub at -4000000 and Undertaker wins at WM -170000000

                              I would have hit it again but its not chalky enough for me
                              Comment
                              • Ron_Paul_2012
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-31-13
                                • 3953

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Pabst
                                Hi!

                                I'm Pabst, huge mma fan for over 10 years now, been betting for about 11/2 year and I'm having quite a bit of success! Here, on this very thread, I will post every single LOCK there is in an event.

                                UFN 39

                                Not a very good betting card IMO. I only see one lock ;
                                UFC Fighting 1101 Clay Guida/Tatsuya Kawajiri Over 2½ -275

                                There is NO WAY this fight isnt going to a decision, tail me on that.

                                5.5UNIT on Guida/Kawajiri Over 2 1/2
                                Just curious. Does your diet consist of a daily regimen of Ramen noodles?
                                Comment
                                • Pabst
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 05-06-13
                                  • 199

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Ron_Paul_2012
                                  Just curious. Does your diet consist of a daily regimen of Ramen noodles?
                                  I ain't a degen either
                                  Comment
                                  • Pabst
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 05-06-13
                                    • 199

                                    #18
                                    BET DARIUSH NOW! HE'S FIGHTING IN 20 MINS AND HES A LOCK (fail)
                                    Last edited by Pabst; 04-11-14, 02:02 PM.
                                    Comment
                                    • Beelzebubzy
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 06-06-11
                                      • 6995

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Pabst
                                      Alright, lets do money here!
                                      You edited the post?

                                      Is that cause you picked Daruish and didnt want anyone to know?

                                      It took you two picks before you became the standard "Im the best capper alive, then I failed" capper
                                      Comment
                                      • Skel
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 03-04-14
                                        • 1284

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Pabst
                                        Alright, lets do money here!
                                        Don't edit your posts like that dude. I remember exactly what it said.
                                        Comment
                                        • Pabst
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 05-06-13
                                          • 199

                                          #21
                                          I did picked Dariush, and I will stop this thread because it failed, but Guida is going 3rounds I can guarantee it and put my left nut on the line.
                                          Originally posted by Beelzebubzy
                                          You edited the post?

                                          Is that cause you picked Daruish and didnt want anyone to know?

                                          It took you two picks before you became the standard "Im the best capper alive, then I failed" capper
                                          Comment
                                          • NunyaBidness
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 07-26-09
                                            • 9345

                                            #22
                                            Yeah, what the penetrate. I saw that post too. Something about "Dariush is fighting in 20 minutes, he's a lock, bet him now".

                                            0-1 on Locks, you oyster.
                                            Comment
                                            • Pabst
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 05-06-13
                                              • 199

                                              #23
                                              Editing the post was kind of a joke I'm aware a lot of people saw it. I locked Dariush and it failed
                                              Comment
                                              • Beelzebubzy
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 06-06-11
                                                • 6995

                                                #24
                                                Give me, Nunya, and Skel two points each and we will let you stay without being bashed for 10 minutes
                                                Comment
                                                • Thor4140
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 02-09-08
                                                  • 22296

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by Pabst
                                                  Editing the post was kind of a joke I'm aware a lot of people saw it. I locked Dariush and it failed
                                                  Yeah okay whatever u say. Not even sure Ron Paul has been caught doing that.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Pabst
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 05-06-13
                                                    • 199

                                                    #26
                                                    My apology gift is coming and is called O2 1/2 ON GUIDA MATCH
                                                    Comment
                                                    • NunyaBidness
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 07-26-09
                                                      • 9345

                                                      #27
                                                      You're on soft ban.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Pabst
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 05-06-13
                                                        • 199

                                                        #28
                                                        I edited it back to its original state, stop crying now
                                                        Comment
                                                        • MD
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 01-31-12
                                                          • 9728

                                                          #29
                                                          You will sweat for your money.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Beelzebubzy
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 06-06-11
                                                            • 6995

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Pabst
                                                            I edited it back to its original state, stop crying now
                                                            Pay the fine.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Pabst
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 05-06-13
                                                              • 199

                                                              #31
                                                              1st round 10-9 Guida
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Pabst
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 05-06-13
                                                                • 199

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by MD
                                                                You will sweat for your money.
                                                                ahahah maybe
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Pabst
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 05-06-13
                                                                  • 199

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Confident Guida will grind this to a UD
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • MD
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 01-31-12
                                                                    • 9728

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by Pabst
                                                                    ahahah maybe
                                                                    Definitely. First round was mind-blowing, been predictable ever since though. F-cking Guida. He's like featherweight Jake Shields, always know what you're getting. He's terrible to watch (generally), but exactly the kind of guy I like to bet on.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Pabst
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 05-06-13
                                                                      • 199

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Guida/Kawajiri O 2 1/2 LOCK cash!

                                                                      LOCK reccord : 1-1
                                                                      Comment
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