UFC on FOX 11: Werdum vs. Browne (April 19, 2014)

[THE_LOCKSMITH]

FOX, 8 p.m. ET
Travis Browne vs. Fabricio Werdum
Liz Carmouche vs. Miesha Tate
Edson Barboza vs. Donald Cerrone
Yoel Romero vs. Brad Tavares

FOX Sports 1, 5 p.m. ET
Rafael dos Anjos vs. Khabib Nurmagomedov
Thiago Alves vs. Seth Baczynski
Pat Healy vs. Jorge Masvidal
Mike Brown vs. Estevan Payan
Caio Magalhaes vs. Josh Samman
Jordan Mein vs. Hernani Perpetuo

UFC Fight Pass, 3:30 p.m. ET
Mirsad Bektic vs. Chas Skelly
Derrick Lewis vs. Jack May

[Bumdeal]

Tavares sure to be a dog to Romero. I like that.

Nurmy is going to handle dos Anjos.

note: Alex White has replaced Mike Brown vs Payan.

I wonder how focused Samman can be on a training camp with what happened last year, yikes.

Mein vs Perpetuo is going to be a great fight, excited for that one.

[Wilbo86]

Like this card a lot, muchos interesantes matchups. As usual with fox cards a lot of volatile banger matchups, could be in for a rough ride.

Like edson if he's not too much of a favourite, and will play tavares if he's enough of a dog. Vote Nurm for president (of par-leighs)

[marzwoody]

Taveres, browne, Alves look like sexy picks

[JIBBBY]

I like your presentation threads on MMA events The Locksmith!!!... I see you're the man up in this forum to keep the upcoming MMA events announced..

I will comment on the Verdum vs Browne fight -

Question is can Werdum take or get Travis Browne to the canvass to work his Jits? If the fight remains standing I highly doubt Werdum is going to get the better of Browne in the striking exchanges..

With that being said chances are the fight will remain standing and Travis Browne will land the KO at some point.. Werdum is a big man though, so anything is possible with these HW bouts.. Werdum is the best submission expert in the HW UFC division today but Travis Browne on the flip side has decent take down defense.. Last time I checked Werdum's doubles and or trip TD's are very average to say the least... I fully expect Travis Browne to hold the Cardio edge as the fight goes on...

This is gonna be a very difficult fight for Werdum to win... My money will be on Travis Browne anyways...

[latarianmilton]

travis to the bank indeed

[goodfellas433]

Sucks to be against the majority again.
Werdum will eventually get Browne down and submit him. The reign of hellbows will end in this fight. I don't see werdum taking the risk against the cage after watching the Barnett fight.
I think we have the opportunity to see a string of upsets coming up. Kawajiri, Nog, and werdum.

[Skel]

Josh Samman injured and fight cancelled.

[Dwil125]

Josh Samman injured and fight cancelled.

Wow that Josh Samman guy can't catch a break.

[Bumdeal]

Sucks to be against the majority again.
Werdum will eventually get Browne down and submit him. The reign of hellbows will end in this fight. I don't see werdum taking the risk against the cage after watching the Barnett fight.
I think we have the opportunity to see a string of upsets coming up. Kawajiri, Nog, and werdum.

How does Werdum get the athletic Browne down while in the center of the cage?

[Vaughany]

How does Werdum get the athletic Browne down while in the center of the cage?

Tickles his tummy

[goodfellas433]

I can picture Browne wanting to land a power shot and rushing in, gets tied up and goes down with one of the leg trips, or just allowing werdum to grab him and fall back to guard. I know its possible for Browne to land on werdum but if it stays standing long enough he will get frustrated.
I picture Browne thinking that he can pound werdum out on the ground if need be, and if he gets too confident on the ground with werdum he will have a bad night.
Maybe I'm just not sold on the striking prowess of Browne as much as everyone else, but I think Werdum is being underestimated here.

[Dwil125]

I can picture Browne wanting to land a power shot and rushing in, gets tied up and goes down with one of the leg trips, or just allowing werdum to grab him and fall back to guard. I know its possible for Browne to land on werdum but if it stays standing long enough he will get frustrated.
I picture Browne thinking that he can pound werdum out on the ground if need be, and if he gets too confident on the ground with werdum he will have a bad night.
Maybe I'm just not sold on the striking prowess of Browne as much as everyone else, but I think Werdum is being underestimated here.

He's all the way up to +170 now, what do you think about the o/u?

[goodfellas433]

I like over and under bets when you have a strong reason to cap the fight to go in one of those directions....two guys fighting who have never been finished,or a guy fighting who has finished every opponent by submission in round one against a guy who has bad takedown defense,stuff like that. Most people feel that werdum is going to sleep if he can't get the takedown....but is that quick? Is that later if werdum gases? I don't have a strong enough lean to play over/under here. I envision this fight to play out similar to werdum vs fedor but we shall see...

[Dwil125]

Line just completely flipped from ov 2.5 being +155 to being -160 so I was just wondering. I really don't know about this fight, I'm thinking Werdum. I kinda suck at hw fights though.

[JIBBBY]

I can picture Browne wanting to land a power shot and rushing in, gets tied up and goes down with one of the leg trips, or just allowing werdum to grab him and fall back to guard. I know its possible for Browne to land on werdum but if it stays standing long enough he will get frustrated.
I picture Browne thinking that he can pound werdum out on the ground if need be.

Travis Browne is in good shape these days and he's not gonna be easy to keep down even for Werdum if the fight ever goes to the ground.. I remember Travis Browne with pretty good TD defense and then with the athletic ability to get the fight back up and standing. I'm sure he's gonna be trained up for it anyways..

Oh and don't think Travis Browne is gonna fall for the FEDOR mistake either - he's hurt and dive into the triangle sub.. Travis Browne is seasoned now and should dominate Werdum..

[latarianmilton]

Travis Browne is in good shape these days and he's not gonna be easy to keep down even for Werdum if the fight ever goes to the ground.. I remember Travis Browne with pretty good TD defense and then with the athletic ability to get the fight back up and standing. I'm sure he's gonna be trained up for it anyways..

Oh and don't think Travis Browne is gonna fall for the FEDOR mistake either - he's hurt and dive into the triangle sub.. Travis Browne is seasoned now and should dominate Werdum..

exactly what i was thinking, travis is the real deal and im sure he takes werdum and has a good shot vs cain too.
travis is a little too high for my taste but i'll still take him

[JIBBBY]

exactly what i was thinking, travis is the real deal and im sure he takes werdum and has a good shot vs cain too.
travis is a little too high for my taste but i'll still take him

Yep, Travis right now I think is at another level then Werdum.. I really like Travis Browne in this one.... I don't think Werdum gets out of the 1st round actually..

[Vaughany]

Nice one sportbet, Werdum/Browne under 2.5 @ -185, and doesnt start round 3 @ +110!

[PunisherIND]

Nice one sportbet, Werdum/Browne under 2.5 @ -185, and doesnt start round 3 @ +110!

heh yea, over 2.5 +155 with won't start round 4 -150 gives you a risk free middle.

[Lick496]

couple units on fight doesnt start round 5 at -175

[Nick Nacho]

Travis Browne vs. Fabricio Werdum
Browne will keep this fight standing and win via tko or decision. Werdum will put in a good effort on the feet on it won't be good enough and I don't see Werdum getting any takedowns.

Liz Carmouche vs. Miesha Tate
Tate decision

Rafael dos Anjos vs. Khabib Nurmagomedov
Nurmagomedov should be a lock in this one

Thiago Alves vs. Seth Baczynski
Alves by tko

[JIBBBY]

^^^ Good break down Nick Nacho... I agree with those picks...

The tricky one is Cowboy Donald Cerrone vs Edson Barboza as I think Cowboy is more experienced and is technically better in every area but Edson Barboza is no joke.. Only lost 1 fight and brings that intangible athletic factor..

I think Cowboy might get dropped in this one.. He really has been sticking his chin out in recent fights and has even gotten a bit wobbled in a few... I think this one stays standing and It's gonna get crazy... Jamie Varner was the only one to touch Barboza so far..... Can Donald tap that chin too in a rebound fight for Edson...... IDK????

This fight I'm most excited to see anyways..

http://www.ufc.com/event/FOX11

[Nick Nacho]

Yep that is a tricky one. That's why I wouldnt make a play on it

[Lick496]

if either fighter is a significant underdog in that fight, thats my play

[Thor4140]

Lots of new guys around lately. Where the fuk they all coming from or they just old guys with new names?

[Nick Nacho]

Well, I'm a new guy to this site but I've been picking UFC for the last 3 years. I'm about 60%. No stats to prove this as I've only done it for personal use

[Wilbo86]

Well, I'm a new guy to this site but I've been picking UFC for the last 3 years. I'm about 60%. No stats to prove this as I've only done it for personal use

Personal use is the most important reason to collect stats on performance.

[Nick Nacho]

Personal use is the most important reason to collect stats on performance.

Well, sorry I never did that. I guess I was never concerned about it. I only consider this a hobby, not a business

[Vaughany]

Lots of new guys around lately. Where the fuk they all coming from or they just old guys with new names?

Probably 50/50 split

[Beelzebubzy]

When is Kalikas going to release teh odds?

[Vaughany]

When is Kalikas going to release teh odds?

soon as Gaberz has sent him them

[PaperTrail07]

Tate is just smoking hot god damn

[PaperTrail07]

"The Eagle" will rise to the top soon and take over the division....Will wreck dos Anjos... All in type shit

[PaperTrail07]

Tate should toss Carmouch around too too wiley for her, Cowboys and Bar =Best fight on the card