What is the better line to bet?

[eidolon]

Rousey vs McMann at with Rousey at -450

or EGARD MOUSASI vrs LYOTO MACHIDA with Machida at -280?

I feel both these lines are great for both favorites.

Just watched McMann's last two fights against decent fighters, wasn't impressed to the point to give her a chance at 4-1. Rousey is just too big and strong compared to these other fighters; McMann has great wrestling technique, but strength with Judo with prevail here. I'm very surprised the line dropped from -700 to -450 though, that is a huge drop; such a huge drop that it makes me wary of what is going on: is Rousey hurt in some way?


For the Machida fight, I know Mousasi is a good fighter with good technique, but Machida is a great fighter that was fighting bigger guys the last 6 years and holding his own most of the time. I would rank Machida around 3rd best at 185 weigh-ins. So getting him at -280 I believe is a steal.

Thoughts or concerns anyone?

[MD]

What percentage of the time do you think Rousey wins, and what percentage of the time do you think Machida wins?

Should be able to get you a definitive answer if you can tell me that.

[eidolon]

Rousey wins 14/15 times

Machida wins 9/10 times

[Ron_Paul_2012]

Rousey wins 14/15 times

Machida wins 9/10 times

I would go very small on Rousey. McMann is her toughest fight yet. McMann is an Olympic Silver Medalist. She has a clear path to victory via take downs, top control, & submission defense. McMann via Decision is the smart play hedged with Rousey via Submission.

[MD]

If you actually think those estimations are correct (they're not), then Rousey is the slightly better bet.

[kid_mikey_84]

Odds RonPaul and MD are closet phags...-500

[mirinquads]

Rousey wins 14/15 times

Machida wins 9/10 times

Machida wins 9/10 oh wow

[kid_mikey_84]

Machida wins 9/10 oh wow

I like Mousasi, but come on, he's sloppy as fukk. Looked crisp in half his fights, then in the other half he gets tired and can't finish. However, I expect him to lose a close fight here because he will get up for this opponent

[Beelzebubzy]

Parlay them for even better odds

[kid_mikey_84]

McMann is a better bet. Neither will win though.

[eidolon]

McMann is a better bet. Neither will win though.

I feel McMann is overhyped. She just got to the UFC. I think she is in for a big surprise

[ibetkellybro]

I feel McMann is overhyped. She just got to the UFC. I think she is in for a big surprise

bro the first 10 women came at the same time. All had zuffa contracts in Strikeforce and transferred over. Rousey fought in Feb and mcmann fought in april.

literally no difference in time.

[eidolon]

bro the first 10 women came at the same time. All had zuffa contracts in Strikeforce and transferred over. Rousey fought in Feb and mcmann fought in april.

literally no difference in time.

oh sh1t I'm an idiot

[latarianmilton]

if i were you i would bet both of the underdogs, if one of them hits you are bound to make a lot more.