UFC 95 Picks

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  • TheGovernor11
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 09-17-08
    • 583

    #1
    UFC 95 Picks
    All I'm going to say is that I'm glad this event's on Spike. I swear, after an awesome January, we have to wait until the middle of April for the UFC to get their shiiiit together.


    5* Diego Sanchez -250
    vs. Joe Stevenson

    5* Parlay
    -183
    ---Diego Sanchez -250 vs. Joe Stevenson
    ---Josh Koscheck -550 vs. Paulo Thiago

    3* Parlay +108

    ---Diego Sanchez -250 vs. Joe Stevenson
    ---Josh Koscheck -550 vs. Paulo Thiago
    ---Junor Dos Santos -290 vs. Stefan Struve

    2* Dan Hardy -120 vs. Rory Markham

    These last two plays I'm not counting towards my Individual MMA Record but will to my betting record because I'm betting both sides. The way I see it, if Marquardt wins (which is most likely) I win about a unit. If Gouveia pulls out the upset, I win about a half a unit.

    2* Parlay +102
    ---Diego Sanchez -250 vs. Joe Stevenson
    ---Josh Koscheck -550 vs. Paulo Thiago
    ---Nate Marquardt -325 vs. Wilson Gouveia

    1* Wilson Gouveia +265 vs. Nate Marquardt
  • THE_LOCKSMITH
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 08-25-08
    • 7237

    #2
    Yea this should be a night that most of the big favs win there fights. Don't know Brian Cobb myself but i think all 4 guys on sherdog picked him over Terry Etim, nad Cobb is paying +200. Might be the only Dog worth a play on the card.
    Comment
    • TheGovernor11
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 09-17-08
      • 583

      #3
      Haha wow we're thinking similar on this card. Brian Cobb was the one dog I was really liking and considering making a play on.
      Comment
      • Bread
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 03-16-08
        • 23726

        #4
        About to post my plays. All seem to agree on heavy favs for sure. GL!
        Comment
        • The HOFF
          SBR MVP
          • 07-02-08
          • 4847

          #5
          I really like Hardy to win. Cobb looks like a good bet too as I do not like Etim.
          Comment
          • vassman86
            SBR MVP
            • 03-11-08
            • 1042

            #6
            I think Stefan Stuve at +220 odds is showing some good value. Dos Santos' last fight at UFC 90 where he KO'd Werdum, he was an underdog of +500 and up. He caught Werdum square on the chin for an instant knockout. I've gotta do more research on Strufe before placing a bet. But my initial lean is that Dos Santos may be getting too much credit here.

            Other than that, I'm a big fan of Maia and I'm going to continue betting on him until he shows me why I should stop. This guy is so slick on the ground, and I'm guessing Sonnen is going to have to get comfortable fighting on the ground in this one.
            Comment
            • The HOFF
              SBR MVP
              • 07-02-08
              • 4847

              #7
              Stefan "Skyscraper" Struve (16-2-0) is like 6'8'' and has 75% of his wins by submission. You can catch a lot of his fights on YouTube including his last one. I'm staying away from this one.
              Comment
              • onemorebet
                SBR Rookie
                • 01-25-09
                • 41

                #8
                I think JR is a great parlay with Maia and koscheck. I saw Struve fight and he was mounted within the 1st 1:30 but just over-powered the guy. Jr is a lot stronger and has a great camp. Is it just me or does Jr training with shogun rua and the muscle mass he has put on seem suspicious? I would understand why you wouldn't take Jr with Struve's record though.
                Comment
                • UndisputedGblr
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 04-02-08
                  • 112

                  #9
                  Originally posted by THE_LOCKSMITH;15****2
                  Yea this should be a night that most of the big favs win there fights. Don't know Brian Cobb myself but i think all 4 guys on sherdog picked him over Terry Etim, nad Cobb is paying +200. Might be the only Dog worth a play on the card.
                  The guys on Sherdog also made it clear that they do not condone or encourage sports betting, unless you win.
                  Comment
                  • onemorebet
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 01-25-09
                    • 41

                    #10
                    Any thoughts on Hardy? Live stream on justin.tv

                    Comment
                    • UndisputedGblr
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 04-02-08
                      • 112

                      #11
                      I'm still steaming after Josh's KO!

                      Great way to **** up my afternoon...gg life.
                      Comment
                      • NickBaragona
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 01-29-09
                        • 555

                        #12
                        I work for Comcast and install cable..once I found out Koscheck had been knocked out, ruining all 3 of my bets for the night..I had to leave their house lol.
                        Comment
                        • THE_LOCKSMITH
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 08-25-08
                          • 7237

                          #13
                          Wow, that hurt. Kosceck ****ed over a lot of tickets tonight including mine. makes it all that worst knowing i layed -500 with the guy
                          Comment
                          • Average Joe
                            SBR Rookie
                            • 02-07-09
                            • 13

                            #14
                            Extremely impressed with Maia. That was one of the slickest subs I have seen. Stevenson seemed to have no game plan at all. He needs to get himself into a quality camp or at least needs a change of scenery in camps.
                            Comment
                            • TheGovernor11
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 09-17-08
                              • 583

                              #15
                              Final results

                              Sorry I didn't update this live like I normally do and for the poor showing. I was watching my buddy in a muay thai fight and couldn't get to a computer. Once again though, stupid parlays kill me. Maybe I need to swear off them again haha.


                              5* Diego Sanchez -250 vs. Joe Stevenson...WIN

                              5* Parlay -183...Loss
                              ---Diego Sanchez -250 vs. Joe Stevenson
                              ---Josh Koscheck -550 vs. Paulo Thiago

                              3* Parlay +108...Loss
                              ---Diego Sanchez -250 vs. Joe Stevenson
                              ---Josh Koscheck -550 vs. Paulo Thiago
                              ---Junor Dos Santos -290 vs. Stefan Struve

                              2* Dan Hardy -120 vs. Rory Markham...WIN

                              2* Parlay +102...Loss
                              ---Diego Sanchez -250 vs. Joe Stevenson
                              ---Josh Koscheck -550 vs. Paulo Thiago
                              ---Nate Marquardt -325 vs. Wilson Gouveia

                              1* Wilson Gouveia +265 vs. Nate Marquardt...Loss


                              Individual Matches
                              3-1

                              MMA Bets
                              2-4 -6.96 units
                              Comment
                              • shantystar
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 11-13-05
                                • 7299

                                #16
                                googluck next time too,message me for any help.
                                Comment
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